• Energy Research

Abstract Electric heat pumps (HPs), hybrid heating technology and district heating networks (DHN) are the main low-carbon heating technologies that can deliver the ambitious carbon reduction target in the UK. The optimal design of the heating system on a national scale to maximize the economic benefits regarding both investment cost and operation cost while satisfying the carbon target remains an open question. This paper aims to compare the economic advantages as well as the associated impacts on the electricity system under the full deployments of ASHP (air source HP), hybrid HP-Bs (ASHP and gas boilers) and DHNs. To do so, a novel whole-system approach is applied with the explicit consideration of the coordinated operation between heat and electricity system. The optimized strategy for heat sector decarbonisation is also demonstrated, providing an outline of the optimal deployment for different heating technologies in terms of their penetrations and deployed areas. The UK case study suggests the significant economic advantage of the hybrid HP-B over the other two heating technologies, while DHN may play an important role in urban areas under the optimized heat decarbonisation strategy. The results also clearly demonstrate the changes on the electricity side driven by the different decarbonisation strategies in the heating system.

Coordinated preheating can potentially enhance the flexibility of the electricity system, thereby driving significant economic savings. In this context, this paper proposes a novel game-theory based preheating coordination scheme aimed at guaranteeing the effectiveness of collective preheating performed by a large population of households. By adopting an innovative two-phase iterative algorithm, individual households autonomously schedule their heating power allocation to seek for savings in energy bills while smartly maintaining thermal comfort. Meanwhile, the total electricity generation cost decreases at each iteration and converges to an equilibrium solution asymptotically. Compared to the centralised optimization-based energy management control methods, the proposed algorithm effectively reduces the information exchange while significantly reduces computational complexity. The simulation results indicate that the proposed coordination strategy can drive 12.30% cost saving when all households participate in the preheating scheme whereas 11.35% cost increase will be incurred if coordination is absent. Overall, the proposed preheating control algorithm simultaneously benefits both individual households and the whole system by intelligently linking local behaviour with global interests.

Hydrogen presents an attractive option to decarbonise the present energy system. Hydrogen can extend the usage of the existing gas infrastructure with low-cost energy storability and flexibility. Excess electricity generated by renewables can be converted into hydrogen. In this paper, a novel multi-energy systems optimisation model was proposed to maximise investment and operating synergy in the electricity, heating, and transport sectors, considering the integration of a hydrogen system to minimise the overall costs. The model considers two hydrogen production processes: (i) gas-to-gas (G2G) with carbon capture and storage (CCS), and (ii) power-to-gas (P2G). The proposed model was applied in a future Great Britain (GB) system. Through a comparison with the system without hydrogen, the results showed that the G2G process could reduce £3.9 bn/year, and that the P2G process could bring £2.1 bn/year in cost-savings under a 30 Mt carbon target. The results also demonstrate the system implications of the two hydrogen production processes on the investment and operation of other energy sectors. The G2G process can reduce the total power generation capacity from 71 GW to 53 GW, and the P2G process can promote the integration of wind power from 83 GW to 130 GW under a 30 Mt carbon target. The results also demonstrate the changes in the heating strategies driven by the different hydrogen production processes.

The Pareto frontier, a concept rooted in economics and multi-objective optimization, represents the interplay between two objectives. In the context of power systems, it is often the case that different objectives have to be considered at the same time, such as the minimization of the operational cost and the minimization of greenhouse gas emissions. However, whether both objectives are achievable or not largely depends on the specific technoeconomic characteristics of the generation units involved. In this context, the current paper presents the Pareto frontier for different combinations of technoeconomic characteristics of generation units, and different types of functions for the operational cost and CO2 emissions, as well as various technologies, including Combined Heat and Power, heat-only and thermal power stations. The analysis reveals a range of shapes for the resulting Pareto frontier and underlines the critical patterns and dependencies within the energy system’s operational framework, highlighting the complex interplay between environmental impact and economic feasibility.

In the last decade, a number of severe urban power outages have been caused by extreme natural disasters, e.g., hurricanes, snowstorms and earthquakes, which highlights the need for rethinking current planning principles of urban energy systems and expanding the classical reliability-oriented view. In addition to being reliable to low-impact and high-probability outages, power system should also have high level of resilience to withstand high-impact and low-probability (HILP) events. Compared with power system, multi-energy systems (MESs) have advantages in improving resilience through energy shifting across multiple energy sectors, a variety of generalized energy storage resources and thermal inertia of heat/cooling loads. This paper proposes a resilience-oriented planning method to determine optimal configuration of distribution level MES, e.g., urban energy supply systems, considering comprehensive impacts from supply, network and demand sides in MES. Impacts of energy shifting at supply side, pipe storage at network side and thermal inertia at demand side are described in the same linear modeling framework using energy hub (EH) model. Generalized energy storage resources including centralized and distributed energy storage devices, pipe network storage and building heat capacity are all modeled into centralized energy storage to facilitate an efficient configuration planning of MES.

The interaction between electricity and heat systems will play an important role in facilitating the cost effective transition to a low carbon energy system with high penetration of renewable generation. This paper presents a novel integrated electricity and heat system model in which, for the first time, operation and investment timescales are considered while covering both the local district and national level infrastructures. This model is applied to optimize decarbonization strategies of the U.K. integrated electricity and heat system, while quantifying the benefits of the interactions across the whole multi-energy system and revealing the trade-offs between portfolios of: 1) low carbon generation technologies (renewable energy, nuclear, and CCS) and 2) district heating systems based on heat networks and distributed heating based on end-use heating technologies. Overall, the proposed modeling demonstrates that the integration of the heat and electricity system (when compared with the decoupled approach) can bring significant benefits by increasing the investment in the heating infrastructure in order to enhance the system flexibility that in turn can deliver larger cost savings in the electricity system, thus meeting the carbon target at a lower whole-system cost.

Demand-side response from space heating in residential buildings can potentially provide a huge amount of flexibility for the power system, particularly with deep electrification of the heat sector. In this context, this paper presents a novel distributed control strategy to coordinate space heating across numerous residential households with diversified thermal parameters. By employing an iterative algorithm under the game-theoretical framework, each household adjusts its own heating schedule through demand shift and thermal comfort compensation with the purpose of achieving individual cost savings, whereas the aggregate peak demand is effectively shaved on the system level. Additionally, an innovative thermal comfort model which considers both the temporal and spatial differences in customised thermal comfort requirements is proposed. Through a series of case studies, it is demonstrated that the proposed space heating coordination strategy can facilitate effective energy arbitrage for individual buildings, driving a 13.96% reduction in system operational cost and 28.22% peak shaving. Moreover, the superiority of the proposed approach in thermal comfort maintenance is numerically analysed based on the proposed thermal comfort quantification model.