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description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2014Publisher:Canadian Center of Science and Education Authors: M. ElKharrim; Lahcen Bahi;El presente estudio se centra en un enfoque estadístico para mejorar la predicción climática para la región de la cuenca del Bouregreg en el noroeste de Marruecos. El objetivo era examinar las condiciones de sequía pasadas y encontrar su tendencia en las condiciones del cambio climático. Las condiciones de sequía pasadas y futuras se evaluaron utilizando el Índice de Precipitación Estándar (SPI) considerando los escenarios de emisión A2 y B2 para tres períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099. Se aplicó un método estadístico de reducción de escala a los resultados HadCM3 para la estación de Rabat para simular los cambios proyectados en la precipitación y la temperatura. Los resultados muestran que las precipitaciones anuales en el escenario A2 aumentaron en un 4,72 %, 4,75% y 4,50 % para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente, para el escenario B2 aumentaron en un 4,19%, 5,0% y 4,58% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. La temperatura máxima media anual en el escenario A2 aumentó en un 2,24%, 7,43% y 16,31% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente, y para el escenario B2 aumentó en un 3,07%, 6,97% y 10,0% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. Los resultados mostraron también un aumento del 3,07%, 6,97% y 10,0% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. disminución general de la severidad de la sequía anual y estacional a lo largo de los años. La severidad y duración de la sequía anual y estacional para los períodos 2025-2045 y 2055-2070 aumentará en A2 y disminuirá en el escenario B2. La présente étude se concentre sur une approche statistique pour améliorer la prévision climatique pour la région du bassin du Bouregreg dans le nord-ouest du Maroc.L' objectif était d'examiner les conditions de sécheresse passées et de trouver leur tendance dans des conditions de changement climatique.Les conditions de sécheresse passées et futures ont été évaluées à l'aide de l'indice de précipitation standard (SPI) en considérant les scénarios d'émission A2 et B2 pour trois périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099.Une méthode de réduction d'échelle statistique a été appliquée aux sorties HadCM3 pour la station de Rabat pour simuler les changements projetés des précipitations et de la température. Les résultats montrent que les précipitations annuelles dans le scénario A2 ont augmenté de 4,72 %, 4,75 % et 4,50 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement, pour le scénario B2 ont augmenté de 4,19 %, 5,0 % et 4,58 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement. La température maximale moyenne annuelle dans le scénario A2 a augmenté de 2,24 %, 7,43 % et 16,31 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement, et pour le scénario B2 a augmenté de 3,07 %, 6,97 % et 10,0 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement. Les résultats ont également montré une diminution globale de la gravité de la sécheresse annuelle et saisonnière au fil des ans. La gravité et la durée de la sécheresse annuelle et saisonnière pour les périodes 2025-2045 et 2055-2070 augmenteront dans le scénario A2 et diminueront dans le scénario B2. The present study focus on a statistical approach for improving climate prediction for the region of the Bouregreg basin in the northwest of Morocco.The aim was to examine the past drought conditions and to find their trend under climate change conditions.Past and future drought conditions were assessed using Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) by considering the emission scenarios A2 and B2 for three periods 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099.A statistical downscaling method was applied to the HadCM3 outputs for the station of Rabat to simulate the projected changes in precipitation and temperature.Results shows that annual precipitations under