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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2015 Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, United Kingdom, Italy, France, France, Italy, FinlandPublisher:Inter-Research Science Center Funded by:AKA | Assessing limits of adapt..., AKA | Assessing limits of adapt..., AKA | Pathways linking uncertai... +2 projectsAKA| Assessing limits of adaptation to climate change and opportunities for resilience to be enhanced (A-LA-CARTE) / Consortium: A-LA-CARTE ,AKA| Assessing limits of adaptation to climate change and opportunities for resilience to be enhanced (A-LA-CARTE) / Consortium: A-LA-CARTE ,AKA| Pathways linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,EC| IMPRESSIONS ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMESAuthors:Alessia Perego;
Alessia Perego
Alessia Perego in OpenAIREMarco Acutis;
Marco Acutis
Marco Acutis in OpenAIREHolger Hoffmann;
Holger Hoffmann
Holger Hoffmann in OpenAIREMiroslav Trnka;
+49 AuthorsMiroslav Trnka
Miroslav Trnka in OpenAIREAlessia Perego;
Alessia Perego
Alessia Perego in OpenAIREMarco Acutis;
Marco Acutis
Marco Acutis in OpenAIREHolger Hoffmann;
Holger Hoffmann
Holger Hoffmann in OpenAIREMiroslav Trnka;
Miroslav Trnka
Miroslav Trnka in OpenAIREPiotr Baranowski;
Piotr Baranowski
Piotr Baranowski in OpenAIRECezary Sławiński;
Cezary Sławiński
Cezary Sławiński in OpenAIREChristoph Müller;
Lianhai Wu;Christoph Müller
Christoph Müller in OpenAIREBruno Basso;
Bruno Basso
Bruno Basso in OpenAIREMattia Sanna;
Mattia Sanna
Mattia Sanna in OpenAIREClaas Nendel;
Claas Nendel
Claas Nendel in OpenAIRELouis François;
Louis François
Louis François in OpenAIREPierre Stratonovitch;
Pierre Stratonovitch
Pierre Stratonovitch in OpenAIREKurt Christian Kersebaum;
Kurt Christian Kersebaum
Kurt Christian Kersebaum in OpenAIREAlfredo Rodríguez;
Alfredo Rodríguez
Alfredo Rodríguez in OpenAIREZhigan Zhao;
Zhigan Zhao; Per Bodin;Zhigan Zhao
Zhigan Zhao in OpenAIREReimund P. Rötter;
Reimund P. Rötter
Reimund P. Rötter in OpenAIREMarco Bindi;
Marco Bindi
Marco Bindi in OpenAIREDavide Cammarano;
Marie-France Destain;Davide Cammarano
Davide Cammarano in OpenAIREMikhail A. Semenov;
Mikhail A. Semenov
Mikhail A. Semenov in OpenAIRETaru Palosuo;
Taru Palosuo
Taru Palosuo in OpenAIREKatharina Waha;
Katharina Waha;Katharina Waha
Katharina Waha in OpenAIRESamuel Buis;
Julien Minet; Enli Wang;Samuel Buis
Samuel Buis in OpenAIRESenthold Asseng;
Senthold Asseng
Senthold Asseng in OpenAIREFrank Ewert;
Chris Kollas;Frank Ewert
Frank Ewert in OpenAIREMargarita Ruiz-Ramos;
Françoise Ruget; Ingrid Jacquemin;Margarita Ruiz-Ramos
Margarita Ruiz-Ramos in OpenAIREPetr Hlavinka;
Petr Hlavinka
Petr Hlavinka in OpenAIREM. I. Mínguez;
M. I. Mínguez
M. I. Mínguez in OpenAIREIgnacio J. Lorite;
Ignacio J. Lorite
Ignacio J. Lorite in OpenAIREThomas Gaiser;
Thomas Gaiser
Thomas Gaiser in OpenAIREPaola A. Deligios;
Paola A. Deligios
Paola A. Deligios in OpenAIREJaromir Krzyszczak;
Jaromir Krzyszczak
Jaromir Krzyszczak in OpenAIRENina Pirttioja;
Nina Pirttioja
Nina Pirttioja in OpenAIREMarco Moriondo;
Marco Moriondo
Marco Moriondo in OpenAIREBenjamin Dumont;
Benjamin Dumont
Benjamin Dumont in OpenAIREStefan Fronzek;
Manuel Montesino;Stefan Fronzek
Stefan Fronzek in OpenAIREFulu Tao;
Iwan Supit;Fulu Tao
Fulu Tao in OpenAIRERoberto Ferrise;
Isik Öztürk;Roberto Ferrise
Roberto Ferrise in OpenAIRETimothy R. Carter;
Alex C. Ruane; Alex C. Ruane;Timothy R. Carter
Timothy R. Carter in OpenAIREdoi: 10.3354/cr01322
handle: 20.500.14243/355479 , 2434/349558 , 11388/202607 , 2158/1013761
This study explored the utility of the impact response surface (IRS) approach for investigating model ensemble crop yield responses under a large range of changes in climate. IRSs of spring and winter wheat Triticum aestivum yields were constructed from a 26-member ensemble of process-based crop simulation models for sites in Finland, Germany and Spain across a latitudinal transect. The sensitivity of modelled yield to systematic increments of changes in temperature (-2 to +9°C) and precipitation (-50 to +50%) was tested by modifying values of baseline (1981 to 2010) daily weather, with CO2 concentration fixed at 360 ppm. The IRS approach offers an effective method of portraying model behaviour under changing climate as well as advantages for analysing, comparing and presenting results from multi-model ensemble simulations. Though individual model behaviour occasionally departed markedly from the average, ensemble median responses across sites and crop varieties indicated that yields decline with higher temperatures and decreased precipitation and increase with higher precipitation. Across the uncertainty ranges defined for the IRSs, yields were more sensitive to temperature than precipitation changes at the Finnish site while sensitivities were mixed at the German and Spanish sites. Precipitation effects diminished under higher temperature changes. While the bivariate and multi-model characteristics of the analysis impose some limits to interpretation, the IRS approach nonetheless provides additional insights into sensitivities to inter-model and inter-annual variability. Taken together, these sensitivities may help to pinpoint processes such as heat stress, vernalisation or drought effects requiring refinement in future model development.
Archivio Istituziona... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2015 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAINRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2015Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2015Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2015Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2017Göttingen Research Online PublicationsArticle . 2017Data sources: Göttingen Research Online Publicationshttp://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.3354/cr01322&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 126 citations 126 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Archivio Istituziona... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2015 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAINRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2015Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2015Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2015Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2017Göttingen Research Online PublicationsArticle . 2017Data sources: Göttingen Research Online Publicationshttp://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.3354/cr01322&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2015 Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Italy, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, United Kingdom, Italy, France, France, Italy, FinlandPublisher:Inter-Research Science Center Funded by:AKA | Assessing limits of adapt..., AKA | Assessing limits of adapt..., AKA | Pathways linking uncertai... +2 projectsAKA| Assessing limits of adaptation to climate change and opportunities for resilience to be enhanced (A-LA-CARTE) / Consortium: A-LA-CARTE ,AKA| Assessing limits of adaptation to climate change and opportunities for resilience to be enhanced (A-LA-CARTE) / Consortium: A-LA-CARTE ,AKA| Pathways linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,EC| IMPRESSIONS ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMESAuthors:Alessia Perego;
Alessia Perego
Alessia Perego in OpenAIREMarco Acutis;
Marco Acutis
Marco Acutis in OpenAIREHolger Hoffmann;
Holger Hoffmann
Holger Hoffmann in OpenAIREMiroslav Trnka;
+49 AuthorsMiroslav Trnka
Miroslav Trnka in OpenAIREAlessia Perego;
Alessia Perego
Alessia Perego in OpenAIREMarco Acutis;
Marco Acutis
Marco Acutis in OpenAIREHolger Hoffmann;
Holger Hoffmann
Holger Hoffmann in OpenAIREMiroslav Trnka;
Miroslav Trnka
Miroslav Trnka in OpenAIREPiotr Baranowski;
Piotr Baranowski
Piotr Baranowski in OpenAIRECezary Sławiński;
Cezary Sławiński
Cezary Sławiński in OpenAIREChristoph Müller;
Lianhai Wu;Christoph Müller
Christoph Müller in OpenAIREBruno Basso;
Bruno Basso
Bruno Basso in OpenAIREMattia Sanna;
Mattia Sanna
Mattia Sanna in OpenAIREClaas Nendel;
Claas Nendel
Claas Nendel in OpenAIRELouis François;
Louis François
Louis François in OpenAIREPierre Stratonovitch;
Pierre Stratonovitch
Pierre Stratonovitch in OpenAIREKurt Christian Kersebaum;
Kurt Christian Kersebaum
Kurt Christian Kersebaum in OpenAIREAlfredo Rodríguez;
Alfredo Rodríguez
Alfredo Rodríguez in OpenAIREZhigan Zhao;
Zhigan Zhao; Per Bodin;Zhigan Zhao
Zhigan Zhao in OpenAIREReimund P. Rötter;
Reimund P. Rötter
Reimund P. Rötter in OpenAIREMarco Bindi;
Marco Bindi
Marco Bindi in OpenAIREDavide Cammarano;
Marie-France Destain;Davide Cammarano
Davide Cammarano in OpenAIREMikhail A. Semenov;
Mikhail A. Semenov
Mikhail A. Semenov in OpenAIRETaru Palosuo;
Taru Palosuo
Taru Palosuo in OpenAIREKatharina Waha;
Katharina Waha;Katharina Waha
Katharina Waha in OpenAIRESamuel Buis;
Julien Minet; Enli Wang;Samuel Buis
Samuel Buis in OpenAIRESenthold Asseng;
Senthold Asseng
Senthold Asseng in OpenAIREFrank Ewert;
Chris Kollas;Frank Ewert
Frank Ewert in OpenAIREMargarita Ruiz-Ramos;
Françoise Ruget; Ingrid Jacquemin;Margarita Ruiz-Ramos
Margarita Ruiz-Ramos in OpenAIREPetr Hlavinka;
Petr Hlavinka
Petr Hlavinka in OpenAIREM. I. Mínguez;
M. I. Mínguez
M. I. Mínguez in OpenAIREIgnacio J. Lorite;
Ignacio J. Lorite
Ignacio J. Lorite in OpenAIREThomas Gaiser;
Thomas Gaiser
Thomas Gaiser in OpenAIREPaola A. Deligios;
Paola A. Deligios
Paola A. Deligios in OpenAIREJaromir Krzyszczak;
Jaromir Krzyszczak
Jaromir Krzyszczak in OpenAIRENina Pirttioja;
Nina Pirttioja
Nina Pirttioja in OpenAIREMarco Moriondo;
Marco Moriondo
Marco Moriondo in OpenAIREBenjamin Dumont;
Benjamin Dumont
Benjamin Dumont in OpenAIREStefan Fronzek;
Manuel Montesino;Stefan Fronzek
Stefan Fronzek in OpenAIREFulu Tao;
Iwan Supit;Fulu Tao
Fulu Tao in OpenAIRERoberto Ferrise;
Isik Öztürk;Roberto Ferrise
Roberto Ferrise in OpenAIRETimothy R. Carter;
Alex C. Ruane; Alex C. Ruane;Timothy R. Carter
Timothy R. Carter in OpenAIREdoi: 10.3354/cr01322
handle: 20.500.14243/355479 , 2434/349558 , 11388/202607 , 2158/1013761
This study explored the utility of the impact response surface (IRS) approach for investigating model ensemble crop yield responses under a large range of changes in climate. IRSs of spring and winter wheat Triticum aestivum yields were constructed from a 26-member ensemble of process-based crop simulation models for sites in Finland, Germany and Spain across a latitudinal transect. The sensitivity of modelled yield to systematic increments of changes in temperature (-2 to +9°C) and precipitation (-50 to +50%) was tested by modifying values of baseline (1981 to 2010) daily weather, with CO2 concentration fixed at 360 ppm. The IRS approach offers an effective method of portraying model behaviour under changing climate as well as advantages for analysing, comparing and presenting results from multi-model ensemble simulations. Though individual model behaviour occasionally departed markedly from the average, ensemble median responses across sites and crop varieties indicated that yields decline with higher temperatures and decreased precipitation and increase with higher precipitation. Across the uncertainty ranges defined for the IRSs, yields were more sensitive to temperature than precipitation changes at the Finnish site while sensitivities were mixed at the German and Spanish sites. Precipitation effects diminished under higher temperature changes. While the bivariate and multi-model characteristics of the analysis impose some limits to interpretation, the IRS approach nonetheless provides additional insights into sensitivities to inter-model and inter-annual variability. Taken together, these sensitivities may help to pinpoint processes such as heat stress, vernalisation or drought effects requiring refinement in future model development.
