• Energy Research

Pathways leading to a carbon neutral future for the German energy system have to deal with the expected phase-out of coal-fired power generation, in addition to the shutdown of nuclear power plants and the rapid ramp-up of photovoltaics and wind power generation. An analysis of the expected impact on electricity market, security of supply, and system stability must consider the European context because of the strong coupling—both from an economic and a system operation point of view—through the cross-border power exchange of Germany with its neighbors. This analysis, complemented by options to improve the existing development plans, is the purpose of this paper. We propose a multilevel energy system modeling, including electricity market, network congestion management, and system stability, to identify challenges for the years 2023 and 2035. Out of the results, we would like to highlight the positive role of innovative combined heat and power (CHP) solutions securing power and heat supply, the importance of a network congestion management utilizing flexibility from sector coupling, and the essential network extension plans. Network congestion and reduced security margins will become the new normal. We conclude that future energy systems require expanded flexibilities in combination with forward planning of operation.

AbstractMost recently, the European energy system has undergone a fundamental transformation to meet decarbonization targets without compromising the security of the energy supply. The transition involves several energy-generating and consuming sectors emphasizing sector coupling. The increase in the share of renewable energy sources has revealed the need for flexibility in supporting the electricity grid to cope with the resulting high degree of uncertainty. The new technologies accompanying the energy system transition and the recent political crisis in Europe threatening the security of the energy supply have invalidated the experience from the past by drastically changing the conventional scenarios. Hence, supporting strategic planning tools with detailed operational energy network models with appropriate mathematical precision has become more important than ever to understand the impacts of these disruptive changes. In this paper, we propose a workflow to investigate optimal energy transition pathways considering sector coupling. This workflow involves an integrated operational analysis of the electricity market, its transmission grid, and the gas grid in high spatio-temporal resolution. Thus, the workflow enables decision-makers to evaluate the reliability of high-level models even in case of disruptive events. We demonstrate the capabilities of the proposed workflow using results from a pan-European case study. The case study, spanning 2020–2050, illustrates that feasible potential pathways to carbon neutrality are heavily influenced by political and technological constraints. Through integrated operational analysis, we identify scenarios where strategic decisions become costly or infeasible given the existing electricity and gas networks.

The growing adoption of behind-the-meter (BTM) photovoltaic (PV) systems, electric vehicle (EV) home chargers, and heat pumps (HPs) is causing increased grid congestion issues, particularly in power distribution grids. Leveraging BTM prosumer flexibility offers a cost-effective and readily available solution to address these issues without resorting to expensive and time-consuming infrastructure upgrades. This work evaluated the effectiveness of this solution by introducing a novel modeling framework that combines a rolling horizon (RH) optimal power flow (OPF) algorithm with a customized piecewise linear cost function. This framework allows for the individual control of flexible BTM assets through various control measures, while modeling the power flow (PF) and accounting for grid constraints. We demonstrated the practical utility of the proposed framework in an exemplary residential region in Schutterwald, Germany. To this end, we constructed a PF-ready grid model for the region, geographically allocated a future BTM asset mix, and generated tailored load and generation profiles for each household. We found that BTM storage systems optimized for self-consumption can fully resolve feed-in violations at HV/MV stations but only mitigate 35% of the future load violations. Implementing additional control measures is key for addressing the remaining load violations. While curative measures, e.g., temporarily limiting EV charging or HP usage, have minimal impacts, proactive measures that control both the charging and discharging of BTM storage systems can effectively address the remaining load violations, even for grids that are already operating at or near full capacity.

Abstract In order to reach the goals of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, a stepwise reduction of energy related greenhouse gas emissions as well as an increase in the share of renewable energies is necessary. For a successful realization of these changes in energy supply, an integrated view of multiple energy sectors is necessary. The coupling of different energy sectors is seen as an option to achieve the climate goals in a cost-effective way. In this paper, a methodical approach for multi-modal energy system planning and technology impact evaluation is presented. A key feature of the model is a coupled consideration of the sectors electricity, heat, fuel and mobility. The modeling framework enables system planners to optimally plan future investments in a detailed transition pathway of the energy system of a country, considering politically defined climate goals. Based on these calculations, in-depth analyses of energy markets as well as electrical transmission and distribution grids can be performed using the presented optimization models. Energy demands, conversion and storage technologies in households, the Commerce, Trade and Services (CTS) area and the industry are modeled employing a bottom-up modeling approach. The results for the optimal planning of the German energy system until 2050 show that the combination of an increased share of renewable energies and the direct electrification of heat and mobility sectors together with the use of synthetic fuels are the main drivers to achieve the climate goals in a cost-efficient way.

2019 54th International Universities Power Engineering Conference (UPEC) : [Proceedings] 2019 54th International Universities Power Engineering Conference, UPEC, Bucharest, Romania, 3 Sep 2019 - 6 Sep 2019; IEEE (2019). doi:10.1109/UPEC.2019.8893472 Published by IEEE

Innovative Solutions for Energy Transitions / Edited by Jinyue Yan, Hong-xing Yang, Hailong Li, Xi Chen 10th International Conference on Applied Energy, ICAE2018, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, 22 Aug 2018 - 25 Aug 2018; Amsterdam [u.a.] : Elsevier, Energy Procedia 158, 3482-3487 (2018). doi:10.1016/j.egypro.2019.01.923 Published by Elsevier, Amsterdam [u.a.]