Strachan, N.; Hoefnagels, E.T.A.;Strachan, N.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileStrachan, N. in OpenAIRE Ramírez Ramírez, C.A.; Ramírez Ramírez, C.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRamírez Ramírez, C.A. in OpenAIRE van den Broek, M.A.; +6 Authorsvan den Broek, M.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek, M.A. in OpenAIRE Strachan, N.; Hoefnagels, E.T.A.;Strachan, N.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileStrachan, N. in OpenAIRE Ramírez Ramírez, C.A.; Ramírez Ramírez, C.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRamírez Ramírez, C.A. in OpenAIRE van den Broek, M.A.; Fidje, A.;van den Broek, M.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek, M.A. in OpenAIRE Espegren, K.; Seljom, P.; Blesl, M.; Kober, T.;Espegren, K.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileEspegren, K. in OpenAIRE Grohnheit, P.E.; Grohnheit, P.E.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileGrohnheit, P.E. in OpenAIREThe potential scale of carbon dioxide capture and storage (CCS) under long-term decarbonisation scenarios means that analysis on the contribution of large international CO2 storage reservoirs is critical. This paper compares the potentially key role of CCS within cost-optimizing energy systems modelling at the national level (ensuring country-specific technical, economic and policy detail), and the regional level (ensuring transboundary electricity and CO2 trade). Analysis at alternate model scales investigates the full range of drivers on the feasibility and trade-offs in using the Utsira formation as a common North Sea CO2 storage resource. A robust finding is that low carbon electricity is a primary decarbonisation pathway and that CCS plays a key role (32–40%) within this portfolio. This paper confirms that the overall driver of the amount of CCS utilized is the climate policy, with by 2050 a total of 475–570 MtCO2 captured and stored (of which 110–120 MtCO2 is stored in Utsira) under an 80% CO2 reduction target. Modelled country differences are much larger due to specific national policies and to regional (EU) commodity trading. From 2030 onwards, Utsira plays a key role within the CO2 storage cost curve, with the Netherlands and the UK being the largest contributors, followed by transboundary flows of CO2 from other countries. However, overall regional CCS flows may be larger (for example under low fossil fuel prices) than the estimated (and uncertain) maximum annual injection rates into Utsira which could potentially represent a significant constraint.
Access RoutesGreen bronze 27 citations 27 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% 
Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.ijggc.2011.08.009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu- Strachan, N.; Hoefnagels, E.T.A.;
Strachan, N.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileStrachan, N. in OpenAIRE Ramírez Ramírez, C.A.; Ramírez Ramírez, C.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRamírez Ramírez, C.A. in OpenAIRE van den Broek, M.A.; +6 Authorsvan den Broek, M.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek, M.A. in OpenAIRE Strachan, N.; Hoefnagels, E.T.A.;Strachan, N.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileStrachan, N. in OpenAIRE Ramírez Ramírez, C.A.; Ramírez Ramírez, C.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRamírez Ramírez, C.A. in OpenAIRE van den Broek, M.A.; Fidje, A.;van den Broek, M.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek, M.A. in OpenAIRE Espegren, K.; Seljom, P.; Blesl, M.; Kober, T.;Espegren, K.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileEspegren, K. in OpenAIRE Grohnheit, P.E.; Grohnheit, P.E.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileGrohnheit, P.E. in OpenAIREThe potential scale of carbon dioxide capture and storage (CCS) under long-term decarbonisation scenarios means that analysis on the contribution of large international CO2 storage reservoirs is critical. This paper compares the potentially key role of CCS within cost-optimizing energy systems modelling at the national level (ensuring country-specific technical, economic and policy detail), and the regional level (ensuring transboundary electricity and CO2 trade). Analysis at alternate model scales investigates the full range of drivers on the feasibility and trade-offs in using the Utsira formation as a common North Sea CO2 storage resource. A robust finding is that low carbon electricity is a primary decarbonisation pathway and that CCS plays a key role (32–40%) within this portfolio. This paper confirms that the overall driver of the amount of CCS utilized is the climate policy, with by 2050 a total of 475–570 MtCO2 captured and stored (of which 110–120 MtCO2 is stored in Utsira) under an 80% CO2 reduction target. Modelled country differences are much larger due to specific national policies and to regional (EU) commodity trading. From 2030 onwards, Utsira plays a key role within the CO2 storage cost curve, with the Netherlands and the UK being the largest contributors, followed by transboundary flows of CO2 from other countries. However, overall regional CCS flows may be larger (for example under low fossil fuel prices) than the estimated (and uncertain) maximum annual injection rates into Utsira which could potentially represent a significant constraint.
