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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2020 Argentina, Argentina, United Kingdom, Spain, France, Germany, United Kingdom, France, United Kingdom, Spain, United Kingdom, South AfricaPublisher:American Meteorological Society Funded by:EC | INPhINITEC| INPhINITMerryfield, William; Baehr, Johanna; Batté, Lauriane; Becker, Emily; Butler, Amy; Coelho, Caio; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Dirmeyer, Paul; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Domeisen, Daniela; Ferranti, Laura; Ilynia, Tatiana; Kumar, Arun; Müller, Wolfgang; Rixen, Michel; Robertson, Andrew; Smith, Doug; Takaya, Yuhei; Tuma, Matthias; Vitart, Frederic; White, Christopher; Alvarez, Mariano; Ardilouze, Constantin; Attard, Hannah; Baggett, Cory; Balmaseda, Magdalena; Beraki, Asmerom; Bhattacharjee, Partha; Bilbao, Roberto; de Andrade, Felipe; Deflorio, Michael; Díaz, Leandro; Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar; Fragkoulidis, Georgios; Gonzalez, Alex; Grainger, Sam; Green, Benjamin; Hell, Momme; Infanti, Johnna; Isensee, Katharina; Kataoka, Takahito; Kirtman, Ben; Klingaman, Nicholas; Lee, June-Yi; Mayer, Kirsten; Mckay, Roseanna; Mecking, Jennifer; Miller, Douglas; Neddermann, Nele; Justin Ng, Ching Ho; Ossó, Albert; Pankatz, Klaus; Peatman, Simon; Pegion, Kathy; Perlwitz, Judith; Recalde-Coronel, G. Cristina; Reintges, Annika; Renkl, Christoph; Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan; Spring, Aaron; Stan, Cristiana; Sun, Y. Qiang; Tozer, Carly; Vigaud, Nicolas; Woolnough, Steven; Yeager, Stephen;handle: 11336/150980 , 2117/185086 , 2263/80103
Abstract Weather and climate variations on subseasonal to decadal time scales can have enormous social, economic, and environmental impacts, making skillful predictions on these time scales a valuable tool for decision-makers. As such, there is a growing interest in the scientific, operational, and applications communities in developing forecasts to improve our foreknowledge of extreme events. On subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) time scales, these include high-impact meteorological events such as tropical cyclones, extratropical storms, floods, droughts, and heat and cold waves. On seasonal to decadal (S2D) time scales, while the focus broadly remains similar (e.g., on precipitation, surface and upper-ocean temperatures, and their effects on the probabilities of high-impact meteorological events), understanding the roles of internal variability and externally forced variability such as anthropogenic warming in forecasts also becomes important. The S2S and S2D communities share common scientific and technical challenges. These include forecast initialization and ensemble generation; initialization shock and drift; understanding the onset of model systematic errors; bias correction, calibration, and forecast quality assessment; model resolution; atmosphere–ocean coupling; sources and expectations for predictability; and linking research, operational forecasting, and end-user needs. In September 2018 a coordinated pair of international conferences, framed by the above challenges, was organized jointly by the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) and the World Weather Research Programme (WWRP). These conferences surveyed the state of S2S and S2D prediction, ongoing research, and future needs, providing an ideal basis for synthesizing current and emerging developments in these areas that promise to enhance future operational services. This article provides such a synthesis.
CORE arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2020Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAUPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCArticle . 2020Data sources: UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2020 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2020 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalNatural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/bams-d-19-0037.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 126 citations 126 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 62visibility views 62 download downloads 45 Powered bymore_vert CORE arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2020Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAUPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCArticle . 2020Data sources: UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2020 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2020 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalNatural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/bams-d-19-0037.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu
description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2020 Argentina, Argentina, United Kingdom, Spain, France, Germany, United Kingdom, France, United Kingdom, Spain, United Kingdom, South AfricaPublisher:American Meteorological Society Funded by:EC | INPhINITEC| INPhINITMerryfield, William; Baehr, Johanna; Batté, Lauriane; Becker, Emily; Butler, Amy; Coelho, Caio; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Dirmeyer, Paul; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Domeisen, Daniela; Ferranti, Laura; Ilynia, Tatiana; Kumar, Arun; Müller, Wolfgang; Rixen, Michel; Robertson, Andrew; Smith, Doug; Takaya, Yuhei; Tuma, Matthias; Vitart, Frederic; White, Christopher; Alvarez, Mariano; Ardilouze, Constantin; Attard, Hannah; Baggett, Cory; Balmaseda, Magdalena; Beraki, Asmerom; Bhattacharjee, Partha; Bilbao, Roberto; de Andrade, Felipe; Deflorio, Michael; Díaz, Leandro; Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar; Fragkoulidis, Georgios; Gonzalez, Alex; Grainger, Sam; Green, Benjamin; Hell, Momme; Infanti, Johnna; Isensee, Katharina; Kataoka, Takahito; Kirtman, Ben; Klingaman, Nicholas; Lee, June-Yi; Mayer, Kirsten; Mckay, Roseanna; Mecking, Jennifer; Miller, Douglas; Neddermann, Nele; Justin Ng, Ching Ho; Ossó, Albert; Pankatz, Klaus; Peatman, Simon; Pegion, Kathy; Perlwitz, Judith; Recalde-Coronel, G. Cristina; Reintges, Annika; Renkl, Christoph; Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan; Spring, Aaron; Stan, Cristiana; Sun, Y. Qiang; Tozer, Carly; Vigaud, Nicolas; Woolnough, Steven; Yeager, Stephen;handle: 11336/150980 , 2117/185086 , 2263/80103
Abstract Weather and climate variations on subseasonal to decadal time scales can have enormous social, economic, and environmental impacts, making skillful predictions on these time scales a valuable tool for decision-makers. As such, there is a growing interest in the scientific, operational, and applications communities in developing forecasts to improve our foreknowledge of extreme events. On subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) time scales, these include high-impact meteorological events such as tropical cyclones, extratropical storms, floods, droughts, and heat and cold waves. On seasonal to decadal (S2D) time scales, while the focus broadly remains similar (e.g., on precipitation, surface and upper-ocean temperatures, and their effects on the probabilities of high-impact meteorological events), understanding the roles of internal variability and externally forced variability such as anthropogenic warming in forecasts also becomes important. The S2S and S2D communities share common scientific and technical challenges. These include forecast initialization and ensemble generation; initialization shock and drift; understanding the onset of model systematic errors; bias correction, calibration, and forecast quality assessment; model resolution; atmosphere–ocean coupling; sources and expectations for predictability; and linking research, operational forecasting, and end-user needs. In September 2018 a coordinated pair of international conferences, framed by the above challenges, was organized jointly by the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) and the World Weather Research Programme (WWRP). These conferences surveyed the state of S2S and S2D prediction, ongoing research, and future needs, providing an ideal basis for synthesizing current and emerging developments in these areas that promise to enhance future operational services. This article provides such a synthesis.
CORE arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2020Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAUPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCArticle . 2020Data sources: UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2020 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2020 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalNatural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/bams-d-19-0037.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 126 citations 126 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
visibility 62visibility views 62 download downloads 45 Powered bymore_vert CORE arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2020Data sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAUPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCArticle . 2020Data sources: UPCommons. Portal del coneixement obert de la UPCBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2020 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2020 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalNatural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/bams-d-19-0037.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu