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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2017 Italy, United States, Australia, Australia, AustraliaPublisher:Copernicus GmbH Funded by:NSF | Collaborative Research: E..., NSF | AGS-PRF: Assessing Causes..., NSF | P2C2: Collaborative Resea... +6 projectsNSF| Collaborative Research: EaSM2--Quantifying and Conveying the Risk of Prolonged Drought in Coming Decades ,NSF| AGS-PRF: Assessing Causes of the Divergence between Past and Projected Responses of Global Aridity to Greenhouse Warming ,NSF| P2C2: Collaborative Research: Past Ocean-Atmosphere Variability from Spatiotemporal Patterns of North Atlantic Climate During the Common Era ,NSF| Collaborative Research: EaSM2--Quantifying and Conveying the Risk of Prolonged Drought in Coming Decades ,ARC| Special Research Initiative (Antarctic) - Grant ID: SR140300001 ,FCT| SWING2 ,NSF| Collaborative Research: P2C2--Reconstructing Hydroclimatic Asian Monsoon Variability for the Past Millennium from Tree Rings: Myanmar and Vicinity ,NSF| P2C2: Collaborative Research:Spatiotemporal Variability of Northwestern North American Temperatures in Response to Climatic Forcing ,ARC| Australian Laureate Fellowships - Grant ID: FL100100195Mukund Palat Rao; Brendan M. Buckley; Deepti Singh; Justin S. Mankin; Justin S. Mankin; Samantha Stevenson; Sophie C. Lewis; Sylvia G. Dee; Eduardo L. Piovano; Jason E. Smerdon; Johann H. Jungclaus; Wenmin Man; Martin Widmann; Jürg Luterbacher; Alex S. Lopatka; Benjamin I. Cook; Benjamin I. Cook; Flavio Lehner; Huan Zhang; Edward R. Cook; Bronwen Konecky; Charuta Kulkarni; Michael L. Griffiths; Kim M. Cobb; Christoph C. Raible; Jacob Scheff; Davide Zanchettin; Judson W. Partin; Yochanan Kushnir; Alyssa R. Atwood; Alyssa R. Atwood; Allegra N. LeGrande; Steven J. Phipps; Sloan Coats; Sloan Coats; Toby R. Ault; A. Park Williams; Nathan J. Steiger; Richard Seager; Jessica E. Tierney; Jonathan G. Palmer; Laia Andreu-Hayles; Elena Xoplaki; Hans W. Linderholm; Kevin J. Anchukaitis; Chris Colose; Seung H. Baek; Ailie J. E. Gallant; Bette L. Otto-Bliesner; Atsushi Okazaki; Thomas Felis; Gavin A. Schmidt; Justin T. Maxwell; Rosanne D'Arrigo; Caroline Leland;handle: 10278/3704781 , 1959.4/unsworks_51250
Abstract. Water availability is fundamental to societies and ecosystems, but our understanding of variations in hydroclimate (including extreme events, flooding, and decadal periods of drought) is limited because of a paucity of modern instrumental observations that are distributed unevenly across the globe and only span parts of the 20th and 21st centuries. Such data coverage is insufficient for characterizing hydroclimate and its associated dynamics because of its multidecadal to centennial variability and highly regionalized spatial signature. High-resolution (seasonal to decadal) hydroclimatic proxies that span all or parts of the Common Era (CE) and paleoclimate simulations from climate models are therefore important tools for augmenting our understanding of hydroclimate variability. In particular, the comparison of the two sources of information is critical for addressing the uncertainties and limitations of both while enriching each of their interpretations. We review the principal proxy data available for hydroclimatic reconstructions over the CE and highlight the contemporary understanding of how these proxies are interpreted as hydroclimate indicators. We also review the available last-millennium simulations from fully coupled climate models and discuss several outstanding challenges associated with simulating hydroclimate variability and change over the CE. A specific review of simulated hydroclimatic changes forced by volcanic events is provided, as is a discussion of expected improvements in estimated radiative forcings, models, and their implementation in the future. Our review of hydroclimatic proxies and last-millennium model simulations is used as the basis for articulating a variety of considerations and best practices for how to perform proxy–model comparisons of CE hydroclimate. This discussion provides a framework for how best to evaluate hydroclimate variability and its associated dynamics using these comparisons and how they can better inform interpretations of both proxy data and model simulations. We subsequently explore means of using proxy–model comparisons to better constrain and characterize future hydroclimate risks. This is explored specifically in the context of several examples that demonstrate how proxy–model comparisons can be used to quantitatively constrain future hydroclimatic risks as estimated from climate model projections.
CORE arrow_drop_down University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2017Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7d33h760Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)UNSWorksArticle . 2017License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_51250Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-201...Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2017Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/cp-13-1851-2017&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu108 citations 108 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% 
Powered by BIP!more_vert CORE arrow_drop_down University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2017Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7d33h760Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)UNSWorksArticle . 2017License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_51250Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-201...Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2017Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/cp-13-1851-2017&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu
description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2017 Italy, United States, Australia, Australia, AustraliaPublisher:Copernicus GmbH Funded by:NSF | Collaborative Research: E..., NSF | AGS-PRF: Assessing Causes..., NSF | P2C2: Collaborative Resea... +6 projectsNSF| Collaborative Research: EaSM2--Quantifying and Conveying the Risk of Prolonged Drought in Coming Decades ,NSF| AGS-PRF: Assessing Causes of the Divergence between Past and Projected Responses of Global Aridity to Greenhouse Warming ,NSF| P2C2: Collaborative Research: Past Ocean-Atmosphere Variability from Spatiotemporal Patterns of North Atlantic Climate During the Common Era ,NSF| Collaborative Research: EaSM2--Quantifying and Conveying the Risk of Prolonged Drought in Coming Decades ,ARC| Special Research Initiative (Antarctic) - Grant ID: SR140300001 ,FCT| SWING2 ,NSF| Collaborative Research: P2C2--Reconstructing Hydroclimatic Asian Monsoon Variability for the Past Millennium from Tree Rings: Myanmar and Vicinity ,NSF| P2C2: Collaborative Research:Spatiotemporal Variability of Northwestern North American Temperatures in Response to Climatic Forcing ,ARC| Australian Laureate Fellowships - Grant ID: FL100100195Mukund Palat Rao; Brendan M. Buckley; Deepti Singh; Justin S. Mankin; Justin S. Mankin; Samantha Stevenson; Sophie C. Lewis; Sylvia G. Dee; Eduardo L. Piovano; Jason E. Smerdon; Johann H. Jungclaus; Wenmin Man; Martin Widmann; Jürg Luterbacher; Alex S. Lopatka; Benjamin I. Cook; Benjamin I. Cook; Flavio Lehner; Huan Zhang; Edward R. Cook; Bronwen Konecky; Charuta Kulkarni; Michael L. Griffiths; Kim M. Cobb; Christoph C. Raible; Jacob Scheff; Davide Zanchettin; Judson W. Partin; Yochanan Kushnir; Alyssa R. Atwood; Alyssa R. Atwood; Allegra N. LeGrande; Steven J. Phipps; Sloan Coats; Sloan Coats; Toby R. Ault; A. Park Williams; Nathan J. Steiger; Richard Seager; Jessica E. Tierney; Jonathan G. Palmer; Laia Andreu-Hayles; Elena Xoplaki; Hans W. Linderholm; Kevin J. Anchukaitis; Chris Colose; Seung H. Baek; Ailie J. E. Gallant; Bette L. Otto-Bliesner; Atsushi Okazaki; Thomas Felis; Gavin A. Schmidt; Justin T. Maxwell; Rosanne D'Arrigo; Caroline Leland;handle: 10278/3704781 , 1959.4/unsworks_51250
Abstract. Water availability is fundamental to societies and ecosystems, but our understanding of variations in hydroclimate (including extreme events, flooding, and decadal periods of drought) is limited because of a paucity of modern instrumental observations that are distributed unevenly across the globe and only span parts of the 20th and 21st centuries. Such data coverage is insufficient for characterizing hydroclimate and its associated dynamics because of its multidecadal to centennial variability and highly regionalized spatial signature. High-resolution (seasonal to decadal) hydroclimatic proxies that span all or parts of the Common Era (CE) and paleoclimate simulations from climate models are therefore important tools for augmenting our understanding of hydroclimate variability. In particular, the comparison of the two sources of information is critical for addressing the uncertainties and limitations of both while enriching each of their interpretations. We review the principal proxy data available for hydroclimatic reconstructions over the CE and highlight the contemporary understanding of how these proxies are interpreted as hydroclimate indicators. We also review the available last-millennium simulations from fully coupled climate models and discuss several outstanding challenges associated with simulating hydroclimate variability and change over the CE. A specific review of simulated hydroclimatic changes forced by volcanic events is provided, as is a discussion of expected improvements in estimated radiative forcings, models, and their implementation in the future. Our review of hydroclimatic proxies and last-millennium model simulations is used as the basis for articulating a variety of considerations and best practices for how to perform proxy–model comparisons of CE hydroclimate. This discussion provides a framework for how best to evaluate hydroclimate variability and its associated dynamics using these comparisons and how they can better inform interpretations of both proxy data and model simulations. We subsequently explore means of using proxy–model comparisons to better constrain and characterize future hydroclimate risks. This is explored specifically in the context of several examples that demonstrate how proxy–model comparisons can be used to quantitatively constrain future hydroclimatic risks as estimated from climate model projections.
CORE arrow_drop_down University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2017Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7d33h760Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)UNSWorksArticle . 2017License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_51250Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-201...Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2017Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/cp-13-1851-2017&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu108 citations 108 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!more_vert CORE arrow_drop_down University of California: eScholarshipArticle . 2017Full-Text: https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7d33h760Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)UNSWorksArticle . 2017License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: http://hdl.handle.net/1959.4/unsworks_51250Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-201...Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefeScholarship - University of CaliforniaArticle . 2017Data sources: eScholarship - University of CaliforniaUniversity of Tasmania: UTas ePrintsArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5194/cp-13-1851-2017&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu