• Energy Research
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• 7. Clean energy close
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With California's ambitious goal to achieve decarbonization of the electrical grid by the year 2045, significant challenges arise in power system investment planning. Existing modeling methods and software focus on computational efficiency, which is currently achieved by simplifying the associated unit commitment formulation. This may lead to unjustifiable inaccuracies in the cost and constraints of gas-fired generation operations, and may affect both the timing and the extent of investment in new resources, such as renewable energy and energy storage. To address this issue, this paper develops a more detailed and rigorous mixed-integer model, and more importantly, a solution methodology utilizing surrogate level-based Lagrangian relaxation to overcome the combinatorial complexity that results from the enhanced level of model detail. This allows us to optimize a model with approximately 12 million binary and 100 million total variables in under 48 hours. The investment plan is compared with those produced by E3's RESOLVE software, which is currently employed by the California Energy Commission and California Public Utilities Commission. Our model produces an investment plan that differs substantially from that of the existing method and saves California over 12 billion dollars over the investment horizon.

While the operating cost of electricity grids based on thermal generation was largely driven by the cost of fuel, as renewable penetration increases, ancillary services represent an increasingly large proportion of the running costs. Electric frequency is an important magnitude in highly renewable grids, as it becomes more volatile and therefore the cost related to maintaining it within safe bounds has significantly increased. So far, costs for frequency-containment ancillary services have been socialised in most countries, but it has become relevant to rethink this regulatory arrangement. In this paper, we discuss the issue of cost allocation for these services, highlighting the need to evolve towards a causation-based regulatory framework. We argue that parties responsible for creating the need for ancillary services should bear these costs. However, this would imply an important change in electricity market policy, therefore it is necessary to understand the impact on current and future investments on generation, as well as on electricity tariffs. Here we provide a mostly qualitative analysis of this issue, defining guidelines for practical implementation and further study. Published in journal Energy Policy

A nuclear reactor based on MIT BEAVRS benchmark was used as a typical power generating Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR). The PARCS v3.2 nodal-diffusion core simulator was used as a full-core reactor physics solver to emulate the operation of a reactor and to generate training, and validation data for the ANN. The ANN was implemented with dedicated Python 3.8 code with Google's TensorFlow 2.0 library. The effort was based to a large extent on the process of appropriate automatic transformation of data generated by PARCS simulator, which was later used in the process of the ANN development. Various methods that allow obtaining better accuracy of the ANN predicted results were studied, such as trying different ANN architectures to find the optimal number of neurons in the hidden layers of the network. Results were later compared with the architectures proposed in the literature. For the selected best architecture predictions were made for different core parameters and their dependence on core loading patterns. In this study, a special focus was put on the prediction of the fuel cycle length for a given core loading pattern, as it can be considered one of the targets for plant economic operation. For instance, the length of a single fuel cycle depending on the initial core loading pattern was predicted with very good accuracy (>99%). This work contributes to the exploration of the usefulness of neural networks in solving nuclear reactor design problems. Thanks to the application of ANN, designers can avoid using an excessive amount of core simulator runs and more rapidly explore the space of possible solutions before performing more detailed design considerations.