Access RoutesGreen bronze 27 citations 27 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.ijggc.2011.08.009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - Rockett, Gabriela Camboim; Joao Marcelo Medina Ketzer;
Rockett, Gabriela Camboim
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRockett, Gabriela Camboim in OpenAIRE RAMÍREZ, ANDREA; RAMÍREZ, ANDREA
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRAMÍREZ, ANDREA in OpenAIRE VAN DEN BROEK, MACHTELD; VAN DEN BROEK, MACHTELD
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileVAN DEN BROEK, MACHTELD in OpenAIRELarge potentials for CO2 storage were demonstrated in previous studies in Brazil. This study aims to estimate the CO2 storage capacity in the Campos Basin , Southeast Brazil, in order to provide refined values to support CCS planning in the country. The results, based on field/reservoir level data show that there is a large potential for CO2 storage (ca. 950Mt) in the 17 assessed oil fields in the basin, and 75% of this storage capacity is found in sandstone reservoirs.
Access RoutesGreen gold 16 citations 16 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Average Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.427&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - Rockett, Gabriela Camboim; Joao Marcelo Medina Ketzer;
Rockett, Gabriela Camboim
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRockett, Gabriela Camboim in OpenAIRE RAMÍREZ, ANDREA; RAMÍREZ, ANDREA
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRAMÍREZ, ANDREA in OpenAIRE VAN DEN BROEK, MACHTELD; VAN DEN BROEK, MACHTELD
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileVAN DEN BROEK, MACHTELD in OpenAIRELarge potentials for CO2 storage were demonstrated in previous studies in Brazil. This study aims to estimate the CO2 storage capacity in the Campos Basin , Southeast Brazil, in order to provide refined values to support CCS planning in the country. The results, based on field/reservoir level data show that there is a large potential for CO2 storage (ca. 950Mt) in the 17 assessed oil fields in the basin, and 75% of this storage capacity is found in sandstone reservoirs.
Access RoutesGreen gold 16 citations 16 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Average Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.egypro.2013.06.427&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - Zappa, William; Junginger, Martin; van den Broek, Machteld;
van den Broek, Machteld
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek, Machteld in OpenAIREWe model the evolution of the Central Western Europe power system until 2040 with an increasing carbon price and strong growth of variable renewable energy sources (vRES) for four electricity market designs: the current energy-only market, a reformed energy-only market, both also with the addition of a capacity market. Each design is modelled for two decarbonisation pathways: one targeting net-zero emissions by 2040 for a 2 degrees C warming limit, and the other targeting -850 Mt CO2 y(-) for a 1.5 degrees C warming limit. We compare these scenarios against the high-level objectives of delivering low-carbon electricity reliably to consumers at the lowest possible cost. Our results suggest that both 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C compliant systems could be achieved and deliver electricity reliably. In terms of cost, we find the 1.5 degrees C warming scenarios lead to system costs which are twice as high as the 2 degrees C scenarios due to the high cost of negative emission technologies - in particular direct air carbon capture (DAC). To make a 1.5 degrees C target more affordable, policymakers should investigate lower cost alternatives in other sectors, and increase research and development in DAC to reduce its cost.
Access RoutesGreen hybrid 12 citations 12 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111987&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - Zappa, William; Junginger, Martin; van den Broek, Machteld;
van den Broek, Machteld
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek, Machteld in OpenAIREWe model the evolution of the Central Western Europe power system until 2040 with an increasing carbon price and strong growth of variable renewable energy sources (vRES) for four electricity market designs: the current energy-only market, a reformed energy-only market, both also with the addition of a capacity market. Each design is modelled for two decarbonisation pathways: one targeting net-zero emissions by 2040 for a 2 degrees C warming limit, and the other targeting -850 Mt CO2 y(-) for a 1.5 degrees C warming limit. We compare these scenarios against the high-level objectives of delivering low-carbon electricity reliably to consumers at the lowest possible cost. Our results suggest that both 2 degrees C and 1.5 degrees C compliant systems could be achieved and deliver electricity reliably. In terms of cost, we find the 1.5 degrees C warming scenarios lead to system costs which are twice as high as the 2 degrees C scenarios due to the high cost of negative emission technologies - in particular direct air carbon capture (DAC). To make a 1.5 degrees C target more affordable, policymakers should investigate lower cost alternatives in other sectors, and increase research and development in DAC to reduce its cost.
Access RoutesGreen hybrid 12 citations 12 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111987&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - Rebeka Béres; Martin Junginger;
Rebeka Béres
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRebeka Béres in OpenAIRE Machteld van den Broek; Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIRETo achieve the European Union's goal of climate neutrality by 2050, negative emissions may be required to compensate for emissions exceeding allocated carbon budgets. Therefore, carbon removal technologies such as bioenergy with carbon capture (BECCS) and direct air capture (DAC) may need to play a pivotal role in the power system. To design carbon removal strategies, more insights are needed into the impact of sustainable biomass availability and the feasibility of carbon capture and storage (CCS), including the expensive and energy-intensive DAC on achieving net-zero and net-negative targets. Therefore, in this study the European power system in 2050 is modelled at an hourly resolution in the cost-minimization PLEXOS modelling platform. Three climate-neutral scenarios with targets of 0, -1, and -3.9 Mt CO2/year (which agree with varying levels of climate justice) are assessed for different biomass levels, and CCS availability. Findings under baseline assumptions reveal that in a climate-neutral power system with biomass and CCS options, it is cost-effective to complement variable renewable energy with a mix of combined cycle natural gas turbines (CCNGT) for flexibility and BECCS as base load to compensate for the CO2 emissions from natural gas and additional carbon removal in the net-negative scenarios. The role of these technologies becomes more prominent, with -3.9 GtCO2/year target. Limited biomass availability necessitates additional 0.4–4 GtCO2/year DAC, 10–50 GW CCNGT with CCS, and 10–50 GW nuclear. Excluding biomass doubles system costs and increases reliance on nuclear energy up to 300 TWh/year. The absence of CCS increases costs by 78%, emphasizing significant investments in bioenergy, nuclear power, hydrogen storage, and biogas. Sensitivity analysis and limitations of the study are fully discussed.
Access RoutesGreen gold add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.adapen.2024.100166&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - Rebeka Béres; Martin Junginger;
Rebeka Béres
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRebeka Béres in OpenAIRE Machteld van den Broek; Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIRETo achieve the European Union's goal of climate neutrality by 2050, negative emissions may be required to compensate for emissions exceeding allocated carbon budgets. Therefore, carbon removal technologies such as bioenergy with carbon capture (BECCS) and direct air capture (DAC) may need to play a pivotal role in the power system. To design carbon removal strategies, more insights are needed into the impact of sustainable biomass availability and the feasibility of carbon capture and storage (CCS), including the expensive and energy-intensive DAC on achieving net-zero and net-negative targets. Therefore, in this study the European power system in 2050 is modelled at an hourly resolution in the cost-minimization PLEXOS modelling platform. Three climate-neutral scenarios with targets of 0, -1, and -3.9 Mt CO2/year (which agree with varying levels of climate justice) are assessed for different biomass levels, and CCS availability. Findings under baseline assumptions reveal that in a climate-neutral power system with biomass and CCS options, it is cost-effective to complement variable renewable energy with a mix of combined cycle natural gas turbines (CCNGT) for flexibility and BECCS as base load to compensate for the CO2 emissions from natural gas and additional carbon removal in the net-negative scenarios. The role of these technologies becomes more prominent, with -3.9 GtCO2/year target. Limited biomass availability necessitates additional 0.4–4 GtCO2/year DAC, 10–50 GW CCNGT with CCS, and 10–50 GW nuclear. Excluding biomass doubles system costs and increases reliance on nuclear energy up to 300 TWh/year. The absence of CCS increases costs by 78%, emphasizing significant investments in bioenergy, nuclear power, hydrogen storage, and biogas. Sensitivity analysis and limitations of the study are fully discussed.
Access RoutesGreen gold add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.adapen.2024.100166&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - A.J. Seebregts; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; Machteld van den Broek; +1 Authors
Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIREA.J. Seebregts; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; Machteld van den Broek; André Faaij;Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIREThe electricity sector in OECD countries is on the brink of a large shift towards low-carbon electricity generation. Power systems after 2030 may consist largely of two low-carbon generator types: Intermittent Renewable Energy Sources (IRES) such as wind and solar PV and thermal generators such as power plants with carbon capture. Combining these two types could lead to conflicts, because IRES require more flexibility from the power system, whereas thermal generators may be relatively inflexible. In this study, we quantify the impacts of large-scale IRES on the power system and its thermal generators, and we discuss how to accurately model IRES impacts on a low-carbon power system. Wind integration studies show that the impacts of wind power on present-day power systems are sizable at penetration rates of around 20% of annual power generation: the combined reserve size increases by 8.6% (6.3-10.8%) of installed wind capacity, and wind power provides 16% (5-27%) of its capacity as firm capacity. Thermal generators are affected by a reduction in their efficiency of 4% (0-9%), and displacement of (mainly natural gas-fired) generators with the highest marginal costs. Of these impacts, only the increase in reserves incurs direct costs of 1-6€/MWhwind. These results are also indicative of the impacts of solar PV and wave power. A comprehensive power system model will be required to model the impacts of IRES in a low-carbon power system, which accounts for: a time step of <1 h, detailed IRES production patterns, flexibility constraints of thermal generators and interconnection capacity. Ideally, an efficient reserve sizing methodology and novel flexibility technologies (i.e., high capacity interconnectors and electricity storage and DSM) will also be included.
Access RoutesGreen bronze 279 citations 279 popularity Top 1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.rser.2014.01.076&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - A.J. Seebregts; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; Machteld van den Broek; +1 Authors
Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIREA.J. Seebregts; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; Machteld van den Broek; André Faaij;Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIREThe electricity sector in OECD countries is on the brink of a large shift towards low-carbon electricity generation. Power systems after 2030 may consist largely of two low-carbon generator types: Intermittent Renewable Energy Sources (IRES) such as wind and solar PV and thermal generators such as power plants with carbon capture. Combining these two types could lead to conflicts, because IRES require more flexibility from the power system, whereas thermal generators may be relatively inflexible. In this study, we quantify the impacts of large-scale IRES on the power system and its thermal generators, and we discuss how to accurately model IRES impacts on a low-carbon power system. Wind integration studies show that the impacts of wind power on present-day power systems are sizable at penetration rates of around 20% of annual power generation: the combined reserve size increases by 8.6% (6.3-10.8%) of installed wind capacity, and wind power provides 16% (5-27%) of its capacity as firm capacity. Thermal generators are affected by a reduction in their efficiency of 4% (0-9%), and displacement of (mainly natural gas-fired) generators with the highest marginal costs. Of these impacts, only the increase in reserves incurs direct costs of 1-6€/MWhwind. These results are also indicative of the impacts of solar PV and wave power. A comprehensive power system model will be required to model the impacts of IRES in a low-carbon power system, which accounts for: a time step of <1 h, detailed IRES production patterns, flexibility constraints of thermal generators and interconnection capacity. Ideally, an efficient reserve sizing methodology and novel flexibility technologies (i.e., high capacity interconnectors and electricity storage and DSM) will also be included.
Access RoutesGreen bronze 279 citations 279 popularity Top 1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.rser.2014.01.076&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - Machteld van den Broek; Willi C. Turkenburg; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; William Zappa; +2 Authors
Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIRE Machteld van den Broek; Willi C. Turkenburg; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; William Zappa; André Faaij; André Faaij;Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIRELarge power sector CO2 emission reductions are needed to meet long-term climate change targets. Intermittent renewable energy sources (intermittent-RES) such as wind and solar PV can be a key component of the resulting low-carbon power systems. Their intermittency will require more flexibility from the rest of the power system to maintain system stability. In this study, the efficacy of five complementary options to integrate intermittent-RES at the lowest cost is evaluated with the PLEXOS hourly power system simulation tool for Western Europe in the year 2050. Three scenarios to reduce CO2 emissions by 96% and maintain system reliability are investigated: 40%, 60% and 80% of annual power generation by RES. This corresponds to 22%, 41% and 59% of annual power generation by intermittent-RES. This study shows that higher penetration of RES will increase the total system costs: they increase by 12% between the 40% and 80% RES scenarios. Key drivers are the relatively high investment costs and integration costs of intermittent-RES. It is found that total system costs can be reduced by: (1) Demand response (DR) (2-3% reduction compared to no DR deployment); (2) natural gas-fired power plants with and without Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) (12% reduction from mainly replacing RES power generation between the 80% and 40% RES scenarios); (3) increased interconnection capacity (0-1% reduction compared to the current capacity); (4) curtailment (2% reduction in 80% RES scenario compared to no curtailment); (5) electricity storage increases total system costs in all scenarios (0.1-3% increase compared to only current storage capacity). The charging costs and investment costs make storage relatively expensive, even projecting cost reductions of 40% for Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES) and 70% for batteries compared to 2012. All scenarios are simulated as energy only markets, and experience a "revenue gap" for both complementary options and other power generators: only curtailment and DR are profitable due to their low cost. The revenue gap becomes progressively more pronounced in the 60% and 80% RES scenarios, as the low marginal costs of RES reduce electricity prices.
Access RoutesGreen hybrid 232 citations 232 popularity Top 1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.09.090&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - Machteld van den Broek; Willi C. Turkenburg; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; William Zappa; +2 Authors
Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIRE Machteld van den Broek; Willi C. Turkenburg; Anne Sjoerd Brouwer; William Zappa; André Faaij; André Faaij;Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIRELarge power sector CO2 emission reductions are needed to meet long-term climate change targets. Intermittent renewable energy sources (intermittent-RES) such as wind and solar PV can be a key component of the resulting low-carbon power systems. Their intermittency will require more flexibility from the rest of the power system to maintain system stability. In this study, the efficacy of five complementary options to integrate intermittent-RES at the lowest cost is evaluated with the PLEXOS hourly power system simulation tool for Western Europe in the year 2050. Three scenarios to reduce CO2 emissions by 96% and maintain system reliability are investigated: 40%, 60% and 80% of annual power generation by RES. This corresponds to 22%, 41% and 59% of annual power generation by intermittent-RES. This study shows that higher penetration of RES will increase the total system costs: they increase by 12% between the 40% and 80% RES scenarios. Key drivers are the relatively high investment costs and integration costs of intermittent-RES. It is found that total system costs can be reduced by: (1) Demand response (DR) (2-3% reduction compared to no DR deployment); (2) natural gas-fired power plants with and without Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) (12% reduction from mainly replacing RES power generation between the 80% and 40% RES scenarios); (3) increased interconnection capacity (0-1% reduction compared to the current capacity); (4) curtailment (2% reduction in 80% RES scenario compared to no curtailment); (5) electricity storage increases total system costs in all scenarios (0.1-3% increase compared to only current storage capacity). The charging costs and investment costs make storage relatively expensive, even projecting cost reductions of 40% for Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES) and 70% for batteries compared to 2012. All scenarios are simulated as energy only markets, and experience a "revenue gap" for both complementary options and other power generators: only curtailment and DR are profitable due to their low cost. The revenue gap becomes progressively more pronounced in the 60% and 80% RES scenarios, as the low marginal costs of RES reduce electricity prices.
Access RoutesGreen hybrid 232 citations 232 popularity Top 1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.09.090&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - van den Broek, M.A.; Veenendaal, P.; Koutstaal, P.; Turkenburg, W.C.; +1 Authors
van den Broek, M.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek, M.A. in OpenAIRE van den Broek, M.A.; Veenendaal, P.; Koutstaal, P.; Turkenburg, W.C.; Faaij, A.P.C.;van den Broek, M.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek, M.A. in OpenAIREThe deployment of large scale CO2 Capture and Storage (CCS) may depend largely on the emissions price resulting from a greenhouse gas emission trading system. However, it is unknown whether such a trading system leads to a sufficient high CO2 price and stable investment environment for CCS deployment. To gain more knowledge, we soft-linked WorldScan, an applied general equilibrium model for global policy analysis, with MARKAL-NL-UU, a techno-economic energy bottom-up model of the Dutch power generation sector and CO2 intensive industry. Results from WorldScan show that CO2 prices in 2020 could vary between 20 €/tCO2 in a GRAND COALITION scenario, in which all countries accept greenhouse gas targets from 2020, to 47 €/tCO2 in an IMPASSE scenario, in which EU-27 continues its one-sided emission trading system without the possibility to use the Clean Development Mechanism. Results from MARKAL-NL-UU show that an emission trading system in combination with uncertainty does not advance the application of CCS in an early stage, the rates at which different CO2 abatement technologies (including CCS) develop are less crucial for introduction of CCS than the CO2 price development, and the combination of biomass (co-)firing and CCS seems an important option to realise deep CO2 emission reductions.
Access RoutesGreen gold 0 citations 0 popularity Average influence Average impulse Average Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.egypro.2011.02.582&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - van den Broek, M.A.; Veenendaal, P.; Koutstaal, P.; Turkenburg, W.C.; +1 Authors
van den Broek, M.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek, M.A. in OpenAIRE van den Broek, M.A.; Veenendaal, P.; Koutstaal, P.; Turkenburg, W.C.; Faaij, A.P.C.;van den Broek, M.A.
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek, M.A. in OpenAIREThe deployment of large scale CO2 Capture and Storage (CCS) may depend largely on the emissions price resulting from a greenhouse gas emission trading system. However, it is unknown whether such a trading system leads to a sufficient high CO2 price and stable investment environment for CCS deployment. To gain more knowledge, we soft-linked WorldScan, an applied general equilibrium model for global policy analysis, with MARKAL-NL-UU, a techno-economic energy bottom-up model of the Dutch power generation sector and CO2 intensive industry. Results from WorldScan show that CO2 prices in 2020 could vary between 20 €/tCO2 in a GRAND COALITION scenario, in which all countries accept greenhouse gas targets from 2020, to 47 €/tCO2 in an IMPASSE scenario, in which EU-27 continues its one-sided emission trading system without the possibility to use the Clean Development Mechanism. Results from MARKAL-NL-UU show that an emission trading system in combination with uncertainty does not advance the application of CCS in an early stage, the rates at which different CO2 abatement technologies (including CCS) develop are less crucial for introduction of CCS than the CO2 price development, and the combination of biomass (co-)firing and CCS seems an important option to realise deep CO2 emission reductions.
Access RoutesGreen gold 0 citations 0 popularity Average influence Average impulse Average Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.egypro.2011.02.582&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu 
Niels Berghout; Niels Berghout
Derived by OpenAIRE algorithms or harvested from 3rd party repositoriesNiels Berghout in OpenAIRE Hans Meerman; Hans Meerman
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileHans Meerman in OpenAIRE Machteld van den Broek; André Faaij;Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIREThis study developed an integrated method to identify deployment pathways for greenhouse gas emissions reductions in an industrial plant. The approach distinguishes itself by assessing the techno-economic performance of combinations of mitigation options at the level of core processes of an industrial plant. Thus, synergies between mitigation options like economies of scale and negative interactions, such as overlap in emission reduction potential, are incorporated, resulting in more realistic insights into costs and associated risks. The method was successfully applied to a large petroleum refinery (similar to 4.1 MtCO(2)/y) in northwest Europe. The studied mitigation routes are: energy efficiency measures, carbon capture and storage, fast pyrolysis of woody biomass to produce infrastructure-ready transportation fuels, and gasification of torrefied wood pellets to produce electricity, hydrogen and/or Fischer-Tropsch fuels. Four deployment pathways were examined, all starting with energy efficiency measures and followed by (1) oxyfuel combustion capture, (2) post-combustion capture, (3) biomass gasification, or (4) biomass gasification with carbon capture and storage. Pathway 4 is most cost-effective under medium assumptions, regardless of the emissions reduction target, and allows for deep emissions reductions (6.3 MtCO(2)-eq/y; 154% reduction compared to the 2012 base case). For a 75% emissions reduction target, the average avoidance cost of pathway 4 is around -25 is an element of(2012)/tCO(2)-eq. In comparison, the second most cost-effective pathway (1) was evaluated at average avoidance cost of -5 is an element of(2012)/tCO(2).eq. However, the ranking of the pathways in terms of avoidance cost depends heavily on future energy prices.
Access RoutesGreen hybrid 59 citations 59 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.11.074&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu- Niels Berghout;
Niels Berghout
Derived by OpenAIRE algorithms or harvested from 3rd party repositoriesNiels Berghout in OpenAIRE Hans Meerman; Hans Meerman
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileHans Meerman in OpenAIRE Machteld van den Broek; André Faaij;Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIREThis study developed an integrated method to identify deployment pathways for greenhouse gas emissions reductions in an industrial plant. The approach distinguishes itself by assessing the techno-economic performance of combinations of mitigation options at the level of core processes of an industrial plant. Thus, synergies between mitigation options like economies of scale and negative interactions, such as overlap in emission reduction potential, are incorporated, resulting in more realistic insights into costs and associated risks. The method was successfully applied to a large petroleum refinery (similar to 4.1 MtCO(2)/y) in northwest Europe. The studied mitigation routes are: energy efficiency measures, carbon capture and storage, fast pyrolysis of woody biomass to produce infrastructure-ready transportation fuels, and gasification of torrefied wood pellets to produce electricity, hydrogen and/or Fischer-Tropsch fuels. Four deployment pathways were examined, all starting with energy efficiency measures and followed by (1) oxyfuel combustion capture, (2) post-combustion capture, (3) biomass gasification, or (4) biomass gasification with carbon capture and storage. Pathway 4 is most cost-effective under medium assumptions, regardless of the emissions reduction target, and allows for deep emissions reductions (6.3 MtCO(2)-eq/y; 154% reduction compared to the 2012 base case). For a 75% emissions reduction target, the average avoidance cost of pathway 4 is around -25 is an element of(2012)/tCO(2)-eq. In comparison, the second most cost-effective pathway (1) was evaluated at average avoidance cost of -5 is an element of(2012)/tCO(2).eq. However, the ranking of the pathways in terms of avoidance cost depends heavily on future energy prices.
Access RoutesGreen hybrid 59 citations 59 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.11.074&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - EC| PROSUITEAndré Faaij; Detlef P. van Vuuren; Detlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileDetlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIRE Richard Wood; +3 AuthorsRichard Wood
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRichard Wood in OpenAIREAndré Faaij; Detlef P. van Vuuren; Detlef P. van Vuuren;Detlef P. van Vuuren
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileDetlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIRE Richard Wood; Richard Wood
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRichard Wood in OpenAIRE Barbara Sophia Koelbl; Barbara Sophia Koelbl
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileBarbara Sophia Koelbl in OpenAIRE Machteld van den Broek; Mark Sanders;Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIRECarbon capture and storage (CCS) is a potential key-technology to mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions as its use can lead to lower mitigation cost. However, research on other economic impacts of using CCS is scarce. In this paper, we look into economic upstream impacts of CCS use in terms of employment, Gross Value Added (GVA) and import dependency on the macro- and sector-level in Western Europe. We determine these impacts by a static comparison of two scenarios of power production with and without CCS (differences in energy efficiency investments between these scenarios were not accounted for). The two scenarios, both representing a stringent climate policy regime, were produced with the energy-system-simulation-model (TIMER) following the same emission profile until 2050. Data from the two scenarios were respectively implemented into a projected version of a global-multiregional IO-Model (EXIOBASE). Macro-level results suggest slightly higher gross employment, but lower Gross Value Added (GVA) (by 25%), and higher import dependency in the CCS-including scenario compared to the CCS-excluding scenario, given that biomass with CCS (BECCS) is available. Sector-level results show disproportionally higher differences between the scenarios in GVA and employment for some sectors compared to other sectors. Particularly, sectors providing fuels (here mostly bio-energy) have significantly higher GVA and employment in the CCS scenario. This study thus reveals interesting upstream economic effects, which can be linked to the technology choice. However, the exact quantitative results depend strongly on model assumptions. Results therefore need to be further explored in other models.
Access RoutesGreen hybrid 16 citations 16 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.ijggc.2015.08.010&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - EC| PROSUITEAndré Faaij; Detlef P. van Vuuren; Detlef P. van Vuuren;
Detlef P. van Vuuren
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileDetlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIRE Richard Wood; +3 AuthorsRichard Wood
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRichard Wood in OpenAIREAndré Faaij; Detlef P. van Vuuren; Detlef P. van Vuuren;Detlef P. van Vuuren
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileDetlef P. van Vuuren in OpenAIRE Richard Wood; Richard Wood
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileRichard Wood in OpenAIRE Barbara Sophia Koelbl; Barbara Sophia Koelbl
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileBarbara Sophia Koelbl in OpenAIRE Machteld van den Broek; Mark Sanders;Machteld van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileMachteld van den Broek in OpenAIRECarbon capture and storage (CCS) is a potential key-technology to mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions as its use can lead to lower mitigation cost. However, research on other economic impacts of using CCS is scarce. In this paper, we look into economic upstream impacts of CCS use in terms of employment, Gross Value Added (GVA) and import dependency on the macro- and sector-level in Western Europe. We determine these impacts by a static comparison of two scenarios of power production with and without CCS (differences in energy efficiency investments between these scenarios were not accounted for). The two scenarios, both representing a stringent climate policy regime, were produced with the energy-system-simulation-model (TIMER) following the same emission profile until 2050. Data from the two scenarios were respectively implemented into a projected version of a global-multiregional IO-Model (EXIOBASE). Macro-level results suggest slightly higher gross employment, but lower Gross Value Added (GVA) (by 25%), and higher import dependency in the CCS-including scenario compared to the CCS-excluding scenario, given that biomass with CCS (BECCS) is available. Sector-level results show disproportionally higher differences between the scenarios in GVA and employment for some sectors compared to other sectors. Particularly, sectors providing fuels (here mostly bio-energy) have significantly higher GVA and employment in the CCS scenario. This study thus reveals interesting upstream economic effects, which can be linked to the technology choice. However, the exact quantitative results depend strongly on model assumptions. Results therefore need to be further explored in other models.
Access RoutesGreen hybrid 16 citations 16 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.ijggc.2015.08.010&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - van den Broek;
van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek in OpenAIRE Karin van der Wiel; Russell Blackport;Karin van der Wiel
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileKarin van der Wiel in OpenAIRE Laurens Stoop; +3 AuthorsLaurens Stoop
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileLaurens Stoop in OpenAIRE van den Broek; van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek in OpenAIRE Karin van der Wiel; Russell Blackport;Karin van der Wiel
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileKarin van der Wiel in OpenAIRE Laurens Stoop; Laurens Stoop;Laurens Stoop
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileLaurens Stoop in OpenAIRE Frank Selten; B.R.H. van Zuijlen;Frank Selten
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileFrank Selten in OpenAIRETo mitigate climate change a renewable energy transition is needed. Existing power systems will need to be redesigned to balance variable renewable energy production with variable energy demand. We investigate the meteorological sensitivity of a highly-renewable European energy system using large ensemble simulations from two global climate models. Based on 32000 years of simulated weather conditions, daily wind and solar energy yields, and energy demand are calculated. From this data, 1-, 7- and 14-days events of extreme low renewable energy production and extreme high energy shortfall are selected. Energy shortfall is defined as the residual load, i.e. demand minus renewable production. 1-day low energy production days are characterised by large-scale high pressure systems over central Europe, with lower than normal wind speeds. These events typically occur in winter when solar energy is limited due to short day lengths. Situations of atmospheric blocking lead to long lasting periods of low energy production, such 7- and 14-days low production events peak late summer. High energy shortfall events occur due to comparable high pressure systems though now combined with below normal temperatures, driving up energy demand. In contrast to the low energy production events, 1-, 7- and 14-days high shortfall events all occur mid-winter, locked to the coldest months of the year. A spatial redistribution of wind turbines and solar panels cannot prevent these high-impact events, options to import renewable energy from remote locations during these events are limited. Projected changes due to climate change are substantially smaller than interannual variability. Future power systems with large penetration of variable renewable energy must be designed with these events in mind.
Access RoutesGreen hybrid 108 citations 108 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.rser.2019.04.065&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu - van den Broek;
van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek in OpenAIRE Karin van der Wiel; Russell Blackport;Karin van der Wiel
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileKarin van der Wiel in OpenAIRE Laurens Stoop; +3 AuthorsLaurens Stoop
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileLaurens Stoop in OpenAIRE van den Broek; van den Broek
Harvested from ORCID Public Data Filevan den Broek in OpenAIRE Karin van der Wiel; Russell Blackport;Karin van der Wiel
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileKarin van der Wiel in OpenAIRE Laurens Stoop; Laurens Stoop;Laurens Stoop
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileLaurens Stoop in OpenAIRE Frank Selten; B.R.H. van Zuijlen;Frank Selten
Harvested from ORCID Public Data FileFrank Selten in OpenAIRETo mitigate climate change a renewable energy transition is needed. Existing power systems will need to be redesigned to balance variable renewable energy production with variable energy demand. We investigate the meteorological sensitivity of a highly-renewable European energy system using large ensemble simulations from two global climate models. Based on 32000 years of simulated weather conditions, daily wind and solar energy yields, and energy demand are calculated. From this data, 1-, 7- and 14-days events of extreme low renewable energy production and extreme high energy shortfall are selected. Energy shortfall is defined as the residual load, i.e. demand minus renewable production. 1-day low energy production days are characterised by large-scale high pressure systems over central Europe, with lower than normal wind speeds. These events typically occur in winter when solar energy is limited due to short day lengths. Situations of atmospheric blocking lead to long lasting periods of low energy production, such 7- and 14-days low production events peak late summer. High energy shortfall events occur due to comparable high pressure systems though now combined with below normal temperatures, driving up energy demand. In contrast to the low energy production events, 1-, 7- and 14-days high shortfall events all occur mid-winter, locked to the coldest months of the year. A spatial redistribution of wind turbines and solar panels cannot prevent these high-impact events, options to import renewable energy from remote locations during these events are limited. Projected changes due to climate change are substantially smaller than interannual variability. Future power systems with large penetration of variable renewable energy must be designed with these events in mind.
Access RoutesGreen hybrid 108 citations 108 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.<script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.rser.2019.04.065&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu
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