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  • Energy Research
  • 2021-2025
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Meredith T. Niles; Meredith T. Niles; Jessica Rudnick; Mark Lubell; +1 Authors

    Agricultural adaptation to climate change is critical for ensuring future food security. Social capital is important for climate change adaptation, but institutions and social networks at multiple scales (e.g., household, community, and institution) have been overlooked in studying agricultural climate change adaptation. We combine data from 13 sites in 11 low-income countries in East Africa, West Africa, and South Asia to explore how multiple scales of social capital relate to household food security outcomes among smallholder farmers. Using social network theory, we define three community organizational social network types (fragmented defined by lack of coordination, brokered defined as having a strong central actor, or shared defined by high coordination) and examine household social capital through group memberships. We find community and household social capital are positively related, with higher household group membership more likely in brokered and shared networks. Household group membership is associated with more than a 10% reduction in average months of food insecurity, an effect moderated by community social network type. In communities with fragmented and shared organizational networks, additional household group memberships is associated with consistent decreases in food insecurity, in some cases up to two months; whereas in brokered networks, reductions in food insecurity are only associated with membership in credit groups. These effects are confirmed by hierarchical random effects models, which control for demographic factors. This suggests that multiple scales of social capital—both within and outside the household—are correlated with household food security. This social capital may both be bridging (across groups) and bonding (within groups) with different implications for how social capital structure affects food security. Efforts to improve food security could recognize the potential for both household and community level social networks and collaboration, which further research can capture by analyzing multiple scales of social capital data.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Frontiers in Sustain...arrow_drop_down
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
    Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: Crossref
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
    Article
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: UnpayWall
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/a9...
    Other literature type . 2021
    Data sources: Datacite
    https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/sx...
    Other literature type . 2021
    Data sources: Datacite
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Frontiers in Sustain...arrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
      Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
      License: CC BY
      Data sources: Crossref
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
      Article
      License: CC BY
      Data sources: UnpayWall
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/a9...
      Other literature type . 2021
      Data sources: Datacite
      https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/sx...
      Other literature type . 2021
      Data sources: Datacite
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/

    Macrofaunal communities descriptors (abundances, biomass and traits) and environmental variables sampled in stations located in Åland Islands (Baltic Sea), between 2003 and 2022, after Marenzelleria spp. establishment.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Mendeley Dataarrow_drop_down
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Mendeley Data
    Dataset . 2024
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: Datacite
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Mendeley Data
    Dataset . 2024
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: Datacite
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Mendeley Dataarrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      Mendeley Data
      Dataset . 2024
      License: CC BY
      Data sources: Datacite
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      Mendeley Data
      Dataset . 2024
      License: CC BY
      Data sources: Datacite
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Sun, Songlan; De Angelis, Gaia; Bertella, Stefania; Jones, Marie; +3 Authors
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ ZENODOarrow_drop_down
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    ZENODO
    Dataset . 2023
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: ZENODO
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ ZENODOarrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      ZENODO
      Dataset . 2023
      License: CC BY
      Data sources: ZENODO
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Jalava, Mika; de Leeuw, Jan; Rizayeva, Afag; Godde, Cecile; +5 Authors

    AbstractAlthough the role of livestock in future food systems is debated, animal proteins are unlikely to completely disappear from our diet. Grasslands are a key source of primary productivity for livestock, and feed‐food competition is often limited on such land. Previous research on the potential for sustainable grazing has focused on restricted geographical areas or does not consider inter‐annual changes in grazing opportunities. Here, we developed a robust method to estimate trends and interannual variability (IV) in global livestock carrying capacity (number of grazing animals a piece of land can support) over 2001–2015, as well as relative stocking density (the reported livestock distribution relative to the estimated carrying capacity [CC]) in 2010. We first estimated the aboveground biomass that is available for grazers on global grasslands based on the MODIS Net Primary Production product. This was then used to calculate livestock carrying capacities using slopes, forest cover, and animal forage requirements as restrictions. We found that globally, CC decreased on 27% of total grasslands area, mostly in Europe and southeastern Brazil, while it increased on 15% of grasslands, particularly in Sudano‐Sahel and some parts of South America. In 2010, livestock forage requirements exceeded forage availability in northwestern Europe, and southern and eastern Asia. Although our findings imply some opportunities to increase grazing pressures in cold regions, Central Africa, and Australia, the high IV or low biomass supply might prevent considerable increases in stocking densities. The approach and derived open access data sets can feed into global food system modelling, support conservation efforts to reduce land degradation associated with overgrazing, and help identify undergrazed areas for targeted sustainable intensification efforts or rewilding purposes.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Global Change Biolog...arrow_drop_down
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Global Change Biology
    Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: Crossref
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Global Change Biology
    Article . 2022
    Data sources: VIRTA
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Aaltodoc Publication Archive
    Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Global Change Biolog...arrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      Global Change Biology
      Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
      License: CC BY
      Data sources: Crossref
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      Global Change Biology
      Article . 2022
      Data sources: VIRTA
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      Aaltodoc Publication Archive
      Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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  • image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Authors: Stéphane, Pepin; Sarah, Radulovic; Rob, Wiegers; Jelena, Mrdakovic Popic; +5 Authors

    AbstractIn large parts of Europe, the Chernobyl accident of 1986 caused fallout of Cs-137. This led to the uptake of Cs-137 in trees or other materials used for bioenergy production or as firewood for domestic purposes. This Cs-137 may concentrate in the ashes of the combustion process in such a way that the clearance level of 100 Bq per kg, defined in Directive 2013/59/Euratom (EU BSS), may consequently be exceeded. There is currently no clear consensus in Europe regarding the regulatory approach to this issue: should the import and use of Cs-137 contaminated biomass and its ashes be considered as a planned exposure situation or rather as an existing exposure situation? If considered as an existing exposure situation, which reference level should be applied? We compare the approaches in various European countries, such as Finland, Norway, Sweden, Belgium and the Netherlands. Results of a recent measurement campaign performed in Belgium on firewood imported from Belarus, Ukraine and other countries show a quite large range of Cs-137 activity concentration in firewood. Analysis of samples from biomass combustion confirms that the clearance level of 100 Bq per kg Cs-137 may be exceeded even when the activity concentration in the initial pellet is trivial. A review of dose-assessment studies performed by STUK and from the literature is presented. The general context of biomass energy production is sketched: for instance, in the Netherlands, 40 large biomass firing plants (capacity > 10 MW) are operational and some 20 more are already planned. The fly ashes from the biomass combustion may be a valuable resource for the construction industry, and the issue of Cs-137 contamination is connected with the requirements of the EU BSS regarding the natural radioactivity of building materials. Assessing the impact of Cs-137 contamination and clarifying regulations in the frame of a graded approach are important elements in this context.

    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Radiation Protection...arrow_drop_down
    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Radiation Protection Dosimetry
    Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
    License: OUP Standard Publication Reuse
    Data sources: Crossref
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      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Radiation Protection...arrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
      Radiation Protection Dosimetry
      Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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    Authors: Parul Jakhwal; Ehsan Daneshvar; Kinga Skalska; Leonidas Matsakas; +3 Authors

    This study was conducted to investigate the feasibility of microalgal biomass production and nutrient removal from recirculating aquaculture systems (RAS) water (RASW) with low phosphate concentration. For this purpose, Nannochloropsis oculata, Pavlova gyrans, Tetraselmis suecica, Phaeodactylum tricornutum, and their consortium were cultivated in RASW and RASW supplemented with vitamins (+V). Among them, N. oculata showed the maximum biomass production of 0.4 g/L in RASW. Vitamins supplementation significantly increased the growth of T. suecica from 0.16 g/L in RASW to 0.33 g/L in RASW + V. Additionally, T. suecica showed the highest nitrate (NO3-N) removal efficiency of 80.88 ± 2.08 % in RASW and 83.82 ± 2.08 % in RASW + V. Accordingly, T. suecica was selected for scaling up study of microalgal cultivation in RASW and RASW supplemented with nitrate (RASW + N) in 4-L airlift photobioreactors. Nitrate supplementation enhanced the growth of T. suecica up to 2.2-fold (day 15). The fatty acid nutritional indices in T. suecica cultivated in RASW and RASW + N showed optimal polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs)/saturated fatty acid (SFAs), omega-6 fatty acid (n-6)/omega-3 fatty acid (n-3), indices of atherogenicity (IA), and thrombogenicity (IT)). Overall, the findings of this study revealed that despite low phosphate concentration, marine microalgae can grow in RASW and relatively reduce the concentration of nitrate. Furthermore, the microalgal biomass cultivated in RASW consisting of pigments and optimal fatty acid nutritional profile can be used as fish feed, thus contributing to a circular bioeconomy.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Journal of Environme...arrow_drop_down
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    Journal of Environmental Management
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: Crossref
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ Journal of Environme...arrow_drop_down
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      Journal of Environmental Management
      Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
      License: CC BY
      Data sources: Crossref
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    Authors: Sayedeh Sara Sayedi; Benjamin W. Abbott; Boris Vannière; Bérangère Leys; +103 Authors

    Abstract Background The global human footprint has fundamentally altered wildfire regimes, creating serious consequences for human health, biodiversity, and climate. However, it remains difficult to project how long-term interactions among land use, management, and climate change will affect fire behavior, representing a key knowledge gap for sustainable management. We used expert assessment to combine opinions about past and future fire regimes from 99 wildfire researchers. We asked for quantitative and qualitative assessments of the frequency, type, and implications of fire regime change from the beginning of the Holocene through the year 2300. Results Respondents indicated some direct human influence on wildfire since at least ~ 12,000 years BP, though natural climate variability remained the dominant driver of fire regime change until around 5,000 years BP, for most study regions. Responses suggested a ten-fold increase in the frequency of fire regime change during the last 250 years compared with the rest of the Holocene, corresponding first with the intensification and extensification of land use and later with anthropogenic climate change. Looking to the future, fire regimes were predicted to intensify, with increases in frequency, severity, and size in all biomes except grassland ecosystems. Fire regimes showed different climate sensitivities across biomes, but the likelihood of fire regime change increased with higher warming scenarios for all biomes. Biodiversity, carbon storage, and other ecosystem services were predicted to decrease for most biomes under higher emission scenarios. We present recommendations for adaptation and mitigation under emerging fire regimes, while recognizing that management options are constrained under higher emission scenarios. Conclusion The influence of humans on wildfire regimes has increased over the last two centuries. The perspective gained from past fires should be considered in land and fire management strategies, but novel fire behavior is likely given the unprecedented human disruption of plant communities, climate, and other factors. Future fire regimes are likely to degrade key ecosystem services, unless climate change is aggressively mitigated. Expert assessment complements empirical data and modeling, providing a broader perspective of fire science to inform decision making and future research priorities.

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    Fire Ecology
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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      Fire Ecology
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    Authors: Matheus Henrique Nunes; Marcel Caritá Vaz; José Luís Campana Camargo; William F. Laurance; +10 Authors

    Abstract Trees adjust their architecture to acclimate to various external stressors, which regulates ecological functions that are needed for growth, reproduction, and survival. Human activities, however, are fragmenting natural habitats apace and could affect tree architecture and allometry, but quantitative assessments remain lacking. Here, we leverage ground surveys of terrestrial LiDAR in Central Amazonia to comprehensively assess forest edge effects on tree architecture and allometry, and their associated impacts on the forest biomass 40 years after fragmentation. We found that young trees colonising the forest fragments have thicker branches and architectural traits that maximise light capture, and can produce 50% more wood than their counterparts of similar stem size and height in interior forests. Large trees that have survived disturbances arising from forest fragmentation are able to acclimate and maintain their wood production, but damages that reduce tree height near the edges can lead to a 30% decline of their woody volume. Despite the large wood production of colonising trees, changes in tree architecture lead to a net loss of 6.6 Mg ha-1 of the forest aboveground biomass, which account for 20% of all edge-related aboveground biomass losses of fragmented Amazonian forests (34.3 Mg ha-1). Our findings show a strong influence of edge effects on tree architecture and allometry, and reveal an additional unaccounted factor that exacerbates carbon losses in fragmented forests.

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    https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3....
    Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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    Nature Communications
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      https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3....
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      Nature Communications
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    Authors: Rasmus Erlandsson; Jarle W. Bjerke; Eirik A. Finne; Ranga B. Myneni; +8 Authors

    Bien que généralement peu pris en compte dans les études sur la végétation, les lichens terricoles sont des contributeurs majeurs au cycle global du carbone et de l'azote, à l'albédo, à la biodiversité et à la biomasse dans de nombreux écosystèmes des hautes latitudes. Les changements dans la biomasse des lichens pâles formant des tapis ont le potentiel d'affecter la végétation, la faune, le climat et les activités humaines, y compris l'élevage du renne. Les lichens ont une signature spectrale complexe et les lichens terricoles ont une hauteur de croissance limitée, poussant souvent en mélanges avec une végétation plus haute. Cela a, jusqu'à présent, empêché le développement de techniques de télédétection pour évaluer avec précision la biomasse des lichens, qui serait un outil puissant dans la recherche écosystémique et écologique et la gestion des pâturages. Nous présentons un modèle de télédétection basé sur Landsat développé à l'aide de réseaux de neurones profonds, formé avec 8914 enregistrements de terrain du volume de lichen recueilli pendant >20 ans. Contrairement aux méthodes d'apprentissage automatique et de régression proposées précédemment pour les lichens, notre modèle a exploité la capacité des réseaux de neurones à gérer des entrées à résolution spatiale mixte. Nous avons formé des modèles candidats en utilisant l'entrée de pixels Landsat 1 × 1 (30 × 30 m) et 3 × 3 basés sur 7 bandes réfléchissantes et 3 indices, combinés à un modèle d'élévation numérique de résolution spatiale de 10 m. Nous avons normalisé les données d'altitude localement pour chaque placette afin de supprimer la variation spécifique à la région, tout en maintenant une variation locale informative de la topographie. Le modèle final a prédit le volume de lichen dans un ensemble d'évaluation (n = 159) atteignant un R2 de 0,57. Le NDVI et l'élévation étaient les prédicteurs les plus importants, suivis de la bande verte. Même avec une densité de couverture forestière modérée, le modèle était efficace, offrant une amélioration considérable par rapport aux méthodes antérieures basées sur la réflectance spécifique. Le modèle a été en principe formé sur des données de Scandinavie, mais lorsqu'il est appliqué à des sites en Amérique du Nord et en Russie, les prédictions du modèle correspondent bien à nos interprétations visuelles de l'abondance des lichens. Nous avons également quantifié avec précision un changement historique récent (35 ans) dans l'abondance des lichens dans le nord de la Norvège. Cette nouvelle méthode permet d'autres études spatiales et temporelles de la variation et des changements dans la biomasse des lichens liés à de multiples questions de recherche ainsi qu'à la gestion des pâturages et aux services écosystémiques économiques et culturels. Combiné à des informations sur les changements dans les facteurs tels que le climat, l'utilisation et la gestion des terres et la pollution de l'air, notre modèle peut être utilisé pour fournir des estimations précises des changements écosystémiques et pour améliorer les modèles végétation-climat en incluant les lichens pâles. Aunque generalmente se les presta poca atención en los estudios de vegetación, los líquenes terrestres (terrícolas) son los principales contribuyentes al ciclo general del carbono y el nitrógeno, el albedo, la biodiversidad y la biomasa en muchos ecosistemas de latitudes altas. Los cambios en la biomasa de los líquenes pálidos formadores de esteras tienen el potencial de afectar la vegetación, la fauna, el clima y las actividades humanas, incluida la cría de renos. Los líquenes tienen una firma espectral compleja y los líquenes terrícolas tienen una altura de crecimiento limitada, a menudo creciendo en mezclas con vegetación más alta. Hasta ahora, esto ha impedido el desarrollo de técnicas de teledetección para evaluar con precisión la biomasa de líquenes, que sería una herramienta poderosa en la investigación ecológica y de ecosistemas y la gestión de pastizales. Presentamos un modelo de teledetección basado en Landsat desarrollado utilizando redes neuronales profundas, entrenado con 8914 registros de campo de volumen de líquenes recopilados durante >20 años. En contraste con los métodos de aprendizaje automático y regresión propuestos anteriormente para líquenes, nuestro modelo explotó la capacidad de las redes neuronales para manejar la entrada de resolución espacial mixta. Capacitamos modelos candidatos utilizando la entrada de 1 × 1 (30 × 30 m) y 3 × 3 píxeles Landsat basados en 7 bandas reflectantes y 3 índices, combinados con un modelo de elevación digital de resolución espacial de 10 m. Normalizamos los datos de elevación localmente para cada parcela para eliminar la variación específica de la región, manteniendo al mismo tiempo la variación local informativa en la topografía. El modelo final predijo el volumen de liquen en un conjunto de evaluación (n = 159) alcanzando un R2 de 0.57. El NDVI y la elevación fueron los predictores más importantes, seguidos de la banda verde. Incluso con una densidad de cobertura arbórea moderada, el modelo fue eficiente, ofreciendo una mejora considerable en comparación con los métodos anteriores basados en la reflectancia específica. En principio, el modelo se entrenó con datos de Escandinavia, pero cuando se aplicó a sitios en América del Norte y Rusia, las predicciones del modelo se correspondieron bien con nuestras interpretaciones visuales de la abundancia de líquenes. También cuantificamos con precisión un cambio histórico reciente (35 años) en la abundancia de líquenes en el norte de Noruega. Este nuevo método permite realizar más estudios espaciales y temporales de la variación y los cambios en la biomasa de líquenes relacionados con múltiples preguntas de investigación, así como con la gestión de pastizales y los servicios ecosistémicos económicos y culturales. Combinado con información sobre los cambios en los factores impulsores, como el clima, el uso y la gestión de la tierra y la contaminación del aire, nuestro modelo se puede utilizar para proporcionar estimaciones precisas de los cambios en los ecosistemas y para mejorar los modelos de clima y vegetación mediante la inclusión de líquenes pálidos. Although generally given little attention in vegetation studies, ground-dwelling (terricolous) lichens are major contributors to overall carbon and nitrogen cycling, albedo, biodiversity and biomass in many high-latitude ecosystems. Changes in biomass of mat-forming pale lichens have the potential to affect vegetation, fauna, climate and human activities including reindeer husbandry. Lichens have a complex spectral signature and terricolous lichens have limited growth height, often growing in mixtures with taller vegetation. This has, so far, prevented the development of remote sensing techniques to accurately assess lichen biomass, which would be a powerful tool in ecosystem and ecological research and rangeland management. We present a Landsat based remote sensing model developed using deep neural networks, trained with 8914 field records of lichen volume collected for >20 years. In contrast to earlier proposed machine learning and regression methods for lichens, our model exploited the ability of neural networks to handle mixed spatial resolution input. We trained candidate models using input of 1 × 1 (30 × 30 m) and 3 × 3 Landsat pixels based on 7 reflective bands and 3 indices, combined with a 10 m spatial resolution digital elevation model. We normalised elevation data locally for each plot to remove the region-specific variation, while maintaining informative local variation in topography. The final model predicted lichen volume in an evaluation set (n = 159) reaching an R2 of 0.57. NDVI and elevation were the most important predictors, followed by the green band. Even with moderate tree cover density, the model was efficient, offering a considerable improvement compared to earlier methods based on specific reflectance. The model was in principle trained on data from Scandinavia, but when applied to sites in North America and Russia, the predictions of the model corresponded well with our visual interpretations of lichen abundance. We also accurately quantified a recent historic (35 years) change in lichen abundance in northern Norway. This new method enables further spatial and temporal studies of variation and changes in lichen biomass related to multiple research questions as well as rangeland management and economic and cultural ecosystem services. Combined with information on changes in drivers such as climate, land use and management, and air pollution, our model can be used to provide accurate estimates of ecosystem changes and to improve vegetation-climate models by including pale lichens. على الرغم من إيلاء القليل من الاهتمام بشكل عام في دراسات الغطاء النباتي، إلا أن الأشنات التي تعيش على الأرض (تيريولوس) هي المساهم الرئيسي في دورة الكربون والنيتروجين بشكل عام، والبياض، والتنوع البيولوجي والكتلة الحيوية في العديد من النظم الإيكولوجية ذات خطوط العرض العالية. يمكن أن تؤثر التغيرات في الكتلة الحيوية للأشنة الشاحبة المكونة للحصيرة على الغطاء النباتي والحيواني والمناخ والأنشطة البشرية بما في ذلك تربية الرنة. تتمتع الأشنة بتوقيع طيفي معقد والأشنة التريكولية لها ارتفاع نمو محدود، وغالبًا ما تنمو في مخاليط ذات نباتات أطول. وقد حال هذا، حتى الآن، دون تطوير تقنيات الاستشعار عن بعد لتقييم الكتلة الحيوية للأشنة بدقة، والتي ستكون أداة قوية في مجال النظم الإيكولوجية والبحوث الإيكولوجية وإدارة المراعي. نقدم نموذج استشعار عن بعد قائم على لاندسات تم تطويره باستخدام شبكات عصبية عميقة، تم تدريبه على 8914 سجلًا ميدانيًا لحجم الأشنة تم جمعها لأكثر من 20 عامًا. على النقيض من طرق التعلم الآلي والانحدار المقترحة سابقًا للأشنات، استغل نموذجنا قدرة الشبكات العصبية على التعامل مع مدخلات الدقة المكانية المختلطة. قمنا بتدريب النماذج المرشحة باستخدام مدخلات 1 × 1 (30 × 30 م) و 3 × 3 بكسلات لاندسات بناءً على 7 نطاقات عاكسة و 3 مؤشرات، جنبًا إلى جنب مع نموذج الارتفاع الرقمي ذي الدقة المكانية 10 أمتار. قمنا بتطبيع بيانات الارتفاع محليًا لكل مخطط لإزالة التباين الخاص بالمنطقة، مع الحفاظ على التباين المحلي الغني بالمعلومات في التضاريس. تنبأ النموذج النهائي بحجم الأشنة في مجموعة التقييم (العدد = 159) ليصل إلى R2 0.57. كان مؤشر NDVI والارتفاع أهم المتنبئين، يليهما الشريط الأخضر. حتى مع كثافة الغطاء الشجري المعتدلة، كان النموذج فعالاً، حيث قدم تحسناً كبيراً مقارنة بالطرق السابقة بناءً على انعكاس محدد. تم تدريب النموذج من حيث المبدأ على البيانات من الدول الاسكندنافية، ولكن عند تطبيقه على مواقع في أمريكا الشمالية وروسيا، تتوافق تنبؤات النموذج بشكل جيد مع تفسيراتنا البصرية لوفرة الأشنة. كما حددنا بدقة التغير التاريخي الأخير (35 عامًا) في وفرة الأشنة في شمال النرويج. تتيح هذه الطريقة الجديدة إجراء المزيد من الدراسات المكانية والزمنية للتغيرات والتغيرات في الكتلة الحيوية للأشنيات المتعلقة بمسائل بحثية متعددة بالإضافة إلى إدارة المراعي وخدمات النظم الإيكولوجية الاقتصادية والثقافية. إلى جانب المعلومات المتعلقة بالتغيرات في الدوافع مثل المناخ واستخدام الأراضي وإدارتها وتلوث الهواء، يمكن استخدام نموذجنا لتوفير تقديرات دقيقة لتغيرات النظام البيئي وتحسين نماذج الغطاء النباتي والمناخ من خلال تضمين الأشنات الشاحبة.

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    Remote Sensing of Environment
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      Remote Sensing of Environment
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    Authors: Sorvali, Jaana; Liu, Xing; Kaseva, Janne;

    Global agriculture faces severe challenges due to climate change. For boreal agriculture, climate change might also bring opportunities as the growing season lengthens, if the risks of climate change are managed properly. Agricultural production is a source of greenhouse gases, while agricultural land has also a great possibility to mitigate climate change as a carbon sink. Farmers are the central group for implementing these actions. Their views and beliefs contribute to their corresponding pro-environmental agricultural behavior. This research is based on the theory of value-belief-norm (VBN) as a predictive model of pro-environmental agricultural behavior. We extend the theory by studying how opportunities caused by climate change affect pro-environmental behavior in agriculture and present differences between farmer groups and experiment with the longitudinal possibilities of the theoretical model. Based on the structured survey responses from 4,401 farmers in Finland in 2018 and 2000 responses in 2020, we found that all the elements of VBN theory did help to predict intention for climate change mitigation, among which felt possibility to perform mitigation practices was the strongest predictor while risk perception was rather an unimportant one. Furthermore, opportunities caused directly or indirectly by climate change have an effect on Finnish farmer's implementation of mitigation practices. Therefore, future efforts in agricultural research and policy in Finland should concentrate to bring forth concrete farm-level mitigation practices with proven environmental benefits and the direct and indirect opportunities should be given more attention.

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    Frontiers in Psychology
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    Frontiers in Psychology
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      Frontiers in Psychology
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Meredith T. Niles; Meredith T. Niles; Jessica Rudnick; Mark Lubell; +1 Authors

    Agricultural adaptation to climate change is critical for ensuring future food security. Social capital is important for climate change adaptation, but institutions and social networks at multiple scales (e.g., household, community, and institution) have been overlooked in studying agricultural climate change adaptation. We combine data from 13 sites in 11 low-income countries in East Africa, West Africa, and South Asia to explore how multiple scales of social capital relate to household food security outcomes among smallholder farmers. Using social network theory, we define three community organizational social network types (fragmented defined by lack of coordination, brokered defined as having a strong central actor, or shared defined by high coordination) and examine household social capital through group memberships. We find community and household social capital are positively related, with higher household group membership more likely in brokered and shared networks. Household group membership is associated with more than a 10% reduction in average months of food insecurity, an effect moderated by community social network type. In communities with fragmented and shared organizational networks, additional household group memberships is associated with consistent decreases in food insecurity, in some cases up to two months; whereas in brokered networks, reductions in food insecurity are only associated with membership in credit groups. These effects are confirmed by hierarchical random effects models, which control for demographic factors. This suggests that multiple scales of social capital—both within and outside the household—are correlated with household food security. This social capital may both be bridging (across groups) and bonding (within groups) with different implications for how social capital structure affects food security. Efforts to improve food security could recognize the potential for both household and community level social networks and collaboration, which further research can capture by analyzing multiple scales of social capital data.

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    Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
    Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
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    Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
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      Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
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      Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
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      https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/a9...
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    Macrofaunal communities descriptors (abundances, biomass and traits) and environmental variables sampled in stations located in Åland Islands (Baltic Sea), between 2003 and 2022, after Marenzelleria spp. establishment.

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    Authors: Sun, Songlan; De Angelis, Gaia; Bertella, Stefania; Jones, Marie; +3 Authors
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      ZENODO
      Dataset . 2023
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    Authors: Jalava, Mika; de Leeuw, Jan; Rizayeva, Afag; Godde, Cecile; +5 Authors

    AbstractAlthough the role of livestock in future food systems is debated, animal proteins are unlikely to completely disappear from our diet. Grasslands are a key source of primary productivity for livestock, and feed‐food competition is often limited on such land. Previous research on the potential for sustainable grazing has focused on restricted geographical areas or does not consider inter‐annual changes in grazing opportunities. Here, we developed a robust method to estimate trends and interannual variability (IV) in global livestock carrying capacity (number of grazing animals a piece of land can support) over 2001–2015, as well as relative stocking density (the reported livestock distribution relative to the estimated carrying capacity [CC]) in 2010. We first estimated the aboveground biomass that is available for grazers on global grasslands based on the MODIS Net Primary Production product. This was then used to calculate livestock carrying capacities using slopes, forest cover, and animal forage requirements as restrictions. We found that globally, CC decreased on 27% of total grasslands area, mostly in Europe and southeastern Brazil, while it increased on 15% of grasslands, particularly in Sudano‐Sahel and some parts of South America. In 2010, livestock forage requirements exceeded forage availability in northwestern Europe, and southern and eastern Asia. Although our findings imply some opportunities to increase grazing pressures in cold regions, Central Africa, and Australia, the high IV or low biomass supply might prevent considerable increases in stocking densities. The approach and derived open access data sets can feed into global food system modelling, support conservation efforts to reduce land degradation associated with overgrazing, and help identify undergrazed areas for targeted sustainable intensification efforts or rewilding purposes.

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    Global Change Biology
    Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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    Global Change Biology
    Article . 2022
    Data sources: VIRTA
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    Aaltodoc Publication Archive
    Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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      Global Change Biology
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      Global Change Biology
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      Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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  • image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Authors: Stéphane, Pepin; Sarah, Radulovic; Rob, Wiegers; Jelena, Mrdakovic Popic; +5 Authors

    AbstractIn large parts of Europe, the Chernobyl accident of 1986 caused fallout of Cs-137. This led to the uptake of Cs-137 in trees or other materials used for bioenergy production or as firewood for domestic purposes. This Cs-137 may concentrate in the ashes of the combustion process in such a way that the clearance level of 100 Bq per kg, defined in Directive 2013/59/Euratom (EU BSS), may consequently be exceeded. There is currently no clear consensus in Europe regarding the regulatory approach to this issue: should the import and use of Cs-137 contaminated biomass and its ashes be considered as a planned exposure situation or rather as an existing exposure situation? If considered as an existing exposure situation, which reference level should be applied? We compare the approaches in various European countries, such as Finland, Norway, Sweden, Belgium and the Netherlands. Results of a recent measurement campaign performed in Belgium on firewood imported from Belarus, Ukraine and other countries show a quite large range of Cs-137 activity concentration in firewood. Analysis of samples from biomass combustion confirms that the clearance level of 100 Bq per kg Cs-137 may be exceeded even when the activity concentration in the initial pellet is trivial. A review of dose-assessment studies performed by STUK and from the literature is presented. The general context of biomass energy production is sketched: for instance, in the Netherlands, 40 large biomass firing plants (capacity > 10 MW) are operational and some 20 more are already planned. The fly ashes from the biomass combustion may be a valuable resource for the construction industry, and the issue of Cs-137 contamination is connected with the requirements of the EU BSS regarding the natural radioactivity of building materials. Assessing the impact of Cs-137 contamination and clarifying regulations in the frame of a graded approach are important elements in this context.

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    Radiation Protection Dosimetry
    Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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      Radiation Protection Dosimetry
      Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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    Authors: Parul Jakhwal; Ehsan Daneshvar; Kinga Skalska; Leonidas Matsakas; +3 Authors

    This study was conducted to investigate the feasibility of microalgal biomass production and nutrient removal from recirculating aquaculture systems (RAS) water (RASW) with low phosphate concentration. For this purpose, Nannochloropsis oculata, Pavlova gyrans, Tetraselmis suecica, Phaeodactylum tricornutum, and their consortium were cultivated in RASW and RASW supplemented with vitamins (+V). Among them, N. oculata showed the maximum biomass production of 0.4 g/L in RASW. Vitamins supplementation significantly increased the growth of T. suecica from 0.16 g/L in RASW to 0.33 g/L in RASW + V. Additionally, T. suecica showed the highest nitrate (NO3-N) removal efficiency of 80.88 ± 2.08 % in RASW and 83.82 ± 2.08 % in RASW + V. Accordingly, T. suecica was selected for scaling up study of microalgal cultivation in RASW and RASW supplemented with nitrate (RASW + N) in 4-L airlift photobioreactors. Nitrate supplementation enhanced the growth of T. suecica up to 2.2-fold (day 15). The fatty acid nutritional indices in T. suecica cultivated in RASW and RASW + N showed optimal polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs)/saturated fatty acid (SFAs), omega-6 fatty acid (n-6)/omega-3 fatty acid (n-3), indices of atherogenicity (IA), and thrombogenicity (IT)). Overall, the findings of this study revealed that despite low phosphate concentration, marine microalgae can grow in RASW and relatively reduce the concentration of nitrate. Furthermore, the microalgal biomass cultivated in RASW consisting of pigments and optimal fatty acid nutritional profile can be used as fish feed, thus contributing to a circular bioeconomy.

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    Journal of Environmental Management
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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      Journal of Environmental Management
      Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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    Authors: Sayedeh Sara Sayedi; Benjamin W. Abbott; Boris Vannière; Bérangère Leys; +103 Authors

    Abstract Background The global human footprint has fundamentally altered wildfire regimes, creating serious consequences for human health, biodiversity, and climate. However, it remains difficult to project how long-term interactions among land use, management, and climate change will affect fire behavior, representing a key knowledge gap for sustainable management. We used expert assessment to combine opinions about past and future fire regimes from 99 wildfire researchers. We asked for quantitative and qualitative assessments of the frequency, type, and implications of fire regime change from the beginning of the Holocene through the year 2300. Results Respondents indicated some direct human influence on wildfire since at least ~ 12,000 years BP, though natural climate variability remained the dominant driver of fire regime change until around 5,000 years BP, for most study regions. Responses suggested a ten-fold increase in the frequency of fire regime change during the last 250 years compared with the rest of the Holocene, corresponding first with the intensification and extensification of land use and later with anthropogenic climate change. Looking to the future, fire regimes were predicted to intensify, with increases in frequency, severity, and size in all biomes except grassland ecosystems. Fire regimes showed different climate sensitivities across biomes, but the likelihood of fire regime change increased with higher warming scenarios for all biomes. Biodiversity, carbon storage, and other ecosystem services were predicted to decrease for most biomes under higher emission scenarios. We present recommendations for adaptation and mitigation under emerging fire regimes, while recognizing that management options are constrained under higher emission scenarios. Conclusion The influence of humans on wildfire regimes has increased over the last two centuries. The perspective gained from past fires should be considered in land and fire management strategies, but novel fire behavior is likely given the unprecedented human disruption of plant communities, climate, and other factors. Future fire regimes are likely to degrade key ecosystem services, unless climate change is aggressively mitigated. Expert assessment complements empirical data and modeling, providing a broader perspective of fire science to inform decision making and future research priorities.

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    Fire Ecology
    Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
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      Fire Ecology
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    Authors: Matheus Henrique Nunes; Marcel Caritá Vaz; José Luís Campana Camargo; William F. Laurance; +10 Authors

    Abstract Trees adjust their architecture to acclimate to various external stressors, which regulates ecological functions that are needed for growth, reproduction, and survival. Human activities, however, are fragmenting natural habitats apace and could affect tree architecture and allometry, but quantitative assessments remain lacking. Here, we leverage ground surveys of terrestrial LiDAR in Central Amazonia to comprehensively assess forest edge effects on tree architecture and allometry, and their associated impacts on the forest biomass 40 years after fragmentation. We found that young trees colonising the forest fragments have thicker branches and architectural traits that maximise light capture, and can produce 50% more wood than their counterparts of similar stem size and height in interior forests. Large trees that have survived disturbances arising from forest fragmentation are able to acclimate and maintain their wood production, but damages that reduce tree height near the edges can lead to a 30% decline of their woody volume. Despite the large wood production of colonising trees, changes in tree architecture lead to a net loss of 6.6 Mg ha-1 of the forest aboveground biomass, which account for 20% of all edge-related aboveground biomass losses of fragmented Amazonian forests (34.3 Mg ha-1). Our findings show a strong influence of edge effects on tree architecture and allometry, and reveal an additional unaccounted factor that exacerbates carbon losses in fragmented forests.

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    https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3....
    Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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    Nature Communications
    Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
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    Nature Communications
    Article . 2023
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    Authors: Rasmus Erlandsson; Jarle W. Bjerke; Eirik A. Finne; Ranga B. Myneni; +8 Authors

    Bien que généralement peu pris en compte dans les études sur la végétation, les lichens terricoles sont des contributeurs majeurs au cycle global du carbone et de l'azote, à l'albédo, à la biodiversité et à la biomasse dans de nombreux écosystèmes des hautes latitudes. Les changements dans la biomasse des lichens pâles formant des tapis ont le potentiel d'affecter la végétation, la faune, le climat et les activités humaines, y compris l'élevage du renne. Les lichens ont une signature spectrale complexe et les lichens terricoles ont une hauteur de croissance limitée, poussant souvent en mélanges avec une végétation plus haute. Cela a, jusqu'à présent, empêché le développement de techniques de télédétection pour évaluer avec précision la biomasse des lichens, qui serait un outil puissant dans la recherche écosystémique et écologique et la gestion des pâturages. Nous présentons un modèle de télédétection basé sur Landsat développé à l'aide de réseaux de neurones profonds, formé avec 8914 enregistrements de terrain du volume de lichen recueilli pendant >20 ans. Contrairement aux méthodes d'apprentissage automatique et de régression proposées précédemment pour les lichens, notre modèle a exploité la capacité des réseaux de neurones à gérer des entrées à résolution spatiale mixte. Nous avons formé des modèles candidats en utilisant l'entrée de pixels Landsat 1 × 1 (30 × 30 m) et 3 × 3 basés sur 7 bandes réfléchissantes et 3 indices, combinés à un modèle d'élévation numérique de résolution spatiale de 10 m. Nous avons normalisé les données d'altitude localement pour chaque placette afin de supprimer la variation spécifique à la région, tout en maintenant une variation locale informative de la topographie. Le modèle final a prédit le volume de lichen dans un ensemble d'évaluation (n = 159) atteignant un R2 de 0,57. Le NDVI et l'élévation étaient les prédicteurs les plus importants, suivis de la bande verte. Même avec une densité de couverture forestière modérée, le modèle était efficace, offrant une amélioration considérable par rapport aux méthodes antérieures basées sur la réflectance spécifique. Le modèle a été en principe formé sur des données de Scandinavie, mais lorsqu'il est appliqué à des sites en Amérique du Nord et en Russie, les prédictions du modèle correspondent bien à nos interprétations visuelles de l'abondance des lichens. Nous avons également quantifié avec précision un changement historique récent (35 ans) dans l'abondance des lichens dans le nord de la Norvège. Cette nouvelle méthode permet d'autres études spatiales et temporelles de la variation et des changements dans la biomasse des lichens liés à de multiples questions de recherche ainsi qu'à la gestion des pâturages et aux services écosystémiques économiques et culturels. Combiné à des informations sur les changements dans les facteurs tels que le climat, l'utilisation et la gestion des terres et la pollution de l'air, notre modèle peut être utilisé pour fournir des estimations précises des changements écosystémiques et pour améliorer les modèles végétation-climat en incluant les lichens pâles. Aunque generalmente se les presta poca atención en los estudios de vegetación, los líquenes terrestres (terrícolas) son los principales contribuyentes al ciclo general del carbono y el nitrógeno, el albedo, la biodiversidad y la biomasa en muchos ecosistemas de latitudes altas. Los cambios en la biomasa de los líquenes pálidos formadores de esteras tienen el potencial de afectar la vegetación, la fauna, el clima y las actividades humanas, incluida la cría de renos. Los líquenes tienen una firma espectral compleja y los líquenes terrícolas tienen una altura de crecimiento limitada, a menudo creciendo en mezclas con vegetación más alta. Hasta ahora, esto ha impedido el desarrollo de técnicas de teledetección para evaluar con precisión la biomasa de líquenes, que sería una herramienta poderosa en la investigación ecológica y de ecosistemas y la gestión de pastizales. Presentamos un modelo de teledetección basado en Landsat desarrollado utilizando redes neuronales profundas, entrenado con 8914 registros de campo de volumen de líquenes recopilados durante >20 años. En contraste con los métodos de aprendizaje automático y regresión propuestos anteriormente para líquenes, nuestro modelo explotó la capacidad de las redes neuronales para manejar la entrada de resolución espacial mixta. Capacitamos modelos candidatos utilizando la entrada de 1 × 1 (30 × 30 m) y 3 × 3 píxeles Landsat basados en 7 bandas reflectantes y 3 índices, combinados con un modelo de elevación digital de resolución espacial de 10 m. Normalizamos los datos de elevación localmente para cada parcela para eliminar la variación específica de la región, manteniendo al mismo tiempo la variación local informativa en la topografía. El modelo final predijo el volumen de liquen en un conjunto de evaluación (n = 159) alcanzando un R2 de 0.57. El NDVI y la elevación fueron los predictores más importantes, seguidos de la banda verde. Incluso con una densidad de cobertura arbórea moderada, el modelo fue eficiente, ofreciendo una mejora considerable en comparación con los métodos anteriores basados en la reflectancia específica. En principio, el modelo se entrenó con datos de Escandinavia, pero cuando se aplicó a sitios en América del Norte y Rusia, las predicciones del modelo se correspondieron bien con nuestras interpretaciones visuales de la abundancia de líquenes. También cuantificamos con precisión un cambio histórico reciente (35 años) en la abundancia de líquenes en el norte de Noruega. Este nuevo método permite realizar más estudios espaciales y temporales de la variación y los cambios en la biomasa de líquenes relacionados con múltiples preguntas de investigación, así como con la gestión de pastizales y los servicios ecosistémicos económicos y culturales. Combinado con información sobre los cambios en los factores impulsores, como el clima, el uso y la gestión de la tierra y la contaminación del aire, nuestro modelo se puede utilizar para proporcionar estimaciones precisas de los cambios en los ecosistemas y para mejorar los modelos de clima y vegetación mediante la inclusión de líquenes pálidos. Although generally given little attention in vegetation studies, ground-dwelling (terricolous) lichens are major contributors to overall carbon and nitrogen cycling, albedo, biodiversity and biomass in many high-latitude ecosystems. Changes in biomass of mat-forming pale lichens have the potential to affect vegetation, fauna, climate and human activities including reindeer husbandry. Lichens have a complex spectral signature and terricolous lichens have limited growth height, often growing in mixtures with taller vegetation. This has, so far, prevented the development of remote sensing techniques to accurately assess lichen biomass, which would be a powerful tool in ecosystem and ecological research and rangeland management. We present a Landsat based remote sensing model developed using deep neural networks, trained with 8914 field records of lichen volume collected for >20 years. In contrast to earlier proposed machine learning and regression methods for lichens, our model exploited the ability of neural networks to handle mixed spatial resolution input. We trained candidate models using input of 1 × 1 (30 × 30 m) and 3 × 3 Landsat pixels based on 7 reflective bands and 3 indices, combined with a 10 m spatial resolution digital elevation model. We normalised elevation data locally for each plot to remove the region-specific variation, while maintaining informative local variation in topography. The final model predicted lichen volume in an evaluation set (n = 159) reaching an R2 of 0.57. NDVI and elevation were the most important predictors, followed by the green band. Even with moderate tree cover density, the model was efficient, offering a considerable improvement compared to earlier methods based on specific reflectance. The model was in principle trained on data from Scandinavia, but when applied to sites in North America and Russia, the predictions of the model corresponded well with our visual interpretations of lichen abundance. We also accurately quantified a recent historic (35 years) change in lichen abundance in northern Norway. This new method enables further spatial and temporal studies of variation and changes in lichen biomass related to multiple research questions as well as rangeland management and economic and cultural ecosystem services. Combined with information on changes in drivers such as climate, land use and management, and air pollution, our model can be used to provide accurate estimates of ecosystem changes and to improve vegetation-climate models by including pale lichens. على الرغم من إيلاء القليل من الاهتمام بشكل عام في دراسات الغطاء النباتي، إلا أن الأشنات التي تعيش على الأرض (تيريولوس) هي المساهم الرئيسي في دورة الكربون والنيتروجين بشكل عام، والبياض، والتنوع البيولوجي والكتلة الحيوية في العديد من النظم الإيكولوجية ذات خطوط العرض العالية. يمكن أن تؤثر التغيرات في الكتلة الحيوية للأشنة الشاحبة المكونة للحصيرة على الغطاء النباتي والحيواني والمناخ والأنشطة البشرية بما في ذلك تربية الرنة. تتمتع الأشنة بتوقيع طيفي معقد والأشنة التريكولية لها ارتفاع نمو محدود، وغالبًا ما تنمو في مخاليط ذات نباتات أطول. وقد حال هذا، حتى الآن، دون تطوير تقنيات الاستشعار عن بعد لتقييم الكتلة الحيوية للأشنة بدقة، والتي ستكون أداة قوية في مجال النظم الإيكولوجية والبحوث الإيكولوجية وإدارة المراعي. نقدم نموذج استشعار عن بعد قائم على لاندسات تم تطويره باستخدام شبكات عصبية عميقة، تم تدريبه على 8914 سجلًا ميدانيًا لحجم الأشنة تم جمعها لأكثر من 20 عامًا. على النقيض من طرق التعلم الآلي والانحدار المقترحة سابقًا للأشنات، استغل نموذجنا قدرة الشبكات العصبية على التعامل مع مدخلات الدقة المكانية المختلطة. قمنا بتدريب النماذج المرشحة باستخدام مدخلات 1 × 1 (30 × 30 م) و 3 × 3 بكسلات لاندسات بناءً على 7 نطاقات عاكسة و 3 مؤشرات، جنبًا إلى جنب مع نموذج الارتفاع الرقمي ذي الدقة المكانية 10 أمتار. قمنا بتطبيع بيانات الارتفاع محليًا لكل مخطط لإزالة التباين الخاص بالمنطقة، مع الحفاظ على التباين المحلي الغني بالمعلومات في التضاريس. تنبأ النموذج النهائي بحجم الأشنة في مجموعة التقييم (العدد = 159) ليصل إلى R2 0.57. كان مؤشر NDVI والارتفاع أهم المتنبئين، يليهما الشريط الأخضر. حتى مع كثافة الغطاء الشجري المعتدلة، كان النموذج فعالاً، حيث قدم تحسناً كبيراً مقارنة بالطرق السابقة بناءً على انعكاس محدد. تم تدريب النموذج من حيث المبدأ على البيانات من الدول الاسكندنافية، ولكن عند تطبيقه على مواقع في أمريكا الشمالية وروسيا، تتوافق تنبؤات النموذج بشكل جيد مع تفسيراتنا البصرية لوفرة الأشنة. كما حددنا بدقة التغير التاريخي الأخير (35 عامًا) في وفرة الأشنة في شمال النرويج. تتيح هذه الطريقة الجديدة إجراء المزيد من الدراسات المكانية والزمنية للتغيرات والتغيرات في الكتلة الحيوية للأشنيات المتعلقة بمسائل بحثية متعددة بالإضافة إلى إدارة المراعي وخدمات النظم الإيكولوجية الاقتصادية والثقافية. إلى جانب المعلومات المتعلقة بالتغيرات في الدوافع مثل المناخ واستخدام الأراضي وإدارتها وتلوث الهواء، يمكن استخدام نموذجنا لتوفير تقديرات دقيقة لتغيرات النظام البيئي وتحسين نماذج الغطاء النباتي والمناخ من خلال تضمين الأشنات الشاحبة.

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    Authors: Sorvali, Jaana; Liu, Xing; Kaseva, Janne;

    Global agriculture faces severe challenges due to climate change. For boreal agriculture, climate change might also bring opportunities as the growing season lengthens, if the risks of climate change are managed properly. Agricultural production is a source of greenhouse gases, while agricultural land has also a great possibility to mitigate climate change as a carbon sink. Farmers are the central group for implementing these actions. Their views and beliefs contribute to their corresponding pro-environmental agricultural behavior. This research is based on the theory of value-belief-norm (VBN) as a predictive model of pro-environmental agricultural behavior. We extend the theory by studying how opportunities caused by climate change affect pro-environmental behavior in agriculture and present differences between farmer groups and experiment with the longitudinal possibilities of the theoretical model. Based on the structured survey responses from 4,401 farmers in Finland in 2018 and 2000 responses in 2020, we found that all the elements of VBN theory did help to predict intention for climate change mitigation, among which felt possibility to perform mitigation practices was the strongest predictor while risk perception was rather an unimportant one. Furthermore, opportunities caused directly or indirectly by climate change have an effect on Finnish farmer's implementation of mitigation practices. Therefore, future efforts in agricultural research and policy in Finland should concentrate to bring forth concrete farm-level mitigation practices with proven environmental benefits and the direct and indirect opportunities should be given more attention.

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