• Energy Research

This research was funded by the European Research Council (ERC Grant agreement 647038, BIODESERT), the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (PID2020-116578RB-I00) and Generalitat Valenciana (CIDEGENT/2018/041), with additional support by the University of Alicante (UADIF22-74 and VIGROB22-350). F.T.M. acknowledges support from the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) and the KAUST Climate and Livability Initiative. D.J.E. is supported by the Hermon Slade Foundation. H.S. is supported by a María Zambrano fellowship funded by the Ministry of Universities and European Union-Next Generation plan. L.W. acknowledges support from the US National Science Foundation (EAR 1554894). B.B. and S.S. were supported by the Taylor Family–Asia Foundation Endowed Chair in Ecology and Conservation Biology. M.B. acknowledges support from a Ramón y Cajal grant from the Spanish Ministry of Science (RYC2021-031797-I). A.L. and L.K. acknowledge support from the German Research Foundation, DFG (grant CRC TRR228) and German Federal Government for Science and Education, BMBF (grants 01LL1802C and 01LC1821A). L.K. acknowledges travel funds from the Hans Merensky Foundation. A.N. and C. Branquinho acknowledge support from FCT—Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (CEECIND/02453/2018/CP1534/CT0001, PTDC/ASP-SIL/7743/2020, UIDB/00329/2020), from AdaptForGrazing project (PRR-C05-i03-I-000035) and from LTsER Montado platform (LTER_EU_PT_001). S.C.R. was supported by NASA (NNH22OB92A) and is grateful to E. Geiger, A. Howell, R. Reibold, N. Melone and M. Starbuck for field support. Any use of trade, firm or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the US Government. We thank the landowners for granting access to the sites and many people and their institutions for supporting our fieldwork activities: L. Eloff, J. J. Jordaan, E. Mudongo, V. Mokoka, B. Mokhou, T. Maphanga, D. Thompson (SAEON), A. S. K. Frank, R. Matjea, F. Hoffmann, C. Goebel, the University of Limpopo, South African Environmental Observation Network (SAEON), the South African Military and the Scientific Services Kruger National Park. Mineral-associated organic carbon (MAOC) constitutes a major fraction of global soil carbon and is assumed less sensitive to climate than particulate organic carbon (POC) due to protection by minerals. Despite its importance for long-term carbon storage, the response of MAOC to changing climates in drylands, which cover more than 40% of the global land area, remains unexplored. Here we assess topsoil organic carbon fractions across global drylands using a standardized field survey in 326 plots from 25 countries and 6 continents. We find that soil biogeochemistry explained the majority of variation in both MAOC and POC. Both carbon fractions decreased with increases in mean annual temperature and reductions in precipitation, with MAOC responding similarly to POC. Therefore, our results suggest that ongoing climate warming and aridification may result in unforeseen carbon losses across global drylands, and that the protective role of minerals may not dampen these effects. 19 páginas total artículo.- 3 figuras.- 33 referencias y 4 figuras.- 2 tablas.- 68 referencias.- The online version contains supplementary material available and extended data is available for this paper at https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02087-y No

This research was funded by the European Research Council (ERC Grant agreement 647038, BIODESERT), the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation (PID2020-116578RB-I00) and Generalitat Valenciana (CIDEGENT/2018/041), with additional support by the University of Alicante (UADIF22-74 and VIGROB22-350). F.T.M. acknowledges support from the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST) and the KAUST Climate and Livability Initiative. D.J.E. is supported by the Hermon Slade Foundation. H.S. is supported by a María Zambrano fellowship funded by the Ministry of Universities and European Union-Next Generation plan. L.W. acknowledges support from the US National Science Foundation (EAR 1554894). B.B. and S.S. were supported by the Taylor Family–Asia Foundation Endowed Chair in Ecology and Conservation Biology. M.B. acknowledges support from a Ramón y Cajal grant from the Spanish Ministry of Science (RYC2021-031797-I). A.L. and L.K. acknowledge support from the German Research Foundation, DFG (grant CRC TRR228) and German Federal Government for Science and Education, BMBF (grants 01LL1802C and 01LC1821A). L.K. acknowledges travel funds from the Hans Merensky Foundation. A.N. and C. Branquinho acknowledge support from FCT—Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (CEECIND/02453/2018/CP1534/CT0001, PTDC/ASP-SIL/7743/2020, UIDB/00329/2020), from AdaptForGrazing project (PRR-C05-i03-I-000035) and from LTsER Montado platform (LTER_EU_PT_001). S.C.R. was supported by NASA (NNH22OB92A) and is grateful to E. Geiger, A. Howell, R. Reibold, N. Melone and M. Starbuck for field support. Any use of trade, firm or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the US Government. We thank the landowners for granting access to the sites and many people and their institutions for supporting our fieldwork activities: L. Eloff, J. J. Jordaan, E. Mudongo, V. Mokoka, B. Mokhou, T. Maphanga, D. Thompson (SAEON), A. S. K. Frank, R. Matjea, F. Hoffmann, C. Goebel, the University of Limpopo, South African Environmental Observation Network (SAEON), the South African Military and the Scientific Services Kruger National Park. Mineral-associated organic carbon (MAOC) constitutes a major fraction of global soil carbon and is assumed less sensitive to climate than particulate organic carbon (POC) due to protection by minerals. Despite its importance for long-term carbon storage, the response of MAOC to changing climates in drylands, which cover more than 40% of the global land area, remains unexplored. Here we assess topsoil organic carbon fractions across global drylands using a standardized field survey in 326 plots from 25 countries and 6 continents. We find that soil biogeochemistry explained the majority of variation in both MAOC and POC. Both carbon fractions decreased with increases in mean annual temperature and reductions in precipitation, with MAOC responding similarly to POC. Therefore, our results suggest that ongoing climate warming and aridification may result in unforeseen carbon losses across global drylands, and that the protective role of minerals may not dampen these effects. 19 páginas total artículo.- 3 figuras.- 33 referencias y 4 figuras.- 2 tablas.- 68 referencias.- The online version contains supplementary material available and extended data is available for this paper at https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02087-y No

AbstractAimRange shifts are expected to occur when populations at one range margin perform better than those at the other margin, yet no global trend in population performances at range margins has been demonstrated empirically across a wide range of taxa and biomes. Here we test the prediction that, if impacts of ongoing climate change on performance in marginal populations are widespread, then populations from the high‐latitude margin (HLM) should perform as well as or better than central populations, whereas low‐latitude margin (LLM) populations should perform worse.LocationGlobal.Time period1995–2019.Major taxa studiedPlants and animals.MethodsTo test our prediction, we used a meta‐analysis to quantify empirical support for asymmetry in the performance of high‐ and low‐latitude margin populations compared to central populations. Performance estimates (survival, reproduction, or lifetime fitness) for populations occurring in their natural environment were derived from 51 papers involving 113 margin‐centre comparisons from 54 species and 705 populations from the Americas, Europe, Africa and Australia. We then related these performance differences to climatic differences among populations. We also tested whether patterns are consistent across taxonomic kingdoms (plants vs animals) and across realms (marine vs terrestrial).ResultsPopulations at margins performed significantly worse than central populations, and this trend was primarily driven by the low‐latitude margin. Although the difference was of small magnitude, it was largely consistent across biological kingdoms and realms. Differences in performance were weakly (p = .08) related to the difference in average temperatures between central and marginal populations.Main conclusionsThe observed asymmetry in performance in marginal populations is consistent with predictions about the effects of global climate change, though further research is needed to confirm the effect of climate. It indicates that changes in demographic rates in marginal populations can serve as early‐warning signals of impending range shifts.

AbstractAimRange shifts are expected to occur when populations at one range margin perform better than those at the other margin, yet no global trend in population performances at range margins has been demonstrated empirically across a wide range of taxa and biomes. Here we test the prediction that, if impacts of ongoing climate change on performance in marginal populations are widespread, then populations from the high‐latitude margin (HLM) should perform as well as or better than central populations, whereas low‐latitude margin (LLM) populations should perform worse.LocationGlobal.Time period1995–2019.Major taxa studiedPlants and animals.MethodsTo test our prediction, we used a meta‐analysis to quantify empirical support for asymmetry in the performance of high‐ and low‐latitude margin populations compared to central populations. Performance estimates (survival, reproduction, or lifetime fitness) for populations occurring in their natural environment were derived from 51 papers involving 113 margin‐centre comparisons from 54 species and 705 populations from the Americas, Europe, Africa and Australia. We then related these performance differences to climatic differences among populations. We also tested whether patterns are consistent across taxonomic kingdoms (plants vs animals) and across realms (marine vs terrestrial).ResultsPopulations at margins performed significantly worse than central populations, and this trend was primarily driven by the low‐latitude margin. Although the difference was of small magnitude, it was largely consistent across biological kingdoms and realms. Differences in performance were weakly (p = .08) related to the difference in average temperatures between central and marginal populations.Main conclusionsThe observed asymmetry in performance in marginal populations is consistent with predictions about the effects of global climate change, though further research is needed to confirm the effect of climate. It indicates that changes in demographic rates in marginal populations can serve as early‐warning signals of impending range shifts.