A2 scenario increased by 4.72 %, 4.75% and 4.50 % for the periods 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 respectively, for the B2 scenario increased by 4.19%, 5.0% and 4.58% for the 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively.The annual mean maximum temperature under A2 scenario increased by 2.24%, 7.43% and 16.31% for 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively, and for the B2 scenario increased by 3.07%, 6.97% and 10.0% for 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively.The results showed also an overall decrease of annual and seasonal drought severity over the years.The annual and seasonal drought severity and duration for the periods 2025-2045 and 2055-2070 will increase under A2 and decrease under B2 scenario. تركز هذه الدراسة على نهج إحصائي لتحسين التنبؤ بالمناخ لمنطقة حوض أبو رقراق في شمال غرب المغرب. كان الهدف هو دراسة ظروف الجفاف السابقة ومعرفة اتجاهها في ظل ظروف تغير المناخ. تم تقييم ظروف الجفاف السابقة والمستقبلية باستخدام مؤشر هطول الأمطار القياسي (SPI) من خلال النظر في سيناريوهات الانبعاثات A2 و B2 لثلاث فترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099. تم تطبيق طريقة تصغير النطاق الإحصائي على مخرجات HadCM3 لمحطة الرباط لمحاكاة التغيرات المتوقعة في هطول الأمطار ودرجة الحرارة. تظهر النتائج أن هطول الأمطار السنوي في إطار سيناريو A2 زاد بنسبة 4.72 ٪ و 4.75 ٪ و 4.50 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي، بالنسبة لسيناريو B2 زاد بنسبة 4.19 ٪ و 5.0 ٪ و 4.58 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي. ارتفع متوسط درجة الحرارة القصوى السنوية في إطار سيناريو A2 بنسبة 2.24 ٪ و 7.43 ٪ و 16.31 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي، وبالنسبة لسيناريو B2 زاد بنسبة 3.07 ٪ و 6.97 ٪ و 10.0 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي. أظهرت النتائج أيضًا الانخفاض العام في شدة الجفاف السنوية والموسمية على مر السنين. ستزداد شدة الجفاف السنوية والموسمية ومدتها للفترات 2025-2045 و 2055-2070 في إطار A2 وستنخفض في إطار سيناريو B2.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5539/mas.v9n2p1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess Routesgold 6 citations 6 popularity Average influence Average impulse Average 
Powered by BIP!more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5539/mas.v9n2p1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2014Publisher:Canadian Center of Science and Education Authors: M. ElKharrim; Lahcen Bahi;El presente estudio se centra en un enfoque estadístico para mejorar la predicción climática para la región de la cuenca del Bouregreg en el noroeste de Marruecos. El objetivo era examinar las condiciones de sequía pasadas y encontrar su tendencia en las condiciones del cambio climático. Las condiciones de sequía pasadas y futuras se evaluaron utilizando el Índice de Precipitación Estándar (SPI) considerando los escenarios de emisión A2 y B2 para tres períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099. Se aplicó un método estadístico de reducción de escala a los resultados HadCM3 para la estación de Rabat para simular los cambios proyectados en la precipitación y la temperatura. Los resultados muestran que las precipitaciones anuales en el escenario A2 aumentaron en un 4,72 %, 4,75% y 4,50 % para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente, para el escenario B2 aumentaron en un 4,19%, 5,0% y 4,58% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. La temperatura máxima media anual en el escenario A2 aumentó en un 2,24%, 7,43% y 16,31% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente, y para el escenario B2 aumentó en un 3,07%, 6,97% y 10,0% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. Los resultados mostraron también un aumento del 3,07%, 6,97% y 10,0% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. disminución general de la severidad de la sequía anual y estacional a lo largo de los años. La severidad y duración de la sequía anual y estacional para los períodos 2025-2045 y 2055-2070 aumentará en A2 y disminuirá en el escenario B2. La présente étude se concentre sur une approche statistique pour améliorer la prévision climatique pour la région du bassin du Bouregreg dans le nord-ouest du Maroc.L' objectif était d'examiner les conditions de sécheresse passées et de trouver leur tendance dans des conditions de changement climatique.Les conditions de sécheresse passées et futures ont été évaluées à l'aide de l'indice de précipitation standard (SPI) en considérant les scénarios d'émission A2 et B2 pour trois périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099.Une méthode de réduction d'échelle statistique a été appliquée aux sorties HadCM3 pour la station de Rabat pour simuler les changements projetés des précipitations et de la température. Les résultats montrent que les précipitations annuelles dans le scénario A2 ont augmenté de 4,72 %, 4,75 % et 4,50 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement, pour le scénario B2 ont augmenté de 4,19 %, 5,0 % et 4,58 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement. La température maximale moyenne annuelle dans le scénario A2 a augmenté de 2,24 %, 7,43 % et 16,31 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement, et pour le scénario B2 a augmenté de 3,07 %, 6,97 % et 10,0 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement. Les résultats ont également montré une diminution globale de la gravité de la sécheresse annuelle et saisonnière au fil des ans. La gravité et la durée de la sécheresse annuelle et saisonnière pour les périodes 2025-2045 et 2055-2070 augmenteront dans le scénario A2 et diminueront dans le scénario B2. The present study focus on a statistical approach for improving climate prediction for the region of the Bouregreg basin in the northwest of Morocco.The aim was to examine the past drought conditions and to find their trend under climate change conditions.Past and future drought conditions were assessed using Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) by considering the emission scenarios A2 and B2 for three periods 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099.A statistical downscaling method was applied to the HadCM3 outputs for the station of Rabat to simulate the projected changes in precipitation and temperature.Results shows that annual precipitations under A2 scenario increased by 4.72 %, 4.75% and 4.50 % for the periods 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 respectively, for the B2 scenario increased by 4.19%, 5.0% and 4.58% for the 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively.The annual mean maximum temperature under A2 scenario increased by 2.24%, 7.43% and 16.31% for 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively, and for the B2 scenario increased by 3.07%, 6.97% and 10.0% for 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively.The results showed also an overall decrease of annual and seasonal drought severity over the years.The annual and seasonal drought severity and duration for the periods 2025-2045 and 2055-2070 will increase under A2 and decrease under B2 scenario. تركز هذه الدراسة على نهج إحصائي لتحسين التنبؤ بالمناخ لمنطقة حوض أبو رقراق في شمال غرب المغرب. كان الهدف هو دراسة ظروف الجفاف السابقة ومعرفة اتجاهها في ظل ظروف تغير المناخ. تم تقييم ظروف الجفاف السابقة والمستقبلية باستخدام مؤشر هطول الأمطار القياسي (SPI) من خلال النظر في سيناريوهات الانبعاثات A2 و B2 لثلاث فترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099. تم تطبيق طريقة تصغير النطاق الإحصائي على مخرجات HadCM3 لمحطة الرباط لمحاكاة التغيرات المتوقعة في هطول الأمطار ودرجة الحرارة. تظهر النتائج أن هطول الأمطار السنوي في إطار سيناريو A2 زاد بنسبة 4.72 ٪ و 4.75 ٪ و 4.50 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي، بالنسبة لسيناريو B2 زاد بنسبة 4.19 ٪ و 5.0 ٪ و 4.58 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي. ارتفع متوسط درجة الحرارة القصوى السنوية في إطار سيناريو A2 بنسبة 2.24 ٪ و 7.43 ٪ و 16.31 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي، وبالنسبة لسيناريو B2 زاد بنسبة 3.07 ٪ و 6.97 ٪ و 10.0 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي. أظهرت النتائج أيضًا الانخفاض العام في شدة الجفاف السنوية والموسمية على مر السنين. ستزداد شدة الجفاف السنوية والموسمية ومدتها للفترات 2025-2045 و 2055-2070 في إطار A2 وستنخفض في إطار سيناريو B2.