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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2009Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Authors: Conceição, Marco Antônio Fonseca; Marin, Fábio Ricardo;A região de Jales é uma das principais produtoras de uvas de mesa do Estado de São Paulo. As videiras da região são irrigadas e conduzidas, normalmente, no sistema latada, sendo comum, também, a utilização de coberturas com telas plásticas para a proteção contra granizo, pássaros e morcegos. Entretanto, a irrigação, o sistema de condução e a cobertura plástica podem modificar as condições microclimáticas no parreiral. O presente trabalho teve como objetivo comparar as condições meteorológicas no interior de um parreiral de uvas, na região de Jales, com as registradas a céu aberto. As avaliações foram realizadas na Estação Experimental de Viticultura Tropical da Embrapa Uva e Vinho, em Jales-SP, em uma área conduzida no sistema latada, coberta com tela plástica de polietileno e irrigada por microaspersão. Os dados meteorológicos foram registrados fora e no interior do parreiral, empregando-se dois sistemas automáticos de aquisição de dados, com registros efetuados a cada 15 minutos. Verificou-se que o uso da cobertura de tela plástica reduziu em 20%, em média, a radiação solar incidente (Rs) acima do dossel. Os valores de Rs abaixo do dossel, durante o período de maior expansão foliar, chegaram a ser inferiores a 20% dos registrados a céu aberto. A temperatura e a umidade relativa do ar no interior do parreiral não apresentaram, em geral, diferenças para os valores registrados na estação meteorológica. Durante a irrigação, a temperatura do ar foi reduzida em 3%, e a umidade relativa do ar aumentou em 4%, em média, no interior do parreiral.
Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2009License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-29452009000200016&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 13 citations 13 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2009License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-29452009000200016&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2009Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Authors: Conceição, Marco Antônio Fonseca; Marin, Fábio Ricardo;A região de Jales é uma das principais produtoras de uvas de mesa do Estado de São Paulo. As videiras da região são irrigadas e conduzidas, normalmente, no sistema latada, sendo comum, também, a utilização de coberturas com telas plásticas para a proteção contra granizo, pássaros e morcegos. Entretanto, a irrigação, o sistema de condução e a cobertura plástica podem modificar as condições microclimáticas no parreiral. O presente trabalho teve como objetivo comparar as condições meteorológicas no interior de um parreiral de uvas, na região de Jales, com as registradas a céu aberto. As avaliações foram realizadas na Estação Experimental de Viticultura Tropical da Embrapa Uva e Vinho, em Jales-SP, em uma área conduzida no sistema latada, coberta com tela plástica de polietileno e irrigada por microaspersão. Os dados meteorológicos foram registrados fora e no interior do parreiral, empregando-se dois sistemas automáticos de aquisição de dados, com registros efetuados a cada 15 minutos. Verificou-se que o uso da cobertura de tela plástica reduziu em 20%, em média, a radiação solar incidente (Rs) acima do dossel. Os valores de Rs abaixo do dossel, durante o período de maior expansão foliar, chegaram a ser inferiores a 20% dos registrados a céu aberto. A temperatura e a umidade relativa do ar no interior do parreiral não apresentaram, em geral, diferenças para os valores registrados na estação meteorológica. Durante a irrigação, a temperatura do ar foi reduzida em 3%, e a umidade relativa do ar aumentou em 4%, em média, no interior do parreiral.
Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2009License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-29452009000200016&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 13 citations 13 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2009License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-29452009000200016&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 2022 United KingdomPublisher:Wiley Murilo S. Vianna; Karina W. Williams; Emma W. Littleton; Osvaldo Cabral; Carlos Eduardo P. Cerri; Quirijn De Jong van Lier; Toby R. Marthews; Garry Hayman; Marcelo Zeri; Santiago V. Cuadra; Andrew J. Challinor; Fabio R. Marin; Marcelo V. Galdos;doi: 10.1111/gcbb.12989
AbstractBioenergy from sugarcane production is considered a key mitigation strategy for global warming. Improving its representation in land surface models is important to further understand the interactions between climate and bioenergy production, supporting accurate climate projections and decision‐making. This study aimed to calibrate and evaluate the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) for climate impact assessments in sugarcane. A dataset composed of soil moisture, water and carbon fluxes and biomass measurements from field experiments across Brazil was used to calibrate and evaluate JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE parametrizations. The ability to predict the spatiotemporal variability of sugarcane yields and the impact of climate change was also tested at five Brazilian microregions. Parameters related to sugarcane allometry, crop growth and development were derived and tested for JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE, together with the response to atmospheric carbon dioxide, temperature and low‐water availability (CTW‐response). Both parametrizations showed comparable performance to other sugarcane dynamic models, with a root mean squared error of 6.75 and 6.05 t ha−1 for stalk dry matter for JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE, respectively. The parametrizations were also able to replicate the average yield patterns observed in the five microregions over 30 years when the yield gap factors were taken into account, with the correlation (r) between simulated and observed interannual variability of yields ranging from 0.33 to 0.56. An overall small positive trend was found in future yield projections of sugarcane using the new calibrations, with exception of the Jataí mesoregion which showed a clear negative trend for the SSP5 scenario from the years 2070 to 2100. Our simulations showed that an abrupt negative impact on sugarcane yields is expected if daytime temperatures above 35°C become more frequent. The newly calibrated version of JULES can be applied regionally and globally to help understand the interactions between climate and bioenergy production.
NERC Open Research A... arrow_drop_down Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcbb.12989&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 5 citations 5 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert NERC Open Research A... arrow_drop_down Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcbb.12989&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 2022 United KingdomPublisher:Wiley Murilo S. Vianna; Karina W. Williams; Emma W. Littleton; Osvaldo Cabral; Carlos Eduardo P. Cerri; Quirijn De Jong van Lier; Toby R. Marthews; Garry Hayman; Marcelo Zeri; Santiago V. Cuadra; Andrew J. Challinor; Fabio R. Marin; Marcelo V. Galdos;doi: 10.1111/gcbb.12989
AbstractBioenergy from sugarcane production is considered a key mitigation strategy for global warming. Improving its representation in land surface models is important to further understand the interactions between climate and bioenergy production, supporting accurate climate projections and decision‐making. This study aimed to calibrate and evaluate the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) for climate impact assessments in sugarcane. A dataset composed of soil moisture, water and carbon fluxes and biomass measurements from field experiments across Brazil was used to calibrate and evaluate JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE parametrizations. The ability to predict the spatiotemporal variability of sugarcane yields and the impact of climate change was also tested at five Brazilian microregions. Parameters related to sugarcane allometry, crop growth and development were derived and tested for JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE, together with the response to atmospheric carbon dioxide, temperature and low‐water availability (CTW‐response). Both parametrizations showed comparable performance to other sugarcane dynamic models, with a root mean squared error of 6.75 and 6.05 t ha−1 for stalk dry matter for JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE, respectively. The parametrizations were also able to replicate the average yield patterns observed in the five microregions over 30 years when the yield gap factors were taken into account, with the correlation (r) between simulated and observed interannual variability of yields ranging from 0.33 to 0.56. An overall small positive trend was found in future yield projections of sugarcane using the new calibrations, with exception of the Jataí mesoregion which showed a clear negative trend for the SSP5 scenario from the years 2070 to 2100. Our simulations showed that an abrupt negative impact on sugarcane yields is expected if daytime temperatures above 35°C become more frequent. The newly calibrated version of JULES can be applied regionally and globally to help understand the interactions between climate and bioenergy production.
NERC Open Research A... arrow_drop_down Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcbb.12989&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 5 citations 5 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert NERC Open Research A... arrow_drop_down Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcbb.12989&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2016 United StatesPublisher:Oxford University Press (OUP) Authors: Marin, Fábio R.; Martha, Geraldo B., Jr.; Cassman, Kenneth; Grassini, Patricio;This article assesses sugarcane yield gaps (YG) in Brazil to determine the degree to which production can be increased without land expansion. In our scenario assessments, we evaluated how much of the projected sugarcane demand to 2024 (for both sugar and bioethanol) can be satisfied through YG closure. The current national average yield is 62% of yield potential estimated for rainfed conditions (i.e., a YG of 38%). Continuing the historical rate of yield gain is not sufficient to meet the projected demand without an area expansion by 5% and 45% for low- and high-demand scenarios, respectively. Closing the exploitable YG to 80% of potential yield would meet future sugarcane demand, with an 18% reduction in sugarcane area for the low-demand scenario or a 13% expansion for the high-demand scenario. A focus on accelerating yield gains to close current exploitable YG is a high priority for meeting future demand while minimizing pressure on additional land requirements.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1093/biosci/biw009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 53 citations 53 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1093/biosci/biw009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2016 United StatesPublisher:Oxford University Press (OUP) Authors: Marin, Fábio R.; Martha, Geraldo B., Jr.; Cassman, Kenneth; Grassini, Patricio;This article assesses sugarcane yield gaps (YG) in Brazil to determine the degree to which production can be increased without land expansion. In our scenario assessments, we evaluated how much of the projected sugarcane demand to 2024 (for both sugar and bioethanol) can be satisfied through YG closure. The current national average yield is 62% of yield potential estimated for rainfed conditions (i.e., a YG of 38%). Continuing the historical rate of yield gain is not sufficient to meet the projected demand without an area expansion by 5% and 45% for low- and high-demand scenarios, respectively. Closing the exploitable YG to 80% of potential yield would meet future sugarcane demand, with an 18% reduction in sugarcane area for the low-demand scenario or a 13% expansion for the high-demand scenario. A focus on accelerating yield gains to close current exploitable YG is a high priority for meeting future demand while minimizing pressure on additional land requirements.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1093/biosci/biw009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 53 citations 53 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1093/biosci/biw009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2008Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Angelocci, Luiz R.; Marin, Fábio R.; Pilau, Felipe G.; Righi, Evandro Z.; Favarin, José L.;The radiation balance of hedgerows is an important variable in studies of mass and energy exchanges between parcial ground cover crops and the atmosphere. This paper describes a device with eight net radiometers encompassing the plants of a hedgerow. The radiometers were moved along a length of hedgerow, in a continuous and reversible movement. The canopy net radiation in this length (Rnc) was found by integration of the measurements over the notional cylinder formed. The device showed good performance and provided reliable measurements of Rnc of coffee hedgerows, showing itselfto be an useful technique of measurement in field conditions. Good correlations between Rnc and global solar radiation, turfgrass and coffee crop net radiation were found in 15-min, daytime and 24-hr periods, allowing the possibility of estimating Rnc from these simple measurements. Beer’s law was also used to have an independent estimation of Rnc. A good agreement was found between values of Rnc estimated by this law of attenuation and those integrated by the device in periods of 15 min, with overestimation of 10%, whereas for values integrated over daytime periods the agreement was not satisfactory.
Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticle . 2008 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticleLicense: CC BYData sources: UnpayWallRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiJournalData sources: Microsoft Academic GraphScientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2008License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s1415-43662008000300008&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 15 citations 15 popularity Average influence Top 10% impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticle . 2008 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticleLicense: CC BYData sources: UnpayWallRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiJournalData sources: Microsoft Academic GraphScientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2008License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s1415-43662008000300008&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2008Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Angelocci, Luiz R.; Marin, Fábio R.; Pilau, Felipe G.; Righi, Evandro Z.; Favarin, José L.;The radiation balance of hedgerows is an important variable in studies of mass and energy exchanges between parcial ground cover crops and the atmosphere. This paper describes a device with eight net radiometers encompassing the plants of a hedgerow. The radiometers were moved along a length of hedgerow, in a continuous and reversible movement. The canopy net radiation in this length (Rnc) was found by integration of the measurements over the notional cylinder formed. The device showed good performance and provided reliable measurements of Rnc of coffee hedgerows, showing itselfto be an useful technique of measurement in field conditions. Good correlations between Rnc and global solar radiation, turfgrass and coffee crop net radiation were found in 15-min, daytime and 24-hr periods, allowing the possibility of estimating Rnc from these simple measurements. Beer’s law was also used to have an independent estimation of Rnc. A good agreement was found between values of Rnc estimated by this law of attenuation and those integrated by the device in periods of 15 min, with overestimation of 10%, whereas for values integrated over daytime periods the agreement was not satisfactory.
Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticle . 2008 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticleLicense: CC BYData sources: UnpayWallRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiJournalData sources: Microsoft Academic GraphScientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2008License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s1415-43662008000300008&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 15 citations 15 popularity Average influence Top 10% impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticle . 2008 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticleLicense: CC BYData sources: UnpayWallRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiJournalData sources: Microsoft Academic GraphScientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2008License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s1415-43662008000300008&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2012Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Authors: Marin, Fabio Ricardo; Carvalho, Gustavo Luís de;The objective of this work was to assess the spatial and temporal variability of sugarcane yield efficiency and yield gap in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, throughout 16 growing seasons, considering climate and soil as main effects, and socioeconomic factors as complementary. An empirical model was used to assess potential and attainable yields, using climate data series from 37 weather stations. Soil effects were analyzed using the concept of production environments associated with a soil aptitude map for sugarcane. Crop yield efficiency increased from 0.42 to 0.58 in the analyzed period (1990/1991 to 2005/2006 crop seasons), and yield gap consequently decreased from 58 to 42%. Climatic factors explained 43% of the variability of sugarcane yield efficiency, in the following order of importance: solar radiation, water deficit, maximum air temperature, precipitation, and minimum air temperature. Soil explained 15% of the variability, considering the average of all seasons. There was a change in the correlation pattern of climate and soil with yield efficiency after the 2001/2002 season, probably due to the crop expansion to the west of the state during the subsequent period. Socioeconomic, biotic and crop management factors together explain 42% of sugarcane yield efficiency in the state of São Paulo.
Pesquisa Agropecuári... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2012License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-204x2012000200001&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 32 citations 32 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Pesquisa Agropecuári... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2012License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2012Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Authors: Marin, Fabio Ricardo; Carvalho, Gustavo Luís de;The objective of this work was to assess the spatial and temporal variability of sugarcane yield efficiency and yield gap in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, throughout 16 growing seasons, considering climate and soil as main effects, and socioeconomic factors as complementary. An empirical model was used to assess potential and attainable yields, using climate data series from 37 weather stations. Soil effects were analyzed using the concept of production environments associated with a soil aptitude map for sugarcane. Crop yield efficiency increased from 0.42 to 0.58 in the analyzed period (1990/1991 to 2005/2006 crop seasons), and yield gap consequently decreased from 58 to 42%. Climatic factors explained 43% of the variability of sugarcane yield efficiency, in the following order of importance: solar radiation, water deficit, maximum air temperature, precipitation, and minimum air temperature. Soil explained 15% of the variability, considering the average of all seasons. There was a change in the correlation pattern of climate and soil with yield efficiency after the 2001/2002 season, probably due to the crop expansion to the west of the state during the subsequent period. Socioeconomic, biotic and crop management factors together explain 42% of sugarcane yield efficiency in the state of São Paulo.
Pesquisa Agropecuári... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2012License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 32 citations 32 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Pesquisa Agropecuári... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2012License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-204x2012000200001&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2022 South Africa, Germany, FrancePublisher:Elsevier BV Kritika Kothari; Rafael Battisti; Kenneth J. Boote; Sotirios Archontoulis; Adriana Confalone; Julie Constantin; Santiago Vianna Cuadra; Philippe Debaeke; Babacar Faye; Brian Grant; Gerrit Hoogenboom; Qi Jing; Michael van der Laan; Fernando Antônio Macena da Silva; Fábio Ricardo Marin; Alireza Nehbandani; Claas Nendel; Larry C. Purcell; Budong Qian; Alex C. Ruane; Céline Schoving; Evandro Henrique Figueiredo Moura da Silva; Ward Smith; Afshin Soltani; Amit Kumar Srivastava; Nilson Aparecido Vieira; Stacey Slone; Montserrat Salmerón;Une estimation précise du rendement des cultures dans les scénarios de changement climatique est essentielle pour quantifier notre capacité à nourrir une population croissante et à développer des adaptations agronomiques pour répondre à la demande alimentaire future. Une évaluation coordonnée des simulations de rendement à partir de modèles écophysiologiques basés sur les processus pour l'évaluation de l'impact du changement climatique fait toujours défaut pour le soja, la légumineuse à grains la plus cultivée et la principale source de protéines dans notre chaîne alimentaire. Dans cette première étude multimodèle sur le soja, nous avons utilisé dix modèles de premier plan capables de simuler le rendement du soja sous différentes températures et concentrations atmosphériques de CO2 [CO2] pour quantifier l'incertitude dans les simulations de rendement du soja en réponse à ces facteurs. Les modèles ont d'abord été paramétrés avec des données mesurées de haute qualité provenant de cinq environnements contrastés. Nous avons trouvé une variabilité considérable entre les modèles dans les réponses de rendement simulées à l'augmentation de la température et du [CO2]. Par exemple, en cas d'augmentation de la température de + 3 °C dans notre endroit le plus frais en Argentine, certains modèles ont simulé que le rendement diminuerait jusqu'à 24 %, tandis que d'autres simulaient une augmentation du rendement allant jusqu'à 29 %. Dans notre emplacement le plus chaud au Brésil, les modèles ont simulé une réduction du rendement allant d'une diminution de 38 % sous + 3 °C à une augmentation de la température sans effet sur le rendement. De même, en augmentant le [CO2] de 360 à 540 ppm, les modèles ont simulé une augmentation du rendement allant de 6% à 31%. L'étalonnage du modèle n'a pas réduit la variabilité entre les modèles, mais a eu un effet inattendu sur la modification des réponses du rendement à la température pour certains des modèles. La forte incertitude dans les réponses des modèles indique l'applicabilité limitée des modèles individuels pour les projections alimentaires du changement climatique. Cependant, la moyenne d'ensemble des simulations à travers les modèles était un outil efficace pour réduire la forte incertitude dans les simulations de rendement du soja associées aux modèles individuels et à leur paramétrage. Les réponses du rendement moyen de l'ensemble à la température et au [CO2] étaient similaires à celles rapportées dans la littérature. Notre étude est la première démonstration des avantages obtenus en utilisant un ensemble de modèles de légumineuses à grains pour les projections alimentaires du changement climatique, et souligne qu'un développement plus poussé du modèle du soja avec des expériences sous des [CO2] et des températures élevées est nécessaire pour réduire l'incertitude des modèles individuels. Una estimación precisa del rendimiento de los cultivos en escenarios de cambio climático es esencial para cuantificar nuestra capacidad para alimentar a una población en crecimiento y desarrollar adaptaciones agronómicas para satisfacer la demanda futura de alimentos. Todavía falta una evaluación coordinada de las simulaciones de rendimiento a partir de modelos ecofisiológicos basados en procesos para la evaluación del impacto del cambio climático para la soja, la leguminosa de grano más cultivada y la principal fuente de proteínas en nuestra cadena alimentaria. En este primer estudio multimodelo de soja, utilizamos diez modelos prominentes capaces de simular el rendimiento de la soja a diferentes temperaturas y concentraciones de CO2 atmosférico [CO2] para cuantificar la incertidumbre en las simulaciones de rendimiento de soja en respuesta a estos factores. Los modelos se parametrizaron por primera vez con datos medidos de alta calidad de cinco entornos contrastantes. Encontramos una variabilidad considerable entre los modelos en las respuestas de rendimiento simuladas al aumento de la temperatura y [CO2]. Por ejemplo, bajo un aumento de temperatura de + 3 ° C en nuestra ubicación más fresca en Argentina, algunos modelos simularon que el rendimiento se reduciría hasta un 24%, mientras que otros simularon aumentos de rendimiento de hasta un 29%. En nuestra ubicación más cálida en Brasil, los modelos simularon una reducción del rendimiento que va desde una disminución del 38% con un aumento de temperatura de + 3 ° C hasta ningún efecto en el rendimiento. Del mismo modo, al aumentar [CO2] de 360 a 540 ppm, los modelos simularon un aumento del rendimiento que osciló entre el 6% y el 31%. La calibración del modelo no redujo la variabilidad entre los modelos, pero tuvo un efecto inesperado en la modificación de las respuestas de rendimiento a la temperatura para algunos de los modelos. La alta incertidumbre en las respuestas de los modelos indica la aplicabilidad limitada de los modelos individuales para las proyecciones alimentarias del cambio climático. Sin embargo, la media del conjunto de simulaciones entre modelos fue una herramienta efectiva para reducir la alta incertidumbre en las simulaciones de rendimiento de soja asociadas con modelos individuales y su parametrización. Las respuestas de rendimiento medio del conjunto a la temperatura y [CO2] fueron similares a las informadas en la literatura. Nuestro estudio es la primera demostración de los beneficios logrados al utilizar un conjunto de modelos de leguminosas de grano para las proyecciones de alimentos del cambio climático, y destaca que se necesita un mayor desarrollo del modelo de soja con experimentos bajo [CO2] y temperatura elevadas para reducir la incertidumbre de los modelos individuales. An accurate estimation of crop yield under climate change scenarios is essential to quantify our ability to feed a growing population and develop agronomic adaptations to meet future food demand. A coordinated evaluation of yield simulations from process-based eco-physiological models for climate change impact assessment is still missing for soybean, the most widely grown grain legume and the main source of protein in our food chain. In this first soybean multi-model study, we used ten prominent models capable of simulating soybean yield under varying temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration [CO2] to quantify the uncertainty in soybean yield simulations in response to these factors. Models were first parametrized with high quality measured data from five contrasting environments. We found considerable variability among models in simulated yield responses to increasing temperature and [CO2]. For example, under a + 3 °C temperature rise in our coolest location in Argentina, some models simulated that yield would reduce as much as 24%, while others simulated yield increases up to 29%. In our warmest location in Brazil, the models simulated a yield reduction ranging from a 38% decrease under + 3 °C temperature rise to no effect on yield. Similarly, when increasing [CO2] from 360 to 540 ppm, the models simulated a yield increase that ranged from 6% to 31%. Model calibration did not reduce variability across models but had an unexpected effect on modifying yield responses to temperature for some of the models. The high uncertainty in model responses indicates the limited applicability of individual models for climate change food projections. However, the ensemble mean of simulations across models was an effective tool to reduce the high uncertainty in soybean yield simulations associated with individual models and their parametrization. Ensemble mean yield responses to temperature and [CO2] were similar to those reported from the literature. Our study is the first demonstration of the benefits achieved from using an ensemble of grain legume models for climate change food projections, and highlights that further soybean model development with experiments under elevated [CO2] and temperature is needed to reduce the uncertainty from the individual models. يعد التقدير الدقيق لمحصول المحاصيل في ظل سيناريوهات تغير المناخ أمرًا ضروريًا لتحديد قدرتنا على إطعام عدد متزايد من السكان وتطوير التكيفات الزراعية لتلبية الطلب على الغذاء في المستقبل. لا يزال التقييم المنسق لمحاكاة الغلة من النماذج الفسيولوجية البيئية القائمة على العمليات لتقييم تأثير تغير المناخ مفقودًا بالنسبة لفول الصويا، وهو بقول الحبوب الأكثر زراعة على نطاق واسع والمصدر الرئيسي للبروتين في سلسلتنا الغذائية. في هذه الدراسة الأولى متعددة النماذج لفول الصويا، استخدمنا عشرة نماذج بارزة قادرة على محاكاة محصول فول الصويا تحت درجات حرارة متفاوتة وتركيز ثاني أكسيد الكربون في الغلاف الجوي [CO2] لقياس عدم اليقين في محاكاة محصول فول الصويا استجابة لهذه العوامل. تم قياس النماذج أولاً ببيانات مقاسة عالية الجودة من خمس بيئات متباينة. وجدنا تباينًا كبيرًا بين النماذج في استجابات العائد المحاكاة لزيادة درجة الحرارة و [CO2]. على سبيل المثال، في ظل ارتفاع درجة الحرارة بمقدار + 3 درجات مئوية في أروع موقع لنا في الأرجنتين، قامت بعض النماذج بمحاكاة أن العائد سيقلل بنسبة تصل إلى 24 ٪، بينما يزيد العائد المحاكى الآخر بنسبة تصل إلى 29 ٪. في موقعنا الأكثر دفئًا في البرازيل، قامت النماذج بمحاكاة انخفاض العائد الذي يتراوح بين انخفاض بنسبة 38 ٪ تحت + ارتفاع درجة حرارة 3 درجات مئوية إلى عدم التأثير على العائد. وبالمثل، عند زيادة [ثاني أكسيد الكربون] من 360 إلى 540 جزء في المليون، قامت النماذج بمحاكاة زيادة العائد التي تراوحت من 6 ٪ إلى 31 ٪. لم تقلل معايرة النموذج من التباين عبر النماذج ولكن كان لها تأثير غير متوقع على تعديل استجابات الخضوع لدرجة الحرارة لبعض النماذج. يشير عدم اليقين الشديد في الاستجابات النموذجية إلى التطبيق المحدود للنماذج الفردية للتوقعات الغذائية لتغير المناخ. ومع ذلك، كان المتوسط الجماعي للمحاكاة عبر النماذج أداة فعالة للحد من عدم اليقين العالي في محاكاة غلة فول الصويا المرتبطة بالنماذج الفردية ومعلماتها. كانت استجابات متوسط العائد على درجة الحرارة و [CO2] متشابهة مع تلك الواردة في الأدبيات. دراستنا هي أول عرض توضيحي للفوائد التي تحققت من استخدام مجموعة من نماذج البقوليات لتوقعات تغير المناخ الغذائية، وتسلط الضوء على الحاجة إلى مزيد من تطوير نموذج فول الصويا مع التجارب تحت [CO2] ودرجة الحرارة المرتفعة لتقليل عدم اليقين من النماذج الفردية.
UP Research Data Rep... arrow_drop_down UP Research Data RepositoryArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publikationsserver der Universität PotsdamArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Publikationsserver der Universität Potsdamadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.eja.2022.126482&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 35 citations 35 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert UP Research Data Rep... arrow_drop_down UP Research Data RepositoryArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publikationsserver der Universität PotsdamArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Publikationsserver der Universität Potsdamadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2022 South Africa, Germany, FrancePublisher:Elsevier BV Kritika Kothari; Rafael Battisti; Kenneth J. Boote; Sotirios Archontoulis; Adriana Confalone; Julie Constantin; Santiago Vianna Cuadra; Philippe Debaeke; Babacar Faye; Brian Grant; Gerrit Hoogenboom; Qi Jing; Michael van der Laan; Fernando Antônio Macena da Silva; Fábio Ricardo Marin; Alireza Nehbandani; Claas Nendel; Larry C. Purcell; Budong Qian; Alex C. Ruane; Céline Schoving; Evandro Henrique Figueiredo Moura da Silva; Ward Smith; Afshin Soltani; Amit Kumar Srivastava; Nilson Aparecido Vieira; Stacey Slone; Montserrat Salmerón;Une estimation précise du rendement des cultures dans les scénarios de changement climatique est essentielle pour quantifier notre capacité à nourrir une population croissante et à développer des adaptations agronomiques pour répondre à la demande alimentaire future. Une évaluation coordonnée des simulations de rendement à partir de modèles écophysiologiques basés sur les processus pour l'évaluation de l'impact du changement climatique fait toujours défaut pour le soja, la légumineuse à grains la plus cultivée et la principale source de protéines dans notre chaîne alimentaire. Dans cette première étude multimodèle sur le soja, nous avons utilisé dix modèles de premier plan capables de simuler le rendement du soja sous différentes températures et concentrations atmosphériques de CO2 [CO2] pour quantifier l'incertitude dans les simulations de rendement du soja en réponse à ces facteurs. Les modèles ont d'abord été paramétrés avec des données mesurées de haute qualité provenant de cinq environnements contrastés. Nous avons trouvé une variabilité considérable entre les modèles dans les réponses de rendement simulées à l'augmentation de la température et du [CO2]. Par exemple, en cas d'augmentation de la température de + 3 °C dans notre endroit le plus frais en Argentine, certains modèles ont simulé que le rendement diminuerait jusqu'à 24 %, tandis que d'autres simulaient une augmentation du rendement allant jusqu'à 29 %. Dans notre emplacement le plus chaud au Brésil, les modèles ont simulé une réduction du rendement allant d'une diminution de 38 % sous + 3 °C à une augmentation de la température sans effet sur le rendement. De même, en augmentant le [CO2] de 360 à 540 ppm, les modèles ont simulé une augmentation du rendement allant de 6% à 31%. L'étalonnage du modèle n'a pas réduit la variabilité entre les modèles, mais a eu un effet inattendu sur la modification des réponses du rendement à la température pour certains des modèles. La forte incertitude dans les réponses des modèles indique l'applicabilité limitée des modèles individuels pour les projections alimentaires du changement climatique. Cependant, la moyenne d'ensemble des simulations à travers les modèles était un outil efficace pour réduire la forte incertitude dans les simulations de rendement du soja associées aux modèles individuels et à leur paramétrage. Les réponses du rendement moyen de l'ensemble à la température et au [CO2] étaient similaires à celles rapportées dans la littérature. Notre étude est la première démonstration des avantages obtenus en utilisant un ensemble de modèles de légumineuses à grains pour les projections alimentaires du changement climatique, et souligne qu'un développement plus poussé du modèle du soja avec des expériences sous des [CO2] et des températures élevées est nécessaire pour réduire l'incertitude des modèles individuels. Una estimación precisa del rendimiento de los cultivos en escenarios de cambio climático es esencial para cuantificar nuestra capacidad para alimentar a una población en crecimiento y desarrollar adaptaciones agronómicas para satisfacer la demanda futura de alimentos. Todavía falta una evaluación coordinada de las simulaciones de rendimiento a partir de modelos ecofisiológicos basados en procesos para la evaluación del impacto del cambio climático para la soja, la leguminosa de grano más cultivada y la principal fuente de proteínas en nuestra cadena alimentaria. En este primer estudio multimodelo de soja, utilizamos diez modelos prominentes capaces de simular el rendimiento de la soja a diferentes temperaturas y concentraciones de CO2 atmosférico [CO2] para cuantificar la incertidumbre en las simulaciones de rendimiento de soja en respuesta a estos factores. Los modelos se parametrizaron por primera vez con datos medidos de alta calidad de cinco entornos contrastantes. Encontramos una variabilidad considerable entre los modelos en las respuestas de rendimiento simuladas al aumento de la temperatura y [CO2]. Por ejemplo, bajo un aumento de temperatura de + 3 ° C en nuestra ubicación más fresca en Argentina, algunos modelos simularon que el rendimiento se reduciría hasta un 24%, mientras que otros simularon aumentos de rendimiento de hasta un 29%. En nuestra ubicación más cálida en Brasil, los modelos simularon una reducción del rendimiento que va desde una disminución del 38% con un aumento de temperatura de + 3 ° C hasta ningún efecto en el rendimiento. Del mismo modo, al aumentar [CO2] de 360 a 540 ppm, los modelos simularon un aumento del rendimiento que osciló entre el 6% y el 31%. La calibración del modelo no redujo la variabilidad entre los modelos, pero tuvo un efecto inesperado en la modificación de las respuestas de rendimiento a la temperatura para algunos de los modelos. La alta incertidumbre en las respuestas de los modelos indica la aplicabilidad limitada de los modelos individuales para las proyecciones alimentarias del cambio climático. Sin embargo, la media del conjunto de simulaciones entre modelos fue una herramienta efectiva para reducir la alta incertidumbre en las simulaciones de rendimiento de soja asociadas con modelos individuales y su parametrización. Las respuestas de rendimiento medio del conjunto a la temperatura y [CO2] fueron similares a las informadas en la literatura. Nuestro estudio es la primera demostración de los beneficios logrados al utilizar un conjunto de modelos de leguminosas de grano para las proyecciones de alimentos del cambio climático, y destaca que se necesita un mayor desarrollo del modelo de soja con experimentos bajo [CO2] y temperatura elevadas para reducir la incertidumbre de los modelos individuales. An accurate estimation of crop yield under climate change scenarios is essential to quantify our ability to feed a growing population and develop agronomic adaptations to meet future food demand. A coordinated evaluation of yield simulations from process-based eco-physiological models for climate change impact assessment is still missing for soybean, the most widely grown grain legume and the main source of protein in our food chain. In this first soybean multi-model study, we used ten prominent models capable of simulating soybean yield under varying temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration [CO2] to quantify the uncertainty in soybean yield simulations in response to these factors. Models were first parametrized with high quality measured data from five contrasting environments. We found considerable variability among models in simulated yield responses to increasing temperature and [CO2]. For example, under a + 3 °C temperature rise in our coolest location in Argentina, some models simulated that yield would reduce as much as 24%, while others simulated yield increases up to 29%. In our warmest location in Brazil, the models simulated a yield reduction ranging from a 38% decrease under + 3 °C temperature rise to no effect on yield. Similarly, when increasing [CO2] from 360 to 540 ppm, the models simulated a yield increase that ranged from 6% to 31%. Model calibration did not reduce variability across models but had an unexpected effect on modifying yield responses to temperature for some of the models. The high uncertainty in model responses indicates the limited applicability of individual models for climate change food projections. However, the ensemble mean of simulations across models was an effective tool to reduce the high uncertainty in soybean yield simulations associated with individual models and their parametrization. Ensemble mean yield responses to temperature and [CO2] were similar to those reported from the literature. Our study is the first demonstration of the benefits achieved from using an ensemble of grain legume models for climate change food projections, and highlights that further soybean model development with experiments under elevated [CO2] and temperature is needed to reduce the uncertainty from the individual models. يعد التقدير الدقيق لمحصول المحاصيل في ظل سيناريوهات تغير المناخ أمرًا ضروريًا لتحديد قدرتنا على إطعام عدد متزايد من السكان وتطوير التكيفات الزراعية لتلبية الطلب على الغذاء في المستقبل. لا يزال التقييم المنسق لمحاكاة الغلة من النماذج الفسيولوجية البيئية القائمة على العمليات لتقييم تأثير تغير المناخ مفقودًا بالنسبة لفول الصويا، وهو بقول الحبوب الأكثر زراعة على نطاق واسع والمصدر الرئيسي للبروتين في سلسلتنا الغذائية. في هذه الدراسة الأولى متعددة النماذج لفول الصويا، استخدمنا عشرة نماذج بارزة قادرة على محاكاة محصول فول الصويا تحت درجات حرارة متفاوتة وتركيز ثاني أكسيد الكربون في الغلاف الجوي [CO2] لقياس عدم اليقين في محاكاة محصول فول الصويا استجابة لهذه العوامل. تم قياس النماذج أولاً ببيانات مقاسة عالية الجودة من خمس بيئات متباينة. وجدنا تباينًا كبيرًا بين النماذج في استجابات العائد المحاكاة لزيادة درجة الحرارة و [CO2]. على سبيل المثال، في ظل ارتفاع درجة الحرارة بمقدار + 3 درجات مئوية في أروع موقع لنا في الأرجنتين، قامت بعض النماذج بمحاكاة أن العائد سيقلل بنسبة تصل إلى 24 ٪، بينما يزيد العائد المحاكى الآخر بنسبة تصل إلى 29 ٪. في موقعنا الأكثر دفئًا في البرازيل، قامت النماذج بمحاكاة انخفاض العائد الذي يتراوح بين انخفاض بنسبة 38 ٪ تحت + ارتفاع درجة حرارة 3 درجات مئوية إلى عدم التأثير على العائد. وبالمثل، عند زيادة [ثاني أكسيد الكربون] من 360 إلى 540 جزء في المليون، قامت النماذج بمحاكاة زيادة العائد التي تراوحت من 6 ٪ إلى 31 ٪. لم تقلل معايرة النموذج من التباين عبر النماذج ولكن كان لها تأثير غير متوقع على تعديل استجابات الخضوع لدرجة الحرارة لبعض النماذج. يشير عدم اليقين الشديد في الاستجابات النموذجية إلى التطبيق المحدود للنماذج الفردية للتوقعات الغذائية لتغير المناخ. ومع ذلك، كان المتوسط الجماعي للمحاكاة عبر النماذج أداة فعالة للحد من عدم اليقين العالي في محاكاة غلة فول الصويا المرتبطة بالنماذج الفردية ومعلماتها. كانت استجابات متوسط العائد على درجة الحرارة و [CO2] متشابهة مع تلك الواردة في الأدبيات. دراستنا هي أول عرض توضيحي للفوائد التي تحققت من استخدام مجموعة من نماذج البقوليات لتوقعات تغير المناخ الغذائية، وتسلط الضوء على الحاجة إلى مزيد من تطوير نموذج فول الصويا مع التجارب تحت [CO2] ودرجة الحرارة المرتفعة لتقليل عدم اليقين من النماذج الفردية.
UP Research Data Rep... arrow_drop_down UP Research Data RepositoryArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publikationsserver der Universität PotsdamArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Publikationsserver der Universität Potsdamadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 35 citations 35 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2009Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Authors: Conceição, Marco Antônio Fonseca; Marin, Fábio Ricardo;A região de Jales é uma das principais produtoras de uvas de mesa do Estado de São Paulo. As videiras da região são irrigadas e conduzidas, normalmente, no sistema latada, sendo comum, também, a utilização de coberturas com telas plásticas para a proteção contra granizo, pássaros e morcegos. Entretanto, a irrigação, o sistema de condução e a cobertura plástica podem modificar as condições microclimáticas no parreiral. O presente trabalho teve como objetivo comparar as condições meteorológicas no interior de um parreiral de uvas, na região de Jales, com as registradas a céu aberto. As avaliações foram realizadas na Estação Experimental de Viticultura Tropical da Embrapa Uva e Vinho, em Jales-SP, em uma área conduzida no sistema latada, coberta com tela plástica de polietileno e irrigada por microaspersão. Os dados meteorológicos foram registrados fora e no interior do parreiral, empregando-se dois sistemas automáticos de aquisição de dados, com registros efetuados a cada 15 minutos. Verificou-se que o uso da cobertura de tela plástica reduziu em 20%, em média, a radiação solar incidente (Rs) acima do dossel. Os valores de Rs abaixo do dossel, durante o período de maior expansão foliar, chegaram a ser inferiores a 20% dos registrados a céu aberto. A temperatura e a umidade relativa do ar no interior do parreiral não apresentaram, em geral, diferenças para os valores registrados na estação meteorológica. Durante a irrigação, a temperatura do ar foi reduzida em 3%, e a umidade relativa do ar aumentou em 4%, em média, no interior do parreiral.
Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2009License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 13 citations 13 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2009License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2009Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Authors: Conceição, Marco Antônio Fonseca; Marin, Fábio Ricardo;A região de Jales é uma das principais produtoras de uvas de mesa do Estado de São Paulo. As videiras da região são irrigadas e conduzidas, normalmente, no sistema latada, sendo comum, também, a utilização de coberturas com telas plásticas para a proteção contra granizo, pássaros e morcegos. Entretanto, a irrigação, o sistema de condução e a cobertura plástica podem modificar as condições microclimáticas no parreiral. O presente trabalho teve como objetivo comparar as condições meteorológicas no interior de um parreiral de uvas, na região de Jales, com as registradas a céu aberto. As avaliações foram realizadas na Estação Experimental de Viticultura Tropical da Embrapa Uva e Vinho, em Jales-SP, em uma área conduzida no sistema latada, coberta com tela plástica de polietileno e irrigada por microaspersão. Os dados meteorológicos foram registrados fora e no interior do parreiral, empregando-se dois sistemas automáticos de aquisição de dados, com registros efetuados a cada 15 minutos. Verificou-se que o uso da cobertura de tela plástica reduziu em 20%, em média, a radiação solar incidente (Rs) acima do dossel. Os valores de Rs abaixo do dossel, durante o período de maior expansão foliar, chegaram a ser inferiores a 20% dos registrados a céu aberto. A temperatura e a umidade relativa do ar no interior do parreiral não apresentaram, em geral, diferenças para os valores registrados na estação meteorológica. Durante a irrigação, a temperatura do ar foi reduzida em 3%, e a umidade relativa do ar aumentou em 4%, em média, no interior do parreiral.
Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2009License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-29452009000200016&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 13 citations 13 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2009License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-29452009000200016&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 2022 United KingdomPublisher:Wiley Murilo S. Vianna; Karina W. Williams; Emma W. Littleton; Osvaldo Cabral; Carlos Eduardo P. Cerri; Quirijn De Jong van Lier; Toby R. Marthews; Garry Hayman; Marcelo Zeri; Santiago V. Cuadra; Andrew J. Challinor; Fabio R. Marin; Marcelo V. Galdos;doi: 10.1111/gcbb.12989
AbstractBioenergy from sugarcane production is considered a key mitigation strategy for global warming. Improving its representation in land surface models is important to further understand the interactions between climate and bioenergy production, supporting accurate climate projections and decision‐making. This study aimed to calibrate and evaluate the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) for climate impact assessments in sugarcane. A dataset composed of soil moisture, water and carbon fluxes and biomass measurements from field experiments across Brazil was used to calibrate and evaluate JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE parametrizations. The ability to predict the spatiotemporal variability of sugarcane yields and the impact of climate change was also tested at five Brazilian microregions. Parameters related to sugarcane allometry, crop growth and development were derived and tested for JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE, together with the response to atmospheric carbon dioxide, temperature and low‐water availability (CTW‐response). Both parametrizations showed comparable performance to other sugarcane dynamic models, with a root mean squared error of 6.75 and 6.05 t ha−1 for stalk dry matter for JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE, respectively. The parametrizations were also able to replicate the average yield patterns observed in the five microregions over 30 years when the yield gap factors were taken into account, with the correlation (r) between simulated and observed interannual variability of yields ranging from 0.33 to 0.56. An overall small positive trend was found in future yield projections of sugarcane using the new calibrations, with exception of the Jataí mesoregion which showed a clear negative trend for the SSP5 scenario from the years 2070 to 2100. Our simulations showed that an abrupt negative impact on sugarcane yields is expected if daytime temperatures above 35°C become more frequent. The newly calibrated version of JULES can be applied regionally and globally to help understand the interactions between climate and bioenergy production.
NERC Open Research A... arrow_drop_down Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcbb.12989&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 5 citations 5 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert NERC Open Research A... arrow_drop_down Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcbb.12989&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 2022 United KingdomPublisher:Wiley Murilo S. Vianna; Karina W. Williams; Emma W. Littleton; Osvaldo Cabral; Carlos Eduardo P. Cerri; Quirijn De Jong van Lier; Toby R. Marthews; Garry Hayman; Marcelo Zeri; Santiago V. Cuadra; Andrew J. Challinor; Fabio R. Marin; Marcelo V. Galdos;doi: 10.1111/gcbb.12989
AbstractBioenergy from sugarcane production is considered a key mitigation strategy for global warming. Improving its representation in land surface models is important to further understand the interactions between climate and bioenergy production, supporting accurate climate projections and decision‐making. This study aimed to calibrate and evaluate the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) for climate impact assessments in sugarcane. A dataset composed of soil moisture, water and carbon fluxes and biomass measurements from field experiments across Brazil was used to calibrate and evaluate JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE parametrizations. The ability to predict the spatiotemporal variability of sugarcane yields and the impact of climate change was also tested at five Brazilian microregions. Parameters related to sugarcane allometry, crop growth and development were derived and tested for JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE, together with the response to atmospheric carbon dioxide, temperature and low‐water availability (CTW‐response). Both parametrizations showed comparable performance to other sugarcane dynamic models, with a root mean squared error of 6.75 and 6.05 t ha−1 for stalk dry matter for JULES‐crop and JULES‐BE, respectively. The parametrizations were also able to replicate the average yield patterns observed in the five microregions over 30 years when the yield gap factors were taken into account, with the correlation (r) between simulated and observed interannual variability of yields ranging from 0.33 to 0.56. An overall small positive trend was found in future yield projections of sugarcane using the new calibrations, with exception of the Jataí mesoregion which showed a clear negative trend for the SSP5 scenario from the years 2070 to 2100. Our simulations showed that an abrupt negative impact on sugarcane yields is expected if daytime temperatures above 35°C become more frequent. The newly calibrated version of JULES can be applied regionally and globally to help understand the interactions between climate and bioenergy production.
NERC Open Research A... arrow_drop_down Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcbb.12989&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 5 citations 5 popularity Top 10% influence Average impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert NERC Open Research A... arrow_drop_down Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcbb.12989&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2016 United StatesPublisher:Oxford University Press (OUP) Authors: Marin, Fábio R.; Martha, Geraldo B., Jr.; Cassman, Kenneth; Grassini, Patricio;This article assesses sugarcane yield gaps (YG) in Brazil to determine the degree to which production can be increased without land expansion. In our scenario assessments, we evaluated how much of the projected sugarcane demand to 2024 (for both sugar and bioethanol) can be satisfied through YG closure. The current national average yield is 62% of yield potential estimated for rainfed conditions (i.e., a YG of 38%). Continuing the historical rate of yield gain is not sufficient to meet the projected demand without an area expansion by 5% and 45% for low- and high-demand scenarios, respectively. Closing the exploitable YG to 80% of potential yield would meet future sugarcane demand, with an 18% reduction in sugarcane area for the low-demand scenario or a 13% expansion for the high-demand scenario. A focus on accelerating yield gains to close current exploitable YG is a high priority for meeting future demand while minimizing pressure on additional land requirements.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1093/biosci/biw009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 53 citations 53 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1093/biosci/biw009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2016 United StatesPublisher:Oxford University Press (OUP) Authors: Marin, Fábio R.; Martha, Geraldo B., Jr.; Cassman, Kenneth; Grassini, Patricio;This article assesses sugarcane yield gaps (YG) in Brazil to determine the degree to which production can be increased without land expansion. In our scenario assessments, we evaluated how much of the projected sugarcane demand to 2024 (for both sugar and bioethanol) can be satisfied through YG closure. The current national average yield is 62% of yield potential estimated for rainfed conditions (i.e., a YG of 38%). Continuing the historical rate of yield gain is not sufficient to meet the projected demand without an area expansion by 5% and 45% for low- and high-demand scenarios, respectively. Closing the exploitable YG to 80% of potential yield would meet future sugarcane demand, with an 18% reduction in sugarcane area for the low-demand scenario or a 13% expansion for the high-demand scenario. A focus on accelerating yield gains to close current exploitable YG is a high priority for meeting future demand while minimizing pressure on additional land requirements.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1093/biosci/biw009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 53 citations 53 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1093/biosci/biw009&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2008Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Angelocci, Luiz R.; Marin, Fábio R.; Pilau, Felipe G.; Righi, Evandro Z.; Favarin, José L.;The radiation balance of hedgerows is an important variable in studies of mass and energy exchanges between parcial ground cover crops and the atmosphere. This paper describes a device with eight net radiometers encompassing the plants of a hedgerow. The radiometers were moved along a length of hedgerow, in a continuous and reversible movement. The canopy net radiation in this length (Rnc) was found by integration of the measurements over the notional cylinder formed. The device showed good performance and provided reliable measurements of Rnc of coffee hedgerows, showing itselfto be an useful technique of measurement in field conditions. Good correlations between Rnc and global solar radiation, turfgrass and coffee crop net radiation were found in 15-min, daytime and 24-hr periods, allowing the possibility of estimating Rnc from these simple measurements. Beer’s law was also used to have an independent estimation of Rnc. A good agreement was found between values of Rnc estimated by this law of attenuation and those integrated by the device in periods of 15 min, with overestimation of 10%, whereas for values integrated over daytime periods the agreement was not satisfactory.
Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticle . 2008 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticleLicense: CC BYData sources: UnpayWallRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiJournalData sources: Microsoft Academic GraphScientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2008License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s1415-43662008000300008&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 15 citations 15 popularity Average influence Top 10% impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticle . 2008 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticleLicense: CC BYData sources: UnpayWallRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiJournalData sources: Microsoft Academic GraphScientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2008License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s1415-43662008000300008&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2008Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Angelocci, Luiz R.; Marin, Fábio R.; Pilau, Felipe G.; Righi, Evandro Z.; Favarin, José L.;The radiation balance of hedgerows is an important variable in studies of mass and energy exchanges between parcial ground cover crops and the atmosphere. This paper describes a device with eight net radiometers encompassing the plants of a hedgerow. The radiometers were moved along a length of hedgerow, in a continuous and reversible movement. The canopy net radiation in this length (Rnc) was found by integration of the measurements over the notional cylinder formed. The device showed good performance and provided reliable measurements of Rnc of coffee hedgerows, showing itselfto be an useful technique of measurement in field conditions. Good correlations between Rnc and global solar radiation, turfgrass and coffee crop net radiation were found in 15-min, daytime and 24-hr periods, allowing the possibility of estimating Rnc from these simple measurements. Beer’s law was also used to have an independent estimation of Rnc. A good agreement was found between values of Rnc estimated by this law of attenuation and those integrated by the device in periods of 15 min, with overestimation of 10%, whereas for values integrated over daytime periods the agreement was not satisfactory.
Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticle . 2008 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticleLicense: CC BYData sources: UnpayWallRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiJournalData sources: Microsoft Academic GraphScientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2008License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s1415-43662008000300008&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 15 citations 15 popularity Average influence Top 10% impulse Average Powered by BIP!
more_vert Revista Brasileira d... arrow_drop_down Revista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticle . 2008 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiArticleLicense: CC BYData sources: UnpayWallRevista Brasileira de Engenharia Agrícola e Ambiental - AgriambiJournalData sources: Microsoft Academic GraphScientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2008License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s1415-43662008000300008&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2012Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Authors: Marin, Fabio Ricardo; Carvalho, Gustavo Luís de;The objective of this work was to assess the spatial and temporal variability of sugarcane yield efficiency and yield gap in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, throughout 16 growing seasons, considering climate and soil as main effects, and socioeconomic factors as complementary. An empirical model was used to assess potential and attainable yields, using climate data series from 37 weather stations. Soil effects were analyzed using the concept of production environments associated with a soil aptitude map for sugarcane. Crop yield efficiency increased from 0.42 to 0.58 in the analyzed period (1990/1991 to 2005/2006 crop seasons), and yield gap consequently decreased from 58 to 42%. Climatic factors explained 43% of the variability of sugarcane yield efficiency, in the following order of importance: solar radiation, water deficit, maximum air temperature, precipitation, and minimum air temperature. Soil explained 15% of the variability, considering the average of all seasons. There was a change in the correlation pattern of climate and soil with yield efficiency after the 2001/2002 season, probably due to the crop expansion to the west of the state during the subsequent period. Socioeconomic, biotic and crop management factors together explain 42% of sugarcane yield efficiency in the state of São Paulo.
Pesquisa Agropecuári... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2012License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-204x2012000200001&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 32 citations 32 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Pesquisa Agropecuári... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2012License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-204x2012000200001&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2012Publisher:FapUNIFESP (SciELO) Authors: Marin, Fabio Ricardo; Carvalho, Gustavo Luís de;The objective of this work was to assess the spatial and temporal variability of sugarcane yield efficiency and yield gap in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, throughout 16 growing seasons, considering climate and soil as main effects, and socioeconomic factors as complementary. An empirical model was used to assess potential and attainable yields, using climate data series from 37 weather stations. Soil effects were analyzed using the concept of production environments associated with a soil aptitude map for sugarcane. Crop yield efficiency increased from 0.42 to 0.58 in the analyzed period (1990/1991 to 2005/2006 crop seasons), and yield gap consequently decreased from 58 to 42%. Climatic factors explained 43% of the variability of sugarcane yield efficiency, in the following order of importance: solar radiation, water deficit, maximum air temperature, precipitation, and minimum air temperature. Soil explained 15% of the variability, considering the average of all seasons. There was a change in the correlation pattern of climate and soil with yield efficiency after the 2001/2002 season, probably due to the crop expansion to the west of the state during the subsequent period. Socioeconomic, biotic and crop management factors together explain 42% of sugarcane yield efficiency in the state of São Paulo.
Pesquisa Agropecuári... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2012License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-204x2012000200001&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen gold 32 citations 32 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 10% Powered by BIP!
more_vert Pesquisa Agropecuári... arrow_drop_down Scientific Electronic Library Online - BrazilArticle . 2012License: CC BY NCData sources: Scientific Electronic Library Online - Braziladd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1590/s0100-204x2012000200001&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2022 South Africa, Germany, FrancePublisher:Elsevier BV Kritika Kothari; Rafael Battisti; Kenneth J. Boote; Sotirios Archontoulis; Adriana Confalone; Julie Constantin; Santiago Vianna Cuadra; Philippe Debaeke; Babacar Faye; Brian Grant; Gerrit Hoogenboom; Qi Jing; Michael van der Laan; Fernando Antônio Macena da Silva; Fábio Ricardo Marin; Alireza Nehbandani; Claas Nendel; Larry C. Purcell; Budong Qian; Alex C. Ruane; Céline Schoving; Evandro Henrique Figueiredo Moura da Silva; Ward Smith; Afshin Soltani; Amit Kumar Srivastava; Nilson Aparecido Vieira; Stacey Slone; Montserrat Salmerón;Une estimation précise du rendement des cultures dans les scénarios de changement climatique est essentielle pour quantifier notre capacité à nourrir une population croissante et à développer des adaptations agronomiques pour répondre à la demande alimentaire future. Une évaluation coordonnée des simulations de rendement à partir de modèles écophysiologiques basés sur les processus pour l'évaluation de l'impact du changement climatique fait toujours défaut pour le soja, la légumineuse à grains la plus cultivée et la principale source de protéines dans notre chaîne alimentaire. Dans cette première étude multimodèle sur le soja, nous avons utilisé dix modèles de premier plan capables de simuler le rendement du soja sous différentes températures et concentrations atmosphériques de CO2 [CO2] pour quantifier l'incertitude dans les simulations de rendement du soja en réponse à ces facteurs. Les modèles ont d'abord été paramétrés avec des données mesurées de haute qualité provenant de cinq environnements contrastés. Nous avons trouvé une variabilité considérable entre les modèles dans les réponses de rendement simulées à l'augmentation de la température et du [CO2]. Par exemple, en cas d'augmentation de la température de + 3 °C dans notre endroit le plus frais en Argentine, certains modèles ont simulé que le rendement diminuerait jusqu'à 24 %, tandis que d'autres simulaient une augmentation du rendement allant jusqu'à 29 %. Dans notre emplacement le plus chaud au Brésil, les modèles ont simulé une réduction du rendement allant d'une diminution de 38 % sous + 3 °C à une augmentation de la température sans effet sur le rendement. De même, en augmentant le [CO2] de 360 à 540 ppm, les modèles ont simulé une augmentation du rendement allant de 6% à 31%. L'étalonnage du modèle n'a pas réduit la variabilité entre les modèles, mais a eu un effet inattendu sur la modification des réponses du rendement à la température pour certains des modèles. La forte incertitude dans les réponses des modèles indique l'applicabilité limitée des modèles individuels pour les projections alimentaires du changement climatique. Cependant, la moyenne d'ensemble des simulations à travers les modèles était un outil efficace pour réduire la forte incertitude dans les simulations de rendement du soja associées aux modèles individuels et à leur paramétrage. Les réponses du rendement moyen de l'ensemble à la température et au [CO2] étaient similaires à celles rapportées dans la littérature. Notre étude est la première démonstration des avantages obtenus en utilisant un ensemble de modèles de légumineuses à grains pour les projections alimentaires du changement climatique, et souligne qu'un développement plus poussé du modèle du soja avec des expériences sous des [CO2] et des températures élevées est nécessaire pour réduire l'incertitude des modèles individuels. Una estimación precisa del rendimiento de los cultivos en escenarios de cambio climático es esencial para cuantificar nuestra capacidad para alimentar a una población en crecimiento y desarrollar adaptaciones agronómicas para satisfacer la demanda futura de alimentos. Todavía falta una evaluación coordinada de las simulaciones de rendimiento a partir de modelos ecofisiológicos basados en procesos para la evaluación del impacto del cambio climático para la soja, la leguminosa de grano más cultivada y la principal fuente de proteínas en nuestra cadena alimentaria. En este primer estudio multimodelo de soja, utilizamos diez modelos prominentes capaces de simular el rendimiento de la soja a diferentes temperaturas y concentraciones de CO2 atmosférico [CO2] para cuantificar la incertidumbre en las simulaciones de rendimiento de soja en respuesta a estos factores. Los modelos se parametrizaron por primera vez con datos medidos de alta calidad de cinco entornos contrastantes. Encontramos una variabilidad considerable entre los modelos en las respuestas de rendimiento simuladas al aumento de la temperatura y [CO2]. Por ejemplo, bajo un aumento de temperatura de + 3 ° C en nuestra ubicación más fresca en Argentina, algunos modelos simularon que el rendimiento se reduciría hasta un 24%, mientras que otros simularon aumentos de rendimiento de hasta un 29%. En nuestra ubicación más cálida en Brasil, los modelos simularon una reducción del rendimiento que va desde una disminución del 38% con un aumento de temperatura de + 3 ° C hasta ningún efecto en el rendimiento. Del mismo modo, al aumentar [CO2] de 360 a 540 ppm, los modelos simularon un aumento del rendimiento que osciló entre el 6% y el 31%. La calibración del modelo no redujo la variabilidad entre los modelos, pero tuvo un efecto inesperado en la modificación de las respuestas de rendimiento a la temperatura para algunos de los modelos. La alta incertidumbre en las respuestas de los modelos indica la aplicabilidad limitada de los modelos individuales para las proyecciones alimentarias del cambio climático. Sin embargo, la media del conjunto de simulaciones entre modelos fue una herramienta efectiva para reducir la alta incertidumbre en las simulaciones de rendimiento de soja asociadas con modelos individuales y su parametrización. Las respuestas de rendimiento medio del conjunto a la temperatura y [CO2] fueron similares a las informadas en la literatura. Nuestro estudio es la primera demostración de los beneficios logrados al utilizar un conjunto de modelos de leguminosas de grano para las proyecciones de alimentos del cambio climático, y destaca que se necesita un mayor desarrollo del modelo de soja con experimentos bajo [CO2] y temperatura elevadas para reducir la incertidumbre de los modelos individuales. An accurate estimation of crop yield under climate change scenarios is essential to quantify our ability to feed a growing population and develop agronomic adaptations to meet future food demand. A coordinated evaluation of yield simulations from process-based eco-physiological models for climate change impact assessment is still missing for soybean, the most widely grown grain legume and the main source of protein in our food chain. In this first soybean multi-model study, we used ten prominent models capable of simulating soybean yield under varying temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration [CO2] to quantify the uncertainty in soybean yield simulations in response to these factors. Models were first parametrized with high quality measured data from five contrasting environments. We found considerable variability among models in simulated yield responses to increasing temperature and [CO2]. For example, under a + 3 °C temperature rise in our coolest location in Argentina, some models simulated that yield would reduce as much as 24%, while others simulated yield increases up to 29%. In our warmest location in Brazil, the models simulated a yield reduction ranging from a 38% decrease under + 3 °C temperature rise to no effect on yield. Similarly, when increasing [CO2] from 360 to 540 ppm, the models simulated a yield increase that ranged from 6% to 31%. Model calibration did not reduce variability across models but had an unexpected effect on modifying yield responses to temperature for some of the models. The high uncertainty in model responses indicates the limited applicability of individual models for climate change food projections. However, the ensemble mean of simulations across models was an effective tool to reduce the high uncertainty in soybean yield simulations associated with individual models and their parametrization. Ensemble mean yield responses to temperature and [CO2] were similar to those reported from the literature. Our study is the first demonstration of the benefits achieved from using an ensemble of grain legume models for climate change food projections, and highlights that further soybean model development with experiments under elevated [CO2] and temperature is needed to reduce the uncertainty from the individual models. يعد التقدير الدقيق لمحصول المحاصيل في ظل سيناريوهات تغير المناخ أمرًا ضروريًا لتحديد قدرتنا على إطعام عدد متزايد من السكان وتطوير التكيفات الزراعية لتلبية الطلب على الغذاء في المستقبل. لا يزال التقييم المنسق لمحاكاة الغلة من النماذج الفسيولوجية البيئية القائمة على العمليات لتقييم تأثير تغير المناخ مفقودًا بالنسبة لفول الصويا، وهو بقول الحبوب الأكثر زراعة على نطاق واسع والمصدر الرئيسي للبروتين في سلسلتنا الغذائية. في هذه الدراسة الأولى متعددة النماذج لفول الصويا، استخدمنا عشرة نماذج بارزة قادرة على محاكاة محصول فول الصويا تحت درجات حرارة متفاوتة وتركيز ثاني أكسيد الكربون في الغلاف الجوي [CO2] لقياس عدم اليقين في محاكاة محصول فول الصويا استجابة لهذه العوامل. تم قياس النماذج أولاً ببيانات مقاسة عالية الجودة من خمس بيئات متباينة. وجدنا تباينًا كبيرًا بين النماذج في استجابات العائد المحاكاة لزيادة درجة الحرارة و [CO2]. على سبيل المثال، في ظل ارتفاع درجة الحرارة بمقدار + 3 درجات مئوية في أروع موقع لنا في الأرجنتين، قامت بعض النماذج بمحاكاة أن العائد سيقلل بنسبة تصل إلى 24 ٪، بينما يزيد العائد المحاكى الآخر بنسبة تصل إلى 29 ٪. في موقعنا الأكثر دفئًا في البرازيل، قامت النماذج بمحاكاة انخفاض العائد الذي يتراوح بين انخفاض بنسبة 38 ٪ تحت + ارتفاع درجة حرارة 3 درجات مئوية إلى عدم التأثير على العائد. وبالمثل، عند زيادة [ثاني أكسيد الكربون] من 360 إلى 540 جزء في المليون، قامت النماذج بمحاكاة زيادة العائد التي تراوحت من 6 ٪ إلى 31 ٪. لم تقلل معايرة النموذج من التباين عبر النماذج ولكن كان لها تأثير غير متوقع على تعديل استجابات الخضوع لدرجة الحرارة لبعض النماذج. يشير عدم اليقين الشديد في الاستجابات النموذجية إلى التطبيق المحدود للنماذج الفردية للتوقعات الغذائية لتغير المناخ. ومع ذلك، كان المتوسط الجماعي للمحاكاة عبر النماذج أداة فعالة للحد من عدم اليقين العالي في محاكاة غلة فول الصويا المرتبطة بالنماذج الفردية ومعلماتها. كانت استجابات متوسط العائد على درجة الحرارة و [CO2] متشابهة مع تلك الواردة في الأدبيات. دراستنا هي أول عرض توضيحي للفوائد التي تحققت من استخدام مجموعة من نماذج البقوليات لتوقعات تغير المناخ الغذائية، وتسلط الضوء على الحاجة إلى مزيد من تطوير نموذج فول الصويا مع التجارب تحت [CO2] ودرجة الحرارة المرتفعة لتقليل عدم اليقين من النماذج الفردية.
UP Research Data Rep... arrow_drop_down UP Research Data RepositoryArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publikationsserver der Universität PotsdamArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Publikationsserver der Universität Potsdamadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1016/j.eja.2022.126482&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen hybrid 35 citations 35 popularity Top 10% influence Top 10% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!
more_vert UP Research Data Rep... arrow_drop_down UP Research Data RepositoryArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publikationsserver der Universität PotsdamArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Publikationsserver der Universität Potsdamadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type 2022 South Africa, Germany, FrancePublisher:Elsevier BV Kritika Kothari; Rafael Battisti; Kenneth J. Boote; Sotirios Archontoulis; Adriana Confalone; Julie Constantin; Santiago Vianna Cuadra; Philippe Debaeke; Babacar Faye; Brian Grant; Gerrit Hoogenboom; Qi Jing; Michael van der Laan; Fernando Antônio Macena da Silva; Fábio Ricardo Marin; Alireza Nehbandani; Claas Nendel; Larry C. Purcell; Budong Qian; Alex C. Ruane; Céline Schoving; Evandro Henrique Figueiredo Moura da Silva; Ward Smith; Afshin Soltani; Amit Kumar Srivastava; Nilson Aparecido Vieira; Stacey Slone; Montserrat Salmerón;Une estimation précise du rendement des cultures dans les scénarios de changement climatique est essentielle pour quantifier notre capacité à nourrir une population croissante et à développer des adaptations agronomiques pour répondre à la demande alimentaire future. Une évaluation coordonnée des simulations de rendement à partir de modèles écophysiologiques basés sur les processus pour l'évaluation de l'impact du changement climatique fait toujours défaut pour le soja, la légumineuse à grains la plus cultivée et la principale source de protéines dans notre chaîne alimentaire. Dans cette première étude multimodèle sur le soja, nous avons utilisé dix modèles de premier plan capables de simuler le rendement du soja sous différentes températures et concentrations atmosphériques de CO2 [CO2] pour quantifier l'incertitude dans les simulations de rendement du soja en réponse à ces facteurs. Les modèles ont d'abord été paramétrés avec des données mesurées de haute qualité provenant de cinq environnements contrastés. Nous avons trouvé une variabilité considérable entre les modèles dans les réponses de rendement simulées à l'augmentation de la température et du [CO2]. Par exemple, en cas d'augmentation de la température de + 3 °C dans notre endroit le plus frais en Argentine, certains modèles ont simulé que le rendement diminuerait jusqu'à 24 %, tandis que d'autres simulaient une augmentation du rendement allant jusqu'à 29 %. Dans notre emplacement le plus chaud au Brésil, les modèles ont simulé une réduction du rendement allant d'une diminution de 38 % sous + 3 °C à une augmentation de la température sans effet sur le rendement. De même, en augmentant le [CO2] de 360 à 540 ppm, les modèles ont simulé une augmentation du rendement allant de 6% à 31%. L'étalonnage du modèle n'a pas réduit la variabilité entre les modèles, mais a eu un effet inattendu sur la modification des réponses du rendement à la température pour certains des modèles. La forte incertitude dans les réponses des modèles indique l'applicabilité limitée des modèles individuels pour les projections alimentaires du changement climatique. Cependant, la moyenne d'ensemble des simulations à travers les modèles était un outil efficace pour réduire la forte incertitude dans les simulations de rendement du soja associées aux modèles individuels et à leur paramétrage. Les réponses du rendement moyen de l'ensemble à la température et au [CO2] étaient similaires à celles rapportées dans la littérature. Notre étude est la première démonstration des avantages obtenus en utilisant un ensemble de modèles de légumineuses à grains pour les projections alimentaires du changement climatique, et souligne qu'un développement plus poussé du modèle du soja avec des expériences sous des [CO2] et des températures élevées est nécessaire pour réduire l'incertitude des modèles individuels. Una estimación precisa del rendimiento de los cultivos en escenarios de cambio climático es esencial para cuantificar nuestra capacidad para alimentar a una población en crecimiento y desarrollar adaptaciones agronómicas para satisfacer la demanda futura de alimentos. Todavía falta una evaluación coordinada de las simulaciones de rendimiento a partir de modelos ecofisiológicos basados en procesos para la evaluación del impacto del cambio climático para la soja, la leguminosa de grano más cultivada y la principal fuente de proteínas en nuestra cadena alimentaria. En este primer estudio multimodelo de soja, utilizamos diez modelos prominentes capaces de simular el rendimiento de la soja a diferentes temperaturas y concentraciones de CO2 atmosférico [CO2] para cuantificar la incertidumbre en las simulaciones de rendimiento de soja en respuesta a estos factores. Los modelos se parametrizaron por primera vez con datos medidos de alta calidad de cinco entornos contrastantes. Encontramos una variabilidad considerable entre los modelos en las respuestas de rendimiento simuladas al aumento de la temperatura y [CO2]. Por ejemplo, bajo un aumento de temperatura de + 3 ° C en nuestra ubicación más fresca en Argentina, algunos modelos simularon que el rendimiento se reduciría hasta un 24%, mientras que otros simularon aumentos de rendimiento de hasta un 29%. En nuestra ubicación más cálida en Brasil, los modelos simularon una reducción del rendimiento que va desde una disminución del 38% con un aumento de temperatura de + 3 ° C hasta ningún efecto en el rendimiento. Del mismo modo, al aumentar [CO2] de 360 a 540 ppm, los modelos simularon un aumento del rendimiento que osciló entre el 6% y el 31%. La calibración del modelo no redujo la variabilidad entre los modelos, pero tuvo un efecto inesperado en la modificación de las respuestas de rendimiento a la temperatura para algunos de los modelos. La alta incertidumbre en las respuestas de los modelos indica la aplicabilidad limitada de los modelos individuales para las proyecciones alimentarias del cambio climático. Sin embargo, la media del conjunto de simulaciones entre modelos fue una herramienta efectiva para reducir la alta incertidumbre en las simulaciones de rendimiento de soja asociadas con modelos individuales y su parametrización. Las respuestas de rendimiento medio del conjunto a la temperatura y [CO2] fueron similares a las informadas en la literatura. Nuestro estudio es la primera demostración de los beneficios logrados al utilizar un conjunto de modelos de leguminosas de grano para las proyecciones de alimentos del cambio climático, y destaca que se necesita un mayor desarrollo del modelo de soja con experimentos bajo [CO2] y temperatura elevadas para reducir la incertidumbre de los modelos individuales. An accurate estimation of crop yield under climate change scenarios is essential to quantify our ability to feed a growing population and develop agronomic adaptations to meet future food demand. A coordinated evaluation of yield simulations from process-based eco-physiological models for climate change impact assessment is still missing for soybean, the most widely grown grain legume and the main source of protein in our food chain. In this first soybean multi-model study, we used ten prominent models capable of simulating soybean yield under varying temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration [CO2] to quantify the uncertainty in soybean yield simulations in response to these factors. Models were first parametrized with high quality measured data from five contrasting environments. We found considerable variability among models in simulated yield responses to increasing temperature and [CO2]. For example, under a + 3 °C temperature rise in our coolest location in Argentina, some models simulated that yield would reduce as much as 24%, while others simulated yield increases up to 29%. In our warmest location in Brazil, the models simulated a yield reduction ranging from a 38% decrease under + 3 °C temperature rise to no effect on yield. Similarly, when increasing [CO2] from 360 to 540 ppm, the models simulated a yield increase that ranged from 6% to 31%. Model calibration did not reduce variability across models but had an unexpected effect on modifying yield responses to temperature for some of the models. The high uncertainty in model responses indicates the limited applicability of individual models for climate change food projections. However, the ensemble mean of simulations across models was an effective tool to reduce the high uncertainty in soybean yield simulations associated with individual models and their parametrization. Ensemble mean yield responses to temperature and [CO2] were similar to those reported from the literature. Our study is the first demonstration of the benefits achieved from using an ensemble of grain legume models for climate change food projections, and highlights that further soybean model development with experiments under elevated [CO2] and temperature is needed to reduce the uncertainty from the individual models. يعد التقدير الدقيق لمحصول المحاصيل في ظل سيناريوهات تغير المناخ أمرًا ضروريًا لتحديد قدرتنا على إطعام عدد متزايد من السكان وتطوير التكيفات الزراعية لتلبية الطلب على الغذاء في المستقبل. لا يزال التقييم المنسق لمحاكاة الغلة من النماذج الفسيولوجية البيئية القائمة على العمليات لتقييم تأثير تغير المناخ مفقودًا بالنسبة لفول الصويا، وهو بقول الحبوب الأكثر زراعة على نطاق واسع والمصدر الرئيسي للبروتين في سلسلتنا الغذائية. في هذه الدراسة الأولى متعددة النماذج لفول الصويا، استخدمنا عشرة نماذج بارزة قادرة على محاكاة محصول فول الصويا تحت درجات حرارة متفاوتة وتركيز ثاني أكسيد الكربون في الغلاف الجوي [CO2] لقياس عدم اليقين في محاكاة محصول فول الصويا استجابة لهذه العوامل. تم قياس النماذج أولاً ببيانات مقاسة عالية الجودة من خمس بيئات متباينة. وجدنا تباينًا كبيرًا بين النماذج في استجابات العائد المحاكاة لزيادة درجة الحرارة و [CO2]. على سبيل المثال، في ظل ارتفاع درجة الحرارة بمقدار + 3 درجات مئوية في أروع موقع لنا في الأرجنتين، قامت بعض النماذج بمحاكاة أن العائد سيقلل بنسبة تصل إلى 24 ٪، بينما يزيد العائد المحاكى الآخر بنسبة تصل إلى 29 ٪. في موقعنا الأكثر دفئًا في البرازيل، قامت النماذج بمحاكاة انخفاض العائد الذي يتراوح بين انخفاض بنسبة 38 ٪ تحت + ارتفاع درجة حرارة 3 درجات مئوية إلى عدم التأثير على العائد. وبالمثل، عند زيادة [ثاني أكسيد الكربون] من 360 إلى 540 جزء في المليون، قامت النماذج بمحاكاة زيادة العائد التي تراوحت من 6 ٪ إلى 31 ٪. لم تقلل معايرة النموذج من التباين عبر النماذج ولكن كان لها تأثير غير متوقع على تعديل استجابات الخضوع لدرجة الحرارة لبعض النماذج. يشير عدم اليقين الشديد في الاستجابات النموذجية إلى التطبيق المحدود للنماذج الفردية للتوقعات الغذائية لتغير المناخ. ومع ذلك، كان المتوسط الجماعي للمحاكاة عبر النماذج أداة فعالة للحد من عدم اليقين العالي في محاكاة غلة فول الصويا المرتبطة بالنماذج الفردية ومعلماتها. كانت استجابات متوسط العائد على درجة الحرارة و [CO2] متشابهة مع تلك الواردة في الأدبيات. دراستنا هي أول عرض توضيحي للفوائد التي تحققت من استخدام مجموعة من نماذج البقوليات لتوقعات تغير المناخ الغذائية، وتسلط الضوء على الحاجة إلى مزيد من تطوير نموذج فول الصويا مع التجارب تحت [CO2] ودرجة الحرارة المرتفعة لتقليل عدم اليقين من النماذج الفردية.
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more_vert UP Research Data Rep... arrow_drop_down UP Research Data RepositoryArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRAArticle . 2022Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Publikationsserver der Universität PotsdamArticle . 2022License: CC BYData sources: Publikationsserver der Universität Potsdamadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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