• Energy Research

AbstractTree diversity in Asia's tropical and subtropical forests is central to nature‐based solutions. Species vulnerability to multiple threats, which affect provision of ecosystem services, is poorly understood. We conducted a region‐wide, spatially explicit assessment of the vulnerability of 63 socioeconomically important tree species to overexploitation, fire, overgrazing, habitat conversion, and climate change. Trees were selected for assessment from national priority lists, and selections were validated by an expert network representing 20 countries. We used Maxent suitability modeling to predict species distribution ranges, freely accessible spatial data sets to map threat exposures, and functional traits to estimate threat sensitivities. Species‐specific vulnerability maps were created as the product of exposure maps and sensitivity estimates. Based on vulnerability to current threats and climate change, we identified priority areas for conservation and restoration. Overall, 74% of the most important areas for conservation of these trees fell outside protected areas, and all species were severely threatened across an average of 47% of their native ranges. The most imminent threats were overexploitation and habitat conversion; populations were severely threatened by these factors in an average of 24% and 16% of their ranges, respectively. Our model predicted limited overall climate change impacts, although some study species were likely to lose over 15% of their habitat by 2050 due to climate change. We pinpointed specific natural areas in Borneo rain forests as hotspots for in situ conservation of forest genetic resources, more than 82% of which fell outside designated protected areas. We also identified degraded areas in Western Ghats, Indochina dry forests, and Sumatran rain forests as hotspots for restoration, where planting or assisted natural regeneration will help conserve these species, and croplands in southern India and Thailand as potentially important agroforestry options. Our results highlight the need for regionally coordinated action for effective conservation and restoration.

AbstractAimLarge tropical trees form the interface between ground and airborne observations, offering a unique opportunity to capture forest properties remotely and to investigate their variations on broad scales. However, despite rapid development of metrics to characterize the forest canopy from remotely sensed data, a gap remains between aerial and field inventories. To close this gap, we propose a new pan‐tropical model to predict plot‐level forest structure properties and biomass from only the largest trees.LocationPan‐tropical.Time periodEarly 21st century.Major taxa studiedWoody plants.MethodsUsing a dataset of 867 plots distributed among 118 sites across the tropics, we tested the prediction of the quadratic mean diameter, basal area, Lorey's height, community wood density and aboveground biomass (AGB) from the ith largest trees.ResultsMeasuring the largest trees in tropical forests enables unbiased predictions of plot‐ and site‐level forest structure. The 20 largest trees per hectare predicted quadratic mean diameter, basal area, Lorey's height, community wood density and AGB with 12, 16, 4, 4 and 17.7% of relative error, respectively. Most of the remaining error in biomass prediction is driven by differences in the proportion of total biomass held in medium‐sized trees (50–70 cm diameter at breast height), which shows some continental dependency, with American tropical forests presenting the highest proportion of total biomass in these intermediate‐diameter classes relative to other continents.Main conclusionsOur approach provides new information on tropical forest structure and can be used to generate accurate field estimates of tropical forest carbon stocks to support the calibration and validation of current and forthcoming space missions. It will reduce the cost of field inventories and contribute to scientific understanding of tropical forest ecosystems and response to climate change.

Le gradient de diversité latitudinale (LDG) est l'un des modèles mondiaux de richesse en espèces les plus reconnus dans un large éventail de taxons. De nombreuses hypothèses ont été proposées au cours des deux derniers siècles pour expliquer le LDG, mais des tests rigoureux des facteurs de LDG ont été limités par un manque de données mondiales de haute qualité sur la richesse en espèces. Ici, nous produisons une carte à haute résolution (0,025° × 0,025°) de la richesse des espèces d'arbres locales à l'aide d'une base de données d'inventaire forestier mondial avec des informations sur les arbres individuels et des caractéristiques biophysiques locales à partir d'environ 1,3 million de placettes-échantillons. Nous quantifions ensuite les moteurs des modèles de richesse des espèces d'arbres locales à travers les latitudes. En général, la température moyenne annuelle était un prédicteur dominant de la richesse des espèces d'arbres, ce qui est le plus conforme à la théorie métabolique de la biodiversité (MTB). Cependant, le MTB a sous-estimé le LDG sous les tropiques, où la richesse élevée en espèces a également été modérée par des facteurs topographiques, pédologiques et anthropiques opérant à l'échelle locale. Étant donné que les variables locales du paysage agissent en synergie avec les facteurs bioclimatiques dans la formation du modèle mondial de LDG, nous suggérons que le MTB soit étendu pour tenir compte de la co-limitation par les conducteurs subordonnés. En examinant les facteurs du gradient latitudinal de biodiversité dans une base de données mondiale sur la richesse des espèces locales d'arbres, les auteurs montrent que la co-limitation par de multiples facteurs environnementaux et anthropiques provoque des augmentations plus importantes de la richesse avec la latitude dans les zones tropicales par rapport aux zones tempérées et boréales. El gradiente de diversidad latitudinal (LDG) es uno de los patrones globales más reconocidos de riqueza de especies que se exhiben en una amplia gama de taxones. Se han propuesto numerosas hipótesis en los últimos dos siglos para explicar la LDG, pero las pruebas rigurosas de los impulsores de las LDG se han visto limitadas por la falta de datos globales de alta calidad sobre la riqueza de especies. Aquí producimos un mapa de alta resolución (0.025° × 0.025°) de la riqueza de especies de árboles locales utilizando una base de datos de inventario forestal global con información de árboles individuales y características biofísicas locales de ~ 1.3 millones de parcelas de muestra. A continuación, cuantificamos los impulsores de los patrones de riqueza de especies arbóreas locales en todas las latitudes. En general, la temperatura media anual fue un predictor dominante de la riqueza de especies de árboles, lo que es más consistente con la teoría metabólica de la biodiversidad (MTB). Sin embargo, el MTB subestimó el LDG en los trópicos, donde la alta riqueza de especies también fue moderada por factores topográficos, del suelo y antropogénicos que operan a escala local. Dado que las variables del paisaje local operan sinérgicamente con factores bioclimáticos en la configuración del patrón global de LDG, sugerimos que el MTB se extienda para tener en cuenta la co-limitación por parte de los conductores subordinados. Al examinar los impulsores del gradiente de biodiversidad latitudinal en una base de datos global de la riqueza de especies de árboles locales, los autores muestran que la co-limitación por múltiples factores ambientales y antropogénicos causa aumentos más pronunciados en la riqueza con latitud en zonas tropicales versus templadas y boreales. The latitudinal diversity gradient (LDG) is one of the most recognized global patterns of species richness exhibited across a wide range of taxa. Numerous hypotheses have been proposed in the past two centuries to explain LDG, but rigorous tests of the drivers of LDGs have been limited by a lack of high-quality global species richness data. Here we produce a high-resolution (0.025° × 0.025°) map of local tree species richness using a global forest inventory database with individual tree information and local biophysical characteristics from ~1.3 million sample plots. We then quantify drivers of local tree species richness patterns across latitudes. Generally, annual mean temperature was a dominant predictor of tree species richness, which is most consistent with the metabolic theory of biodiversity (MTB). However, MTB underestimated LDG in the tropics, where high species richness was also moderated by topographic, soil and anthropogenic factors operating at local scales. Given that local landscape variables operate synergistically with bioclimatic factors in shaping the global LDG pattern, we suggest that MTB be extended to account for co-limitation by subordinate drivers. Examining drivers of the latitudinal biodiversity gradient in a global database of local tree species richness, the authors show that co-limitation by multiple environmental and anthropogenic factors causes steeper increases in richness with latitude in tropical versus temperate and boreal zones. يعد تدرج التنوع العرضي (LDG) أحد أكثر الأنماط العالمية المعترف بها لثراء الأنواع المعروضة عبر مجموعة واسعة من الأصناف. تم اقتراح العديد من الفرضيات في القرنين الماضيين لشرح غاز الديزل منخفض الكثافة، لكن الاختبارات الصارمة لمحركات غازات الديزل منخفض الكثافة كانت محدودة بسبب نقص بيانات ثراء الأنواع العالمية عالية الجودة. هنا ننتج خريطة عالية الدقة (0.025درجة × 0.025درجة) لثراء أنواع الأشجار المحلية باستخدام قاعدة بيانات جرد الغابات العالمية مع معلومات الأشجار الفردية والخصائص الفيزيائية الحيوية المحلية من حوالي 1.3 مليون قطعة عينة. ثم نحدد العوامل المحركة لأنماط ثراء أنواع الأشجار المحلية عبر خطوط العرض. بشكل عام، كان متوسط درجة الحرارة السنوية مؤشراً مهيمناً على ثراء أنواع الأشجار، وهو الأكثر اتساقاً مع نظرية التمثيل الغذائي للتنوع البيولوجي (MTB). ومع ذلك، قلل MTB من تقدير غاز التدهور المنخفض في المناطق المدارية، حيث كان ثراء الأنواع المرتفع معتدلاً أيضًا بسبب العوامل الطبوغرافية والتربة والعوامل البشرية المنشأ التي تعمل على المستويات المحلية. بالنظر إلى أن متغيرات المناظر الطبيعية المحلية تعمل بشكل تآزري مع العوامل المناخية الحيوية في تشكيل نمط الغازات المتدهورة عالميًا، فإننا نقترح توسيع نطاق الحد الأقصى للمناظر الطبيعية لمراعاة الحد المشترك من قبل الدوافع الثانوية. عند دراسة دوافع تدرج التنوع البيولوجي العرضي في قاعدة بيانات عالمية لثراء أنواع الأشجار المحلية، يوضح المؤلفون أن الحد المشترك من خلال عوامل بيئية وبشرية متعددة يسبب زيادات أكثر حدة في الثراء مع خط العرض في المناطق الاستوائية مقابل المناطق المعتدلة والشمالية.

AbstractAimHere we examine the functional profile of regional tree species pools across the latitudinal distribution of Neotropical moist forests, and test trait–climate relationships among local communities. We expected opportunistic strategies (acquisitive traits, small seeds) to be overrepresented in species pools further from the equator, but also in terms of abundance in local communities in currently wetter, warmer and more seasonal climates.LocationNeotropics.Time periodRecent.Major taxa studiedTrees.MethodsWe obtained abundance data from 471 plots across nine Neotropical regions, including c. 100,000 trees of 3,417 species, in addition to six functional traits. We compared occurrence‐based trait distributions among regional species pools, and evaluated single trait–climate relationships across local communities using community abundance‐weighted means (CWMs). Multivariate trait–climate relationships were assessed by a double‐constrained correspondence analysis that tests both how CWMs relate to climate and how species distributions, parameterized by niche centroids in climate space, relate to their traits.ResultsRegional species pools were undistinguished in functional terms, but opportunistic strategies dominated local communities further from the equator, particularly in the Northern Hemisphere. Climate explained up to 57% of the variation in CWM traits, with increasing prevalence of lower‐statured, light‐wooded and softer‐leaved species bearing smaller seeds in more seasonal, wetter and warmer climates. Species distributions were significantly but weakly related to functional traits.Main conclusionsNeotropical moist forest regions share similar sets of functional strategies, from which local assembly processes, driven by current climatic conditions, select for species with different functional strategies. We can thus expect functional responses to climate change driven by changes in relative abundances of species already present regionally. Particularly, equatorial forests holding the most conservative traits and large seeds are likely to experience the most severe changes if climate change triggers the proliferation of opportunistic tree species.

Significance Identifying and explaining regional differences in tropical forest dynamics, structure, diversity, and composition are critical for anticipating region-specific responses to global environmental change. Floristic classifications are of fundamental importance for these efforts. Here we provide a global tropical forest classification that is explicitly based on community evolutionary similarity, resulting in identification of five major tropical forest regions and their relationships: ( i ) Indo-Pacific, ( ii ) Subtropical, ( iii ) African, ( iv ) American, and ( v ) Dry forests. African and American forests are grouped, reflecting their former western Gondwanan connection, while Indo-Pacific forests range from eastern Africa and Madagascar to Australia and the Pacific. The connection between northern-hemisphere Asian and American forests is confirmed, while Dry forests are identified as a single tropical biome.