• Energy Research

Zero-emission ships (ZE-ships) concept has been introduced as a promising solution in reducing the greenhouse gases (GHG) emission in marine shipping industry. Among different solutions, Fuel cells (FCs) are introduced as one of the most efficient technologies for providing the propulsion force of the ZE-ships. Energy storage systems (ESSs) are also used as auxiliary resource to cover the fast dynamics of the loads the the FCs are not able to supply. Design and operation problem of ZE-ships has been investigated in the literature from different viewpoints. This paper provides a survey on available studies in the field of cost effective energy management of FC/ESS based ZE-ships. To this end, first, different studies in the literature are categorized from the viewpoint of energy management strategies (EMSs) and discussed Then other categories of the works such as auxiliary energy resources, problem objectives, and simulation methods are also provided.

A machine learning algorithm is developed to forecast the CO2 emission intensities in electrical power grids in the Danish bidding zone DK2, distinguishing between average and marginal emissions. The analysis was done on data set comprised of a large number (473) of explanatory variables such as power production, demand, import, weather conditions etc. collected from selected neighboring zones. The number was reduced to less than 50 using both LASSO (a penalized linear regression analysis) and a forward feature selection algorithm. Three linear regression models that capture different aspects of the data (non-linearities and coupling of variables etc.) were created and combined into a final model using Softmax weighted average. Cross-validation is performed for debiasing and autoregressive moving average model (ARIMA) implemented to correct the residuals, making the final model the variant with exogenous inputs (ARIMAX). The forecasts with the corresponding uncertainties are given for two time horizons, below and above six hours. Marginal emissions came up independent of any conditions in the DK2 zone, suggesting that the marginal generators are located in the neighbouring zones. The developed methodology can be applied to any bidding zone in the European electricity network without requiring detailed knowledge about the zone. 15 pages and 11 figures including appendix. Submitted to Applied Energy (Elsevier)

Demand-side flexibility is an important tool for enhancing the interaction of renewable energy resources and reducing the need for grid upgrades. To employ this flexibility as a market product, it is necessary to aggregate and coordinate by coordinating responsive loads. In this regard, designing effective load coordination mechanisms that consider the preferences of aggregators, end-users, and network operators is critical for the successful implementation of demand response (DR) programs. This paper proposes an incentive-based method for coordinating a group of controllable devices that is practical, does not require complex, high-order models of the entire system, respects end-users privacy and quality of service (QoS), and can readily incorporate network conditions to ensure grid reliability. The proposed method includes algorithms at both the end-user level for controllable device operation and the aggregator level for managing the grid access requests. These algorithms are fast and with low computational burden which makes them suitable for the designed framework, reduces the implementation cost and increases the chance of scalability. The method is illustrated with a realistic test system consisting of a set of controllable heat pumps used in pool heating systems and uncontrollable loads placed in a distribution feeder and supplied by a distribution substation transformer. Simulation results highlight the effectiveness of the proposed method in satisfying the controllable device, end-users, and grid constraints. Comparing the results with similar existing methods shows that the method is 11% more cost-effective than traditional ON/OFF methods while reducing the number of rejected grid access requests from the devices, significantly.

Increasing levels of distributed generation (DG), as well as changes in electricity consumption behavior, are reshaping power distribution systems. These changes might place particular stress on the secondary low-voltage (LV) distribution systems not originally designed for bi-directional power flows. Voltage violations, reverse power flow, and congestion are the main arising concerns for distribution system operators (DSOs), while observability in these grids is typically nonexistent or very low. The present paper addresses this issue by developing a method for nodal voltage estimation in unbalanced radial LV grids (at 0.4 kV). The workflow of the proposed method combines a data-driven grey-box modeling approach with generalized additive models (GAMs). Furthermore, the proposed method relies on experimental data from a real-world LV grid in Denmark and uses data input from only one measuring device per feeder. Predictions are evaluated by using a test data set of 31 days, which is more than twice the size of the training data set of 13 days. The prediction results show high accuracy at root mean squared errors (RMSEs) of 0.002–0.0004 p.u. The method also requires a short computation time (14 s for the first stage and 2 s for the second stage) that meets requirements for the practical, real-time monitoring of DSO grids.

Power transformers are one of the most costly assets in power grids. Due to increasing electricity demand and levels of distributed generation, they are more and more often loaded above their rated limits. Transformer ratings are traditionally set as static limits, set in a controlled environment with conservative margins. Through dynamic transformer rating, the rating is instead adapted to the actual working conditions of the transformers. This can help distribution system operators (DSOs) to unlock unused capacity and postpone costly grid investments. To this end, real-time information of the transformer operating conditions, and in particular of its hot-spot and oil temperature, is required. This work proposes a grey-box model that can be used for online estimation and forecasting of the transformer temperature. It relies on a limited set of non-intrusive measurements and was developed using experimental data from a DSO in Jutland, Denmark. The thermal model has proven to be able to predict the temperature of the transformers with a high accuracy and low computational time, which is particularly relevant for online applications. With a six-hour prediction horizon the mean average error was 0.4–0.6 °C. By choosing a stochastic data-driven modeling approach we can also provide prediction intervals and account for the uncertainty.

Swimming pool heating systems are known as one of the best flexible resources in buildings. However, they can be flexible only for a certain number of hours throughout a day due to the comfort constraints of the users. In this study, a new approach is proposed to determine a group of contract hour sets to procure maximum flexibility of swimming pool heating systems supplied by heat pumps for trading in the regulation market while respecting the comfort of users. The main advantage of the contract hour sets is the certainty in response to flexibility requests. The proposed approach consists of three main steps. First, a stochastic mixed-integer linear program is proposed to find the optimal operation of a swimming pool heating system that has agreed to provide flexibility in a contract hours set. Then, a metric is proposed to evaluate the effectiveness of contract hour sets using the results obtained in the first step. Finally, an algorithm is proposed to identify a group of the most efficient contract hour sets using the calculated metric. The proposed approach is validated through comprehensive simulation studies for a summerhouse with an indoor pool heated by a heat pump. Also, a cost–benefit analysis is performed to examine the feasibility of these contract hour sets from financial viewpoint. Simulation results show that the maximum contract hours can vary from 2 to 12 h depending on the building occupation pattern and the minimum payment to owners is between 0.03 to 0.06 (Euro/kW).