Archivio Istituziona... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2015 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAINRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2015Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2015Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2015Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2017Göttingen Research Online PublicationsArticle . 2017Data sources: Göttingen Research Online Publicationshttp://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.3354/cr01322&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 126 citations 126 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Archivio Istituziona... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2015 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAINRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2015Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2015Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2015Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2017Göttingen Research Online PublicationsArticle . 2017Data sources: Göttingen Research Online Publicationshttp://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data Portaladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.3354/cr01322&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2019 Netherlands, Italy, Denmark, France, Finland, Germany, United Kingdom, Spain, Netherlands, FrancePublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:EC | IMPRESSIONS, AKA | Pathways for linking unce..., AKA | Integrated modelling of N... +3 projectsEC| IMPRESSIONS ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,AKA| Integrated modelling of Nordic farming systems for sustainable intensification under climate change (NORFASYS) ,AKA| Integrated modelling of Nordic farming systems for sustainable intensification under climate change (NORFASYS) ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,AKA| Pathways linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMESAuthors: Julien Minet;Kurt Christian Kersebaum;
Françoise Ruget;Kurt Christian Kersebaum
Kurt Christian Kersebaum in OpenAIREA.J.W. de Wit;
+37 AuthorsA.J.W. de Wit
A.J.W. de Wit in OpenAIREJulien Minet;Kurt Christian Kersebaum;
Françoise Ruget;Kurt Christian Kersebaum
Kurt Christian Kersebaum in OpenAIREA.J.W. de Wit;
A.J.W. de Wit
A.J.W. de Wit in OpenAIREC. Nendel;
C. Nendel
C. Nendel in OpenAIRETaru Palosuo;
Taru Palosuo
Taru Palosuo in OpenAIREMarco Bindi;
Holger Hoffmann;Marco Bindi
Marco Bindi in OpenAIREZacharias Steinmetz;
Zacharias Steinmetz
Zacharias Steinmetz in OpenAIREPiotr Baranowski;
Piotr Baranowski
Piotr Baranowski in OpenAIRENina Pirttioja;
Pierre Stratonovitch; Iwan Supit;Nina Pirttioja
Nina Pirttioja in OpenAIREF. Ewert;
Davide Cammarano;F. Ewert
F. Ewert in OpenAIREMikhail A. Semenov;
Mikhail A. Semenov
Mikhail A. Semenov in OpenAIRERoberto Ferrise;
Roberto Ferrise
Roberto Ferrise in OpenAIREReimund P. Rötter;
Reimund P. Rötter
Reimund P. Rötter in OpenAIREMargarita Ruiz-Ramos;
Margarita Ruiz-Ramos
Margarita Ruiz-Ramos in OpenAIREManuel Montesino;
Manuel Montesino
Manuel Montesino in OpenAIREFulu Tao;
František Jurečka; František Jurečka;Fulu Tao
Fulu Tao in OpenAIRESamuel Buis;
Samuel Buis
Samuel Buis in OpenAIREAlfredo Rodríguez;
Alfredo Rodríguez; Marcos Lana;Alfredo Rodríguez
Alfredo Rodríguez in OpenAIREStefan Fronzek;
John R. Porter; Jukka Höhn;Stefan Fronzek
Stefan Fronzek in OpenAIREBenjamin Dumont;
Benjamin Dumont
Benjamin Dumont in OpenAIREAltaaf Mechiche-Alami;
Altaaf Mechiche-Alami
Altaaf Mechiche-Alami in OpenAIREIgnacio J. Lorite;
Yi Chen;Ignacio J. Lorite
Ignacio J. Lorite in OpenAIREThomas Gaiser;
Thomas Gaiser
Thomas Gaiser in OpenAIREJaromir Krzyszczak;
Jaromir Krzyszczak
Jaromir Krzyszczak in OpenAIRETimothy R. Carter;
Timothy R. Carter
Timothy R. Carter in OpenAIREMiroslav Trnka;
Miroslav Trnka;Miroslav Trnka
Miroslav Trnka in OpenAIREP. Hlavinka;
P. Hlavinka;P. Hlavinka
P. Hlavinka in OpenAIREClimate change is expected to severely affect cropping systems and food production in many parts of the world unless local adaptation can ameliorate these impacts. Ensembles of crop simulation models can be useful tools for assessing if proposed adaptation options are capable of achieving target yields, whilst also quantifying the share of uncertainty in the simulated crop impact resulting from the crop models themselves. Although some studies have analysed the influence of ensemble size on model outcomes, the effect of ensemble composition has not yet been properly appraised. Moreover, results and derived recommendations typically rely on averaged ensemble simulation results without accounting sufficiently for the spread of model outcomes. Therefore, we developed an Ensemble Outcome Agreement (EOA) index, which analyses the effect of changes in composition and size of a multi-model ensemble (MME) to evaluate the level of agreement between MME outcomes with respect to a given hypothesis (e.g. that adaptation measures result in positive crop responses). We analysed the recommendations of a previous study performed with an ensemble of 17 crop models and testing 54 adaptation options for rainfed winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) at Lleida (NE Spain) under perturbed conditions of temperature, precipitation and atmospheric CO2 concentration. Our results confirmed that most adaptations recommended in the previous study have a positive effect. However, we also showed that some options did not remain recommendable in specific conditions if different ensembles were considered. Using EOA, we were able to identify the adaptation options for which there is high confidence in their effectiveness at enhancing yields, even under severe climate perturbations. These include substituting spring wheat for winter wheat combined with earlier sowing dates and standard or longer duration cultivars, or introducing supplementary irrigation, the latter increasing EOA values in all cases. There is low confidence in recovering yields to baseline levels, although this target could be attained for some adaptation options under moderate climate perturbations. Recommendations derived from such robust results may provide crucial information for stakeholders seeking to implement adaptation measures.
Agricultural and For... arrow_drop_down Agricultural and Forest MeteorologyArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefAgricultural and Forest MeteorologyArticle . 2019Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedCopenhagen University Research Information SystemArticle . 2019Data sources: Copenhagen University Research Information SystemGöttingen Research Online PublicationsArticle . 2019License: CC BYData sources: Göttingen Research Online PublicationsWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2019License: CC BYData sources: Wageningen Staff PublicationsInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalNatural Resources Institute Finland: JukuriArticleData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 41 citations 41 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Agricultural and For... arrow_drop_down Agricultural and Forest MeteorologyArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefAgricultural and Forest MeteorologyArticle . 2019Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedCopenhagen University Research Information SystemArticle . 2019Data sources: Copenhagen University Research Information SystemGöttingen Research Online PublicationsArticle . 2019License: CC BYData sources: Göttingen Research Online PublicationsWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2019License: CC BYData sources: Wageningen Staff PublicationsInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalNatural Resources Institute Finland: JukuriArticleData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2019 Netherlands, Italy, Denmark, France, Finland, Germany, United Kingdom, Spain, Netherlands, FrancePublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:EC | IMPRESSIONS, AKA | Pathways for linking unce..., AKA | Integrated modelling of N... +3 projectsEC| IMPRESSIONS ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,AKA| Integrated modelling of Nordic farming systems for sustainable intensification under climate change (NORFASYS) ,AKA| Integrated modelling of Nordic farming systems for sustainable intensification under climate change (NORFASYS) ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,AKA| Pathways linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMESAuthors: Julien Minet;Kurt Christian Kersebaum;
