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Abstract The rapid uptake of renewable energy sources requires new forms of flexibility in electricity systems, including a more responsive demand-side. The social acceptability, scale and economic value of flexible demand remain subjects of conjecture. In this paper we inform this debate with a multi-methods approach using three instruments: surveys, observations and modelling. This multi-method approach brings out similarities and differences between Germany and Great Britain in relation to demand-side flexibility. Participants in both countries express a high willingness to participate in time variant tariffs, but their implementation may need to be context specific. In Germany national peak demand occurs at midday, when PV generation results in lower emission factors. Conversely, British peak demand is in the early evening when emission factors are at their highest. The differences in responses allow us to explore important technical and cultural differences affecting the need for flexibility. Germany gains most from flexibility during the daytime in summer, while flexibility in Great Britain contributes most during winter evenings. We observe high degrees of acceptability of time-variant electricity tariffs (55%) and willingness to shift demand is high, resulting in peak demand reductions of up to 14.5%. However, the resulting cost and carbon savings of these efforts is less than 2% in both countries. We conclude that short term carbon or cost savings may be less powerful motivators for load shifting measures than long term system decarbonisation.

This paper presents an overview of 67 ongoing certification initiatives to safeguard the sustainability of bioenergy. Most recent initiatives are focused on the sustainability of liquid biofuels. Content-wise, most of these initiatives have mainly included environmental principles. Despite serious concerns in various parts of the world on the socio-economic impacts of bioenergy production, these are generally not included in existing bioenergy initiatives. At the same time, the overview shows a strong proliferation of standards. The overview shows that certification has the potential to influence direct, local impacts related to environmental and social effects of direct bioenergy production. Key recommendations to come to an efficient certification system include the need for further harmonization, availability of reliable data and linking indicators on a micro, meso and macro levels. Considering the multiple spatial scales, certification should be combined with additional measurements and tools on a regional, national and international level. The role of bioenergy production on indirect land use change (ILUC) is still very uncertain and current initiatives have rarely captured impacts from ILUC in their standards. Addressing unwanted LUC requires first of all sustainable land use production and good governance, regardless of the end-use of the product. It is therefore recommended to extend measures to mitigate impacts from LUC to other lands and feedstock. PDF (776 K)

Moisture availability is a strong determinant of decomposition rates in forests worldwide. Climate models suggest that many terrestrial ecosystems are at risk from future droughts, suggesting moisture limiting conditions will develop across a range of forests worldwide. The impacts of increasing drought conditions on forest carbon (C) fluxes due to shifts in organic matter decay rates may be poorly characterised due to limited experimental research. To appraise this question, we conducted a meta-analysis of forest drought experiment studies worldwide, examining spatial limits, knowledge gaps and potential biases. To identify limits to experimental knowledge, we projected the global distribution of forest drought experiments against spatially modelled estimates of (i) future precipitation change, (ii) ecosystem total above-ground C and (iii) soil C storage. Our assessment, involving 115 individual experimental study locations, found a mismatch between the distribution of forest drought experiments and regions with higher levels of future drought risk and C storage, such as Central America, Amazonia, the Atlantic Forest of Brazil, equatorial Africa and Indonesia. Decomposition rate responses in litter and soil were also relatively under-studied, with only 30 experiments specifically examining the potential experimental impacts of drought on C fluxes from soil or litter. We propose new approaches for engaging experimentally with forest drought research, utilising standardised protocols to appraise the impacts of drought on the C cycle, while targeting the most vulnerable and relevant forests.

Ammonia has been responsible for feeding population growth in the 20th century through synthetic fertilizer, and is poised to become the preferred energy storage medium for a society powered by renewable electricity in the 21st century. However, conventional brown ammonia production through the Haber-Bosch process is optimized for utilization of centralized and steady energy supply from fossil-fuels. When shifting to distributed and intermittent energy supply through wind and solar energy, a re-optimization is required for a low-capital and flexible green ammonia production processes. This thesis re-designs and Haber-Bosch process by targeting the integration of reaction and separation in a single process vessel at low pressures, thereby achieving the simplification and down-scaling of the high pressure recycle loop of the Haber-Bosch process. Materials are developed for this purpose, the feasibility of integration is demonstrated, and mathematical modeling is utilized for assessing the application of the single-vessel process to a range of renewable energy sources in comparison to competing ammonia production processes. Herein, a catalyst with low-temperature (< 350°C) and high-conversion (i.e. near equilibrium) activity is developed using ruthenium nanoparticles as the active metal supported on ceria and promoted with cesium to mitigate hydrogen and ammonia inhibition, respectively. This catalyst is compared to commercial iron-based catalyst from the perspective of the final application. Concurrently, a high-temperature (> 300°C) manganese chloride absorbent is developed that resists decomposition and is stable when supported on silica. These catalyst and absorbent are integrated in a layered reactor configuration to demonstrate the feasibility of the integrated process by exceeding single-pass reaction equilibrium. Mathematical modelling of ammonia production processes illustrates that at small-scales (< 1 t day-1) the single-vessel process is optimal compared to the Haber-Bosch process due to its modular design. In addition, it can achieve simpler ramping because the Haber-Bosch process is constrained by heat-integration in the recycle loop and the potential for runaway reaction. For final application, the pairing of ammonia production processes with examples of intermittent solar and wind sources demonstrates that the flexibility of the production process is essential when considering non-ideal sources of energy with a long-term (e.g. seasonal) oscillations. Flexible ammonia production also expands the economic usage of ammonia as an energy storage vector from the seasonal to the weekly time-scale, with advantage compared to batteries or hydrogen. The work of this thesis provides a framework for advancing the electrification of the chemical industry given the novel constrains of intermittent and distributed renewable energy. A systems level approach is applied from the ground up, starting from material design and progressing to optimized process design and application.

The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of alcohol hangover on simulated highway driving performance.Driving performance of forty-two social drinkers was tested the morning following an evening of consuming on average 10.2 (SD = 4.2) alcoholic drinks (alcohol hangover) and on a control day (no alcohol consumed). Subjects performed a standardized 100-km highway driving test in the STISIM driving simulator. In addition to the standard deviation of lateral position (SDLP; i.e., the weaving of the car), lapses of attention were examined. Self-reported driving quality and driving style were scored, as well as mental effort to perform the test, sleepiness before and after driving, and hangover severity.Driving performance was significantly impaired during alcohol hangover as expressed by an SDLP increase of +1.9 cm (t (1,41) = 2.851, p = 0.007), increased number of lapses relative to the control day (7.7 versus 5.3 lapses, t (1,41) = 2.125, p = 0.019), and an increased total lapse time (182.7 versus 127.3 s, p = 0.040). During alcohol hangover, subjects reported their driving quality to be significantly poorer (t (1,41) = 4.840, p = 0.001) and less safe (t (1,41) = 5.078, p = 0.001), wise (t (1,41) = 4.061, p = 0.001), predictable (t (1,41) = 3.475, p = 0.001), and responsible (t (1,41) = 4.122, p = 0.001). Subjects further reported being significantly more tense while driving (t (1,41) = 3.280, p = 0.002), and more effort was needed to perform the driving test (t (1,41) = 2.941, p = 0.001). There was a significant interaction with total sleep time and hangover effects on SDLP and the number of lapses.In conclusion, driving is significantly impaired during alcohol hangover, as expressed in an elevated SDLP and increased number of lapses. Total sleep time has a significant impact on the magnitude of driving impairment.

As Europe is not on track in meeting its 2020 energy savings target, there has been quite some debate to make the energy savings target binding instead of indicative. Although the final draft text of the Energy Efficiency Directive left the option of a binding target explicitly open for the period beyond 2014, this statement has watered down in the adopted Directive: If still not on track mid-2014, the European Commission will propose "further measures." In this paper, we argue that a binding energy savings target could be the first EU legal initiative to look beyond 2020 serving as a beacon for other policies such as for renewables and greenhouse gases that need redefinition after 2020. We therefore explore four possible design options of a binding savings target and assess their feasibility. We conclude that a binding target at Member State level (opposed to an EU-wide target like for the EU Emission Trading System (ETS)) is the most feasible. A binding target at Member State level would ensure political accountability and commitment to deliver results while providing flexibility to choose and apply the most suitable tools to achieve the target. It could provide a framework to guide ambitious and coherent implementation of EU energy efficiency policies, as well as the strengthening of national policies. Furthermore, binding targets at Member State level will make Member States take an ambitious position in Brussels when new energy or CO2 performance standards for appliances and transport modes are to be set. A Member State binding target applied to end-users (excluding ETS companies) is a design option that covers the vast majority of the cost-effective energy savings potential, maintains the flexibility for ETS companies, and supports the most cost-effective achievement of a greater share of renewables.

This paper assesses the capacity of Whitehouse, Jamaica to adapt to climate change. A community-based vulnerability assessment was conducted that employed semi-structured interviews with community members within or related to the tourism, fisheries and agricultural sectors. The results were analysed using the Local Adaptive Capacity (LAC) framework, which characterises adaptive capacity based on five elements: asset base; institutions and entitlements; knowledge and information; innovation; and flexible forward-looking decision-making and governance. This paper contributes to the literature in three ways. First, it argues that many elements of the LAC framework correspond with an evolutionary perspective on adaptive capacity. Second, it offers an in-depth case study of the capacity of Whitehouse to adapt to climate change. Third, it offers a critical assessment of whether the LAC framework fully captures the important elements of adaptive capacity.

This paper presents the application of a probabilistic multi-stability assessment of a modified two-area system under the presence of low and high uncertainty sources. The stability of the network is assessed under four stability regimes: frequency, small-signal rotor angle, large-signal rotor angle, and long-term voltage. The probabilistic assessment is carried out using Monte Carlo simulation. Two cases considering low and high uncertainty are investigated. The obtained results are presented in the form of parallel coordinate plots so that the interaction between multiple stability regimes can be more easily understood. It is observed that the poor response of small-signal rotor angle stability generally corresponds to poor response of other stability types in low uncertainty case. However, once the level of uncertainty increases and more sources of uncertainty exist, this relationship is significantly changed.