• Energy Research

Scientists must have an integrative understanding of ecology and evolution across spatial and temporal scales to predict how species will respond to global change. Although comprehensively investigating these processes in nature is challenging, the infrastructure and data from long-term ecological research networks can support cross-disciplinary investigations. We propose using these networks to advance our understanding of fundamental evolutionary processes and responses to global change. For ecologists, we outline how long-term ecological experiments can be expanded for evolutionary inquiry, and for evolutionary biologists, we illustrate how observed long-term ecological patterns may motivate new evolutionary questions. We advocate for collaborative, multi-site investigations and discuss barriers to conducting evolutionary work at network sites. Ultimately, these networks offer valuable information and opportunities to improve predictions of species' responses to global change.

Comprendre les relations entre le climat et l'échange de carbone par les écosystèmes terrestres est essentiel pour prédire les niveaux futurs de dioxyde de carbone atmosphérique en raison des effets d'accélération potentiels des rétroactions positives du cycle climat-carbone. Cependant, les relations directement observées entre le climat et l'échange de CO2 terrestre avec l'atmosphère à travers les biomes et les continents font défaut. Nous présentons ici des données décrivant les relations entre l'échange net de carbone par les écosystèmes (NEE) et les facteurs climatiques tels que mesurés à l'aide de la méthode de covariance de Foucault sur 125 sites uniques dans divers écosystèmes sur six continents avec un total de 559 années de site. Nous trouvons que le NEE observé aux sites de covariance tourbillonnaire est (1) une fonction forte de la température annuelle moyenne aux latitudes moyennes et élevées, (2) une fonction forte de la sécheresse aux latitudes moyennes et basses, et (3) une fonction à la fois de la température et de la sécheresse autour de la ceinture moyenne-latitudinale (45°N). La sensibilité du NEE à la température annuelle moyenne se décompose à ~ 16 °C (une valeur seuil de la température annuelle moyenne), au-delà de laquelle aucune augmentation supplémentaire de l'absorption de CO2 avec la température n'a été observée et la sécheresse influence les règles de dépassement de l'influence de la température. Comprender las relaciones entre el clima y el intercambio de carbono por parte de los ecosistemas terrestres es fundamental para predecir los niveles futuros de dióxido de carbono en la atmósfera debido a los posibles efectos aceleradores de las retroalimentaciones positivas del ciclo clima-carbono. Sin embargo, faltan relaciones directamente observadas entre el clima y el intercambio terrestre de CO2 con la atmósfera a través de biomas y continentes. Aquí presentamos datos que describen las relaciones entre el intercambio neto de carbono (NEE) del ecosistema y los factores climáticos medidos utilizando el método de covarianza de remolinos en 125 sitios únicos en varios ecosistemas de seis continentes con un total de 559 años-sitio. Encontramos que la NEE observada en los sitios de covarianza de remolinos es (1) una fuerte función de la temperatura media anual en latitudes medias y altas, (2) una fuerte función de sequedad en latitudes medias y bajas, y (3) una función tanto de la temperatura como de la sequedad alrededor del cinturón latitudinal medio (45°N). La sensibilidad de NEE a la temperatura media anual se rompe a ~ 16 °C (un valor umbral de la temperatura media anual), por encima del cual no se observó ningún aumento adicional de la absorción de CO2 con la temperatura y la influencia de la sequedad anula la influencia de la temperatura. Understanding the relationships between climate and carbon exchange by terrestrial ecosystems is critical to predict future levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide because of the potential accelerating effects of positive climate–carbon cycle feedbacks. However, directly observed relationships between climate and terrestrial CO2 exchange with the atmosphere across biomes and continents are lacking. Here we present data describing the relationships between net ecosystem exchange of carbon (NEE) and climate factors as measured using the eddy covariance method at 125 unique sites in various ecosystems over six continents with a total of 559 site-years. We find that NEE observed at eddy covariance sites is (1) a strong function of mean annual temperature at mid- and high-latitudes, (2) a strong function of dryness at mid- and low-latitudes, and (3) a function of both temperature and dryness around the mid-latitudinal belt (45°N). The sensitivity of NEE to mean annual temperature breaks down at ~ 16 °C (a threshold value of mean annual temperature), above which no further increase of CO2 uptake with temperature was observed and dryness influence overrules temperature influence. يعد فهم العلاقات بين المناخ وتبادل الكربون بواسطة النظم الإيكولوجية الأرضية أمرًا بالغ الأهمية للتنبؤ بالمستويات المستقبلية لثاني أكسيد الكربون في الغلاف الجوي بسبب التأثيرات المتسارعة المحتملة للتغذية المرتدة الإيجابية لدورة المناخ والكربون. ومع ذلك، لا توجد علاقات ملحوظة مباشرة بين المناخ والتبادل الأرضي لثاني أكسيد الكربون مع الغلاف الجوي عبر المناطق الحيوية والقارات. نقدم هنا بيانات تصف العلاقات بين صافي تبادل النظام البيئي للكربون (NEE) والعوامل المناخية كما تم قياسها باستخدام طريقة التباين الدوامي في 125 موقعًا فريدًا في أنظمة بيئية مختلفة عبر ست قارات بإجمالي 559 سنة موقع. نجد أن NEE التي لوحظت في مواقع التباين الدوامي هي (1) وظيفة قوية لمتوسط درجة الحرارة السنوية عند خطوط العرض المتوسطة والعالية، (2) وظيفة قوية للجفاف عند خطوط العرض المتوسطة والمنخفضة، و (3) وظيفة لكل من درجة الحرارة والجفاف حول حزام العرض المتوسط (45درجةشمالاً). تنهار حساسية NEE لمتوسط درجة الحرارة السنوية عند حوالي 16 درجة مئوية (قيمة عتبة لمتوسط درجة الحرارة السنوية)، والتي لم يلاحظ فوقها أي زيادة أخرى في امتصاص ثاني أكسيد الكربون مع درجة الحرارة ويتجاوز تأثير الجفاف تأثير درجة الحرارة.

• It is well established that individual organisms can acclimate and adapt to temperature to optimize their functioning. However, thermal optimization of ecosystems, as an assemblage of organisms, has not been examined at broad spatial and temporal scales. • Here, we compiled data from 169 globally distributed sites of eddy covariance and quantified the temperature response functions of net ecosystem exchange (NEE), an ecosystem-level property, to determine whether NEE shows thermal optimality and to explore the underlying mechanisms. • We found that the temperature response of NEE followed a peak curve, with the optimum temperature (corresponding to the maximum magnitude of NEE) being positively correlated with annual mean temperature over years and across sites. Shifts of the optimum temperature of NEE were mostly a result of temperature acclimation of gross primary productivity (upward shift of optimum temperature) rather than changes in the temperature sensitivity of ecosystem respiration. • Ecosystem-level thermal optimality is a newly revealed ecosystem property, presumably reflecting associated evolutionary adaptation of organisms within ecosystems, and has the potential to significantly regulate ecosystem-climate change feedbacks. The thermal optimality of NEE has implications for understanding fundamental properties of ecosystems in changing environments and benchmarking global models.

In 2014, the USAID project ‘Grazing lands, livestock and climate resilient mitigation in Sub-Saharan Africa’ held two workshops, hosted by the Colorado State University, which brought together experts from around the world. Two reports resulted from these workshops, one an assessment of the state of the science, and the other an inventory of related activities in the region to date.. In this short communication we summarize the main points of the first report – The state of the science (Milne and Williams, 2015). A second report is in preparation.

AbstractAfrican pastoralists suffer recurrent droughts that cause high livestock mortality and vulnerability to climate change. The index-based livestock insurance (IBLI) program offers protection against drought impacts. However, the current IBLI design relying on the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) may pose limitation because it does not consider the mixed composition of rangelands (including herbaceous and woody plants) and the diverse feeding habits of grazers and browsers. To enhance IBLI, we assessed the efficacy of utilizing distinct browse and grazing forage estimates from woody LAI (LAIW) and herbaceous LAI (LAIH), respectively, derived from aggregate leaf area index (LAIA), as an alternative to NDVI for refined IBLI design. Using historical livestock mortality data from northern Kenya as reference ground dataset, our analysis compared two competing models for (1) aggregate forage estimates including sub-models for NDVI, LAI (LAIA); and (2) partitioned biomass model (LAIP) comprising LAIH and LAIW. By integrating forage estimates with ancillary environmental variables, we found that LAIP, with separate forage estimates, outperformed the aggregate models. For total livestock mortality, LAIP yielded the lowest RMSE (5.9 TLUs) and higher R2 (0.83), surpassing NDVI and LAIA models RMSE (9.3 TLUs) and R2 (0.6). A similar pattern was observed for species-specific livestock mortality. The influence of environmental variables across the models varied, depending on level of mortality aggregation or separation. Overall, forage availability was consistently the most influential variable, with species-specific models showing the different forage preferences in various animal types. These results suggest that deriving distinct browse and grazing forage estimates from LAIP has the potential to reduce basis risk by enhancing IBLI index accuracy.

Savanna ecosystems have long been fertile ground for mathematical modeling of vegetation structure and the role of resources and disturbance in tree-grass coexistence. In recent years, several authors have presented models that explore how savanna fires suppress the woody community, alter ecosystem dynamics, and promote grass persistence. We argue, however, that the assumption that fires influence savanna dynamics by consuming woody biomass may be wrong because, in reality, fires kill seedlings and saplings that constitute little biomass relative to adult trees. We present a simple alternative that separates the woody community into a subadult (fire-sensitive) class and an adult (fire-resistant) class and explore how this ecologically more realistic, but still simplified, model may provide better simulations of demographic processes and response to fires in savannas.

Drylands are a critical part of the earth system in terms of total area, socioeconomic and ecological importance. However, while drylands are known for their contribution to inter-annual atmospheric CO2 variability, they are sometimes overlooked in discussions of global carbon stocks. Here, in preparation for the November 2021 UN Climate Change Conference (COP26), we review dryland systems with emphasis on their role in current and future carbon storage, response to climate change and potential to contribute to a carbon neutral future. Current estimates of carbon in dryland soils and vegetation suggest they are significant at global scale, containing approximately 30% of global carbon in above and below-ground biomass, and surface-layer soil carbon (top 30 cm). As ecosystems that are limited by water, the drylands are vulnerable to climate change. Climate change impacts are, however, dependent on future trends in rainfall that include both drying and wetting trends at regional scales. Regional rainfall trends will initiate trends in dryland productivity, vegetation structure and soil carbon storage. However, while management of fire and herbivory can contribute to increased carbon sequestration, impacts are dependent on locally unique ecosystem responses and climate-soil-plant interactions. Similarly, while community based agroforestry initiatives have been successful in some areas, large-scale afforestation programs are logistically infeasible and sometimes ecologically inappropriate at larger scales. As climate changes, top-down prescriptive measures designed to increase carbon storage should be avoided in favour of locally-adapted approaches that balance carbon management priorities with local livelihoods, ecosystem function, biodiversity and cultural, social and economic priorities.