Françoise Ruget;Kurt Christian Kersebaum
Kurt Christian Kersebaum in OpenAIREA.J.W. de Wit;
+37 AuthorsA.J.W. de Wit
A.J.W. de Wit in OpenAIREJulien Minet;Kurt Christian Kersebaum;
Françoise Ruget;Kurt Christian Kersebaum
Kurt Christian Kersebaum in OpenAIREA.J.W. de Wit;
A.J.W. de Wit
A.J.W. de Wit in OpenAIREC. Nendel;
C. Nendel
C. Nendel in OpenAIRETaru Palosuo;
Taru Palosuo
Taru Palosuo in OpenAIREMarco Bindi;
Holger Hoffmann;Marco Bindi
Marco Bindi in OpenAIREZacharias Steinmetz;
Zacharias Steinmetz
Zacharias Steinmetz in OpenAIREPiotr Baranowski;
Piotr Baranowski
Piotr Baranowski in OpenAIRENina Pirttioja;
Pierre Stratonovitch; Iwan Supit;Nina Pirttioja
Nina Pirttioja in OpenAIREF. Ewert;
Davide Cammarano;F. Ewert
F. Ewert in OpenAIREMikhail A. Semenov;
Mikhail A. Semenov
Mikhail A. Semenov in OpenAIRERoberto Ferrise;
Roberto Ferrise
Roberto Ferrise in OpenAIREReimund P. Rötter;
Reimund P. Rötter
Reimund P. Rötter in OpenAIREMargarita Ruiz-Ramos;
Margarita Ruiz-Ramos
Margarita Ruiz-Ramos in OpenAIREManuel Montesino;
Manuel Montesino
Manuel Montesino in OpenAIREFulu Tao;
František Jurečka; František Jurečka;Fulu Tao
Fulu Tao in OpenAIRESamuel Buis;
Samuel Buis
Samuel Buis in OpenAIREAlfredo Rodríguez;
Alfredo Rodríguez; Marcos Lana;Alfredo Rodríguez
Alfredo Rodríguez in OpenAIREStefan Fronzek;
John R. Porter; Jukka Höhn;Stefan Fronzek
Stefan Fronzek in OpenAIREBenjamin Dumont;
Benjamin Dumont
Benjamin Dumont in OpenAIREAltaaf Mechiche-Alami;
Altaaf Mechiche-Alami
Altaaf Mechiche-Alami in OpenAIREIgnacio J. Lorite;
Yi Chen;Ignacio J. Lorite
Ignacio J. Lorite in OpenAIREThomas Gaiser;
Thomas Gaiser
Thomas Gaiser in OpenAIREJaromir Krzyszczak;
Jaromir Krzyszczak
Jaromir Krzyszczak in OpenAIRETimothy R. Carter;
Timothy R. Carter
Timothy R. Carter in OpenAIREMiroslav Trnka;
Miroslav Trnka;Miroslav Trnka
Miroslav Trnka in OpenAIREP. Hlavinka;
P. Hlavinka;P. Hlavinka
P. Hlavinka in OpenAIREClimate change is expected to severely affect cropping systems and food production in many parts of the world unless local adaptation can ameliorate these impacts. Ensembles of crop simulation models can be useful tools for assessing if proposed adaptation options are capable of achieving target yields, whilst also quantifying the share of uncertainty in the simulated crop impact resulting from the crop models themselves. Although some studies have analysed the influence of ensemble size on model outcomes, the effect of ensemble composition has not yet been properly appraised. Moreover, results and derived recommendations typically rely on averaged ensemble simulation results without accounting sufficiently for the spread of model outcomes. Therefore, we developed an Ensemble Outcome Agreement (EOA) index, which analyses the effect of changes in composition and size of a multi-model ensemble (MME) to evaluate the level of agreement between MME outcomes with respect to a given hypothesis (e.g. that adaptation measures result in positive crop responses). We analysed the recommendations of a previous study performed with an ensemble of 17 crop models and testing 54 adaptation options for rainfed winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) at Lleida (NE Spain) under perturbed conditions of temperature, precipitation and atmospheric CO2 concentration. Our results confirmed that most adaptations recommended in the previous study have a positive effect. However, we also showed that some options did not remain recommendable in specific conditions if different ensembles were considered. Using EOA, we were able to identify the adaptation options for which there is high confidence in their effectiveness at enhancing yields, even under severe climate perturbations. These include substituting spring wheat for winter wheat combined with earlier sowing dates and standard or longer duration cultivars, or introducing supplementary irrigation, the latter increasing EOA values in all cases. There is low confidence in recovering yields to baseline levels, although this target could be attained for some adaptation options under moderate climate perturbations. Recommendations derived from such robust results may provide crucial information for stakeholders seeking to implement adaptation measures.
Agricultural and For... arrow_drop_down Agricultural and Forest MeteorologyArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefAgricultural and Forest MeteorologyArticle . 2019Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedCopenhagen University Research Information SystemArticle . 2019Data sources: Copenhagen University Research Information SystemGöttingen Research Online PublicationsArticle . 2019License: CC BYData sources: Göttingen Research Online PublicationsWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2019License: CC BYData sources: Wageningen Staff PublicationsInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalNatural Resources Institute Finland: JukuriArticleData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 41 citations 41 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Agricultural and For... arrow_drop_down Agricultural and Forest MeteorologyArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefAgricultural and Forest MeteorologyArticle . 2019Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2019 . Peer-reviewedCopenhagen University Research Information SystemArticle . 2019Data sources: Copenhagen University Research Information SystemGöttingen Research Online PublicationsArticle . 2019License: CC BYData sources: Göttingen Research Online PublicationsWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2019License: CC BYData sources: Wageningen Staff PublicationsInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2019Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalNatural Resources Institute Finland: JukuriArticleData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.09.018&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2018 France, Denmark, France, France, Italy, Netherlands, Finland, GermanyPublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:EC | IMPRESSIONS, SGOV | VARIABILIDAD CLIMATICA MU..., AKA | Pathways for linking unce... +1 projectsEC| IMPRESSIONS ,SGOV| VARIABILIDAD CLIMATICA MULTIESCALAR. IMPACTOS AGRICOLAS Y ECONOMICOS. II EVALUACION INTEGRADA DE RIESGOS CLIMATICOS Y ECONOMICOS: ADAPTACION DE SISTEMAS AGRICOLAS EN ESPAÑA ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,AKA| Pathways linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMESAuthors:Ruiz-Ramos, M.;
Ruiz-Ramos, M.
Ruiz-Ramos, M. in OpenAIREFerrise, R.;
Ferrise, R.
Ferrise, R. in OpenAIRERodriguez, A.;
Rodriguez, A.
Rodriguez, A. in OpenAIRELorite, I. J.;
+34 AuthorsLorite, I. J.
Lorite, I. J. in OpenAIRERuiz-Ramos, M.;
Ruiz-Ramos, M.
Ruiz-Ramos, M. in OpenAIREFerrise, R.;
Ferrise, R.
Ferrise, R. in OpenAIRERodriguez, A.;
Rodriguez, A.
Rodriguez, A. in OpenAIRELorite, I. J.;
Lorite, I. J.
Lorite, I. J. in OpenAIREBindi, M.;
Carter, Tim R.;Bindi, M.
Bindi, M. in OpenAIREFronzek, Stefan;
Fronzek, Stefan
Fronzek, Stefan in OpenAIREPalosuo, T.;
Palosuo, T.
Palosuo, T. in OpenAIREPirttioja, Nina;
Pirttioja, Nina
Pirttioja, Nina in OpenAIREBaranowski, P.;
Baranowski, P.
Baranowski, P. in OpenAIREBuis, S.;
Buis, S.
Buis, S. in OpenAIRECammarano, D.;
Chen, Y.;Cammarano, D.
Cammarano, D. in OpenAIREDumont, B.;
Dumont, B.
Dumont, B. in OpenAIREEwert, F.;
Ewert, F.
Ewert, F. in OpenAIREGaiser, T.;
Gaiser, T.
Gaiser, T. in OpenAIREHlavinka, P.;
Hoffmann, H.; Höhn, J. G.; Jurecka, F.;Hlavinka, P.
Hlavinka, P. in OpenAIREKersebaum, K. C.;
Kersebaum, K. C.
Kersebaum, K. C. in OpenAIREKrzyszczak, J.;
Krzyszczak, J.
Krzyszczak, J. in OpenAIRELana, M.;
Lana, M.
Lana, M. in OpenAIREMechiche-Alami, A.;
Minet, J.; Montesino, M.;Mechiche-Alami, A.
Mechiche-Alami, A. in OpenAIRENendel, C.;
Porter, J. R.; Ruget, F.;Nendel, C.
Nendel, C. in OpenAIRESemenov, M. A.;
Semenov, M. A.
Semenov, M. A. in OpenAIRESteinmetz, Z.;
Stratonovitch, P.;Steinmetz, Z.
Steinmetz, Z. in OpenAIRESupit, I.;
Supit, I.
Supit, I. in OpenAIRETao, F.;
Trnka, M.;
de Wit, A.; Rötter; R. P.;Trnka, M.
Trnka, M. in OpenAIREhandle: 2158/1087942
Adaptation of crops to climate change has to be addressed locally due to the variability of soil, climate and the specific socio-economic settings influencing farm management decisions. Adaptation of rainfed cropping systems in the Mediterranean is especially challenging due to the projected decline in precipitation in the coming decades, which will increase the risk of droughts. Methods that can help explore uncertainties in climate projections and crop modelling, such as impact response surfaces (IRSs) and ensemble modelling, can then be valuable for identifying effective adaptations. Here, an ensemble of 17 crop models was used to simulate a total of 54 adaptation options for rainfed winter wheat (Triticum aestivum) at Lleida (NE Spain). To support the ensemble building, an ex post quality check of model simulations based on several criteria was performed. Those criteria were based on the “According to Our Current Knowledge” (AOCK) concept, which has been formalized here. Adaptations were based on changes in cultivars and management regarding phenology, vernalization, sowing date and irrigation. The effects of adaptation options under changed precipitation (P), temperature (T), [CO2] and soil type were analysed by constructing response surfaces, which we termed, in accordance with their specific purpose, adaptation response surfaces (ARSs). These were created to assess the effect of adaptations through a range of plausible P, T and [CO2] perturbations. The results indicated that impacts of altered climate were predominantly negative. No single adaptation was capable of overcoming the detrimental effect of the complex interactions imposed by the P, T and [CO2] perturbations except for supplementary irrigation (sI), which reduced the potential impacts under most of the perturbations. Yet, a combination of adaptations for dealing with climate change demonstrated that effective adaptation is possible at Lleida. Combinations based on a cultivar without vernalization requirements showed good and wide adaptation potential. Few combined adaptation options performed well under rainfed conditions. However, a single sI was sufficient to develop a high adaptation potential, including options mainly based on spring wheat, current cycle duration and early sowing date. Depending on local environment (e.g. soil type), many of these adaptations can maintain current yield levels under moderate changes in T and P, and some also under strong changes. We conclude that ARSs can offer a useful tool for supporting planning of field level adaptation under conditions of high uncertainty.
Agricultural Systems arrow_drop_down Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2017INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2017Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverUniversity of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 83 citations 83 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Agricultural Systems arrow_drop_down Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2017INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2017Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverUniversity of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2018 France, Denmark, France, France, Italy, Netherlands, Finland, GermanyPublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:EC | IMPRESSIONS, SGOV | VARIABILIDAD CLIMATICA MU..., AKA | Pathways for linking unce... +1 projectsEC| IMPRESSIONS ,SGOV| VARIABILIDAD CLIMATICA MULTIESCALAR. IMPACTOS AGRICOLAS Y ECONOMICOS. II EVALUACION INTEGRADA DE RIESGOS CLIMATICOS Y ECONOMICOS: ADAPTACION DE SISTEMAS AGRICOLAS EN ESPAÑA ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,AKA| Pathways linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMESAuthors:Ruiz-Ramos, M.;
Ruiz-Ramos, M.
Ruiz-Ramos, M. in OpenAIREFerrise, R.;
Ferrise, R.
Ferrise, R. in OpenAIRERodriguez, A.;
Rodriguez, A.
Rodriguez, A. in OpenAIRELorite, I. J.;
+34 AuthorsLorite, I. J.
Lorite, I. J. in OpenAIRERuiz-Ramos, M.;
Ruiz-Ramos, M.
Ruiz-Ramos, M. in OpenAIREFerrise, R.;
Ferrise, R.
Ferrise, R. in OpenAIRERodriguez, A.;
Rodriguez, A.
Rodriguez, A. in OpenAIRELorite, I. J.;
Lorite, I. J.
Lorite, I. J. in OpenAIREBindi, M.;
Carter, Tim R.;Bindi, M.
Bindi, M. in OpenAIREFronzek, Stefan;
Fronzek, Stefan
Fronzek, Stefan in OpenAIREPalosuo, T.;
Palosuo, T.
Palosuo, T. in OpenAIREPirttioja, Nina;
Pirttioja, Nina
Pirttioja, Nina in OpenAIREBaranowski, P.;
Baranowski, P.
Baranowski, P. in OpenAIREBuis, S.;
Buis, S.
Buis, S. in OpenAIRECammarano, D.;
Chen, Y.;Cammarano, D.
Cammarano, D. in OpenAIREDumont, B.;
Dumont, B.
Dumont, B. in OpenAIREEwert, F.;
Ewert, F.
Ewert, F. in OpenAIREGaiser, T.;
Gaiser, T.
Gaiser, T. in OpenAIREHlavinka, P.;
Hoffmann, H.; Höhn, J. G.; Jurecka, F.;Hlavinka, P.
Hlavinka, P. in OpenAIREKersebaum, K. C.;
Kersebaum, K. C.
Kersebaum, K. C. in OpenAIREKrzyszczak, J.;
Krzyszczak, J.
Krzyszczak, J. in OpenAIRELana, M.;
Lana, M.
Lana, M. in OpenAIREMechiche-Alami, A.;
Minet, J.; Montesino, M.;Mechiche-Alami, A.
Mechiche-Alami, A. in OpenAIRENendel, C.;
Porter, J. R.; Ruget, F.;Nendel, C.
Nendel, C. in OpenAIRESemenov, M. A.;
Semenov, M. A.
Semenov, M. A. in OpenAIRESteinmetz, Z.;
Stratonovitch, P.;Steinmetz, Z.
Steinmetz, Z. in OpenAIRESupit, I.;
Supit, I.
Supit, I. in OpenAIRETao, F.;
Trnka, M.;
de Wit, A.; Rötter; R. P.;Trnka, M.
Trnka, M. in OpenAIREhandle: 2158/1087942
Adaptation of crops to climate change has to be addressed locally due to the variability of soil, climate and the specific socio-economic settings influencing farm management decisions. Adaptation of rainfed cropping systems in the Mediterranean is especially challenging due to the projected decline in precipitation in the coming decades, which will increase the risk of droughts. Methods that can help explore uncertainties in climate projections and crop modelling, such as impact response surfaces (IRSs) and ensemble modelling, can then be valuable for identifying effective adaptations. Here, an ensemble of 17 crop models was used to simulate a total of 54 adaptation options for rainfed winter wheat (Triticum aestivum) at Lleida (NE Spain). To support the ensemble building, an ex post quality check of model simulations based on several criteria was performed. Those criteria were based on the “According to Our Current Knowledge” (AOCK) concept, which has been formalized here. Adaptations were based on changes in cultivars and management regarding phenology, vernalization, sowing date and irrigation. The effects of adaptation options under changed precipitation (P), temperature (T), [CO2] and soil type were analysed by constructing response surfaces, which we termed, in accordance with their specific purpose, adaptation response surfaces (ARSs). These were created to assess the effect of adaptations through a range of plausible P, T and [CO2] perturbations. The results indicated that impacts of altered climate were predominantly negative. No single adaptation was capable of overcoming the detrimental effect of the complex interactions imposed by the P, T and [CO2] perturbations except for supplementary irrigation (sI), which reduced the potential impacts under most of the perturbations. Yet, a combination of adaptations for dealing with climate change demonstrated that effective adaptation is possible at Lleida. Combinations based on a cultivar without vernalization requirements showed good and wide adaptation potential. Few combined adaptation options performed well under rainfed conditions. However, a single sI was sufficient to develop a high adaptation potential, including options mainly based on spring wheat, current cycle duration and early sowing date. Depending on local environment (e.g. soil type), many of these adaptations can maintain current yield levels under moderate changes in T and P, and some also under strong changes. We conclude that ARSs can offer a useful tool for supporting planning of field level adaptation under conditions of high uncertainty.
Agricultural Systems arrow_drop_down Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2017INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2017Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverUniversity of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 83 citations 83 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Agricultural Systems arrow_drop_down Publikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2017INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2017Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverUniversity of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2022Publisher:MDPI AG Funded by:EC | AGRICOREEC| AGRICOREAuthors:Christos Staboulis;
Christos Staboulis
Christos Staboulis in OpenAIREDimitrios Natos;
Dimitrios Natos
Dimitrios Natos in OpenAIREAlexandros Gkatsikos;
Efthimia Tsakiridou; +6 AuthorsAlexandros Gkatsikos
Alexandros Gkatsikos in OpenAIREChristos Staboulis;
Christos Staboulis
Christos Staboulis in OpenAIREDimitrios Natos;
Dimitrios Natos
Dimitrios Natos in OpenAIREAlexandros Gkatsikos;
Efthimia Tsakiridou;Alexandros Gkatsikos
Alexandros Gkatsikos in OpenAIREKonstadinos Mattas;
Konstadinos Mattas
Konstadinos Mattas in OpenAIREWaldemar Bojar;
Piotr Baranowski;Waldemar Bojar
Waldemar Bojar in OpenAIREJaromir Krzyszczak;
Obdulia Parra Rivero; Álvaro Ojeda Roldán;Jaromir Krzyszczak
Jaromir Krzyszczak in OpenAIREThe present paper attempts to investigate whether the Sub-Measure 6.1 “Start-Up Aid for Young Farmers” payments of the 2014–2020 Rural Development Programme have a role to play in explaining Greek farms’ export orientation and export performance through a statistical analysis of farm-level data. The results demonstrate considerable differences in farm structures between beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries and provide support for the contention that beneficiaries are more likely to operate more productive and economically efficient farms. However, the results also provide a sobering assessment of the role of the young-farmer-related subsidies in stimulating export orientation and export performance.
Sustainability arrow_drop_down SustainabilityOther literature type . 2022License: CC BYFull-Text: http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/6/3287/pdfData sources: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing InstituteSustainabilityArticleLicense: CC BYFull-Text: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/6/3287/pdfData sources: Sygmaadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.3390/su14063287&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 8 citations 8 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
visibility 1visibility views 1 download downloads 12 Powered bymore_vert Sustainability arrow_drop_down SustainabilityOther literature type . 2022License: CC BYFull-Text: http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/6/3287/pdfData sources: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing InstituteSustainabilityArticleLicense: CC BYFull-Text: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/6/3287/pdfData sources: Sygmaadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.3390/su14063287&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2022Publisher:MDPI AG Funded by:EC | AGRICOREEC| AGRICOREAuthors:Christos Staboulis;
Christos Staboulis
Christos Staboulis in OpenAIREDimitrios Natos;
Dimitrios Natos
Dimitrios Natos in OpenAIREAlexandros Gkatsikos;
Efthimia Tsakiridou; +6 AuthorsAlexandros Gkatsikos
Alexandros Gkatsikos in OpenAIREChristos Staboulis;
Christos Staboulis
Christos Staboulis in OpenAIREDimitrios Natos;
Dimitrios Natos
Dimitrios Natos in OpenAIREAlexandros Gkatsikos;
Efthimia Tsakiridou;Alexandros Gkatsikos
Alexandros Gkatsikos in OpenAIREKonstadinos Mattas;
Konstadinos Mattas
Konstadinos Mattas in OpenAIREWaldemar Bojar;
Piotr Baranowski;Waldemar Bojar
Waldemar Bojar in OpenAIREJaromir Krzyszczak;
Obdulia Parra Rivero; Álvaro Ojeda Roldán;Jaromir Krzyszczak
Jaromir Krzyszczak in OpenAIREThe present paper attempts to investigate whether the Sub-Measure 6.1 “Start-Up Aid for Young Farmers” payments of the 2014–2020 Rural Development Programme have a role to play in explaining Greek farms’ export orientation and export performance through a statistical analysis of farm-level data. The results demonstrate considerable differences in farm structures between beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries and provide support for the contention that beneficiaries are more likely to operate more productive and economically efficient farms. However, the results also provide a sobering assessment of the role of the young-farmer-related subsidies in stimulating export orientation and export performance.
Sustainability arrow_drop_down SustainabilityOther literature type . 2022License: CC BYFull-Text: http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/6/3287/pdfData sources: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing InstituteSustainabilityArticleLicense: CC BYFull-Text: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/6/3287/pdfData sources: Sygmaadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.3390/su14063287&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 8 citations 8 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
visibility 1visibility views 1 download downloads 12 Powered bymore_vert Sustainability arrow_drop_down SustainabilityOther literature type . 2022License: CC BYFull-Text: http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/6/3287/pdfData sources: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing InstituteSustainabilityArticleLicense: CC BYFull-Text: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/6/3287/pdfData sources: Sygmaadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.3390/su14063287&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Preprint 2020Publisher:MDPI AG Authors:Imán Rousta;
Imán Rousta
Imán Rousta in OpenAIREHaraldur Ólafsson;
Haraldur Ólafsson
Haraldur Ólafsson in OpenAIREHao Zhang;
Hao Zhang
Hao Zhang in OpenAIREM Moniruzzaman;
+2 AuthorsM Moniruzzaman
M Moniruzzaman in OpenAIREImán Rousta;
Imán Rousta
Imán Rousta in OpenAIREHaraldur Ólafsson;
Haraldur Ólafsson
Haraldur Ólafsson in OpenAIREHao Zhang;
Hao Zhang
Hao Zhang in OpenAIREM Moniruzzaman;
M Moniruzzaman
M Moniruzzaman in OpenAIREPiotr Baranowski;
Piotr Baranowski
Piotr Baranowski in OpenAIREJaromir Krzyszczak;
Jaromir Krzyszczak
Jaromir Krzyszczak in OpenAIREThe spatiotemporal variability of vegetation in the Middle East was investigated for the period 2001–2019 using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) 16-day/500 m composites of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI; MOD13A1). The results reveal a strong increase in the NDVI coverage in the Middle East during the study period (R = 0.75, p-value = 0.05). In Egypt, the annual coverage exhibits the strongest positive trend (R = 0.99, p-value = 0.05). In Turkey, both the vegetation coverage and density increased from 2001 to 2019, which can be attributed to the construction of some of the biggest dams in the Middle East, such as the Atatürk and Ilisu dams. Significant increases in the annual coverage and maximum and average NDVI in Saudi Arabia are due to farming in the northern part of the country for which groundwater and desalinated seawater are used. The results of this study suggest that the main factors affecting the vegetation coverage in the Middle East are governmental policies. These policies can have a positive effect on the vegetation coverage in some countries such as Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Iran, and Turkey.
https://doi.org/10.2... arrow_drop_down https://doi.org/10.20944/prepr...Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Crossrefhttps://doi.org/10.20944/prepr...Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefEnvironmental and Climate TechnologiesArticle . 2022 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Crossrefadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.20944/preprints202010.0208.v1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 13 citations 13 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert https://doi.org/10.2... arrow_drop_down https://doi.org/10.20944/prepr...Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Crossrefhttps://doi.org/10.20944/prepr...Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefEnvironmental and Climate TechnologiesArticle . 2022 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Crossrefadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.20944/preprints202010.0208.v1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Preprint 2020Publisher:MDPI AG Authors:Imán Rousta;
Imán Rousta
Imán Rousta in OpenAIREHaraldur Ólafsson;
Haraldur Ólafsson
Haraldur Ólafsson in OpenAIREHao Zhang;
Hao Zhang
Hao Zhang in OpenAIREM Moniruzzaman;
+2 AuthorsM Moniruzzaman
M Moniruzzaman in OpenAIREImán Rousta;
Imán Rousta
Imán Rousta in OpenAIREHaraldur Ólafsson;
Haraldur Ólafsson
Haraldur Ólafsson in OpenAIREHao Zhang;
Hao Zhang
Hao Zhang in OpenAIREM Moniruzzaman;
M Moniruzzaman
M Moniruzzaman in OpenAIREPiotr Baranowski;
Piotr Baranowski
Piotr Baranowski in OpenAIREJaromir Krzyszczak;
Jaromir Krzyszczak
Jaromir Krzyszczak in OpenAIREThe spatiotemporal variability of vegetation in the Middle East was investigated for the period 2001–2019 using the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) 16-day/500 m composites of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI; MOD13A1). The results reveal a strong increase in the NDVI coverage in the Middle East during the study period (R = 0.75, p-value = 0.05). In Egypt, the annual coverage exhibits the strongest positive trend (R = 0.99, p-value = 0.05). In Turkey, both the vegetation coverage and density increased from 2001 to 2019, which can be attributed to the construction of some of the biggest dams in the Middle East, such as the Atatürk and Ilisu dams. Significant increases in the annual coverage and maximum and average NDVI in Saudi Arabia are due to farming in the northern part of the country for which groundwater and desalinated seawater are used. The results of this study suggest that the main factors affecting the vegetation coverage in the Middle East are governmental policies. These policies can have a positive effect on the vegetation coverage in some countries such as Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Iran, and Turkey.
https://doi.org/10.2... arrow_drop_down https://doi.org/10.20944/prepr...Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Crossrefhttps://doi.org/10.20944/prepr...Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefEnvironmental and Climate TechnologiesArticle . 2022 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Crossrefadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.20944/preprints202010.0208.v1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 13 citations 13 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert https://doi.org/10.2... arrow_drop_down https://doi.org/10.20944/prepr...Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Crossrefhttps://doi.org/10.20944/prepr...Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: CrossrefEnvironmental and Climate TechnologiesArticle . 2022 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Crossrefadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.20944/preprints202010.0208.v1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2018 Italy, Germany, United States, France, Italy, Finland, Spain, Netherlands, Denmark, Denmark, Italy, Italy, France, United Kingdom, Netherlands, FrancePublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:AKA | Pathways linking uncertai..., MIUR, AKA | Pathways for linking unce... +2 projectsAKA| Pathways linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,MIUR ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,EC| IMPRESSIONS ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMESAuthors:Fronzek S;
Fronzek S
Fronzek S in OpenAIREPirttioja N;
Carter; T R; +54 AuthorsPirttioja N
Pirttioja N in OpenAIREFronzek S;
Fronzek S
Fronzek S in OpenAIREPirttioja N;
Carter; T R;Pirttioja N
Pirttioja N in OpenAIREBindi M;
Hoffmann H;Palosuo T;
RuizRamos M;Palosuo T
Palosuo T in OpenAIRETao F;
Trnka M;
Acutis M;
Acutis M
Acutis M in OpenAIREAsseng S;
Asseng S
Asseng S in OpenAIREBaranowski P;
Baranowski P
Baranowski P in OpenAIREBasso B;
Bodin P;Buis S;
Cammarano D;
Cammarano D
Cammarano D in OpenAIREDeligios P;
Destain; M F;Deligios P
Deligios P in OpenAIREDumont B;
Dumont B
Dumont B in OpenAIREEwert F;
Ferrise R;
Franois L;Ferrise R
Ferrise R in OpenAIREGaiser T;
Gaiser T
Gaiser T in OpenAIREHlavinka P;
Jacquemin I; Kersebaum; K C; Kollas C;Hlavinka P
Hlavinka P in OpenAIREKrzyszczak J;
Lorite; I J; Minet J; Minguez; M I; Montesino M;Krzyszczak J
Krzyszczak J in OpenAIREMoriondo M;
Mller C;Moriondo M
Moriondo M in OpenAIRENendel C;
ztrk I; Perego A; Rodrguez A; Ruane; A C; Ruget F;Nendel C
Nendel C in OpenAIRESanna M;
Semenov; M A;Slawinski C;
Stratonovitch P; Supit I;Slawinski C
Slawinski C in OpenAIREWaha K;
Wang E;Wu L;
Zhao Z;
Rtter; R P;handle: 20.500.14243/411955 , 2434/616106 , 11388/202604 , 2158/1113710
Crop growth simulation models can differ greatly in their treatment of key processes and hence in their response to environmental conditions. Here, we used an ensemble of 26 process-based wheat models applied at sites across a European transect to compare their sensitivity to changes in temperature (-2 to +9°C) and precipitation (-50 to +50%). Model results were analysed by plotting them as impact response surfaces (IRSs), classifying the IRS patterns of individual model simulations, describing these classes and analysing factors that may explain the major differences in model responses.The model ensemble was used to simulate yields of winter and spring wheat at four sites in Finland, Germany and Spain. Results were plotted as IRSs that show changes in yields relative to the baseline with respect to temperature and precipitation. IRSs of 30-year means and selected extreme years were classified using two approaches describing their pattern.The expert diagnostic approach (EDA) combines two aspects of IRS patterns: location of the maximum yield (nine classes) and strength of the yield response with respect to climate (four classes), resulting in a total of 36 combined classes defined using criteria pre-specified by experts. The statistical diagnostic approach (SDA) groups IRSs by comparing their pattern and magnitude, without attempting to interpret these features. It applies a hierarchical clustering method, grouping response patterns using a distance metric that combines the spatial correlation and Euclidian distance between IRS pairs. The two approaches were used to investigate whether different patterns of yield response could be related to different properties of the crop models, specifically their genealogy, calibration and process description.Although no single model property across a large model ensemble was found to explain the integrated yield response to temperature and precipitation perturbations, the application of the EDA and SDA approaches revealed their capability to distinguish: (i) stronger yield responses to precipitation for winter wheat than spring wheat; (ii) differing strengths of response to climate changes for years with anomalous weather conditions compared to period-average conditions; (iii) the influence of site conditions on yield patterns; (iv) similarities in IRS patterns among models with related genealogy; (v) similarities in IRS patterns for models with simpler process descriptions of root growth and water uptake compared to those with more complex descriptions; and (vi) a closer correspondence of IRS patterns in models using partitioning schemes to represent yield formation than in those using a harvest index.Such results can inform future crop modelling studies that seek to exploit the diversity of multi-model ensembles, by distinguishing ensemble members that span a wide range of responses as well as those that display implausible behaviour or strong mutual similarities.
Archivio Istituziona... arrow_drop_down University of Florida: Digital Library CenterArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: http://ufdc.ufl.edu/LS00592743/00001Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAPublikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2018INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2017Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Wageningen Staff PublicationsUniversity of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Natural Resources Institute Finland: JukuriArticleData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agsy.2017.08.004&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 49 citations 49 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Archivio Istituziona... arrow_drop_down University of Florida: Digital Library CenterArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: http://ufdc.ufl.edu/LS00592743/00001Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAPublikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2018INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2017Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Wageningen Staff PublicationsUniversity of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Natural Resources Institute Finland: JukuriArticleData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agsy.2017.08.004&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 2018 Italy, Germany, United States, France, Italy, Finland, Spain, Netherlands, Denmark, Denmark, Italy, Italy, France, United Kingdom, Netherlands, FrancePublisher:Elsevier BV Funded by:AKA | Pathways linking uncertai..., MIUR, AKA | Pathways for linking unce... +2 projectsAKA| Pathways linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,MIUR ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMES ,EC| IMPRESSIONS ,AKA| Pathways for linking uncertainties in model projections of climate and its effects / Consortium: PLUMESAuthors:Fronzek S;
Fronzek S
Fronzek S in OpenAIREPirttioja N;
Carter; T R; +54 AuthorsPirttioja N
Pirttioja N in OpenAIREFronzek S;
Fronzek S
Fronzek S in OpenAIREPirttioja N;
Carter; T R;Pirttioja N
Pirttioja N in OpenAIREBindi M;
Hoffmann H;Palosuo T;
RuizRamos M;Palosuo T
Palosuo T in OpenAIRETao F;
Trnka M;
Acutis M;
Acutis M
Acutis M in OpenAIREAsseng S;
Asseng S
Asseng S in OpenAIREBaranowski P;
Baranowski P
Baranowski P in OpenAIREBasso B;
Bodin P;Buis S;
Cammarano D;
Cammarano D
Cammarano D in OpenAIREDeligios P;
Destain; M F;Deligios P
Deligios P in OpenAIREDumont B;
Dumont B
Dumont B in OpenAIREEwert F;
Ferrise R;
Franois L;Ferrise R
Ferrise R in OpenAIREGaiser T;
Gaiser T
Gaiser T in OpenAIREHlavinka P;
Jacquemin I; Kersebaum; K C; Kollas C;Hlavinka P
Hlavinka P in OpenAIREKrzyszczak J;
Lorite; I J; Minet J; Minguez; M I; Montesino M;Krzyszczak J
Krzyszczak J in OpenAIREMoriondo M;
Mller C;Moriondo M
Moriondo M in OpenAIRENendel C;
ztrk I; Perego A; Rodrguez A; Ruane; A C; Ruget F;Nendel C
Nendel C in OpenAIRESanna M;
Semenov; M A;Slawinski C;
Stratonovitch P; Supit I;Slawinski C
Slawinski C in OpenAIREWaha K;
Wang E;Wu L;
Zhao Z;
Rtter; R P;handle: 20.500.14243/411955 , 2434/616106 , 11388/202604 , 2158/1113710
Crop growth simulation models can differ greatly in their treatment of key processes and hence in their response to environmental conditions. Here, we used an ensemble of 26 process-based wheat models applied at sites across a European transect to compare their sensitivity to changes in temperature (-2 to +9°C) and precipitation (-50 to +50%). Model results were analysed by plotting them as impact response surfaces (IRSs), classifying the IRS patterns of individual model simulations, describing these classes and analysing factors that may explain the major differences in model responses.The model ensemble was used to simulate yields of winter and spring wheat at four sites in Finland, Germany and Spain. Results were plotted as IRSs that show changes in yields relative to the baseline with respect to temperature and precipitation. IRSs of 30-year means and selected extreme years were classified using two approaches describing their pattern.The expert diagnostic approach (EDA) combines two aspects of IRS patterns: location of the maximum yield (nine classes) and strength of the yield response with respect to climate (four classes), resulting in a total of 36 combined classes defined using criteria pre-specified by experts. The statistical diagnostic approach (SDA) groups IRSs by comparing their pattern and magnitude, without attempting to interpret these features. It applies a hierarchical clustering method, grouping response patterns using a distance metric that combines the spatial correlation and Euclidian distance between IRS pairs. The two approaches were used to investigate whether different patterns of yield response could be related to different properties of the crop models, specifically their genealogy, calibration and process description.Although no single model property across a large model ensemble was found to explain the integrated yield response to temperature and precipitation perturbations, the application of the EDA and SDA approaches revealed their capability to distinguish: (i) stronger yield responses to precipitation for winter wheat than spring wheat; (ii) differing strengths of response to climate changes for years with anomalous weather conditions compared to period-average conditions; (iii) the influence of site conditions on yield patterns; (iv) similarities in IRS patterns among models with related genealogy; (v) similarities in IRS patterns for models with simpler process descriptions of root growth and water uptake compared to those with more complex descriptions; and (vi) a closer correspondence of IRS patterns in models using partitioning schemes to represent yield formation than in those using a harvest index.Such results can inform future crop modelling studies that seek to exploit the diversity of multi-model ensembles, by distinguishing ensemble members that span a wide range of responses as well as those that display implausible behaviour or strong mutual similarities.
Archivio Istituziona... arrow_drop_down University of Florida: Digital Library CenterArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: http://ufdc.ufl.edu/LS00592743/00001Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAPublikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2018INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2017Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Wageningen Staff PublicationsUniversity of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Natural Resources Institute Finland: JukuriArticleData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agsy.2017.08.004&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 49 citations 49 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Archivio Istituziona... arrow_drop_down University of Florida: Digital Library CenterArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDFull-Text: http://ufdc.ufl.edu/LS00592743/00001Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2018 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BY NC NDData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAPublikationenserver der Georg-August-Universität GöttingenArticle . 2018INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverArticle . 2017Data sources: INRIA a CCSD electronic archive serverWageningen Staff PublicationsArticle . 2018License: CC BY NC NDData sources: Wageningen Staff PublicationsUniversity of Copenhagen: ResearchArticle . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research)Article . 2018Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ag...Other literature typeData sources: European Union Open Data PortalInstitut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Natural Resources Institute Finland: JukuriArticleData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.agsy.2017.08.004&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu