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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2018Embargo end date: 01 Jan 2018 United Kingdom, Austria, SwitzerlandPublisher:IOP Publishing Funded by:EC | CD-LINKSEC| CD-LINKSAuthors:Kiyoshi Takahashi;
Kiyoshi Takahashi
Kiyoshi Takahashi in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREXuanming Su;
Xuanming Su
Xuanming Su in OpenAIREPetr Havlik;
+6 AuthorsPetr Havlik
Petr Havlik in OpenAIREKiyoshi Takahashi;
Kiyoshi Takahashi
Kiyoshi Takahashi in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREXuanming Su;
Xuanming Su
Xuanming Su in OpenAIREPetr Havlik;
Petr Havlik
Petr Havlik in OpenAIREJoeri Rogelj;
Tomoko Hasegawa; Tomoko Hasegawa;Joeri Rogelj
Joeri Rogelj in OpenAIREKeywan Riahi;
Keywan Riahi;Keywan Riahi
Keywan Riahi in OpenAIREVolker Krey;
Volker Krey
Volker Krey in OpenAIREhandle: 10044/1/78148
Climate change mitigation to limit warming to 1.5 °C or well below 2 °C, as suggested by the Paris Agreement, can rely on large-scale deployment of land-related measures (e.g. afforestation, or bioenergy production). This can increase food prices, and hence raises food security concerns. Here we show how an inclusive policy design can avoid these adverse side-effects. Food-security support through international aid, bioenergy tax, or domestic reallocation of income can shield impoverished and vulnerable people from the additional risk of hunger that would be caused by the economic effects of policies narrowly focussing on climate objectives only. In the absence of such support, 35% more people might be at risk of hunger by 2050 (i.e. 84 million additional people) in a 2 °C-consistent scenario. The additional global welfare changes due to inclusive climate policies are small (<0.1%) compared to the total climate mitigation cost (3.7% welfare loss), and the financial costs of international aid amount to about half a percent of high-income countries' GDP. This implies that climate policy should treat this issue carefully. Although there are challenges to implement food policies, options exist to avoid the food security concerns often linked to climate mitigation. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (7) ISSN:1748-9326 ISSN:1748-9318
Imperial College Lon... arrow_drop_down Imperial College London: SpiralArticle . 2018License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/78148Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018Data sources: Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryEnvironmental Research LettersArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 45 citations 45 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Imperial College Lon... arrow_drop_down Imperial College London: SpiralArticle . 2018License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/78148Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryArticle . 2018Data sources: Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryEnvironmental Research LettersArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1088/1748-9326/aad0f7&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2018 IrelandPublisher:MDPI AG Publicly fundedAuthors:Shivika Mittal;
Jing-Yu Liu;Shivika Mittal
Shivika Mittal in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREPriyadarshi Ramprasad Shukla;
Priyadarshi Ramprasad Shukla
Priyadarshi Ramprasad Shukla in OpenAIREdoi: 10.3390/en11092213
handle: 10468/9217
The goal of limiting global temperature rise to “well below” 2 °C has been reaffirmed in the Paris Agreement on climate change at the 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21). Almost all countries submitted their decarbonization targets in their Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and India did as well. India’s nationally determined contribution (NDC) aims to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions intensity of national GDP in 2030 by 33–35% compared to 2005. This paper analyzes how India’s NDC commitments compare with emission trajectories consistent with well below 2 °C and 1.5 °C global temperature stabilization goals. A top-down computable general equilibrium model is used for the analysis. Our analysis shows that there are significant emission gaps between NDC and global climate stabilization targets in 2030. The energy system requires significant changes, mostly relying on renewable energy and carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology. The mitigation costs would increase if India delays its abatement efforts and is locked into NDC pathways till 2030. India’s GHG emissions would peak 10 years earlier under 1.5 °C global temperature stabilization compared to the 2 °C goal. The results imply that India would need financial and technological support from developed countries to achieve emissions reductions aligned with the global long-term goal.
Energies arrow_drop_down EnergiesOther literature type . 2018License: CC BYFull-Text: http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/9/2213/pdfData sources: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing InstituteCork Open Research Archive (CORA)Article . 2018License: CC BYFull-Text: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/9/2213Data sources: Cork Open Research Archive (CORA)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.3390/en11092213&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess Routesgold 20 citations 20 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Energies arrow_drop_down EnergiesOther literature type . 2018License: CC BYFull-Text: http://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/9/2213/pdfData sources: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing InstituteCork Open Research Archive (CORA)Article . 2018License: CC BYFull-Text: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/11/9/2213Data sources: Cork Open Research Archive (CORA)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.3390/en11092213&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2020 France, Germany, France, Netherlands, France, Netherlands, United Kingdom, FrancePublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Authors:Silvana Mima;
Silvana Mima
Silvana Mima in OpenAIREPatrick Lamers;
Patrick Lamers
Patrick Lamers in OpenAIREVassilis Daioglou;
Vassilis Daioglou; +12 AuthorsVassilis Daioglou
Vassilis Daioglou in OpenAIRESilvana Mima;
Silvana Mima
Silvana Mima in OpenAIREPatrick Lamers;
Patrick Lamers
Patrick Lamers in OpenAIREVassilis Daioglou;
Vassilis Daioglou; Martin Junginger;Vassilis Daioglou
Vassilis Daioglou in OpenAIREFlorian Leblanc;
Florian Leblanc
Florian Leblanc in OpenAIRENico Bauer;
Alban Kitous;Nico Bauer
Nico Bauer in OpenAIREAlexandre C. Köberle;
Alexandre C. Köberle
Alexandre C. Köberle in OpenAIREEtsushi Kato;
Marshal Wise;Etsushi Kato
Etsushi Kato in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREMatteo Muratori;
Matteo Muratori
Matteo Muratori in OpenAIREDetlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren;Detlef P. van Vuuren
Detlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREhandle: 10044/1/85732
AbstractMost climate change mitigation scenarios rely on increased use of bioenergy to decarbonize the energy system. Here we use results from the 33rd Energy Modeling Forum study (EMF-33) to investigate projected international bioenergy trade for different integrated assessment models across several climate change mitigation scenarios. Results show that in scenarios with no climate policy, international bioenergy trade is likely to increase over time, and becomes even more important when climate targets are set. More stringent climate targets, however, do not necessarily imply greater bioenergy trade compared to weaker targets, as final energy demand may be reduced. However, the scaling up of bioenergy trade happens sooner and at a faster rate with increasing climate target stringency. Across models, for a scenario likely to achieve a 2 °C target, 10–45 EJ/year out of a total global bioenergy consumption of 72–214 EJ/year are expected to be traded across nine world regions by 2050. While this projection is greater than the present trade volumes of coal or natural gas, it remains below the present trade of crude oil. This growth in bioenergy trade largely replaces the trade in fossil fuels (especially oil) which is projected to decrease significantly over the twenty-first century. As climate change mitigation scenarios often show diversified energy systems, in which numerous world regions can act as bioenergy suppliers, the projections do not necessarily lead to energy security concerns. Nonetheless, rapid growth in the trade of bioenergy is projected in strict climate mitigation scenarios, raising questions about infrastructure, logistics, financing options, and global standards for bioenergy production and trade.
Publication Database... arrow_drop_down Imperial College London: SpiralArticle . 2020License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/85732Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryArticle . 2020License: CC BYData sources: Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1007/s10584-020-02877-1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 31 citations 31 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Publication Database... arrow_drop_down Imperial College London: SpiralArticle . 2020License: CC BYFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/85732Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryArticle . 2020License: CC BYData sources: Spiral - Imperial College Digital RepositoryInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)CIRAD: HAL (Agricultural Research for Development)Article . 2020Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1007/s10584-020-02877-1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2021 AustriaPublisher:American Geophysical Union (AGU) Authors:Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; Fang Li; +8 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; Fang Li;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREKiyoshi Takahashi;
Kiyoshi Takahashi
Kiyoshi Takahashi in OpenAIREAkihiko Ito;
Akihiko Ito
Akihiko Ito in OpenAIRETomoko Hasegawa;
Tomoko Hasegawa; Tomoko Hasegawa; Jun’ya Takakura; D. K. Lee;Tomoko Hasegawa
Tomoko Hasegawa in OpenAIREC. Y. Park;
C. Y. Park
C. Y. Park in OpenAIREdoi: 10.1029/2020ef001786
AbstractGlobally, many parts of fire emissions are driven by deforestation. However, few studies have attempted to evaluate deforestation and vegetation degradation fires (DDF) and predict how they will change in the future. In this study, we expanded a fire model used in the Community Land Model to reflect the diverse causes of DDF. This enabled us to differentiate DDFs by cause (climate change, wood harvesting, and cropland, pastureland, and urban land‐use changes) and seasonality. We then predicted the state of fire regimes in the 2050s and 2090s under RCP 2.6 and RCP 6.0 scenarios. Our results indicate that the area affected by global total fires will decrease from the current 452 to 211–378 Mha yr−1 in the 2090s under RCP 6.0 and to 184–333 Mha yr−1 under RCP 2.6, mainly due to socioeconomic factors such as population and economic growth. We also predict that DDF will decrease from the current 73 million hectares per year (Mha yr−1) to 54–66 Mha yr−1 in the 2090s under RCP 6.0 and 46–55 Mha yr−1 under RCP 2.6. The main contributor to these decreases in DDF burned area was climate change, especially the increasing of precipitation. The impact of future land use change on future DDF was similar or slightly lower than present‐day. South America, Indonesia, and Australia were identified as high‐risk regions for future DDF, mainly due to the expansion of wood harvest and pastureland. Appropriate land and fire management policies will be needed to reduce future fire damage in these areas.
IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1029/2020ef001786&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 10 citations 10 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1029/2020ef001786&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2019 Austria, JapanPublisher:IOP Publishing Authors: Jun’ya Takakura;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; +8 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREJun’ya Takakura;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREWenchao Wu;
Wenchao Wu
Wenchao Wu in OpenAIREKiyoshi Takahashi;
Kiyoshi Takahashi
Kiyoshi Takahashi in OpenAIREJing-Yu Liu;
Jing-Yu Liu;Jing-Yu Liu
Jing-Yu Liu in OpenAIRETomoko Hasegawa;
Tomoko Hasegawa; Tomoko Hasegawa; Toshihiko Masui;Tomoko Hasegawa
Tomoko Hasegawa in OpenAIREhandle: 2433/255847
Abstract The Paris Agreement set long-term global climate goals to pursue stabilization of the global mean temperature increase at below 2 °C (the so-called 2 °C goal). Individual countries submitted their own short-term targets, mostly for the year 2030. Meanwhile, the UN’s sustainable development goals (SDGs) were designed to help set multiple societal goals with respect to socioeconomic development, the environment, and other issues. Climate policies can lead to intended or unintended consequences in various sectors, but these types of side effects rarely have been studied in China, where climate policies will play an important role in global greenhouse gas emissions and sustainable development is a major goal. This study identified the extent to which climate policies in line with the 2 °C goal could have multi-sectoral consequences in China. Carbon constraints in China in the 2Deg scenario are set to align with the global 2 °C target based on the emissions per capita convergence principle. Carbon policies for NDC pledges as well as policies in China regarding renewables, air pollution control, and land management were also simulated. The results show that energy security and air quality have co-benefits related to climate policies, whereas food security and land resources experienced negative side effects (trade-offs). Near-term climate actions were shown to help reduce these trade-offs in the mid-term. A policy package that included food and land subsidies also helped achieve climate targets while avoiding the adverse side effects caused by the mitigation policies. The findings should help policymakers in China develop win–win policies that do not negatively affect some sectors, which could potentially enhance their ability to take climate actions to realize the global 2 °C goal within the context of sustainable development.
IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1088/1748-9326/ab59c4&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 24 citations 24 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1088/1748-9326/ab59c4&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2021 Japan, AustriaPublisher:Elsevier BV Authors:Tomoki Ehara;
Tomoki Ehara
Tomoki Ehara in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; +2 AuthorsShinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIRETomoki Ehara;
Tomoki Ehara
Tomoki Ehara in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Shinichiro Fujimori; Yuki Ochi;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREKen Oshiro;
Ken Oshiro
Ken Oshiro in OpenAIREhandle: 2433/276537
Abstract Japan’s mid-century strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 80% in 2050 would require large-scale energy system transformation and associated increases in mitigation costs. Nevertheless, the role of energy demand reduction, especially reductions related to energy services such as behavioral changes and material use efficiency improvements, have not been sufficiently evaluated. This study aims to identify key challenges and opportunities of the decarbonization goal when considering the role of energy service demand reduction. To this end, we used a detailed bottom-up energy system model in conjunction with an energy service demand model to explore energy system changes and their cost implications. The results indicate that final energy demand in 2050 can be cut by 37% relative to the no-policy case through energy service demand reduction measures. Although the lack of carbon capture and storage would cause mitigation costs to double or more, these economic impacts can be offset by energy service demand reduction. Among energy demand sectors, the impact of industrial service demand reduction is largest, as it contributes to reducing residual emissions from the industry sector. These findings highlight the importance of energy service demand reduction measures for meeting national climate goals in addition to technological options.
IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 44 citations 44 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.energy.2021.120464&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Part of book or chapter of book , Journal 2016 AustriaPublisher:IOP Publishing Authors: Toshihiko Masui;Shinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori; Jing-Yu Liu;Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREEach country’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) pledges an emission target for 2025 or 2030. Here, we evaluated the INDC inter-generational and inter-regional equity by comparing scenarios with INDC emissions target in 2030 and with an immediate emission reduction associated with a global uniform carbon price using Asian-Pacific Integrated Model/Computable General Equilibrium. Both scenarios eventually achieve 2 °C target. The results showed that, as compared with an immediate emission reduction scenario, the inter-generational equity status is not favorable for INDC scenario and the future generation suffers more from delayed mitigation. Moreover, this conclusion was robust to the wide range of inequality aversion parameter that determines discount rate. On the other hand, the INDC scenario has better inter-regional equity in the early part of the century than does the immediate emission reduction scenario in which we assume a global carbon price during the period up to 2030. However, inter-regional equity worsens later in the century. The additional emissions reduction to the INDC in 2030 would improve both inter- and inter-regional equity as compared to the current INDC. We also suggest that countries should commit to more emissions reductions in the follow-up INDC communications and that continuous consideration for low-income countries is needed for global climate change cooperation after 2030.
IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down https://doi.org/10.1007/978-98...Part of book or chapter of book . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Springer TDMData sources: CrossrefIIASA DAREPart of book or chapter of book . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114004&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 13 citations 13 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down https://doi.org/10.1007/978-98...Part of book or chapter of book . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: Springer TDMData sources: CrossrefIIASA DAREPart of book or chapter of book . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114004&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 2024 Germany, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Netherlands, Italy, Netherlands, Netherlands, France, Netherlands, Netherlands, United Kingdom, France, NetherlandsPublisher:American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) Funded by:DFG | German Centre for Integra..., FCT | LA 1DFG| German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research - iDiv ,FCT| LA 1Authors:Henrique M. Pereira;
Henrique M. Pereira
Henrique M. Pereira in OpenAIREInês S. Martins;
Isabel M. D. Rosa;Inês S. Martins
Inês S. Martins in OpenAIREHyeJin Kim;
+53 AuthorsHyeJin Kim
HyeJin Kim in OpenAIREHenrique M. Pereira;
Henrique M. Pereira
Henrique M. Pereira in OpenAIREInês S. Martins;
Isabel M. D. Rosa;Inês S. Martins
Inês S. Martins in OpenAIREHyeJin Kim;
HyeJin Kim
HyeJin Kim in OpenAIREPaul Leadley;
Paul Leadley
Paul Leadley in OpenAIREAlexander Popp;
Alexander Popp
Alexander Popp in OpenAIREDetlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren
Detlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIREGeorge Hurtt;
George Hurtt
George Hurtt in OpenAIRELuise Quoss;
Luise Quoss
Luise Quoss in OpenAIREAlmut Arneth;
Almut Arneth
Almut Arneth in OpenAIREDaniele Baisero;
Daniele Baisero
Daniele Baisero in OpenAIREMichel Bakkenes;
Michel Bakkenes
Michel Bakkenes in OpenAIRERebecca Chaplin-Kramer;
Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer
Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer in OpenAIRELouise Chini;
Louise Chini
Louise Chini in OpenAIREMoreno Di Marco;
Moreno Di Marco
Moreno Di Marco in OpenAIRESimon Ferrier;
Simon Ferrier
Simon Ferrier in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIRECarlos A. Guerra;
Carlos A. Guerra
Carlos A. Guerra in OpenAIREMichael Harfoot;
Michael Harfoot
Michael Harfoot in OpenAIREThomas D. Harwood;
Thomas D. Harwood
Thomas D. Harwood in OpenAIRETomoko Hasegawa;
Vanessa Haverd;Tomoko Hasegawa
Tomoko Hasegawa in OpenAIREPetr Havlík;
Petr Havlík
Petr Havlík in OpenAIREStefanie Hellweg;
Stefanie Hellweg
Stefanie Hellweg in OpenAIREJelle P. Hilbers;
Jelle P. Hilbers
Jelle P. Hilbers in OpenAIRESamantha L. L. Hill;
Samantha L. L. Hill
Samantha L. L. Hill in OpenAIREAkiko Hirata;
Akiko Hirata
Akiko Hirata in OpenAIREAndrew J. Hoskins;
Andrew J. Hoskins
Andrew J. Hoskins in OpenAIREFlorian Humpenöder;
Florian Humpenöder
Florian Humpenöder in OpenAIREJan H. Janse;
Jan H. Janse
Jan H. Janse in OpenAIREWalter Jetz;
Walter Jetz
Walter Jetz in OpenAIREJustin A. Johnson;
Justin A. Johnson
Justin A. Johnson in OpenAIREAndreas Krause;
Andreas Krause
Andreas Krause in OpenAIREDavid Leclère;
David Leclère
David Leclère in OpenAIRETetsuya Matsui;
Tetsuya Matsui
Tetsuya Matsui in OpenAIREJohan R. Meijer;
Cory Merow;Johan R. Meijer
Johan R. Meijer in OpenAIREMichael Obersteiner;
Michael Obersteiner
Michael Obersteiner in OpenAIREHaruka Ohashi;
Haruka Ohashi
Haruka Ohashi in OpenAIREAdriana De Palma;
Adriana De Palma
Adriana De Palma in OpenAIREBenjamin Poulter;
Benjamin Poulter
Benjamin Poulter in OpenAIREAndy Purvis;
Andy Purvis
Andy Purvis in OpenAIREBenjamin Quesada;
Benjamin Quesada
Benjamin Quesada in OpenAIRECarlo Rondinini;
Carlo Rondinini
Carlo Rondinini in OpenAIREAafke M. Schipper;
Aafke M. Schipper
Aafke M. Schipper in OpenAIREJosef Settele;
Josef Settele
Josef Settele in OpenAIRERichard Sharp;
Elke Stehfest; Bernardo B. N. Strassburg;Richard Sharp
Richard Sharp in OpenAIREKiyoshi Takahashi;
Kiyoshi Takahashi
Kiyoshi Takahashi in OpenAIREMatthew V. Talluto;
Matthew V. Talluto
Matthew V. Talluto in OpenAIREWilfried Thuiller;
Wilfried Thuiller
Wilfried Thuiller in OpenAIRENicolas Titeux;
Nicolas Titeux
Nicolas Titeux in OpenAIREPiero Visconti;
Christopher Ware;Piero Visconti
Piero Visconti in OpenAIREFlorian Wolf;
Florian Wolf
Florian Wolf in OpenAIRERob Alkemade;
Rob Alkemade
Rob Alkemade in OpenAIREBased on an extensive model intercomparison, we assessed trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from historical reconstructions and future scenarios of land-use and climate change. During the 20th century, biodiversity declined globally by 2 to 11%, as estimated by a range of indicators. Provisioning ecosystem services increased several fold, and regulating services decreased moderately. Going forward, policies toward sustainability have the potential to slow biodiversity loss resulting from land-use change and the demand for provisioning services while reducing or reversing declines in regulating services. However, negative impacts on biodiversity due to climate change appear poised to increase, particularly in the higher-emissions scenarios. Our assessment identifies remaining modeling uncertainties but also robustly shows that renewed policy efforts are needed to meet the goals of the Convention on Biological Diversity.
Science arrow_drop_down KITopen (Karlsruhe Institute of Technologie)Article . 2024Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université Savoie Mont Blanc: HALArticle . 2024Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2024Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1126/science.adn3441&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 64 citations 64 popularity Average influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Science arrow_drop_down KITopen (Karlsruhe Institute of Technologie)Article . 2024Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Université Savoie Mont Blanc: HALArticle . 2024Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2024Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1126/science.adn3441&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2024 Austria, JapanPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Authors:Ken Oshiro;
Ken Oshiro
Ken Oshiro in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREAbstractClimate change mitigation generally require rapid decarbonization in the power sector, including phase-out of fossil fuel-fired generators. Given recent technological developments, co-firing of hydrogen or ammonia, could help decarbonize fossil-based generators, but little is known about how its effects would play out globally. Here, we explore this topic using an energy system model. The results indicate that hydrogen co-firing occurs solely in stringent mitigation like 1.5 °C scenarios, where around half of existing coal and gas power capacity can be retrofitted for hydrogen co-firing, reducing stranded capacity, mainly in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries and Asia. However, electricity supply from co-firing generators is limited to about 1% of total electricity generation, because hydrogen co-firing is mainly used as a backup option to balance the variable renewable energies. The incremental fuel cost of hydrogen results in lower capacity factor of hydrogen co-fired generators, whereas low-carbon hydrogen contributes to reducing emission cost associated with carbon pricing. While hydrogen co-firing may play a role in balancing intermittency of variable renewable energies, it will not seriously delay the phase-out of fossil-based generators.
IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41467-024-46101-5&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 9 citations 9 popularity Average influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1038/s41467-024-46101-5&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 2023 AustriaPublisher:IOP Publishing Authors:Takahiro Oda;
Takahiro Oda
Takahiro Oda in OpenAIREJun’ya Takakura;
Jun’ya Takakura
Jun’ya Takakura in OpenAIRELonglong Tang;
Longlong Tang
Longlong Tang in OpenAIREToshichika Iizumi;
+19 AuthorsToshichika Iizumi
Toshichika Iizumi in OpenAIRETakahiro Oda;
Takahiro Oda
Takahiro Oda in OpenAIREJun’ya Takakura;
Jun’ya Takakura
Jun’ya Takakura in OpenAIRELonglong Tang;
Longlong Tang
Longlong Tang in OpenAIREToshichika Iizumi;
Toshichika Iizumi
Toshichika Iizumi in OpenAIRENorihiro Itsubo;
Norihiro Itsubo
Norihiro Itsubo in OpenAIREHaruka Ohashi;
Haruka Ohashi
Haruka Ohashi in OpenAIREMasashi Kiguchi;
Masashi Kiguchi
Masashi Kiguchi in OpenAIRENaoko Kumano;
Naoko Kumano
Naoko Kumano in OpenAIREKiyoshi Takahashi;
Kiyoshi Takahashi
Kiyoshi Takahashi in OpenAIREMasahiro Tanoue;
Makoto Tamura;Masahiro Tanoue
Masahiro Tanoue in OpenAIREQian Zhou;
Qian Zhou
Qian Zhou in OpenAIRENaota Hanasaki;
Naota Hanasaki
Naota Hanasaki in OpenAIRETomoko Hasegawa;
Tomoko Hasegawa
Tomoko Hasegawa in OpenAIREChan Park;
Chan Park
Chan Park in OpenAIREYasuaki Hijioka;
Yasuaki Hijioka
Yasuaki Hijioka in OpenAIREYukiko Hirabayashi;
Yukiko Hirabayashi
Yukiko Hirabayashi in OpenAIREShinichiro Fujimori;
Shinichiro Fujimori
Shinichiro Fujimori in OpenAIREYasushi Honda;
Yasushi Honda
Yasushi Honda in OpenAIRETetsuya Matsui;
Tetsuya Matsui
Tetsuya Matsui in OpenAIREHiroyuki Matsuda;
Hiromune Yokoki;Hiroyuki Matsuda
Hiroyuki Matsuda in OpenAIRETaikan Oki;
Taikan Oki
Taikan Oki in OpenAIREAbstract What will be the aggregated cost of climate change in achieving the Paris Agreement, including mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts? Several studies estimated the aggregated cost but did not always consider the critical issues. Some do not address non-market values such as biodiversity and human health, and most do not address differentiating discount rates. In this study, we estimate the aggregated cost of climate change using an integrated assessment model linked with detailed-process-based climate impact models and different discount rates for market and non-market values. The analysis reveals that a climate policy with minimal aggregated cost is sensitive to socioeconomic scenarios and the way discount rates are applied. The results elucidate that a lower discount rate to non-market value—that is, a higher estimate of future value—makes the aggregated cost of achieving the Paris Agreement economically reasonable.
IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1088/1748-9326/accdee&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 5 citations 5 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert IIASA DARE arrow_drop_down add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1088/1748-9326/accdee&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu