• Energy Research

Abstract Numerous occupant behavior models, typically stochastic ones, have been built to quantify the effect of occupants on building energy simulation, which however are supposed to go through a rigorous validation, or evaluation process to claim that they are qualified to be used in the application. Current contributions relevant with occupant behavior modeling in literature have been resorting to statistical metrics rather than those orienting on their application, causing the disputation in interpreting the accuracy of the occupant behavior models when they are actually used in simulation. Furthermore, the stochasticity of occupant behavior models necessitates statistical evaluation of the model accuracy, instead of the comparison between actual data and a single-run simulated data. This paper proposes a methodological framework for model evaluation from an application-oriented perspective, with lighting behavior as a case study. The metrics for evaluating lighting behavior models are identified according to different application scenarios, while the comparison between the measurement and simulation is done by introducing the statistical hypothesis testing. Analogous analyses on other behaviors can be conducted in the future, which altogether would foster more rigor and application significance in occupant behavior model evaluation.

Abstract The central role of occupants for achieving energy savings in residential buildings is increasingly recognised. Simulation programmes able to take into account occupant behaviour are considered to be powerful tools for bridging the gap between the predicted and the actual energy consumption for new buildings. Nevertheless, the majority of residential buildings that will constitute the housing stock in 2050 have already been built today, therefore occupant behaviour and building simulation tools need to be fully exploited for supporting the renovation of existing housing stock. The aim of this paper is to explore the role of occupant behaviour modelling in supporting decision-makers dealing with the design of renovation strategies for residential buildings. An Italian multi-family public housing building is assumed as case study to estimate the influence of three dimensions linked with occupant behaviour – management of the thermostat, management of the heating system, variation of building characteristics – on energy heating consumption. The results show that, while the occupant behaviour influences the heating loads up to 1/3 in case of high level of building retrofit, the less the building is renovated, the higher is the behavioural impact in absolute terms of energy reduction. Therefore, in order to be effective, renovation strategies are required to design appropriate informative instruments at an early stage to support behaviour changes towards responsible energy consumption.