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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal 2020 Austria, Czech Republic, Brazil, Portugal, United Kingdom, Portugal, New Zealand, South Africa, United States, Czech RepublicPublisher:Wiley Funded by:NSF | Predicting Regional Invas..., SNSF | Dealing with uncertainty ..., FWF | Developing and applying s... +7 projectsNSF| Predicting Regional Invasion Dynamic Processes (PRIDE)-Developing a Cross-scale, Functional-trait Based Modeling Framework ,SNSF| Dealing with uncertainty in alien species impact assessments ,FWF| Developing and applying scenarios of biological invasions (AlienScenarios) ,SNSF| VTS: Verbal tenses and subjectivity: an empirical cognitive approach ,SNSF| InvasiBES ,FCT| CEG ,NSERC ,FWF| The Global Naturalized Alien Flora database: patterns and drivers of plant invasions ,FCT| CEG ,UKRI| UK Status, Change and Projections of the Environment (UK-SCaPE)Authors:Stefan Dullinger;
Stefan Dullinger
Stefan Dullinger in OpenAIREJonathan M. Jeschke;
Jonathan M. Jeschke;Jonathan M. Jeschke
Jonathan M. Jeschke in OpenAIREIngolf Kühn;
+45 AuthorsIngolf Kühn
Ingolf Kühn in OpenAIREStefan Dullinger;
Stefan Dullinger
Stefan Dullinger in OpenAIREJonathan M. Jeschke;
Jonathan M. Jeschke;Jonathan M. Jeschke
Jonathan M. Jeschke in OpenAIREIngolf Kühn;
Ingolf Kühn;Ingolf Kühn
Ingolf Kühn in OpenAIREStelios Katsanevakis;
Stelios Katsanevakis
Stelios Katsanevakis in OpenAIRERiccardo Scalera;
Riccardo Scalera
Riccardo Scalera in OpenAIREPetr Pyšek;
Petr Pyšek; Curtis C. Daehler; Andrew M. Liebhold; Andrew M. Liebhold; Marten Winter;Petr Pyšek
Petr Pyšek in OpenAIRENathan J. Sanders;
Brian Leung;Nathan J. Sanders
Nathan J. Sanders in OpenAIRESarah A. Bailey;
Sarah A. Bailey
Sarah A. Bailey in OpenAIREBernd Lenzner;
Bernd Lenzner
Bernd Lenzner in OpenAIREAníbal Pauchard;
Aníbal Pauchard
Aníbal Pauchard in OpenAIREBetsy Von Holle;
James C. Russell;Betsy Von Holle
Betsy Von Holle in OpenAIREAnna J. Turbelin;
Anna J. Turbelin;Anna J. Turbelin
Anna J. Turbelin in OpenAIREHelen E. Roy;
Rafael D. Zenni; Hugh J. MacIsaac; Michael R. Springborn;Helen E. Roy
Helen E. Roy in OpenAIREMartin A. Nuñez;
Martin A. Nuñez
Martin A. Nuñez in OpenAIRESven Bacher;
Piero Genovesi; Piero Genovesi; Brady J. Mattsson;Sven Bacher
Sven Bacher in OpenAIRELaura A. Meyerson;
Dov F. Sax;Laura A. Meyerson
Laura A. Meyerson in OpenAIREChunlong Liu;
Chunlong Liu; Chunlong Liu;Chunlong Liu
Chunlong Liu in OpenAIREFranz Essl;
Franz Essl;Franz Essl
Franz Essl in OpenAIREWolfgang Rabitsch;
Wolfgang Rabitsch
Wolfgang Rabitsch in OpenAIREDavid M. Richardson;
David M. Richardson
David M. Richardson in OpenAIREHanno Seebens;
Hanno Seebens
Hanno Seebens in OpenAIRECésar Capinha;
César Capinha
César Capinha in OpenAIREMark van Kleunen;
Mark van Kleunen;Mark van Kleunen
Mark van Kleunen in OpenAIRECang Hui;
Cang Hui; Gregory M. Ruiz; Philip E. Hulme;Cang Hui
Cang Hui in OpenAIRENúria Roura-Pascual;
Núria Roura-Pascual
Núria Roura-Pascual in OpenAIREAbstractUnderstanding the likely future impacts of biological invasions is crucial yet highly challenging given the multiple relevant environmental, socio‐economic and societal contexts and drivers. In the absence of quantitative models, methods based on expert knowledge are the best option for assessing future invasion trajectories. Here, we present an expert assessment of the drivers of potential alien species impacts under contrasting scenarios and socioecological contexts through the mid‐21st century. Based on responses from 36 experts in biological invasions, moderate (20%–30%) increases in invasions, compared to the current conditions, are expected to cause major impacts on biodiversity in most socioecological contexts. Three main drivers of biological invasions—transport, climate change and socio‐economic change—were predicted to significantly affect future impacts of alien species on biodiversity even under a best‐case scenario. Other drivers (e.g. human demography and migration in tropical and subtropical regions) were also of high importance in specific global contexts (e.g. for individual taxonomic groups or biomes). We show that some best‐case scenarios can substantially reduce potential future impacts of biological invasions. However, rapid and comprehensive actions are necessary to use this potential and achieve the goals of the Post‐2020 Framework of the Convention on Biological Diversity.
University of Rhode ... arrow_drop_down University of Rhode Island: DigitalCommons@URIArticle . 2020License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Lincoln University (New Zealand): Lincoln U Research ArchiveArticle . 2020License: CC BYFull-Text: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15199Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2020License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2020 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAUniversidade de Lisboa: Repositório.ULArticle . 2020License: CC BYData sources: Universidade de Lisboa: Repositório.ULRepository of the Czech Academy of SciencesArticle . 2020Data sources: Repository of the Czech Academy of Sciencesadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
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visibility 186visibility views 186 download downloads 410 Powered bymore_vert University of Rhode ... arrow_drop_down University of Rhode Island: DigitalCommons@URIArticle . 2020License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Lincoln University (New Zealand): Lincoln U Research ArchiveArticle . 2020License: CC BYFull-Text: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15199Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research ArchiveArticle . 2020License: CC BYData sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAArticle . 2020 . Peer-reviewedLicense: CC BYData sources: Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTAUniversidade de Lisboa: Repositório.ULArticle . 2020License: CC BYData sources: Universidade de Lisboa: Repositório.ULRepository of the Czech Academy of SciencesArticle . 2020Data sources: Repository of the Czech Academy of Sciencesadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1111/gcb.15199&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
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