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  • Energy Research
  • 7. Clean energy
  • 2. Zero hunger
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Gao, Guang; Beardall, John; Jin, Peng; Gao, Lin; +2 Authors

    The atmosphere concentration of CO2 is steadily increasing and causing climate change. To achieve the Paris 1.5 or 2 oC target, negative emissions technologies must be deployed in addition to reducing carbon emissions. The ocean is a large carbon sink but the potential of marine primary producers to contribute to carbon neutrality remains unclear. Here we review the alterations to carbon capture and sequestration of marine primary producers (including traditional ‘blue carbon’ plants, microalgae, and macroalgae) in the Anthropocene, and, for the first time, assess and compare the potential of various marine primary producers to carbon neutrality and climate change mitigation via biogeoengineering approaches. The contributions of marine primary producers to carbon sequestration have been decreasing in the Anthropocene due to the decrease in biomass driven by direct anthropogenic activities and climate change. The potential of blue carbon plants (mangroves, saltmarshes, and seagrasses) is limited by the available areas for their revegetation. Microalgae appear to have a large potential due to their ubiquity but how to enhance their carbon sequestration efficiency is very complex and uncertain. On the other hand, macroalgae can play an essential role in mitigating climate change through extensive offshore cultivation due to higher carbon sequestration capacity and substantial available areas. This approach seems both technically and economically feasible due to the development of offshore aquaculture and a well-established market for macroalgal products. Synthesis and applications: This paper provides new insights and suggests promising directions for utilizing marine primary producers to achieve the Paris temperature target. We propose that macroalgae cultivation can play an essential role in attaining carbon neutrality and climate change mitigation, although its ecological impacts need to be assessed further. To calculate the parameters presented in Table 1, the relevant keywords "mangroves, salt marshes, macroalgae, microalgae, global area, net primary productivity, CO2 sequestration" were searched through the ISI Web of Science and Google Scholar in July 2021. Recent data published after 2010 were collected and used since area and productivity of plants change with decade. For data with limited availability, such as net primary productivity (NPP) of seagrasses and global area and NPP of wild macroalgae, data collection was extended back to 1980. Total NPP and CO2 sequestration for mangroves, salt marshes, seagrasses and wild macroalgae were obtained by the multiplication of area and NPP/CO2 sequestration density and subjected to error propagation analysis. Data were expressed as means ± standard error.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ ZENODOarrow_drop_down
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    ZENODO
    Dataset . 2022
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: ZENODO
    DRYAD
    Dataset . 2022
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: Datacite
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ ZENODOarrow_drop_down
      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
      ZENODO
      Dataset . 2022
      License: CC 0
      Data sources: ZENODO
      DRYAD
      Dataset . 2022
      License: CC 0
      Data sources: Datacite
      addClaim

      This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.

      You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.
  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Cresswell, Anna; Renton, Michael; Langlois, Timothy; Thomson, Damian; +2 Authors

    # Coral reef state influences resilience to acute climate-mediated disturbances\_Table S1 [https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.rfj6q57gz](https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.rfj6q57gz) The dataset provides a summary of all publications included in the analysis for this study and the key statistics obtained from the studies and used in the analyses. The dataset includes details about the publication, spatial identifiers (e.g. realm, province, ecoregion) unique site code, information on the disturbance type and timing, the pre-and post-disturbance coral cover, the 5-year annual recovery rate, the recovery shape and recovery completeness classifications. Please see details Methods in the journal article "Coral reef state influences resilience to acute climate-mediated disturbances" as published in Global Ecology and Biogeography. ## Description of the data and file structure Each column provides the following information: | Column | Detail | | ------ | ------ | | Realm | All studies were assigned to an ‘ecoregion’, ‘province’ and ‘realm’ based on their spatial location in Spalding et al. (2007)’s spatial classification system for coastal and shelf waters. | | Province | All studies were assigned to an ‘ecoregion’, ‘province’ and ‘realm’ based on their spatial location in Spalding et al. (2007)’s spatial classification system for coastal and shelf waters. | | Ecoregion | All studies were assigned to an ‘ecoregion’, ‘province’ and ‘realm’ based on their spatial location in Spalding et al. (2007)’s spatial classification system for coastal and shelf waters. | | Unique study identifier | Unique identifiers for the lowest sampling unit in the dataset. In cases where there were data for different regions, reefs, islands/atolls, sites, reef zones, depths, and/or multiple disturbances within a publication or time-series, data from these publications were divided into separate ‘studies’. | | Publication/Dataset | Unique identifiers for the publication or dataset (generally the surname of the first author followed by the year of publication). | | Publication title | Title of the publication or dataset from which the data were sourced. | | Publication year | Year the publication from the which the data were sourced was published. | | Country/Territory | Name of the country or location from which the data came. | | Site latitude | Latitude of the study site from where the data came. | | Site longitude | Longitude of the study site from where the data came. | | Disturbance type | Classification of disturbance: Temperature stress, Cyclone/ severe storm, Runoff or Multiple. | | Disturbance.year | Year of the disturbance. | | Mean coral cover pre-disturbance | Pre-disturbance coral cover as extracted from the publication or dataset as the closest data point prior to disturbance. If there is an NA value in this column then there was no pre-disturbance data available and a measure of impact was not calculated. | | Mean coral cover post-disturbance | Post-disturbance coral cover as extracted from the publication or dataset as the closest data point prior to disturbance. If there is an NA value in this column then there was no pre-disturbance data available and a measure of impact was not calculated. | | Impact (lnRR) | Impact measure: the log response ratio of pre- to post-disturbance percentage coral cover. If there is an NA value in this column then there was no pre-disturbance data available and a measure of impact was not calculated. | | Time-averaged recovery rate | Recovery rate as percentage coral cover per year in the approximate 5-year time window following disturbance. See main Methods text in manuscript for more detail. If there is an NA value in this column then the available time-series following disturbance did not satisfy the criteria for inclusion in the calculation of recovery rate. | | Recovery shape | Recovery shape category: linear, accelerating, decelerating, logistic, flatline or null. If there is an NA value in this column then the available time-series following disturbance did not satisfy the criteria for inclusion in classification of recovery shape. | | Recovery completeness | Recovery completeness category: complete recovery – coral is observed to reach its pre-disturbance coral cover, signs of recovery – a positive trajectory but not reaching pre-disturbance cover in the time period examined, undetermined – no clear pattern in recovery, the null model was the top model, no recovery – the null model was the top model but the linear model had slope and standard error in slope near zero and further decline – the top model had a negative trend. If there is an NA value in this column then the available time-series following disturbance did not satisfy the criteria for inclusion in classification of recovery shape. | | Reference | Source for the data. | ## Sharing/Access information Data was derived from the following sources: **Appendix 1. Full list of references providing the data used in impact and recovery analyses supporting Table S1** Arceo, H. O., Quibilan, M. C., Aliño, P. M., Lim, G., & Licuanan, W. Y. (2001). Coral bleaching in Philippine reefs: Coincident evidences with mesoscale thermal anomalies. Bulletin of Marine Science, 69(2), 579-593. Aronson, R. B., Precht, W. F., Toscano, M. A., & Koltes, K. H. (2002). The 1998 bleaching event and its aftermath on a coral reef in Belize. Marine Biology, 141(3), 435-447. Aronson, R. B., Sebens, K. P., & Ebersole, J. P. (1994). Hurricane Hugo's impact on Salt River submarine canyon, St. Croix, US Virgin Islands. Proceedings of the colloquium on global aspects of coral reefs, Miami, 1993, 189-195. Bahr, K. D., Rodgers, K. S., & Jokiel, P. L. (2017). Impact of three bleaching events on the reef resiliency of Kāne'ohe Bay, Hawai'i. Frontiers in Marine Science, 4(DEC). Baird, A. H., Álvarez-Noriega, M., Cumbo, V. R., Connolly, S. R., Dornelas, M., & Madin, J. S. (2018). Effects of tropical storms on the demography of reef corals. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 606, 29-38. Barranco, L. M., Carriquiry, J. D., Rodríguez-Zaragoza, F. A., Cupul-Magaña, A. L., Villaescusa, J. A., & Calderón-Aguilera, L. E. (2016). Spatiotemporal variations of live coral cover in the Northern Mesoamerican reef system, Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico. Scientia Marina, 80(2), 143-150. Bastidas, C., Bone, D., Croquer, A., Debrot, D., Garcia, E., Humanes, A., . . . Rodríguez, S. (2012). Massive hard coral loss after a severe bleaching event in 2010 at Los Roques, Venezuela. Revista de Biologia Tropical, 60(SUPPL. 1), 29-37. Booth, D. J., & Beretta, G. A. (2002). Changes in a fish assemblage after a coral bleaching event. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 245, 205-212. Brandl, S. J., Emslie, M. J., & Ceccarelli, D. M. (2016). Habitat degradation increases functional originality in highly diverse coral reef fish assemblages. Ecosphere, 7(11). Brown, D., & Edmunds, P. J. (2013). Long-term changes in the population dynamics of the Caribbean hydrocoral Millepora spp. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology, 441, 62-70. Brown, V. B., Davies, S. A., & Synnot, R. N. (1990). Long-term Monitoring of the Effects of Treated Sewage Effluent on the Intertidal Macroalgal Community Near Cape Schanck, Victoria, Australia. Botanica Marina, 33(1), 85-98. Bruckner, A. W., Coward, G., Bimson, K., & Rattanawongwan, T. (2017). Predation by feeding aggregations of Drupella spp. inhibits the recovery of reefs damaged by a mass bleaching event. Coral Reefs, 36(4), 1181-1187. Burt, J. 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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 97(10), 5297-5302. Pereira, M. A. M., & Gonçalves, P. M. B. (2004). Effects of the 2000 southern Mozambique floods on a marginal coral community: The case at Xai-Xai. African Journal of Aquatic Science, 29(1), 113-116. Perry, C. T. (2003). Reef development at Inhaca Island, Mozambique: Coral communities and impacts of the 1999/2000 southern African floods. Ambio, 32(2), 134-139. Phongsuwan, N., Chankong, A., Yamarunpatthana, C., Chansang, H., Boonprakob, R., Petchkumnerd, P., . . . Bundit, O. A. (2013). Status and changing patterns on coral reefs in Thailand during the last two decades. Deep-Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 96, 19-24. Reyes-Bonilla, H., Carriquiry, J. D., Leyte-Morales, G. E., & Cupul-Magaña, A. L. (2002). Effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the anti-El Niño event (1997-1999) on coral reefs of the western coast of México. Coral Reefs, 21(4), 368-372. Ridgway, T., Inostroza, K., Synnot, L., Trapon, M., Twomey, L., & Westera, M. (2016). Temporal patterns of coral cover in the offshore Pilbara, Western Australia. Marine Biology, 163(9). Riegl, B. (2002). Effects of the 1996 and 1998 positive sea-surface temperature anomalies on corals, coral diseases and fish in the Arabian Gulf (Dubai, UAE). Marine Biology, 140(1), 29-40. Rioja-Nieto, R., Chiappa-Carrara, X., & Sheppard, C. (2012). Effects of hurricanes on the stability of reef-associated landscapes. Ciencias Marinas, 38(1), 47-55. Rogers, C. S., Gilnack, M., & Fitz Iii, H. C. (1983). Monitoring of coral reefs with linear transects: A study of storm damage. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology, 66(3), 285-300. Rousseau, Y., Galzin, R., & Maréchal, J. P. (2010). Impact of hurricane Dean on coral reef benthic and fish structure of Martinique, French West Indies. Cybium, 34(3), 243-256. Russ, G. R., & Leahy, S. M. (2017). Rapid decline and decadal-scale recovery of corals and Chaetodon butterflyfish on Philippine coral reefs. Marine Biology, 164(1). Ruzicka, R. R., Colella, M. A., Porter, J. W., Morrison, J. M., Kidney, J. A., Brinkhuis, V., . . . Colee, J. (2013). Temporal changes in benthic assemblages on Florida Keys reefs 11 years after the 1997/1998 El Niño. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 489, 125-141. Sheppard, C. R. C. (1999). Coral decline and weather patterns over 20 years in the Chagos Archipelago, central Indian Ocean. Ambio, 28(6), 472-478. Shulman, M. J., & Robertson, D. R. (1996). Changes in the coral reefs of San Bias, Caribbean Panama: 1983 to 1990. Coral Reefs, 15(4), 231-236. Smith, T. B., Brandt, M. E., Calnan, J. M., Nemeth, R. S., Blondeau, J., Kadison, E., . . . Rothenberger, P. (2013). Convergent mortality responses of Caribbean coral species to seawater warming. Ecosphere, 4(7). Steneck, R. S., Arnold, S. N., Boenish, R., de León, R., Mumby, P. J., Rasher, D. B., & Wilson, M. W. (2019). Managing Recovery Resilience in Coral Reefs Against Climate-Induced Bleaching and Hurricanes: A 15 Year Case Study From Bonaire, Dutch Caribbean. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6(265). Stobart, B., Teleki, K., Buckley, R., Downing, N., & Callow, M. (2005). Coral recovery at Aldabra Atoll, Seychelles: Five years after the 1998 bleaching event. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 363(1826), 251-255. Torda, G., Sambrook, K., Cross, P., Sato, Y., Bourne, D. G., Lukoschek, V., . . . Willis, B. L. (2018). Decadal erosion of coral assemblages by multiple disturbances in the Palm Islands, central Great Barrier Reef. Scientific Reports, 8(1). Trapon, M. L., Pratchett, M. S., & Penin, L. (2011). Comparative effects of different disturbances in coral reef habitats in Moorea, French Polynesia. Journal of Marine Biology, 2011. Tsounis, G., & Edmunds, P. J. (2017). Three decades of coral reef community dynamics in St. John, USVI: A contrast of scleractinians and octocorals. Ecosphere, 8(1). Van Woesik, R., De Vantier, L. M., & Glazebrook, J. S. (1995). Effects of Cyclone "Joy' on nearshore coral communities of the Great Barrier Reef. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 128(1-3), 261-270. Van Woesik, R., Sakai, K., Ganase, A., & Loya, Y. (2011). Revisiting the winners and the losers a decade after coral bleaching. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 434, 67-76. Vercelloni, J., Kayal, M., Chancerelle, Y., & Planes, S. (2019). Exposure, vulnerability, and resiliency of French Polynesian coral reefs to environmental disturbances. Scientific Reports, 9(1). Walsh, W. J. (1983). Stability of a coral reef fish community following a catastrophic storm. Coral Reefs, 2(1), 49-63. Wilkinson, C. (2004). Status of coral reefs of the world: 2004 (Vol. 2). Queensland, Australia: Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network. Wilkinson, C. R., & Souter, D. (2008). Status of Caribbean coral reefs after bleaching and hurricanes in 2005. Wismer, S., Tebbett, S. B., Streit, R. P., & Bellwood, D. R. (2019). Spatial mismatch in fish and coral loss following 2016 mass coral bleaching. Science of the Total Environment, 650, 1487-1498. Woolsey, E., Bainbridge, S. J., Kingsford, M. J., & Byrne, M. (2012). Impacts of cyclone Hamish at One Tree Reef: Integrating environmental and benthic habitat data. Marine Biology, 159(4), 793-803. Aim: Understand the interplay between resistance and recovery on coral reefs, and investigate dependence on pre- and post-disturbance states, to inform generalisable reef resilience theory across large spatial and temporal scales. Location: Tropical coral reefs globally. Time period: 1966 to 2017. Major taxa studied: Scleratinian hard corals. Methods: We conducted a literature search to compile a global dataset of total coral cover before and after acute storms, temperature stress, and coastal runoff from flooding events. We used meta-regression to identify variables that explained significant variation in disturbance impact, including disturbance type, year, depth, and pre-disturbance coral cover. We further investigated the influence of these same variables, as well as post-disturbance coral cover and disturbance impact, on recovery rate. We examined the shape of recovery, assigning qualitatively distinct, ecologically relevant, population growth trajectories: linear, logistic, logarithmic (decelerating), and a second-order quadratic (accelerating). Results: We analysed 427 disturbance impacts and 117 recovery trajectories. Accelerating and logistic were the most common recovery shapes, underscoring non-linearities and recovery lags. A complex but meaningful relationship between the state of a reef pre- and post-disturbance, disturbance impact magnitude, and recovery rate was identified. Fastest recovery rates were predicted for intermediate to large disturbance impacts, but a decline in this rate was predicted when more than ~75% of pre-disturbance cover was lost. We identified a shifting baseline, with declines in both pre-and post-disturbance coral cover over the 50 year study period. Main conclusions: We breakdown the complexities of coral resilience, showing interplay between resistance and recovery, as well as dependence on both pre- and post-disturbance states, alongside documenting a chronic decline in these states. This has implications for predicting coral reef futures and implementing actions to enhance resilience. The dataset provides a summary of all studies included in the analysis and the key statistics obtained from the studies and used in the analyses for the manuscript entitled "Coral reef state influences resilience to acute climate-mediated disturbances" as published in Global Ecology and Biogeography. The dataset includes details about the publication, spatial identifiers (e.g. realm, province, ecoregion) unique site code, information on the disturbance type and timing, the pre-and post-disturbance coral cover, the 5-year annual recovery rate, the recovery shape and recovery completeness classifications. Please see details Methods in the journal article "Coral reef state influences resilience to acute climate-mediated disturbances" as published in Global Ecology and Biogeography.

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    Authors: Minx, Jan C.; Lamb, William F.; Andrew, Robbie M.; Canadell, Josep G.; +13 Authors

    Comprehensive and reliable information on anthropogenic sources of greenhouse gas emissions is required to track progress towards keeping warming well below 2°C as agreed upon in the Paris Agreement. Here we provide a dataset on anthropogenic GHG emissions 1970-2019 with a broad country and sector coverage. We build the dataset from recent releases from the “Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research” (EDGAR) for CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and industry (FFI), CH4 emissions, N2O emissions, and fluorinated gases and use a well-established fast-track method to extend this dataset from 2018 to 2019. We complement this with information on net CO2 emissions from land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) from three available bookkeeping models.

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    ZENODO
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      ZENODO
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      ZENODO
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    Authors: Teo, Hoong Chen; Raghavan, Srivatsan; He, Xiaogang; Zeng, Zhenzhong; +9 Authors

    Large-scale reforestation can potentially bring both benefits and risks to the water cycle, which needs to be better quantified under future climates to inform reforestation decisions. We identified 477 water-insecure basins worldwide accounting for 44.6% (380.2 Mha) of the global reforestation potential. As many of these basins are in the Asia-Pacific, we used regional coupled land-climate modelling for the period 2041–2070 to reveal that reforestation increases evapotranspiration and precipitation for most water-insecure regions over the Asia-Pacific. This resulted in a statistically significant increase in water yield (p < 0.05) for the Loess Plateau-North China Plain, Yangtze Plain, Southeast China and Irrawaddy regions. Precipitation feedback was influenced by the degree of initial moisture limitation affecting soil moisture response and thus evapotranspiration, as well as precipitation advection from other reforested regions and moisture transport away from the local region. Reforestation also reduces the probability of extremely dry months in most of the water-insecure regions. However, some regions experience non-significant declines in net water yield due to heightened evapotranspiration outstripping increases in precipitation, or declines in soil moisture and advected precipitation. This dataset contains raw data outputs for Teo et al. (2022), Global Change Biology. Please see the published paper for further details on methods. For enquiries, please contact the corresponding authors: hcteo [at] u.nus.edu or lianpinkoh [at] nus.edu.sg.  Shapefiles can be opened with any GIS program such as ArcMap or QGIS. CSV files can be opened with any spreadsheet program such as Microsoft Excel or OpenOffice.

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    ZENODO
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      ZENODO
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    Authors: von Schuckmann, Karina; Minière, Audrey; Gues, Flora; Cuesta-Valero, Francisco José; +58 Authors

    Project: GCOS Earth Heat Inventory - A study under the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) concerted international effort to update the Earth heat inventory (EHI), and presents an updated international assessment of ocean warming estimates, and new and updated estimates of heat gain in the atmosphere, cryosphere and land over the period from 1960 to present. Summary: The file “GCOS_EHI_1960-2020_Earth_Heat_Inventory_Ocean_Heat_Content_data.nc” contains a consistent long-term Earth system heat inventory over the period 1960-2020. Human-induced atmospheric composition changes cause a radiative imbalance at the top-of-atmosphere which is driving global warming. Understanding the heat gain of the Earth system from this accumulated heat – and particularly how much and where the heat is distributed in the Earth system - is fundamental to understanding how this affects warming oceans, atmosphere and land, rising temperatures and sea level, and loss of grounded and floating ice, which are fundamental concerns for society. This dataset is based on a study under the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) concerted international effort to update the Earth heat inventory published in von Schuckmann et al. (2020), and presents an updated international assessment of ocean warming estimates, and new and updated estimates of heat gain in the atmosphere, cryosphere and land over the period 1960-2020. The dataset also contains estimates for global ocean heat content over 1960-2020 for different depth layers, i.e., 0-300m, 0-700m, 700-2000m, 0-2000m, 2000-bottom, which are described in von Schuckmann et al. (2022). This version includes an update of heat storage of global ocean heat content, where one additional product (Li et al., 2022) had been included to the initial estimate. The Earth heat inventory had been updated accordingly, considering also the update for continental heat content (Cuesta-Valero et al., 2023).

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    World Data Center for Climate
    Dataset . 2023
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      World Data Center for Climate
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    Authors: Castañeda, Irene; Doherty, Tim S.; Fleming, Patricia A.; Stobo-Wilson, Alyson M.; +2 Authors

    Understanding variation in the diet of widely distributed species can help us to predict how they respond to future environmental and anthropogenic changes. We studied the diet of the red fox Vulpes vulpes, one of the world’s most widely distributed carnivores. We compiled dietary data from 217 studies at 276 locations in five continents to assess how fox diet composition varied according to geographic location, climate, anthropogenic impact and sampling method. The diet of foxes showed substantial variation throughout the species’ range, but with a general trend for small mammals and invertebrates to be the most frequently occurring dietary items. The incidence of small and large mammals and birds in fox diets was greater away from the equator. The incidence of invertebrates and fruits increased with mean elevation, while the occurrence of medium-sized mammals and birds decreased. Fox diet differed according to climatic and anthropogenic variables. Diet richness decreased with increasing temperature and precipitation. The incidence of small and large mammals decreased with increasing temperature. The incidence of birds and invertebrates decreased with increasing mean annual precipitation. Higher Human Footprint Index was associated with lower incidence of large mammals and higher incidence of birds and fruit in fox diet. Sampling method influenced fox diet estimation: estimated percentage of small and medium-sized mammals and fruit was lower in studies based on stomach contents, while large mammals were more likely to be recorded in studies of stomach contents than in studies of scats. Our study confirms the flexible and opportunistic dietary behaviour of foxes at the global scale. This behavioural trait allows them to thrive in a range of climatic conditions, and in areas with different degrees of human-induced habitat change. This knowledge can help place the results of local-scale fox diet studies into a broader context and to predict how foxes will respond to future environmental changes. Castañeda et al. 2022 Mammal Review (Variation in red fox Vulpes vulpes diet in five continents)

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    ZENODO
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    Authors: Musleh, Ahmed;

    Cyber-physical attacks are the most significant threat facing the utilisation and development of the various smart grid technologies. Among these attacks, false data injection attacks (FDIAs) represent a major category, with a wide variety of types and effects. There has been extensive reporting on FDIAs recently. Several detection algorithms have been developed over the past few years to address this threat. In Chapter 2, this thesis starts by providing a deep analysis of the literature on these algorithms. The concluding remarks of this chapter present the main criteria that should be considered in developing future detection algorithms for FDIAs in different systems of smart grids. Following that, this dissertation proposes FDIA detection algorithms in the major systems in smart grids that are the most susceptible and vulnerable towards FDIAs. In wide-area monitoring systems, being able to promptly differentiate FDIA from normal grid contingencies is crucial for a grid operator to decide the correct response and reduce FDIA false alarms. In Chapter 3, two FDIA characterisation algorithms are developed to address this issue. The automatic generation control (AGC) is paramount in maintaining the stability and operation of power grids. FDIAs are particularly difficult to detect and represent a major threat to AGC systems. Chapter 4 proposes a novel spatio-temporal learning algorithm that can learn the normal dynamics of the power grid with AGC systems. It then utilises this unsupervised learned model in detecting FDIA affecting the AGC system. The utilisation of distributed generation units in power distribution systems has increased the complexity of system monitoring and operation. Numerous information and communication technologies have been adopted recently to overcome the associated challenges, but they have created wide opportunities for energy theft and other types of cyber-physical attacks. Chapter 5 utilises the developed spatio-temporal learning algorithm in Chapter 4 in detecting the various possibilities of FDIA affecting the distribution systems by evaluating the reconstruction error of each measurement sample. The proposed algorithm is data-driven, which makes it resilient against distribution systems’ uncertainties and nonlinearities. The collected results indicate a superior detection performance of the proposed detection algorithms compared to those in the literature.

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    https://dx.doi.org/10.26190/un...
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    {"references": ["Kim H., Tadesse Y., Priya S., 2009, Energy Harvesting Technologies,\np3-4", "Curz Joao, 2008, Ocean Wave Energy, p1-4", "Zhu D., Beeby S., 2011, Energy Harvesting Systems, p1-3", "OECD, 2006, Energy Technology perspectives 2006: scenarios &\nstrategies to 2050, Organisation of Economic Cooperation &\nDevelopment, page 229-230.", "Khaligh A. and Onar Omer C., 2008, Energy Harvesting Solar, Wind, and\nOcean Energy Conversion System, pp223-230, pp250.", "Briney A., 2012, Waves - Ocean Waves, viewed at 10th April 2012,\n.", "Berteaux H. O., 1976, Buoy Engineering, The University of Michigan,\nUSA.", "Falnes, J 2007, \u00d4\u00c7\u00ffA review of wave-energy extraction-, ScienceDirect, vol.\n20, pp. 185-201", "Alaska Sea Grant, viewed at 16th April 2012,\n.\n[10] Robinson M. C., 2006, Renewable Energy Technologies for Use on the\nOuter Continental Shelf, National Renewable Energy Laboratory USA,\nviewed at 10th April 2012,\n.\n[11] Behrens, S, Heyward, J, Hemer, M, Osman, P 2011, \u00d4\u00c7\u00ffAssessing the wave\nenergy converter potential for Australian coastal regions-, Renewable\nEnergy, vol. 43, pp. 210-217.\n[12] Herbich, J 2000, Handbook of coastal engineering, Mcgraw-Hill\nprofessional.\n[13] Jefferys ER, 1980, Device characterization. In: Count BM (ed) Power\nfrom sea waves. Academic Press, pp 413-438."]} This paper presents an overview of the Ocean wave kinetic energy harvesting system. Energy harvesting is a concept by which energy is captured, stored, and utilized using various sources by employing interfaces, storage devices, and other units. Ocean wave energy harvesting in which the kinetic and potential energy contained in the natural oscillations of Ocean waves are converted into electric power. The kinetic energy harvesting system could be used for a number of areas. The main applications that we have discussed in this paper are to how generate the energy from Ocean wave energy (kinetic energy) to electric energy that is to eliminate the requirement for continual battery replacement.

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  • Authors: Sikha Karki;

    Climate change is a pervasive global issue that threatens the livelihoods and wellbeing of billions living globally. Climate change is a risk multiplier impacting all ecosystems, society, and sectors of the economy. The agriculture sector is one such sector that is highly vulnerable to changes in climate. In a country like Nepal where rainfed agriculture is a dominant occupation and a key pillar of the country’s economy, climate change brings risks and negative consequences for on-farm production, farmers' livelihoods as well as on the country’s development. The impacts of climate change including rising temperatures, an increase in the frequency or intensity of extreme weather events such as drought, and shifts in the rainfall seasonality, can cause a decline in food production and threaten the quality of food supplies, leading to reduced food security. The rise in the global population will increase global demand for food which implies that agriculture needs to boost production and increase yields, among other things. The unprecedented risks posed by climate change potentially undermine the ability of farms and farm holders to grow adequate and quality food. The severity of these risks varies due to a range of underlying factors including low economic development, their location, existing biophysical and socioeconomic conditions, and institutional arrangements. While the impacts of climate change on food production as well as agricultural practices in Nepal have been documented, there is a dearth in scholarly literature that has assessed the impacts of climate change on household food security in Nepal incorporating farmers’ perspectives and in particular smallholder subsistence farmers. Furthermore, there is only modest literature that has examined geographical variations in those experiences and understandings. This PhD study aimed, therefore, to investigate the effects of climate change on agricultural practices and food security, with a focus on subsistence smallholder farmers in three main agro- ecological zones of Nepal known as The Mountains, Hills, and the Terai. The study aimed to respond to the primary research question: How are Nepalese farming communities being impacted by climate change and how are they responding to ensure their continued food security? To answer this main research, question the study posed the following secondary research questions: Q1. How is climate changing and how is it impacting subsistence agriculture? Q2. What are the farmers experiencing and what is their understanding? a. Are there gender differences in understanding and experiencing? Q3. What is the state of food insecurity among these farmers? a. How is it being impacted by climate change? Q4. What adaptation strategies have been adopted by smallholder farmers to address threats to agricultural practices and food security from climate change and other pressures? Both the qualitative and qualitative data were collected using multiple methods to address the identified research questions. Methods included a narrative literature review, systematic review, face to face interviews with farmers, individual interviews with key informants and focus groups with the women's group. Climate data on temperature between 1971-2013 and rainfall between 1967-2013 were analysed. Additionally, secondary data on crop yield from 1980 to 2016 were also analysed to gain a better empirical understanding of the relations between climate change and yield pattern and to triangulate and validate the findings from the interviews. Quantitative data on cereal crop yields and climate data were systematically tabulated and further statistically analysed using software R. This study employed the Bayesian approach to statistical modelling. Besides, this study undertook an integrated risk assessment of food insecurity using the Bayesian Belief Network model to reflect how the risk of food insecurity is influenced under two scenarios: (1) current climate conditions and (2) the influences of different adaptation strategies employed. NVivo was used for content analysis for qualitative data obtained from the key informant interview and focus group data and analysis of transcripts from farmers' structured interviews. The findings showed that agricultural practices have undergone various changes over the past 30 years. Climate change impacts were experienced by farmers in all three agro-ecological zones of Nepal. However, the impacts varied between these zones in terms of frequency and intensity. The effect of climate change was highly pronounced in the Mountains zone followed by the Hills and the Terai. The results confirmed that rural subsistence smallholder farmers dependent on rainfed agriculture are vulnerable to climate change impacts. Moreover, it disproportionately affects the poor farmers whose income hinges solely on agriculture and associated activities. Boosting agricultural production and empowering these smallholders is key to enhancing their food security. The experiences reported by farmers are well aligned with the trend of the climatic variables obtained from climate data analysis, highlighting the importance of perception-based survey in complementing climate research. The study demonstrated both the climatic and non-climatic factors are affecting agricultural practices as well as household food security of these farming communities. It is, therefore, difficult to isolate the influence of any of these factors. This was supported by the findings from the risk assessment undertaken by Bayesian modelling. Based on Bayesian modelling, the smallholder farmers mainly at the Mountain zone were at the risk of food insecurity. The measures to increase the adaptive capacity of these smallholders were found to help them manage the risk of food insecurity. Addressing the complicated and multifaceted concerns of climate change and food security needs multidisciplinary and multisectoral adaptation interventions acknowledging underlying biophysical, social, economic, geographical and environmental circumstances. Farmers have taken some actions to adapt and reduce the worsening impacts of climate change. Nevertheless, farmers encountered several barriers in effectively adapting to climate change. This study concluded there is an urgent need for a transformative level of intervention that warrants a coordinated action and collaboration between relevant stakeholders working in this field, including governments and non-governmental organizations, to target the most vulnerable and the needy smallholder farmers addressing the constraints and pressures they face. Policy and decision-makers should work extensively and sensitively with smallholders to ensure the maintenance of their livelihood and to guarantee their food security. Combining local and scientific knowledge is needed to help direct research and tailor adaptation solutions that meet local conditions and needs.

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    {"references": ["Guile, M. (2006). Clyde School 1910-1975, An Uncommon History. Melbourne: Clyde Old Girls' Association.", "Hay, O. J. (1966). The Chronicles of Clyde. Melbourne: Brown Prior Anderson.", "Holmgren, I. (1934). The Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine 1934, George H Whipple, George R Minot, William P Murphy. Award Cermony Speech, December 10.", "Macpherson, I. (1936). To the Natural Science Section at the Goetheanum, Dornach near Basle, Switzerland. Typewrtten agreement signed by Ileen Macpherson, dated 22nd January 1936, 2 pp.; original held in Dokumentation am Goetheanum Bibliothek Kunstsammlung Archiv, Dornach.", "Magill, E. (1975). In Memoriam Ernesto Genoni 1885-1975. Goetheanum News, 43(11/12), 6-7.", "Northbourne, Lord. (1940). Look to the Land. London: Dent.", "Old Geelong Grammarians. (1994). Directory of Old Geelong Grammarians including Old Girls of Clyde School and the Hermitage. Melbourne: Michael Thornton Publishing.", "Paull, J. (2011a). Attending the first organic agriculture course: Rudolf Steiner's Agriculture Course at Koberwitz, 1924. European Journal of Social Sciences, 21(1), 64-70.", "Paull, J. (2011b). The Betteshanger Summer School: Missing link between biodynamic agriculture and organic farming. Journal of Organic Systems, 6(2), 13-26.", "Paull, J. (2011c). Biodynamic Agriculture: The journey from Koberwitz to the World, 1924-1938. Journal of Organic Systems, 6(1), 27-41.", "Paull, J. (2011d). The secrets of Koberwitz: The diffusion of Rudolf Steiner's Agriculture Course and the founding of Biodynamic Agriculture. Journal of Social Research & Policy, 2(1), 19-29.", "Paull, J. (2013). A history of the organic agriculture movement in Australia. In B. Mascitelli & A. Lobo (Eds.), Organics in the Global Food Chain (pp. 37-60). Ballarat: Connor Court Publishing.", "Paull, J. (2014). Ernesto Genoni: Australia's pioneer of biodynamic agriculture. Journal of Organics, 1(1), 57-81.", "Paull, J. (2016a). Angels of the First Class: The Anthroposophic Art of Ernesto Genoni, Goetheanum, 1924. Hobart: Vital Years Conference 2016 - Cradle of a Healthy Life, Tarremah Steiner School, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia, 5-9 July.", "Paull, J. (2016b). The Anthroposophic Art of Ernesto Genoni, Goetheanum, 1924. Journal of Organics, 3(2), 1-24.", "Pfeiffer, E. (1938). Bio-Dynamic Farming and Gardening: Soil Fertility Renewal and Preservation (F. Heckel, Trans.). New York: Anthroposophic Press.", "Shaw, M. T. (1960). Recollections of Clyde (1916-1922): (Single page, 1922 folder, Clyde School Archives).", "Springvale Botanical Cemetery. (1975). Genoni, Ernesto Fermo - Date of service 14/02/1975, Cremated, The cremated remains have been scattered. Springvale: Springvale Botanical Cemetery.", "Springvale Botanical Cemetery. (1984). Macpherson, Edith Ileen - Date of service 06/06/1984, Cremated, The cremated remains have been scattered. Springvale: Springvale Botanical Cemetery.", "Steiner, R. (1923a). The Apocalypse. (Series VI. For Members of the The Anthroposophical Society Only (struck through). Inscribed in her hand: Ileen Macpherson). London: Anthroposophical Publishing Co.", "Steiner, R. (1923b). The Gospel of St Mark with a Supplement. (Series XXIV and XXX. For Members of the The Anthroposophical Society Only. Inscribed in her hand: Ileen Macpherson, Demeter, Box 49, Dandenong P.O.). London: Anthroposophical Publishing Co.", "Steiner, R. (1924a). Agriculture Course (\"Printed for private circulation only\"; 1929, first English language edition; George Kaufmann Trans ed.). Dornach, Switzerland: Goetheanum.", "Steiner, R. (1924b). To All Members: The Meetings at Koberwitz and Breslau. Anthroposophical Movement, 1, 9-11.", "Steiner, R. (1932). The Gem Book: An Art in Jewellery, Hints and Sketches. (Inscribed in her hand: Ileen Macpherson, 432 Punt Hill, South Yarra, then Demeter Farm, Princes Highway, Dandenong & dated 1934). London: H Collison.", "Steiner, R. (1953). Evolution in the Aspect of Realities. (Series XXXV. For Members of the The Anthroposophical Society only. Inscribed in her hand: Ileen Macpherson, Demeter, Dandenong). London: The Anthroposophical Society.", "Steiner, R. (nd). Christ and the Spiritual World or The Search for the Holy Grail. (Printed for members of the General Anthroposophical Society only. Inscribed in her hand: Ileen Macpherson, Demeter, Dandenong, then Namur Street via Noble Park, Vic ). London: Rudolf Steiner Publishing Co.", "Triaca, M. (1985). Amelia, A Long Journey. Melbourne: Greenhouse Publications.", "Wanliss, M. (1914). Sports. The Cluthan, The Journal of Clyde Girl's Grammar School, 1(2), 8-10.", "Webb-Ware, E., & Currie, M. (1916). General News. The Cluthan, The Journal of Clyde Girl's Grammar School, 1(5), 2-3."]} Edith Ileen Macpherson (1898-1984) was a co-founder of Australia’s original Demeter Farm (c.1934-1954) along with her partner Ernesto Genoni (1885-1974). Ileen was a member of Rudolf Steiner’s Experimental Circle of Anthroposophic Farmers and Gardeners (from 1936). Ernesto was the first Australian member (from 1928). At their Demeter Farm in Dandenong, Victoria, they practiced biodynamic agriculture on over 40 acres (16 ha) through the years of the Great Depression, through World War II, and for the first decade of the post-war years, producing milk, fruit, and vegetables. Ileen was an early Australian Anthroposophist and follower of Rudolf Steiner. It was a blow to their Demeter Farm enterprise when she fell ill. Eventually she was no longer able to manage physical work at all and this fell to Ernesto. Although she is remembered as ‘the woman in the wheelchair’ this paper reveals that she was previously an active, fit and keen sportswoman, participating in basketball, tennis, running, hockey, and dancing. At school she was known as ‘Ikey’, she was a prefect, she was a member of the school sports committee, and she won the prize for “best all-round sport”. Ileen was confined to a wheelchair for the last four decades of her life. The cause has generally been misunderstood and misattributed, and is revealed here to be pernicious anaemia (lack of vitamin B12). This condition is now easily and successfully treatable, but it was then generally fatal. Ileen was a financial supporter of the Anthroposophical movement in Australia during her lifetime. Her benefaction has continued since her death via the Ileen Macpherson Trust which reports having dispensed over $600,000 for Anthroposophic causes in Australia. A portrait of Ileen by Italian/Australian artist Ernesto Genoni and photographs of Ileen are presented. "Ileen Macpherson accepted the impulse to assist in a venture for applying Bio-Dynamic methods and resolved with Ernesto Genoni to attempt a practical activity. A small farm was purchased on Princes Highway near Dandenong, approximately 18 miles from Melbourne, and a serious effort which lasted 18 years was attempted. It was worked as a small dairy farm, and the manure built into the compost in the Bio-Dynamic way. They made their own preparations and sprays and produced very good vegetables which were sold in the wholesale market in the city and also from a truck on the side of the road. Constant hard work and many grievous trials were endured by the pioneers who undertook the first Bio- Dynamic venture in Victoria" (Edith Magill, 1975, p.7).

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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Gao, Guang; Beardall, John; Jin, Peng; Gao, Lin; +2 Authors

    The atmosphere concentration of CO2 is steadily increasing and causing climate change. To achieve the Paris 1.5 or 2 oC target, negative emissions technologies must be deployed in addition to reducing carbon emissions. The ocean is a large carbon sink but the potential of marine primary producers to contribute to carbon neutrality remains unclear. Here we review the alterations to carbon capture and sequestration of marine primary producers (including traditional ‘blue carbon’ plants, microalgae, and macroalgae) in the Anthropocene, and, for the first time, assess and compare the potential of various marine primary producers to carbon neutrality and climate change mitigation via biogeoengineering approaches. The contributions of marine primary producers to carbon sequestration have been decreasing in the Anthropocene due to the decrease in biomass driven by direct anthropogenic activities and climate change. The potential of blue carbon plants (mangroves, saltmarshes, and seagrasses) is limited by the available areas for their revegetation. Microalgae appear to have a large potential due to their ubiquity but how to enhance their carbon sequestration efficiency is very complex and uncertain. On the other hand, macroalgae can play an essential role in mitigating climate change through extensive offshore cultivation due to higher carbon sequestration capacity and substantial available areas. This approach seems both technically and economically feasible due to the development of offshore aquaculture and a well-established market for macroalgal products. Synthesis and applications: This paper provides new insights and suggests promising directions for utilizing marine primary producers to achieve the Paris temperature target. We propose that macroalgae cultivation can play an essential role in attaining carbon neutrality and climate change mitigation, although its ecological impacts need to be assessed further. To calculate the parameters presented in Table 1, the relevant keywords "mangroves, salt marshes, macroalgae, microalgae, global area, net primary productivity, CO2 sequestration" were searched through the ISI Web of Science and Google Scholar in July 2021. Recent data published after 2010 were collected and used since area and productivity of plants change with decade. For data with limited availability, such as net primary productivity (NPP) of seagrasses and global area and NPP of wild macroalgae, data collection was extended back to 1980. Total NPP and CO2 sequestration for mangroves, salt marshes, seagrasses and wild macroalgae were obtained by the multiplication of area and NPP/CO2 sequestration density and subjected to error propagation analysis. Data were expressed as means ± standard error.

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    ZENODO
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: Cresswell, Anna; Renton, Michael; Langlois, Timothy; Thomson, Damian; +2 Authors

    # Coral reef state influences resilience to acute climate-mediated disturbances\_Table S1 [https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.rfj6q57gz](https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.rfj6q57gz) The dataset provides a summary of all publications included in the analysis for this study and the key statistics obtained from the studies and used in the analyses. The dataset includes details about the publication, spatial identifiers (e.g. realm, province, ecoregion) unique site code, information on the disturbance type and timing, the pre-and post-disturbance coral cover, the 5-year annual recovery rate, the recovery shape and recovery completeness classifications. Please see details Methods in the journal article "Coral reef state influences resilience to acute climate-mediated disturbances" as published in Global Ecology and Biogeography. ## Description of the data and file structure Each column provides the following information: | Column | Detail | | ------ | ------ | | Realm | All studies were assigned to an ‘ecoregion’, ‘province’ and ‘realm’ based on their spatial location in Spalding et al. (2007)’s spatial classification system for coastal and shelf waters. | | Province | All studies were assigned to an ‘ecoregion’, ‘province’ and ‘realm’ based on their spatial location in Spalding et al. (2007)’s spatial classification system for coastal and shelf waters. | | Ecoregion | All studies were assigned to an ‘ecoregion’, ‘province’ and ‘realm’ based on their spatial location in Spalding et al. (2007)’s spatial classification system for coastal and shelf waters. | | Unique study identifier | Unique identifiers for the lowest sampling unit in the dataset. In cases where there were data for different regions, reefs, islands/atolls, sites, reef zones, depths, and/or multiple disturbances within a publication or time-series, data from these publications were divided into separate ‘studies’. | | Publication/Dataset | Unique identifiers for the publication or dataset (generally the surname of the first author followed by the year of publication). | | Publication title | Title of the publication or dataset from which the data were sourced. | | Publication year | Year the publication from the which the data were sourced was published. | | Country/Territory | Name of the country or location from which the data came. | | Site latitude | Latitude of the study site from where the data came. | | Site longitude | Longitude of the study site from where the data came. | | Disturbance type | Classification of disturbance: Temperature stress, Cyclone/ severe storm, Runoff or Multiple. | | Disturbance.year | Year of the disturbance. | | Mean coral cover pre-disturbance | Pre-disturbance coral cover as extracted from the publication or dataset as the closest data point prior to disturbance. If there is an NA value in this column then there was no pre-disturbance data available and a measure of impact was not calculated. | | Mean coral cover post-disturbance | Post-disturbance coral cover as extracted from the publication or dataset as the closest data point prior to disturbance. If there is an NA value in this column then there was no pre-disturbance data available and a measure of impact was not calculated. | | Impact (lnRR) | Impact measure: the log response ratio of pre- to post-disturbance percentage coral cover. If there is an NA value in this column then there was no pre-disturbance data available and a measure of impact was not calculated. | | Time-averaged recovery rate | Recovery rate as percentage coral cover per year in the approximate 5-year time window following disturbance. See main Methods text in manuscript for more detail. If there is an NA value in this column then the available time-series following disturbance did not satisfy the criteria for inclusion in the calculation of recovery rate. | | Recovery shape | Recovery shape category: linear, accelerating, decelerating, logistic, flatline or null. If there is an NA value in this column then the available time-series following disturbance did not satisfy the criteria for inclusion in classification of recovery shape. | | Recovery completeness | Recovery completeness category: complete recovery – coral is observed to reach its pre-disturbance coral cover, signs of recovery – a positive trajectory but not reaching pre-disturbance cover in the time period examined, undetermined – no clear pattern in recovery, the null model was the top model, no recovery – the null model was the top model but the linear model had slope and standard error in slope near zero and further decline – the top model had a negative trend. If there is an NA value in this column then the available time-series following disturbance did not satisfy the criteria for inclusion in classification of recovery shape. | | Reference | Source for the data. | ## Sharing/Access information Data was derived from the following sources: **Appendix 1. Full list of references providing the data used in impact and recovery analyses supporting Table S1** Arceo, H. O., Quibilan, M. C., Aliño, P. M., Lim, G., & Licuanan, W. Y. (2001). Coral bleaching in Philippine reefs: Coincident evidences with mesoscale thermal anomalies. Bulletin of Marine Science, 69(2), 579-593. Aronson, R. B., Precht, W. F., Toscano, M. A., & Koltes, K. H. (2002). The 1998 bleaching event and its aftermath on a coral reef in Belize. Marine Biology, 141(3), 435-447. Aronson, R. B., Sebens, K. P., & Ebersole, J. P. (1994). Hurricane Hugo's impact on Salt River submarine canyon, St. Croix, US Virgin Islands. Proceedings of the colloquium on global aspects of coral reefs, Miami, 1993, 189-195. Bahr, K. D., Rodgers, K. S., & Jokiel, P. L. (2017). Impact of three bleaching events on the reef resiliency of Kāne'ohe Bay, Hawai'i. Frontiers in Marine Science, 4(DEC). Baird, A. H., Álvarez-Noriega, M., Cumbo, V. R., Connolly, S. R., Dornelas, M., & Madin, J. S. (2018). Effects of tropical storms on the demography of reef corals. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 606, 29-38. Barranco, L. M., Carriquiry, J. D., Rodríguez-Zaragoza, F. A., Cupul-Magaña, A. L., Villaescusa, J. A., & Calderón-Aguilera, L. E. (2016). Spatiotemporal variations of live coral cover in the Northern Mesoamerican reef system, Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico. Scientia Marina, 80(2), 143-150. Bastidas, C., Bone, D., Croquer, A., Debrot, D., Garcia, E., Humanes, A., . . . Rodríguez, S. (2012). Massive hard coral loss after a severe bleaching event in 2010 at Los Roques, Venezuela. Revista de Biologia Tropical, 60(SUPPL. 1), 29-37. Booth, D. J., & Beretta, G. A. (2002). Changes in a fish assemblage after a coral bleaching event. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 245, 205-212. Brandl, S. J., Emslie, M. J., & Ceccarelli, D. M. (2016). Habitat degradation increases functional originality in highly diverse coral reef fish assemblages. Ecosphere, 7(11). Brown, D., & Edmunds, P. J. (2013). Long-term changes in the population dynamics of the Caribbean hydrocoral Millepora spp. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology, 441, 62-70. Brown, V. B., Davies, S. A., & Synnot, R. N. (1990). Long-term Monitoring of the Effects of Treated Sewage Effluent on the Intertidal Macroalgal Community Near Cape Schanck, Victoria, Australia. Botanica Marina, 33(1), 85-98. Bruckner, A. W., Coward, G., Bimson, K., & Rattanawongwan, T. (2017). Predation by feeding aggregations of Drupella spp. inhibits the recovery of reefs damaged by a mass bleaching event. Coral Reefs, 36(4), 1181-1187. Burt, J. A., Paparella, F., Al-Mansoori, N., Al-Mansoori, A., & Al-Jailani, H. (2019). Causes and consequences of the 2017 coral bleaching event in the southern Persian/Arabian Gulf. Coral Reefs. Bythell, J. (1997). Assessment of the impacts of hurricanes Marilyn and Luis and post-hurricane community dynamics at Buck Island Reef National Monument as part of the long-term coral reef monitoring program in the north-eastern Caribbean. Retrieved from Newcastle, United Kingdom: Coles, S. L., & Brown, E. K. (2007). Twenty-five years of change in coral coverage on a hurricane impacted reef in Hawai'i: The importance of recruitment. Coral Reefs, 26(3), 705-717. Connell, J. H., Hughes, T. P., Wallace, C. C., Tanner, J. E., Harms, K. E., & Kerr, A. M. (2004). A long‐term study of competition and diversity of corals. Ecological Monographs, 74(2), 179-210. Couch, C. S., Burns, J. H. R., Liu, G., Steward, K., Gutlay, T. N., Kenyon, J., . . . Kosaki, R. K. (2017). Mass coral bleaching due to unprecedented marine heatwave in Papahānaumokuākea Marine National Monument (Northwestern Hawaiian Islands). PLoS ONE, 12(9). Crabbe, M. J. C. (2014). Evidence of initial coral community recovery at Discovery Bay on Jamaica’s north coast. Revista de Biologia Tropical, 62, 137-140. Crosbie, A. J., Bridge, T. C., Jones, G., & Baird, A. H. (2019). Response of reef corals and fish at Osprey Reef to a thermal anomaly across a 30 m depth gradient. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 622, 93-102. Darling, E. S., McClanahan, T. R., & Côté, I. M. (2010). Combined effects of two stressors on Kenyan coral reefs are additive or antagonistic, not synergistic. Conservation Letters, 3(2), 122-130. De Bakker, D. M., Meesters, E. H., Bak, R. P. M., Nieuwland, G., & Van Duyl, F. C. (2016). Long-term Shifts in Coral Communities On Shallow to Deep Reef Slopes of Curaçao and Bonaire: Are There Any Winners? Frontiers in Marine Science, 3(247). Depczynski, M., Gilmour, J. P., Ridgway, T., Barnes, H., Heyward, A. J., Holmes, T. H., . . . Wilson, S. K. (2013). Bleaching, coral mortality and subsequent survivorship on a West Australian fringing reef. Coral Reefs, 32(1), 233-238. Diaz-Pulido, G., McCook, L. J., Dove, S., Berkelmans, R., Roff, G., Kline, D. I., . . . Hoegh-Guldberg, O. (2009). Doom and Boom on a Resilient Reef: Climate Change, Algal Overgrowth and Coral Recovery. PLoS ONE, 4(4). Dollar, S. J., & Tribble, G. W. (1993). Recurrent storm disturbance and recovery: a long-term study of coral communities in Hawaii. Coral Reefs, 12(3-4), 223-233. Donner, S. D., Kirata, T., & Vieux, C. (2010). Recovery from the 2004 coral bleaching event in the Gilbert Islands, Kiribati. Atoll Research Bulletin(587), 1-25. Edmunds, P. J. (2013). Decadal-scale changes in the community structure of coral reefs of St. John, US Virgin Islands. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 489, 107-123. Edmunds, P. J. (2018). Implications of high rates of sexual recruitment in driving rapid reef recovery in Mo’orea, French Polynesia. Scientific Reports, 8(1). Edmunds, P. J. (2019). Three decades of degradation lead to diminished impacts of severe hurricanes on Caribbean reefs. Ecology, 100(3). Edward, J. K. P., Mathews, G., Diraviya Raj, K., Laju, R. L., Selva Bharath, M., Arasamuthu, A., . . . Malleshappa, H. (2018). Coral mortality in the Gulf of Mannar, southeastern India, due to bleaching caused by elevated sea temperature in 2016. Current Science, 114(9), 1967-1972. Edwards, A. J., Clark, S., Zahir, H., Rajasuriya, A., Naseer, A., & Rubens, J. (2001). Coral bleaching and mortality on artificial and natural reefs in Maldives in 1998, sea surface temperature anomalies and initial recovery. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 42(1), 7-15. Emslie, M. J., Bray, P., Cheal, A. J., Johns, K. A., Osborne, K., Sinclair-Taylor, T., & Thompson, C. A. (2020). Decades of monitoring have informed the stewardship and ecological understanding of Australia's Great Barrier Reef. Biological Conservation, 252, 108854. Fenner, D. P. (1991). Effects of Hurricane Gilbert on coral reefs, fishes and sponges at Cozumel, Mexico. Bulletin of Marine Science, 48(3), 719-730. Fox, M. D., Carter, A. L., Edwards, C. B., Takeshita, Y., Johnson, M. D., Petrovic, V., . . . Smith, J. E. (2019). Limited coral mortality following acute thermal stress and widespread bleaching on Palmyra Atoll, central Pacific. Coral Reefs. García-Sais, J. R., Williams, S. M., & Amirrezvani, A. (2017). Mortality, recovery, and community shifts of scleractinian corals in Puerto Rico one decade after the 2005 regional bleaching event. PeerJ, 2017(7). Garpe, K. C., Yahya, S. A. S., Lindahl, U., & Öhman, M. C. (2006). Long-term effects of the 1998 coral bleaching event on reef fish assemblages. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 315, 237-247. Gilmour, J. P., Cook, K. L., Ryan, N. M., Puotinen, M. L., Green, R. H., Shedrawi, G., . . . Oades, D. (2019). The state of Western Australia’s coral reefs. Coral Reefs. Gilmour, J. P., Smith, L. D., Heyward, A. J., Baird, A. H., & Pratchett, M. S. (2013). Recovery of an isolated coral reef system following severe disturbance. Science, 340(6128), 69-71. Glynn, P. W. (1984). Widespread coral mortality and the 1982-1983 El Niño warming event. Environmental Conservation, 11(2), 133-146. Glynn, P. W., Enochs, I. C., Afflerbach, J. A., Brandtneris, V. W., & Serafy, J. E. (2014). Eastern Pacific reef fish responses to coral recovery following El Niño disturbances. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 495, 233-247. Gouezo, M., Golbuu, Y., Van Woesik, R., Rehm, L., Koshiba, S., & Doropoulos, C. (2015). Impact of two sequential super typhoons on coral reef communities in Palau. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 540, 73-85. Guest, J. R., Tun, K., Low, J., Vergés, A., Marzinelli, E. M., Campbell, A. H., . . . Steinberg, P. D. (2016). 27 years of benthic and coral community dynamics on turbid, highly urbanised reefs off Singapore. Scientific Reports, 6. Guillemot, N., Chabanet, P., & Le Pape, O. (2010). Cyclone effects on coral reef habitats in New Caledonia (South Pacific). Coral Reefs, 29(2), 445-453. Guzmán, H. M., & Cortés, J. (2001). Changes in reef community structure after fifteen years of natural disturbances in the Eastern Pacific (Costa Rica). Bulletin of Marine Science, 69(1), 133-149. Guzman, H. M., Cortes, J., Richmond, R. H., & Glynn, P. W. (1987). Effects of "El Nino - Southern oscillation' 1982/83 in the coral reefs at Isla del Cano, Costa Rica. Revista de Biologia Tropical, 35(2), 325-332. Haapkylä, J., Melbourne-Thomas, J., Flavell, M., & Willis, B. L. (2013). Disease outbreaks, bleaching and a cyclone drive changes in coral assemblages on an inshore reef of the Great Barrier Reef. Coral Reefs, 32(3), 815-824. Hagan, A., & Spencer, T. (2008). Reef resilience and change 1998–2007, Alphonse Atoll, Seychelles. Paper presented at the Proc 11th Int Coral Reef Symp. Harii, S., Hongo, C., Ishihara, M., Ide, Y., & Kayanne, H. (2014). Impacts of multiple disturbances on coral communities at Ishigaki Island, Okinawa, Japan, during a 15 year survey. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 509, 171-180. Harrison, H. B., Álvarez-Noriega, M., Baird, A. H., Heron, S. F., MacDonald, C., & Hughes, T. P. (2018). Back-to-back coral bleaching events on isolated atolls in the Coral Sea. Coral Reefs. Holbrook, S. J., Adam, T. C., Edmunds, P. J., Schmitt, R. J., Carpenter, R. C., Brooks, A. J., . . . Briggs, C. J. (2018). Recruitment Drives Spatial Variation in Recovery Rates of Resilient Coral Reefs. Scientific Reports, 8(1). Hongo, C., & Yamano, H. (2013). Species-Specific Responses of Corals to Bleaching Events on Anthropogenically Turbid Reefs on Okinawa Island, Japan, over a 15-year Period (1995-2009). PLoS ONE, 8(4). Huang, H., Yang, Y., Li, X., Yang, J., Lian, J., Lei, X., . . . Zhang, J. (2014). Benthic community changes following the 2010 Hainan flood: Implications for reef resilience. Marine Biology Research, 10(6), 601-611. Hughes, T. P. (1994). Catastrophes, phase shifts, and large-scale degradation of a Caribbean coral reef. Science, 265(5178), 1547-1551. Jokiel, P. L., Hunter, C. L., Taguchi, S., & Watarai, L. (1993). Ecological impact of a fresh-water "reef kill" in Kaneohe Bay, Oahu, Hawaii. Coral Reefs, 12(3-4), 177-184. Jones, A. M., & Berkelmans, R. (2014). Flood impacts in Keppel Bay, Southern Great Barrier Reef in the aftermath of cyclonic rainfall. PLoS ONE, 9(1). Jonker, M., Johns, K., & Osborne, K. (2008). Surveys of benthic reef communities using underwater digital photography and counts of juveniles. Long-term monitoring of the Great Barrier Reef Standard Operation Procedure Number 10. Retrieved from Townsville: Kuo, C. Y., Yuen, Y. S., Meng, P. J., Ho, P. H., Wang, J. T., Liu, P. J., . . . Chen, C. A. (2012). Recurrent Disturbances and the Degradation of Hard Coral Communities in Taiwan. PLoS ONE, 7(8). Lam, V. Y. Y., Chaloupka, M., Thompson, A., Doropoulos, C., & Mumby, P. J. (2018). Acute drivers influence recent inshore Great Barrier Reef dynamics. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 285(1890). Lambo, A. L., & Ormond, R. F. G. (2006). Continued post-bleaching decline and changed benthic community of a Kenyan coral reef. Marine Pollution Bulletin, 52(12), 1617-1624. Lamy, T., Galzin, R., Kulbicki, M., Lison de Loma, T., & Claudet, J. (2016). Three decades of recurrent declines and recoveries in corals belie ongoing change in fish assemblages. Coral Reefs, 35(1), 293-302. Lamy, T., Legendre, P., Chancerelle, Y., Siu, G., & Claudet, J. (2015). Understanding the spatio-temporal response of coral reef fish communities to natural disturbances: Insights from beta-diversity decomposition. PLoS ONE, 10(9). Liddell, W. D., & Ohlhorst, S. L. (1992). Ten years of disturbance and change on a Jamaican fringing reef. Paper presented at the 7th Int. Coral Reef Symp. Lirman, D., Glynn, P. W., Baker, A. C., & Morales, G. E. L. (2001). Combined effects of three sequential storms on the huatulco coral reef tract, mexico. Bulletin of Marine Science, 69(1), 267-278. Lovell, E., & Sykes, H. Rapid recovery from bleaching events-Fiji Coral Reef Monitoring Network Assessment of hard coral cover from. Loya, Y., Sakai, K., Yamazato, K., Nakano, Y., Sambali, H., & Van Woesik, R. (2001). Coral bleaching: The winners and the losers. Ecology Letters, 4(2), 122-131. Lozano-Montes, H. M., Keesing, J. K., Grol, M. G., Haywood, M. D. E., Vanderklift, M. A., Babcock, R. C., & Bancroft, K. (2017). Limited effects of an extreme flood event on corals at Ningaloo Reef. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 191, 234-238. Madin, J. S., Baird, A. H., Bridge, T. C. L., Connolly, S. R., Zawada, K. J. A., & Dornelas, M. (2018). Cumulative effects of cyclones and bleaching on coral cover and species richness at Lizard Island. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 604, 263-268. Magdaong, E. T., Fujii, M., Yamano, H., Licuanan, W. Y., Maypa, A., Campos, W. L., . . . Martinez, R. (2014). Long-term change in coral cover and the effectiveness of marine protected areas in the Philippines: A meta-analysis. Hydrobiologia, 733(1), 5-17. McField, M. (2000). Influence of disturbance on coral reef community structure in Belize. Paper presented at the Proc 9th Int Coral Reef Symp. Monaco, M. E., Friedlander, A. M., Caldow, C., Hile, S. D., Menza, C., & Boulon, R. H. (2009). Long-term monitoring of habitats and reef fish found inside and outside the U.S. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument: A comparative assessment. Caribbean Journal of Science, 45(2-3), 338-347. Montefalcone, M., Morri, C., & Bianchi, C. N. (2018). Long-term change in bioconstruction potential of Maldivian coral reefs following extreme climate anomalies. Global Change Biology, 24(12), 5629-5641. Morgan, K. M., Perry, C. T., Johnson, J. A., & Smithers, S. G. (2017). Nearshore turbid-zone corals exhibit high bleaching tolerance on the Great Barrier Reef following the 2016 ocean warming event. Frontiers in Marine Science, 4. Obura, D., Gudka, M., Rabi, F. A., Gian, S. B., Bijoux, J., Freed, S., . . . Sola, E. (2017). Coral Reef Status Report for the Western Indian Ocean (2017). Paper presented at the Nairobi Convention. Obura, D., & Mangubhai, S. (2011). Coral mortality associated with thermal fluctuations in the Phoenix Islands, 2002-2005. Coral Reefs, 30(3), 607-619. Ostrander, G. K., Armstrong, K. M., Knobbe, E. T., Gerace, D., & Scully, E. P. (2000). Rapid transition the structure of a coral reef community: The effects of coral bleaching and physical disturbance. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 97(10), 5297-5302. Pereira, M. A. M., & Gonçalves, P. M. B. (2004). Effects of the 2000 southern Mozambique floods on a marginal coral community: The case at Xai-Xai. African Journal of Aquatic Science, 29(1), 113-116. Perry, C. T. (2003). Reef development at Inhaca Island, Mozambique: Coral communities and impacts of the 1999/2000 southern African floods. Ambio, 32(2), 134-139. Phongsuwan, N., Chankong, A., Yamarunpatthana, C., Chansang, H., Boonprakob, R., Petchkumnerd, P., . . . Bundit, O. A. (2013). Status and changing patterns on coral reefs in Thailand during the last two decades. Deep-Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography, 96, 19-24. Reyes-Bonilla, H., Carriquiry, J. D., Leyte-Morales, G. E., & Cupul-Magaña, A. L. (2002). Effects of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the anti-El Niño event (1997-1999) on coral reefs of the western coast of México. Coral Reefs, 21(4), 368-372. Ridgway, T., Inostroza, K., Synnot, L., Trapon, M., Twomey, L., & Westera, M. (2016). Temporal patterns of coral cover in the offshore Pilbara, Western Australia. Marine Biology, 163(9). Riegl, B. (2002). Effects of the 1996 and 1998 positive sea-surface temperature anomalies on corals, coral diseases and fish in the Arabian Gulf (Dubai, UAE). Marine Biology, 140(1), 29-40. Rioja-Nieto, R., Chiappa-Carrara, X., & Sheppard, C. (2012). Effects of hurricanes on the stability of reef-associated landscapes. Ciencias Marinas, 38(1), 47-55. Rogers, C. S., Gilnack, M., & Fitz Iii, H. C. (1983). Monitoring of coral reefs with linear transects: A study of storm damage. Journal of Experimental Marine Biology and Ecology, 66(3), 285-300. Rousseau, Y., Galzin, R., & Maréchal, J. P. (2010). Impact of hurricane Dean on coral reef benthic and fish structure of Martinique, French West Indies. Cybium, 34(3), 243-256. Russ, G. R., & Leahy, S. M. (2017). Rapid decline and decadal-scale recovery of corals and Chaetodon butterflyfish on Philippine coral reefs. Marine Biology, 164(1). Ruzicka, R. R., Colella, M. A., Porter, J. W., Morrison, J. M., Kidney, J. A., Brinkhuis, V., . . . Colee, J. (2013). Temporal changes in benthic assemblages on Florida Keys reefs 11 years after the 1997/1998 El Niño. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 489, 125-141. Sheppard, C. R. C. (1999). Coral decline and weather patterns over 20 years in the Chagos Archipelago, central Indian Ocean. Ambio, 28(6), 472-478. Shulman, M. J., & Robertson, D. R. (1996). Changes in the coral reefs of San Bias, Caribbean Panama: 1983 to 1990. Coral Reefs, 15(4), 231-236. Smith, T. B., Brandt, M. E., Calnan, J. M., Nemeth, R. S., Blondeau, J., Kadison, E., . . . Rothenberger, P. (2013). Convergent mortality responses of Caribbean coral species to seawater warming. Ecosphere, 4(7). Steneck, R. S., Arnold, S. N., Boenish, R., de León, R., Mumby, P. J., Rasher, D. B., & Wilson, M. W. (2019). Managing Recovery Resilience in Coral Reefs Against Climate-Induced Bleaching and Hurricanes: A 15 Year Case Study From Bonaire, Dutch Caribbean. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6(265). Stobart, B., Teleki, K., Buckley, R., Downing, N., & Callow, M. (2005). Coral recovery at Aldabra Atoll, Seychelles: Five years after the 1998 bleaching event. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 363(1826), 251-255. Torda, G., Sambrook, K., Cross, P., Sato, Y., Bourne, D. G., Lukoschek, V., . . . Willis, B. L. (2018). Decadal erosion of coral assemblages by multiple disturbances in the Palm Islands, central Great Barrier Reef. Scientific Reports, 8(1). Trapon, M. L., Pratchett, M. S., & Penin, L. (2011). Comparative effects of different disturbances in coral reef habitats in Moorea, French Polynesia. Journal of Marine Biology, 2011. Tsounis, G., & Edmunds, P. J. (2017). Three decades of coral reef community dynamics in St. John, USVI: A contrast of scleractinians and octocorals. Ecosphere, 8(1). Van Woesik, R., De Vantier, L. M., & Glazebrook, J. S. (1995). Effects of Cyclone "Joy' on nearshore coral communities of the Great Barrier Reef. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 128(1-3), 261-270. Van Woesik, R., Sakai, K., Ganase, A., & Loya, Y. (2011). Revisiting the winners and the losers a decade after coral bleaching. Marine Ecology Progress Series, 434, 67-76. Vercelloni, J., Kayal, M., Chancerelle, Y., & Planes, S. (2019). Exposure, vulnerability, and resiliency of French Polynesian coral reefs to environmental disturbances. Scientific Reports, 9(1). Walsh, W. J. (1983). Stability of a coral reef fish community following a catastrophic storm. Coral Reefs, 2(1), 49-63. Wilkinson, C. (2004). Status of coral reefs of the world: 2004 (Vol. 2). Queensland, Australia: Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network. Wilkinson, C. R., & Souter, D. (2008). Status of Caribbean coral reefs after bleaching and hurricanes in 2005. Wismer, S., Tebbett, S. B., Streit, R. P., & Bellwood, D. R. (2019). Spatial mismatch in fish and coral loss following 2016 mass coral bleaching. Science of the Total Environment, 650, 1487-1498. Woolsey, E., Bainbridge, S. J., Kingsford, M. J., & Byrne, M. (2012). Impacts of cyclone Hamish at One Tree Reef: Integrating environmental and benthic habitat data. Marine Biology, 159(4), 793-803. Aim: Understand the interplay between resistance and recovery on coral reefs, and investigate dependence on pre- and post-disturbance states, to inform generalisable reef resilience theory across large spatial and temporal scales. Location: Tropical coral reefs globally. Time period: 1966 to 2017. Major taxa studied: Scleratinian hard corals. Methods: We conducted a literature search to compile a global dataset of total coral cover before and after acute storms, temperature stress, and coastal runoff from flooding events. We used meta-regression to identify variables that explained significant variation in disturbance impact, including disturbance type, year, depth, and pre-disturbance coral cover. We further investigated the influence of these same variables, as well as post-disturbance coral cover and disturbance impact, on recovery rate. We examined the shape of recovery, assigning qualitatively distinct, ecologically relevant, population growth trajectories: linear, logistic, logarithmic (decelerating), and a second-order quadratic (accelerating). Results: We analysed 427 disturbance impacts and 117 recovery trajectories. Accelerating and logistic were the most common recovery shapes, underscoring non-linearities and recovery lags. A complex but meaningful relationship between the state of a reef pre- and post-disturbance, disturbance impact magnitude, and recovery rate was identified. Fastest recovery rates were predicted for intermediate to large disturbance impacts, but a decline in this rate was predicted when more than ~75% of pre-disturbance cover was lost. We identified a shifting baseline, with declines in both pre-and post-disturbance coral cover over the 50 year study period. Main conclusions: We breakdown the complexities of coral resilience, showing interplay between resistance and recovery, as well as dependence on both pre- and post-disturbance states, alongside documenting a chronic decline in these states. This has implications for predicting coral reef futures and implementing actions to enhance resilience. The dataset provides a summary of all studies included in the analysis and the key statistics obtained from the studies and used in the analyses for the manuscript entitled "Coral reef state influences resilience to acute climate-mediated disturbances" as published in Global Ecology and Biogeography. The dataset includes details about the publication, spatial identifiers (e.g. realm, province, ecoregion) unique site code, information on the disturbance type and timing, the pre-and post-disturbance coral cover, the 5-year annual recovery rate, the recovery shape and recovery completeness classifications. Please see details Methods in the journal article "Coral reef state influences resilience to acute climate-mediated disturbances" as published in Global Ecology and Biogeography.

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    Authors: Minx, Jan C.; Lamb, William F.; Andrew, Robbie M.; Canadell, Josep G.; +13 Authors

    Comprehensive and reliable information on anthropogenic sources of greenhouse gas emissions is required to track progress towards keeping warming well below 2°C as agreed upon in the Paris Agreement. Here we provide a dataset on anthropogenic GHG emissions 1970-2019 with a broad country and sector coverage. We build the dataset from recent releases from the “Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research” (EDGAR) for CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and industry (FFI), CH4 emissions, N2O emissions, and fluorinated gases and use a well-established fast-track method to extend this dataset from 2018 to 2019. We complement this with information on net CO2 emissions from land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) from three available bookkeeping models.

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    Authors: Teo, Hoong Chen; Raghavan, Srivatsan; He, Xiaogang; Zeng, Zhenzhong; +9 Authors

    Large-scale reforestation can potentially bring both benefits and risks to the water cycle, which needs to be better quantified under future climates to inform reforestation decisions. We identified 477 water-insecure basins worldwide accounting for 44.6% (380.2 Mha) of the global reforestation potential. As many of these basins are in the Asia-Pacific, we used regional coupled land-climate modelling for the period 2041–2070 to reveal that reforestation increases evapotranspiration and precipitation for most water-insecure regions over the Asia-Pacific. This resulted in a statistically significant increase in water yield (p < 0.05) for the Loess Plateau-North China Plain, Yangtze Plain, Southeast China and Irrawaddy regions. Precipitation feedback was influenced by the degree of initial moisture limitation affecting soil moisture response and thus evapotranspiration, as well as precipitation advection from other reforested regions and moisture transport away from the local region. Reforestation also reduces the probability of extremely dry months in most of the water-insecure regions. However, some regions experience non-significant declines in net water yield due to heightened evapotranspiration outstripping increases in precipitation, or declines in soil moisture and advected precipitation. This dataset contains raw data outputs for Teo et al. (2022), Global Change Biology. Please see the published paper for further details on methods. For enquiries, please contact the corresponding authors: hcteo [at] u.nus.edu or lianpinkoh [at] nus.edu.sg.  Shapefiles can be opened with any GIS program such as ArcMap or QGIS. CSV files can be opened with any spreadsheet program such as Microsoft Excel or OpenOffice.

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    Authors: von Schuckmann, Karina; Minière, Audrey; Gues, Flora; Cuesta-Valero, Francisco José; +58 Authors

    Project: GCOS Earth Heat Inventory - A study under the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) concerted international effort to update the Earth heat inventory (EHI), and presents an updated international assessment of ocean warming estimates, and new and updated estimates of heat gain in the atmosphere, cryosphere and land over the period from 1960 to present. Summary: The file “GCOS_EHI_1960-2020_Earth_Heat_Inventory_Ocean_Heat_Content_data.nc” contains a consistent long-term Earth system heat inventory over the period 1960-2020. Human-induced atmospheric composition changes cause a radiative imbalance at the top-of-atmosphere which is driving global warming. Understanding the heat gain of the Earth system from this accumulated heat – and particularly how much and where the heat is distributed in the Earth system - is fundamental to understanding how this affects warming oceans, atmosphere and land, rising temperatures and sea level, and loss of grounded and floating ice, which are fundamental concerns for society. This dataset is based on a study under the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) concerted international effort to update the Earth heat inventory published in von Schuckmann et al. (2020), and presents an updated international assessment of ocean warming estimates, and new and updated estimates of heat gain in the atmosphere, cryosphere and land over the period 1960-2020. The dataset also contains estimates for global ocean heat content over 1960-2020 for different depth layers, i.e., 0-300m, 0-700m, 700-2000m, 0-2000m, 2000-bottom, which are described in von Schuckmann et al. (2022). This version includes an update of heat storage of global ocean heat content, where one additional product (Li et al., 2022) had been included to the initial estimate. The Earth heat inventory had been updated accordingly, considering also the update for continental heat content (Cuesta-Valero et al., 2023).

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    World Data Center for Climate
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    Authors: Castañeda, Irene; Doherty, Tim S.; Fleming, Patricia A.; Stobo-Wilson, Alyson M.; +2 Authors

    Understanding variation in the diet of widely distributed species can help us to predict how they respond to future environmental and anthropogenic changes. We studied the diet of the red fox Vulpes vulpes, one of the world’s most widely distributed carnivores. We compiled dietary data from 217 studies at 276 locations in five continents to assess how fox diet composition varied according to geographic location, climate, anthropogenic impact and sampling method. The diet of foxes showed substantial variation throughout the species’ range, but with a general trend for small mammals and invertebrates to be the most frequently occurring dietary items. The incidence of small and large mammals and birds in fox diets was greater away from the equator. The incidence of invertebrates and fruits increased with mean elevation, while the occurrence of medium-sized mammals and birds decreased. Fox diet differed according to climatic and anthropogenic variables. Diet richness decreased with increasing temperature and precipitation. The incidence of small and large mammals decreased with increasing temperature. The incidence of birds and invertebrates decreased with increasing mean annual precipitation. Higher Human Footprint Index was associated with lower incidence of large mammals and higher incidence of birds and fruit in fox diet. Sampling method influenced fox diet estimation: estimated percentage of small and medium-sized mammals and fruit was lower in studies based on stomach contents, while large mammals were more likely to be recorded in studies of stomach contents than in studies of scats. Our study confirms the flexible and opportunistic dietary behaviour of foxes at the global scale. This behavioural trait allows them to thrive in a range of climatic conditions, and in areas with different degrees of human-induced habitat change. This knowledge can help place the results of local-scale fox diet studies into a broader context and to predict how foxes will respond to future environmental changes. Castañeda et al. 2022 Mammal Review (Variation in red fox Vulpes vulpes diet in five continents)

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    Authors: Musleh, Ahmed;

    Cyber-physical attacks are the most significant threat facing the utilisation and development of the various smart grid technologies. Among these attacks, false data injection attacks (FDIAs) represent a major category, with a wide variety of types and effects. There has been extensive reporting on FDIAs recently. Several detection algorithms have been developed over the past few years to address this threat. In Chapter 2, this thesis starts by providing a deep analysis of the literature on these algorithms. The concluding remarks of this chapter present the main criteria that should be considered in developing future detection algorithms for FDIAs in different systems of smart grids. Following that, this dissertation proposes FDIA detection algorithms in the major systems in smart grids that are the most susceptible and vulnerable towards FDIAs. In wide-area monitoring systems, being able to promptly differentiate FDIA from normal grid contingencies is crucial for a grid operator to decide the correct response and reduce FDIA false alarms. In Chapter 3, two FDIA characterisation algorithms are developed to address this issue. The automatic generation control (AGC) is paramount in maintaining the stability and operation of power grids. FDIAs are particularly difficult to detect and represent a major threat to AGC systems. Chapter 4 proposes a novel spatio-temporal learning algorithm that can learn the normal dynamics of the power grid with AGC systems. It then utilises this unsupervised learned model in detecting FDIA affecting the AGC system. The utilisation of distributed generation units in power distribution systems has increased the complexity of system monitoring and operation. Numerous information and communication technologies have been adopted recently to overcome the associated challenges, but they have created wide opportunities for energy theft and other types of cyber-physical attacks. Chapter 5 utilises the developed spatio-temporal learning algorithm in Chapter 4 in detecting the various possibilities of FDIA affecting the distribution systems by evaluating the reconstruction error of each measurement sample. The proposed algorithm is data-driven, which makes it resilient against distribution systems’ uncertainties and nonlinearities. The collected results indicate a superior detection performance of the proposed detection algorithms compared to those in the literature.

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    UNSWorks
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    https://dx.doi.org/10.26190/un...
    Doctoral thesis . 2022
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      https://dx.doi.org/10.26190/un...
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    {"references": ["Kim H., Tadesse Y., Priya S., 2009, Energy Harvesting Technologies,\np3-4", "Curz Joao, 2008, Ocean Wave Energy, p1-4", "Zhu D., Beeby S., 2011, Energy Harvesting Systems, p1-3", "OECD, 2006, Energy Technology perspectives 2006: scenarios &\nstrategies to 2050, Organisation of Economic Cooperation &\nDevelopment, page 229-230.", "Khaligh A. and Onar Omer C., 2008, Energy Harvesting Solar, Wind, and\nOcean Energy Conversion System, pp223-230, pp250.", "Briney A., 2012, Waves - Ocean Waves, viewed at 10th April 2012,\n.", "Berteaux H. O., 1976, Buoy Engineering, The University of Michigan,\nUSA.", "Falnes, J 2007, \u00d4\u00c7\u00ffA review of wave-energy extraction-, ScienceDirect, vol.\n20, pp. 185-201", "Alaska Sea Grant, viewed at 16th April 2012,\n.\n[10] Robinson M. C., 2006, Renewable Energy Technologies for Use on the\nOuter Continental Shelf, National Renewable Energy Laboratory USA,\nviewed at 10th April 2012,\n.\n[11] Behrens, S, Heyward, J, Hemer, M, Osman, P 2011, \u00d4\u00c7\u00ffAssessing the wave\nenergy converter potential for Australian coastal regions-, Renewable\nEnergy, vol. 43, pp. 210-217.\n[12] Herbich, J 2000, Handbook of coastal engineering, Mcgraw-Hill\nprofessional.\n[13] Jefferys ER, 1980, Device characterization. In: Count BM (ed) Power\nfrom sea waves. Academic Press, pp 413-438."]} This paper presents an overview of the Ocean wave kinetic energy harvesting system. Energy harvesting is a concept by which energy is captured, stored, and utilized using various sources by employing interfaces, storage devices, and other units. Ocean wave energy harvesting in which the kinetic and potential energy contained in the natural oscillations of Ocean waves are converted into electric power. The kinetic energy harvesting system could be used for a number of areas. The main applications that we have discussed in this paper are to how generate the energy from Ocean wave energy (kinetic energy) to electric energy that is to eliminate the requirement for continual battery replacement.

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    ZENODO
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  • Authors: Sikha Karki;

    Climate change is a pervasive global issue that threatens the livelihoods and wellbeing of billions living globally. Climate change is a risk multiplier impacting all ecosystems, society, and sectors of the economy. The agriculture sector is one such sector that is highly vulnerable to changes in climate. In a country like Nepal where rainfed agriculture is a dominant occupation and a key pillar of the country’s economy, climate change brings risks and negative consequences for on-farm production, farmers' livelihoods as well as on the country’s development. The impacts of climate change including rising temperatures, an increase in the frequency or intensity of extreme weather events such as drought, and shifts in the rainfall seasonality, can cause a decline in food production and threaten the quality of food supplies, leading to reduced food security. The rise in the global population will increase global demand for food which implies that agriculture needs to boost production and increase yields, among other things. The unprecedented risks posed by climate change potentially undermine the ability of farms and farm holders to grow adequate and quality food. The severity of these risks varies due to a range of underlying factors including low economic development, their location, existing biophysical and socioeconomic conditions, and institutional arrangements. While the impacts of climate change on food production as well as agricultural practices in Nepal have been documented, there is a dearth in scholarly literature that has assessed the impacts of climate change on household food security in Nepal incorporating farmers’ perspectives and in particular smallholder subsistence farmers. Furthermore, there is only modest literature that has examined geographical variations in those experiences and understandings. This PhD study aimed, therefore, to investigate the effects of climate change on agricultural practices and food security, with a focus on subsistence smallholder farmers in three main agro- ecological zones of Nepal known as The Mountains, Hills, and the Terai. The study aimed to respond to the primary research question: How are Nepalese farming communities being impacted by climate change and how are they responding to ensure their continued food security? To answer this main research, question the study posed the following secondary research questions: Q1. How is climate changing and how is it impacting subsistence agriculture? Q2. What are the farmers experiencing and what is their understanding? a. Are there gender differences in understanding and experiencing? Q3. What is the state of food insecurity among these farmers? a. How is it being impacted by climate change? Q4. What adaptation strategies have been adopted by smallholder farmers to address threats to agricultural practices and food security from climate change and other pressures? Both the qualitative and qualitative data were collected using multiple methods to address the identified research questions. Methods included a narrative literature review, systematic review, face to face interviews with farmers, individual interviews with key informants and focus groups with the women's group. Climate data on temperature between 1971-2013 and rainfall between 1967-2013 were analysed. Additionally, secondary data on crop yield from 1980 to 2016 were also analysed to gain a better empirical understanding of the relations between climate change and yield pattern and to triangulate and validate the findings from the interviews. Quantitative data on cereal crop yields and climate data were systematically tabulated and further statistically analysed using software R. This study employed the Bayesian approach to statistical modelling. Besides, this study undertook an integrated risk assessment of food insecurity using the Bayesian Belief Network model to reflect how the risk of food insecurity is influenced under two scenarios: (1) current climate conditions and (2) the influences of different adaptation strategies employed. NVivo was used for content analysis for qualitative data obtained from the key informant interview and focus group data and analysis of transcripts from farmers' structured interviews. The findings showed that agricultural practices have undergone various changes over the past 30 years. Climate change impacts were experienced by farmers in all three agro-ecological zones of Nepal. However, the impacts varied between these zones in terms of frequency and intensity. The effect of climate change was highly pronounced in the Mountains zone followed by the Hills and the Terai. The results confirmed that rural subsistence smallholder farmers dependent on rainfed agriculture are vulnerable to climate change impacts. Moreover, it disproportionately affects the poor farmers whose income hinges solely on agriculture and associated activities. Boosting agricultural production and empowering these smallholders is key to enhancing their food security. The experiences reported by farmers are well aligned with the trend of the climatic variables obtained from climate data analysis, highlighting the importance of perception-based survey in complementing climate research. The study demonstrated both the climatic and non-climatic factors are affecting agricultural practices as well as household food security of these farming communities. It is, therefore, difficult to isolate the influence of any of these factors. This was supported by the findings from the risk assessment undertaken by Bayesian modelling. Based on Bayesian modelling, the smallholder farmers mainly at the Mountain zone were at the risk of food insecurity. The measures to increase the adaptive capacity of these smallholders were found to help them manage the risk of food insecurity. Addressing the complicated and multifaceted concerns of climate change and food security needs multidisciplinary and multisectoral adaptation interventions acknowledging underlying biophysical, social, economic, geographical and environmental circumstances. Farmers have taken some actions to adapt and reduce the worsening impacts of climate change. Nevertheless, farmers encountered several barriers in effectively adapting to climate change. This study concluded there is an urgent need for a transformative level of intervention that warrants a coordinated action and collaboration between relevant stakeholders working in this field, including governments and non-governmental organizations, to target the most vulnerable and the needy smallholder farmers addressing the constraints and pressures they face. Policy and decision-makers should work extensively and sensitively with smallholders to ensure the maintenance of their livelihood and to guarantee their food security. Combining local and scientific knowledge is needed to help direct research and tailor adaptation solutions that meet local conditions and needs.

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    {"references": ["Guile, M. (2006). Clyde School 1910-1975, An Uncommon History. Melbourne: Clyde Old Girls' Association.", "Hay, O. J. (1966). The Chronicles of Clyde. Melbourne: Brown Prior Anderson.", "Holmgren, I. (1934). The Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine 1934, George H Whipple, George R Minot, William P Murphy. Award Cermony Speech, December 10.", "Macpherson, I. (1936). To the Natural Science Section at the Goetheanum, Dornach near Basle, Switzerland. Typewrtten agreement signed by Ileen Macpherson, dated 22nd January 1936, 2 pp.; original held in Dokumentation am Goetheanum Bibliothek Kunstsammlung Archiv, Dornach.", "Magill, E. (1975). In Memoriam Ernesto Genoni 1885-1975. Goetheanum News, 43(11/12), 6-7.", "Northbourne, Lord. (1940). Look to the Land. London: Dent.", "Old Geelong Grammarians. (1994). Directory of Old Geelong Grammarians including Old Girls of Clyde School and the Hermitage. Melbourne: Michael Thornton Publishing.", "Paull, J. (2011a). Attending the first organic agriculture course: Rudolf Steiner's Agriculture Course at Koberwitz, 1924. European Journal of Social Sciences, 21(1), 64-70.", "Paull, J. (2011b). The Betteshanger Summer School: Missing link between biodynamic agriculture and organic farming. Journal of Organic Systems, 6(2), 13-26.", "Paull, J. (2011c). Biodynamic Agriculture: The journey from Koberwitz to the World, 1924-1938. Journal of Organic Systems, 6(1), 27-41.", "Paull, J. (2011d). The secrets of Koberwitz: The diffusion of Rudolf Steiner's Agriculture Course and the founding of Biodynamic Agriculture. Journal of Social Research & Policy, 2(1), 19-29.", "Paull, J. (2013). A history of the organic agriculture movement in Australia. In B. Mascitelli & A. Lobo (Eds.), Organics in the Global Food Chain (pp. 37-60). Ballarat: Connor Court Publishing.", "Paull, J. (2014). Ernesto Genoni: Australia's pioneer of biodynamic agriculture. Journal of Organics, 1(1), 57-81.", "Paull, J. (2016a). Angels of the First Class: The Anthroposophic Art of Ernesto Genoni, Goetheanum, 1924. Hobart: Vital Years Conference 2016 - Cradle of a Healthy Life, Tarremah Steiner School, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia, 5-9 July.", "Paull, J. (2016b). The Anthroposophic Art of Ernesto Genoni, Goetheanum, 1924. Journal of Organics, 3(2), 1-24.", "Pfeiffer, E. (1938). Bio-Dynamic Farming and Gardening: Soil Fertility Renewal and Preservation (F. Heckel, Trans.). New York: Anthroposophic Press.", "Shaw, M. T. (1960). Recollections of Clyde (1916-1922): (Single page, 1922 folder, Clyde School Archives).", "Springvale Botanical Cemetery. (1975). Genoni, Ernesto Fermo - Date of service 14/02/1975, Cremated, The cremated remains have been scattered. Springvale: Springvale Botanical Cemetery.", "Springvale Botanical Cemetery. (1984). Macpherson, Edith Ileen - Date of service 06/06/1984, Cremated, The cremated remains have been scattered. Springvale: Springvale Botanical Cemetery.", "Steiner, R. (1923a). The Apocalypse. (Series VI. For Members of the The Anthroposophical Society Only (struck through). Inscribed in her hand: Ileen Macpherson). London: Anthroposophical Publishing Co.", "Steiner, R. (1923b). The Gospel of St Mark with a Supplement. (Series XXIV and XXX. For Members of the The Anthroposophical Society Only. Inscribed in her hand: Ileen Macpherson, Demeter, Box 49, Dandenong P.O.). London: Anthroposophical Publishing Co.", "Steiner, R. (1924a). Agriculture Course (\"Printed for private circulation only\"; 1929, first English language edition; George Kaufmann Trans ed.). Dornach, Switzerland: Goetheanum.", "Steiner, R. (1924b). To All Members: The Meetings at Koberwitz and Breslau. Anthroposophical Movement, 1, 9-11.", "Steiner, R. (1932). The Gem Book: An Art in Jewellery, Hints and Sketches. (Inscribed in her hand: Ileen Macpherson, 432 Punt Hill, South Yarra, then Demeter Farm, Princes Highway, Dandenong & dated 1934). London: H Collison.", "Steiner, R. (1953). Evolution in the Aspect of Realities. (Series XXXV. For Members of the The Anthroposophical Society only. Inscribed in her hand: Ileen Macpherson, Demeter, Dandenong). London: The Anthroposophical Society.", "Steiner, R. (nd). Christ and the Spiritual World or The Search for the Holy Grail. (Printed for members of the General Anthroposophical Society only. Inscribed in her hand: Ileen Macpherson, Demeter, Dandenong, then Namur Street via Noble Park, Vic ). London: Rudolf Steiner Publishing Co.", "Triaca, M. (1985). Amelia, A Long Journey. Melbourne: Greenhouse Publications.", "Wanliss, M. (1914). Sports. The Cluthan, The Journal of Clyde Girl's Grammar School, 1(2), 8-10.", "Webb-Ware, E., & Currie, M. (1916). General News. The Cluthan, The Journal of Clyde Girl's Grammar School, 1(5), 2-3."]} Edith Ileen Macpherson (1898-1984) was a co-founder of Australia’s original Demeter Farm (c.1934-1954) along with her partner Ernesto Genoni (1885-1974). Ileen was a member of Rudolf Steiner’s Experimental Circle of Anthroposophic Farmers and Gardeners (from 1936). Ernesto was the first Australian member (from 1928). At their Demeter Farm in Dandenong, Victoria, they practiced biodynamic agriculture on over 40 acres (16 ha) through the years of the Great Depression, through World War II, and for the first decade of the post-war years, producing milk, fruit, and vegetables. Ileen was an early Australian Anthroposophist and follower of Rudolf Steiner. It was a blow to their Demeter Farm enterprise when she fell ill. Eventually she was no longer able to manage physical work at all and this fell to Ernesto. Although she is remembered as ‘the woman in the wheelchair’ this paper reveals that she was previously an active, fit and keen sportswoman, participating in basketball, tennis, running, hockey, and dancing. At school she was known as ‘Ikey’, she was a prefect, she was a member of the school sports committee, and she won the prize for “best all-round sport”. Ileen was confined to a wheelchair for the last four decades of her life. The cause has generally been misunderstood and misattributed, and is revealed here to be pernicious anaemia (lack of vitamin B12). This condition is now easily and successfully treatable, but it was then generally fatal. Ileen was a financial supporter of the Anthroposophical movement in Australia during her lifetime. Her benefaction has continued since her death via the Ileen Macpherson Trust which reports having dispensed over $600,000 for Anthroposophic causes in Australia. A portrait of Ileen by Italian/Australian artist Ernesto Genoni and photographs of Ileen are presented. "Ileen Macpherson accepted the impulse to assist in a venture for applying Bio-Dynamic methods and resolved with Ernesto Genoni to attempt a practical activity. A small farm was purchased on Princes Highway near Dandenong, approximately 18 miles from Melbourne, and a serious effort which lasted 18 years was attempted. It was worked as a small dairy farm, and the manure built into the compost in the Bio-Dynamic way. They made their own preparations and sprays and produced very good vegetables which were sold in the wholesale market in the city and also from a truck on the side of the road. Constant hard work and many grievous trials were endured by the pioneers who undertook the first Bio- Dynamic venture in Victoria" (Edith Magill, 1975, p.7).

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