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The reality of human-induced climate change is unequivocal and exerts an ever-increasing global impact. Access to the latest scientific information on current climate change and projection of future trends is important for planning adaptation measures and for informing international efforts to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Identification of hazards and risks may be used to assess vulnerability, determine limits to adaptation, and enhance resilience to climate change. This article highlights how recent research programs are continuing to elucidate current processes and advance projections across major climate systems and identifies remaining knowledge gaps. Key findings include projected future increases in monsoon rainfall, resulting from a changing balance between the rainfall-reducing effect of aerosols and rainfall-increasing GHGs; a strengthening of the storm track in the North Atlantic; an increase in the fraction of precipitation that falls as rain at both poles; an increase in the frequency and severity of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, along with changes in ENSO teleconnections to North America and Europe; and an increase in the frequency of hazardous hot-humid extremes. These changes have the potential to increase risks to both human and natural systems. Nevertheless, these risks may be reduced via urgent, science-led adaptation and resilience measures and by reductions in GHGs.

This paper reviews the international experience in the competitive procurement of reactive power and other electricity ancillary services. It involves system operators from different jurisdictions including Australia, the United States and Great Britain. The paper evaluates the different procurement mechanisms, related compensation schemes and looks at more competitive ways for procuring reactive power. It appraises a novel approach (from the Power Potential initiative in the UK) for contracting reactive power services from distributed energy resources using a market-based mechanism. A conceptual auction design applicable to the procurement of reactive power is also discussed. Our findings suggest that competition in reactive power is very limited in comparison with other ancillary services (such as frequency regulation and capacity reserves) and the energy market. The introduction of more market-oriented mechanisms and resources (such as distributed energy resources) for acquiring reactive and active power services by the system operator gives rise to new opportunities and new ways to deal with voltage stability issues. Power Potential brings the opportunity to trial the technical and commercial solution, new roles and new interactions required in the introduction of a competitive reactive power market.

AbstractForests are a substantial terrestrial carbon sink, but anthropogenic changes in land use and climate have considerably reduced the scale of this system1. Remote-sensing estimates to quantify carbon losses from global forests2–5 are characterized by considerable uncertainty and we lack a comprehensive ground-sourced evaluation to benchmark these estimates. Here we combine several ground-sourced6 and satellite-derived approaches2,7,8 to evaluate the scale of the global forest carbon potential outside agricultural and urban lands. Despite regional variation, the predictions demonstrated remarkable consistency at a global scale, with only a 12% difference between the ground-sourced and satellite-derived estimates. At present, global forest carbon storage is markedly under the natural potential, with a total deficit of 226 Gt (model range = 151–363 Gt) in areas with low human footprint. Most (61%, 139 Gt C) of this potential is in areas with existing forests, in which ecosystem protection can allow forests to recover to maturity. The remaining 39% (87 Gt C) of potential lies in regions in which forests have been removed or fragmented. Although forests cannot be a substitute for emissions reductions, our results support the idea2,3,9 that the conservation, restoration and sustainable management of diverse forests offer valuable contributions to meeting global climate and biodiversity targets.

ConspectusMolecular vibrations constitute one of the smallest mechanical oscillators available for micro-/nanoengineering. The energy and strength of molecular oscillations depend delicately on the attached specific functional groups as well as on the chemical and physical environments. By exploiting the inelastic interaction of molecules with optical photons, Raman scattering can access the information contained in molecular vibrations. However, the low efficiency of the Raman process typically allows only for characterizing large numbers of molecules. To circumvent this limitation, plasmonic resonances supported by metallic nanostructures and nanocavities can be used because they localize and enhance light at optical frequencies, enabling surface-enhanced Raman scattering (SERS), where the Raman signal is increased by many orders of magnitude. This enhancement enables few- or even single-molecule characterization. The coupling between a single molecular vibration and a plasmonic mode constitutes an example of an optomechanical interaction, analogous to that existing between cavity photons and mechanical vibrations. Optomechanical systems have been intensely studied because of their fundamental interest as well as their application in practical implementations of quantum technology and sensing. In this context, SERS brings cavity optomechanics down to the molecular scale and gives access to larger vibrational frequencies associated with molecular motion, offering new possibilities for novel optomechanical nanodevices.The molecular optomechanics description of SERS is recent, and its implications have only started to be explored. In this Account, we describe the current understanding and progress of this new description of SERS, focusing on our own contributions to the field. We first show that the quantum description of molecular optomechanics is fully consistent with standard classical and semiclassical models often used to describe SERS. Furthermore, we note that the molecular optomechanics framework naturally accounts for a rich variety of nonlinear effects in the SERS signal with increasing laser intensity.Furthermore, the molecular optomechanics framework provides a tool particularly suited to addressing novel effects of fundamental and practical interest in SERS, such as the emergence of collective phenomena involving many molecules or the modification of the effective losses and energy of the molecular vibrations due to the plasmon-vibration interaction. As compared to standard optomechanics, the plasmonic resonance often differs from a single Lorentzian mode and thus requires a more detailed description of its optical response. This quantum description of SERS also allows us to address the statistics of the Raman photons emitted, enabling the interpretation of two-color correlations of the emerging photons, with potential use in the generation of nonclassical states of light. Current SERS experimental implementations in organic molecules and two-dimensional layers suggest the interest in further exploring intense pulsed illumination, situations of strong coupling, resonant-SERS, and atomic-scale field confinement.