• Energy Research
• EU close
• CN close
• DE close
• Energy Conversion and Management close

Abstract In this paper, we present the use of different mathematical models to forecast electricity price under deregulated power. A successful prediction tool of electricity price can help both power producers and consumers plan their bidding strategies. Inspired by that the support vector regression (SVR) model, with the e -insensitive loss function, admits of the residual within the boundary values of e -tube, we propose a hybrid model that combines both SVR and Auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to take advantage of the unique strength of SVR and ARIMA models in nonlinear and linear modeling, which is called SVRARIMA. A nonlinear analysis of the time-series indicates the convenience of nonlinear modeling, the SVR is applied to capture the nonlinear patterns. ARIMA models have been successfully applied in solving the residuals regression estimation problems. The experimental results demonstrate that the model proposed outperforms the existing neural-network approaches, the traditional ARIMA models and other hybrid models based on the root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error.

Abstract Knocking combustion for spark-ignition engine is related to auto-ignition of a portion of the unburned fuel-air mixture. In this investigation, the detailed chemical kinetic mechanism was engaged to numerically study the auto-ignition characteristics of hydrogen-enriched methane under engine-relevant conditions. Compared with the experimental data, the USC Mech 2.0 mechanism obtained the closest agreement, and it was adopted in the sensitivity analysis, the rate of production (ROP) analysis and the reaction pathway analysis. Results showed that at high temperature and high pressure, the ignition delay times (IDs) of CH4/H2 fuel blends reduce significantly (by two orders of magnitude at most) with rising hydrogen fraction, but the decline rate is not so obvious (within 37.3%) at low temperature. The sensitivity analysis indicated that at high temperature the reaction (R1) and reactions (R2, R3) promote each other while at low temperature only the reaction (R3) unilaterally facilitates the reaction (R12). The ROP analysis implied that the decrease of IDs of methane by hydrogen addition is realized through increasing the H, O, and OH radical production. Interestingly, the IDs for CH4/H2 fuel blends show different trends at different temperature, which decrease (by 47.5% at most) at low temperature but increase (by 132.7% at most) at high temperature as the equivalence ratio rises. The sensitivity analysis showed that the ignition kinetics for CH4/H2 fuel blends more depend on the CH4 concentration at low temperature but oxygen concentration at high temperature. This investigation not only supplements the fundamental combustion studies of CH4/H2 fuel blends in elevated pressures, but also reveals the influence mechanism of hydrogen addition and equivalence ratio on the IDs of CH4/H2 fuel blends at high pressure. More importantly, it may offer fundamental insights for the control of knocking combustion of spark-ignition (SI) engine.

Abstract Heat pipes have been extensively applied in the domain of energy conversion and heat recovery application. A novel radial heat pipe with internally finned condenser has been proposed to recover waste heat from air conditioning units. Full mathematical description and computational fluid dynamics model were developed to predict the loop flow and thermal performance in a single radial heat pipe, respectively. The research focuses mainly on the effects of input power, filling ratio, pipe diameter, and velocity of the cooling water on the thermal performance and entropy generation rate of this novel heat pipe. Numerical results illustrate that average reductions in total thermal resistance with utilization of fins approximately achieved 8.69% and 14.78% for fins nf = 4 and nf = 8, respectively. Similarly, entropy generation rate shows an average decrease of 19.4% and 37.5% for identical operations. Additionally, the effect of internally finned condenser on the multiphase fluid flow has been comprehensively analyzed, including the break of the condensed film, generation of bubbles and nucleation boiling. The results further indicate that incorporation of internal fins has a significant influence on enhancing thermal homogenization and waste thermal recovery efficiency of a radial heat pipe. Case results agreed well with experimental data within average deviation being no more than 10%.

Abstract Distributed energy system becomes increasingly popular due to high efficiency and low pollution emissions. When it operates following the electricity load, thermal energy storage system can be used to accommodate surplus cooling and heating and improve the energy efficiency. This study investigates the energy and economic performance of thermal storage systems for surplus cooling and heating in distributed energy system, considering the impacts of climates, building combinations and cooling/heating supply systems. Results show that the thermal storage system can improve the primary energy efficiency and is more useful when residential buildings adopt centralized heating and decentralized cooling systems. By varying climates and building combinations, the thermal storage system can improve the primary energy efficiency by 0.28%–3.69%. The economic performance is not promising with a long payback period. The main reason is that the overall utilization rate of the surplus energy is low (less than 45%), especially when the cooling/heating load is low continually during spring and autumn. Additionally, the effect of static and dynamic thermal storage model is analyzed. Results show that the static model would over-estimate the performance of the thermal storage system significantly and the dynamic model is recommended.

Abstract Liquid fuels are likely to remain the main energy source in long-range transportation and aviation for several decades. To reduce our dependence on fossil fuels, liquid biofuels can be blended to fossil fuels – or used purely. In this paper, coconut methyl ester, standard diesel fuel (EN590:2017), and their blends were investigated in 25 V/V% steps. A novel turbulent combustion chamber was developed to facilitate combustion in a large volume that leads to ultra-low emissions. The combustion power of the swirl burner was 13.3 kW, and the air-to-fuel equivalence ratio was 1.25. Two parameters, combustion air preheating temperature and atomizing air pressure were adjusted in the range of 150–350 °C and 0.3–0.9 bar, respectively. Both straight and lifted flames were observed. The closed, atmospheric combustion chamber resulted in CO emission below 10 ppm in the majority of the cases. NO emission varied between 60 and 183 ppm at straight flame cases and decreased below 20 ppm when the flame was lifted since the combustion occurred in a large volume. This operation mode fulfills the 2015/2193/EU directive for gas combustion by 25%, which is twice as strict as liquid fuel combustion regulations. The 90% NO emission reduction was also concluded when compared to a lean premixed prevaporized burner under similar conditions. This favorable operation mode was named as Mixture Temperature-Controlled (MTC) Combustion. The chemiluminescent emission of lifted flames was also low, however, the OH* emission of straight flames was clearly observable and followed the trends of NO emission. The MTC mode may lead to significantly decreased pollutant emission of steady-operating devices like boilers, furnaces, and both aviation and industrial gas turbines, meaning an outstanding contribution to more environmentally friendly technologies.

Abstract Catalyst layer structural changes in polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells have significant impact on the cell performance and durability. In this study, ex-situ experiments are designed to investigate the effect of humidity and/or thermal cycles on the structural changes of catalyst layers. The relative humidity and temperature are controlled by an environmental chamber and the catalyst layer structure is characterized by scanning electron microscopy and optical microscopy. The experimental results indicate that crack growth and development, catalyst agglomerate detachment, and surface bulges are the main structural changes of the catalyst layers. Applying relative humidity and thermal cycling simultaneously causes the most significant crack growth, while applying thermal cycling alone causes no appreciable changes. This indicates that the absolute humidity is the key parameter for the crack growth. Through cyclic voltammetry analysis, it is shown that the electrochemical active surface area decreases from 64.1 m2 g−1 to 49.1 m2 g−1 after 500 combined relative humidity and thermal cycles. Analyses of electrochemical impedance spectroscopy show that the charge transfer resistance and ohmic resistance increase significantly after 500 combined relative humidity and thermal cycles, causing the cell performance degradation.

Attempts to model any present or future power grid face a huge challenge because a power grid is a complex system, with feedback and multi-agent behaviors, integrated by generation, distribution, storage and consumption systems, using various control and automation computing systems to manage electricity flows. Our approach to modeling is to build upon an established model of the low voltage electricity network which is tested and proven, by extending it to a generalized energy model. But, in order to address the crucial issues of energy efficiency, additional processes like energy conversion and storage, and further energy carriers, such as gas, heat, etc., besides the traditional electrical one, must be considered. Therefore a more powerful model, provided with enhanced nodes or conversion points, able to deal with multidimensional flows, is being required. This article addresses the issue of modeling a local multi-carrier energy network. This problem can be considered as an extension of modeling a low voltage distribution network located at some urban or rural geographic area. But instead of using an external power flow analysis package to do the power flow calculations, as used in electric networks, in this work we integrate a multiagent algorithm to perform the task, in a concurrent way to the other simulation tasks, and not only for the electric fluid but also for a number of additional energy carriers. As the model is mainly focused in system operation, generation and load models are not developed. The financial support from EPSRC for Liz Varga on project entitled "Transforming Utilities’ Conversion Points" (no. EP/J005649/1) is gratefully acknowledged.