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5539/mas.v9n2p1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess Routesgold 6 citations 6 popularity Average influence Average impulse Average Powered by BIP!more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5539/mas.v9n2p1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Part of book or chapter of book , Journal , Other literature type , Report 2017 France, Saudi Arabia, Italy, United Kingdom, United Kingdom, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, United Kingdom, ItalyPublisher:American Meteorological Society Funded by:EC | WAPITI, EC | EUSTACEEC| WAPITI ,EC| EUSTACELinda M. Keller; Martin Stengel; Sergio R. Signorini; Gabriel J. Wolken; Stephen C. Maberly; Don P. Chambers; Lincoln M. Alves; Claudia Schmid; D. van As; Andrew G. Fountain; Michael Riffler; Markus G. Donat; A. Rost Parsons; Michael P. Meredith; E. Hyung Park; Eric J. Alfaro; Jeannette Noetzli; Luis Alfonso López Álvarez; Martin Sharp; Curtis L. DeGasperi; Dmitry A. Streletskiy; Sean Quegan; Hannah K. Huelsing; Skie Tobin; Jan L. Lieser; Paul W. Stackhouse; Jeanette D. Wild; Craig S. Long; David Burgess; Vitali Fioletov; Jaqueline M. Spence; C. Jiménez; Robert A. Weller; L. Randriamarolaza; Andrea M. Ramos; Robert S. Fausto; Irina Petropavlovskikh; Martin Schmid; Sunny Sun-Mack; Mark Weber; Adrian R. Trotman; Viva Banzon; Michelle L. Santee; Jacqueline A. Richter-Menge; Juan José Nieto; David I. Berry; Kyle Hilburn; Cesar Azorin-Molina; Angela Benedetti; Christopher L. Sabine; Mesut Demircan; Kristin Gilbert; José Luis Stella; Shih-Yu Wang; Uma S. Bhatt; Vernie Marcellin; David A. Siegel; Sharon Stammerjohn; M. Crotwell; Susan E. Strahan; F. Di Giuseppe; Diego G. Miralles; Eric F. Wood; Dale F. Hurst; Viju O. John; Hugh W. Ducklow; Stephen A. Montzka; Robert F. Adler; Kit M. Kovacs; Eric S. Blake; Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick; Mark A. Lander; Hanne H. Christiansen; W. Paul Menzel; Kenneth Kerr; Michael J. Foster; Alexander Gruber; I-I Lin; Robert Whitewood; Kaisa Lakkala; Yan Xue; Adrian Simmons; Molly O. Baringer; Michael C. Pitts; M. U. Bardin; Masayoshi Ishii; Sergei Marchenko; Xiangze Jin; Thomas Mistelbauer; John A. Knaff; Martin T. Dokulil; Muyin Wang; Rick Lumpkin; Fatou Sima; Lucien Froidevaux; Alexander Kholodov; Zhe Feng; Doug Degenstein; Shinya Kobayashi; Mark Parrington; George J. Huffman; R. Sorbonne Gomez; Wayne R. Meier; Bryan J. Johnson; David Phillips; Elvira de Eyto; Abdolhassan Kazemi; M. Fossheim; Shohei Watanabe; Fatemeh Rahimzadeh; Jeremy T. Mathis; Richard A. Feely; Gustavo Goni; Christopher S. Meinen; Mark McCarthy; Jake Crouch; Matthew F. McCabe; Amal Sayouri; Larry Di Girolamo; Juan Quintana; K. Hansen; Patrick Minnis; Ricardo A. Locarnini; Shad O'Neel; Chunzai Wang; Natalya Kramarova; Nikolai I. Shiklomanov; Christopher W. Landsea; Guillaume Jumaux; Andrew Lorrey; Christian Lydersen; J. A. Ijampy; J. V. Revadekar; Deborah J. Misch; Sara W. Veasey; Piet Verburg; Derek S. Arndt; Reynaldo Pascual-Ramírez; José A. Marengo; Eric Leuliette; J. G. Cogley; Annie C. Joseph; G. V. Malkova; Sebastiaan Swart; Philip Jones; Andries Kruger; Petra R. Pearce; Nicolaus G. Adams; Kate M. Willett; James S. Famiglietti; Shenfu Dong; Lawrence Mudryk; Antje Inness; Colin Morice; Linda May; Andreas Becker; Jessica Blunden; R. Steven Nerem; Dmitry Drozdov; Junhong Wang; Sebastian Gerland; Seong-Joong Kim; R. S. W. van de Wal; Peiqun Zhang; Boyin Huang; Lucie A. Vincent; James A. Rusak; Raul Primicerio; M. Elkharrim; S. E. Tank; Paul A. Newman; C. J. P. P. Smeets; Christopher J. Merchant; G. Zhao; Benjamin D. Hamlington; Didier Monselesan; Owen R. Cooper; Catherine Ganter; Olivier Boucher; Caio A. S. Coelho; Michael G. Bosilovich; Pedro M. S. Monteiro; Sunke Schmidtko; Katja Trachte; Brian D. Bill; Andrew M. Paterson; Melisa Menendez; Anne C. Wilber; José L. Rodríguez Solís; Nicolas Metzl; Janne Hakkarainen; Mark Tschudi; Juan Arévalo; Isabella Velicogna; John Wahr; John J. Marra; Robert Dunn; Philip R. Thompson; Xavier Fettweis; Diego Loyola;Abstract Editor’s note: For easy download the posted pdf of the State of the Climate for 2017 is a low-resolution file. A high-resolution copy of the report is available by clicking here. Please be patient as it may take a few minutes for the high-resolution file to download.
CORE arrow_drop_down Utrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2017Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2016Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2013Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2017Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology: KAUST RepositoryReport . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Lincoln: Lincoln RepositoryArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/2017bamsstateoftheclimate.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 162 citations 162 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 0.1% Powered by BIP!more_vert CORE arrow_drop_down Utrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2017Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2016Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2013Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2017Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology: KAUST RepositoryReport . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Lincoln: Lincoln RepositoryArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/2017bamsstateoftheclimate.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Part of book or chapter of book , Journal , Other literature type , Report 2017 France, Saudi Arabia, Italy, United Kingdom, United Kingdom, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, United Kingdom, ItalyPublisher:American Meteorological Society Funded by:EC | WAPITI, EC | EUSTACEEC| WAPITI ,EC| EUSTACELinda M. Keller; Martin Stengel; Sergio R. Signorini; Gabriel J. Wolken; Stephen C. Maberly; Don P. Chambers; Lincoln M. Alves; Claudia Schmid; D. van As; Andrew G. Fountain; Michael Riffler; Markus G. Donat; A. Rost Parsons; Michael P. Meredith; E. Hyung Park; Eric J. Alfaro; Jeannette Noetzli; Luis Alfonso López Álvarez; Martin Sharp; Curtis L. DeGasperi; Dmitry A. Streletskiy; Sean Quegan; Hannah K. Huelsing; Skie Tobin; Jan L. Lieser; Paul W. Stackhouse; Jeanette D. Wild; Craig S. Long; David Burgess; Vitali Fioletov; Jaqueline M. Spence; C. Jiménez; Robert A. Weller; L. Randriamarolaza; Andrea M. Ramos; Robert S. Fausto; Irina Petropavlovskikh; Martin Schmid; Sunny Sun-Mack; Mark Weber; Adrian R. Trotman; Viva Banzon; Michelle L. Santee; Jacqueline A. Richter-Menge; Juan José Nieto; David I. Berry; Kyle Hilburn; Cesar Azorin-Molina; Angela Benedetti; Christopher L. Sabine; Mesut Demircan; Kristin Gilbert; José Luis Stella; Shih-Yu Wang; Uma S. Bhatt; Vernie Marcellin; David A. Siegel; Sharon Stammerjohn; M. Crotwell; Susan E. Strahan; F. Di Giuseppe; Diego G. Miralles; Eric F. Wood; Dale F. Hurst; Viju O. John; Hugh W. Ducklow; Stephen A. Montzka; Robert F. Adler; Kit M. Kovacs; Eric S. Blake; Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick; Mark A. Lander; Hanne H. Christiansen; W. Paul Menzel; Kenneth Kerr; Michael J. Foster; Alexander Gruber; I-I Lin; Robert Whitewood; Kaisa Lakkala; Yan Xue; Adrian Simmons; Molly O. Baringer; Michael C. Pitts; M. U. Bardin; Masayoshi Ishii; Sergei Marchenko; Xiangze Jin; Thomas Mistelbauer; John A. Knaff; Martin T. Dokulil; Muyin Wang; Rick Lumpkin; Fatou Sima; Lucien Froidevaux; Alexander Kholodov; Zhe Feng; Doug Degenstein; Shinya Kobayashi; Mark Parrington; George J. Huffman; R. Sorbonne Gomez; Wayne R. Meier; Bryan J. Johnson; David Phillips; Elvira de Eyto; Abdolhassan Kazemi; M. Fossheim; Shohei Watanabe; Fatemeh Rahimzadeh; Jeremy T. Mathis; Richard A. Feely; Gustavo Goni; Christopher S. Meinen; Mark McCarthy; Jake Crouch; Matthew F. McCabe; Amal Sayouri; Larry Di Girolamo; Juan Quintana; K. Hansen; Patrick Minnis; Ricardo A. Locarnini; Shad O'Neel; Chunzai Wang; Natalya Kramarova; Nikolai I. Shiklomanov; Christopher W. Landsea; Guillaume Jumaux; Andrew Lorrey; Christian Lydersen; J. A. Ijampy; J. V. Revadekar; Deborah J. Misch; Sara W. Veasey; Piet Verburg; Derek S. Arndt; Reynaldo Pascual-Ramírez; José A. Marengo; Eric Leuliette; J. G. Cogley; Annie C. Joseph; G. V. Malkova; Sebastiaan Swart; Philip Jones; Andries Kruger; Petra R. Pearce; Nicolaus G. Adams; Kate M. Willett; James S. Famiglietti; Shenfu Dong; Lawrence Mudryk; Antje Inness; Colin Morice; Linda May; Andreas Becker; Jessica Blunden; R. Steven Nerem; Dmitry Drozdov; Junhong Wang; Sebastian Gerland; Seong-Joong Kim; R. S. W. van de Wal; Peiqun Zhang; Boyin Huang; Lucie A. Vincent; James A. Rusak; Raul Primicerio; M. Elkharrim; S. E. Tank; Paul A. Newman; C. J. P. P. Smeets; Christopher J. Merchant; G. Zhao; Benjamin D. Hamlington; Didier Monselesan; Owen R. Cooper; Catherine Ganter; Olivier Boucher; Caio A. S. Coelho; Michael G. Bosilovich; Pedro M. S. Monteiro; Sunke Schmidtko; Katja Trachte; Brian D. Bill; Andrew M. Paterson; Melisa Menendez; Anne C. Wilber; José L. Rodríguez Solís; Nicolas Metzl; Janne Hakkarainen; Mark Tschudi; Juan Arévalo; Isabella Velicogna; John Wahr; John J. Marra; Robert Dunn; Philip R. Thompson; Xavier Fettweis; Diego Loyola;Abstract Editor’s note: For easy download the posted pdf of the State of the Climate for 2017 is a low-resolution file. A high-resolution copy of the report is available by clicking here. Please be patient as it may take a few minutes for the high-resolution file to download.
CORE arrow_drop_down Utrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2017Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2016Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2013Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2017Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology: KAUST RepositoryReport . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Lincoln: Lincoln RepositoryArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/2017bamsstateoftheclimate.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 162 citations 162 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 0.1% Powered by BIP!more_vert CORE arrow_drop_down Utrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2017Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2016Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2013Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2017Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology: KAUST RepositoryReport . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Lincoln: Lincoln RepositoryArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/2017bamsstateoftheclimate.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu
description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2014Publisher:Canadian Center of Science and Education Authors: M. ElKharrim; Lahcen Bahi;El presente estudio se centra en un enfoque estadístico para mejorar la predicción climática para la región de la cuenca del Bouregreg en el noroeste de Marruecos. El objetivo era examinar las condiciones de sequía pasadas y encontrar su tendencia en las condiciones del cambio climático. Las condiciones de sequía pasadas y futuras se evaluaron utilizando el Índice de Precipitación Estándar (SPI) considerando los escenarios de emisión A2 y B2 para tres períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099. Se aplicó un método estadístico de reducción de escala a los resultados HadCM3 para la estación de Rabat para simular los cambios proyectados en la precipitación y la temperatura. Los resultados muestran que las precipitaciones anuales en el escenario A2 aumentaron en un 4,72 %, 4,75% y 4,50 % para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente, para el escenario B2 aumentaron en un 4,19%, 5,0% y 4,58% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. La temperatura máxima media anual en el escenario A2 aumentó en un 2,24%, 7,43% y 16,31% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente, y para el escenario B2 aumentó en un 3,07%, 6,97% y 10,0% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. Los resultados mostraron también un aumento del 3,07%, 6,97% y 10,0% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. disminución general de la severidad de la sequía anual y estacional a lo largo de los años. La severidad y duración de la sequía anual y estacional para los períodos 2025-2045 y 2055-2070 aumentará en A2 y disminuirá en el escenario B2. La présente étude se concentre sur une approche statistique pour améliorer la prévision climatique pour la région du bassin du Bouregreg dans le nord-ouest du Maroc.L' objectif était d'examiner les conditions de sécheresse passées et de trouver leur tendance dans des conditions de changement climatique.Les conditions de sécheresse passées et futures ont été évaluées à l'aide de l'indice de précipitation standard (SPI) en considérant les scénarios d'émission A2 et B2 pour trois périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099.Une méthode de réduction d'échelle statistique a été appliquée aux sorties HadCM3 pour la station de Rabat pour simuler les changements projetés des précipitations et de la température. Les résultats montrent que les précipitations annuelles dans le scénario A2 ont augmenté de 4,72 %, 4,75 % et 4,50 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement, pour le scénario B2 ont augmenté de 4,19 %, 5,0 % et 4,58 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement. La température maximale moyenne annuelle dans le scénario A2 a augmenté de 2,24 %, 7,43 % et 16,31 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement, et pour le scénario B2 a augmenté de 3,07 %, 6,97 % et 10,0 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement. Les résultats ont également montré une diminution globale de la gravité de la sécheresse annuelle et saisonnière au fil des ans. La gravité et la durée de la sécheresse annuelle et saisonnière pour les périodes 2025-2045 et 2055-2070 augmenteront dans le scénario A2 et diminueront dans le scénario B2. The present study focus on a statistical approach for improving climate prediction for the region of the Bouregreg basin in the northwest of Morocco.The aim was to examine the past drought conditions and to find their trend under climate change conditions.Past and future drought conditions were assessed using Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) by considering the emission scenarios A2 and B2 for three periods 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099.A statistical downscaling method was applied to the HadCM3 outputs for the station of Rabat to simulate the projected changes in precipitation and temperature.Results shows that annual precipitations under A2 scenario increased by 4.72 %, 4.75% and 4.50 % for the periods 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 respectively, for the B2 scenario increased by 4.19%, 5.0% and 4.58% for the 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively.The annual mean maximum temperature under A2 scenario increased by 2.24%, 7.43% and 16.31% for 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively, and for the B2 scenario increased by 3.07%, 6.97% and 10.0% for 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively.The results showed also an overall decrease of annual and seasonal drought severity over the years.The annual and seasonal drought severity and duration for the periods 2025-2045 and 2055-2070 will increase under A2 and decrease under B2 scenario. تركز هذه الدراسة على نهج إحصائي لتحسين التنبؤ بالمناخ لمنطقة حوض أبو رقراق في شمال غرب المغرب. كان الهدف هو دراسة ظروف الجفاف السابقة ومعرفة اتجاهها في ظل ظروف تغير المناخ. تم تقييم ظروف الجفاف السابقة والمستقبلية باستخدام مؤشر هطول الأمطار القياسي (SPI) من خلال النظر في سيناريوهات الانبعاثات A2 و B2 لثلاث فترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099. تم تطبيق طريقة تصغير النطاق الإحصائي على مخرجات HadCM3 لمحطة الرباط لمحاكاة التغيرات المتوقعة في هطول الأمطار ودرجة الحرارة. تظهر النتائج أن هطول الأمطار السنوي في إطار سيناريو A2 زاد بنسبة 4.72 ٪ و 4.75 ٪ و 4.50 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي، بالنسبة لسيناريو B2 زاد بنسبة 4.19 ٪ و 5.0 ٪ و 4.58 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي. ارتفع متوسط درجة الحرارة القصوى السنوية في إطار سيناريو A2 بنسبة 2.24 ٪ و 7.43 ٪ و 16.31 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي، وبالنسبة لسيناريو B2 زاد بنسبة 3.07 ٪ و 6.97 ٪ و 10.0 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي. أظهرت النتائج أيضًا الانخفاض العام في شدة الجفاف السنوية والموسمية على مر السنين. ستزداد شدة الجفاف السنوية والموسمية ومدتها للفترات 2025-2045 و 2055-2070 في إطار A2 وستنخفض في إطار سيناريو B2.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5539/mas.v9n2p1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess Routesgold 6 citations 6 popularity Average influence Average impulse Average Powered by BIP!more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5539/mas.v9n2p1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 2014Publisher:Canadian Center of Science and Education Authors: M. ElKharrim; Lahcen Bahi;El presente estudio se centra en un enfoque estadístico para mejorar la predicción climática para la región de la cuenca del Bouregreg en el noroeste de Marruecos. El objetivo era examinar las condiciones de sequía pasadas y encontrar su tendencia en las condiciones del cambio climático. Las condiciones de sequía pasadas y futuras se evaluaron utilizando el Índice de Precipitación Estándar (SPI) considerando los escenarios de emisión A2 y B2 para tres períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099. Se aplicó un método estadístico de reducción de escala a los resultados HadCM3 para la estación de Rabat para simular los cambios proyectados en la precipitación y la temperatura. Los resultados muestran que las precipitaciones anuales en el escenario A2 aumentaron en un 4,72 %, 4,75% y 4,50 % para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente, para el escenario B2 aumentaron en un 4,19%, 5,0% y 4,58% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. La temperatura máxima media anual en el escenario A2 aumentó en un 2,24%, 7,43% y 16,31% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente, y para el escenario B2 aumentó en un 3,07%, 6,97% y 10,0% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. Los resultados mostraron también un aumento del 3,07%, 6,97% y 10,0% para los períodos 2014-2040, 2041-2070 y 2071-2099, respectivamente. disminución general de la severidad de la sequía anual y estacional a lo largo de los años. La severidad y duración de la sequía anual y estacional para los períodos 2025-2045 y 2055-2070 aumentará en A2 y disminuirá en el escenario B2. La présente étude se concentre sur une approche statistique pour améliorer la prévision climatique pour la région du bassin du Bouregreg dans le nord-ouest du Maroc.L' objectif était d'examiner les conditions de sécheresse passées et de trouver leur tendance dans des conditions de changement climatique.Les conditions de sécheresse passées et futures ont été évaluées à l'aide de l'indice de précipitation standard (SPI) en considérant les scénarios d'émission A2 et B2 pour trois périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099.Une méthode de réduction d'échelle statistique a été appliquée aux sorties HadCM3 pour la station de Rabat pour simuler les changements projetés des précipitations et de la température. Les résultats montrent que les précipitations annuelles dans le scénario A2 ont augmenté de 4,72 %, 4,75 % et 4,50 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement, pour le scénario B2 ont augmenté de 4,19 %, 5,0 % et 4,58 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement. La température maximale moyenne annuelle dans le scénario A2 a augmenté de 2,24 %, 7,43 % et 16,31 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement, et pour le scénario B2 a augmenté de 3,07 %, 6,97 % et 10,0 % pour les périodes 2014-2040, 2041-2070 et 2071-2099 respectivement. Les résultats ont également montré une diminution globale de la gravité de la sécheresse annuelle et saisonnière au fil des ans. La gravité et la durée de la sécheresse annuelle et saisonnière pour les périodes 2025-2045 et 2055-2070 augmenteront dans le scénario A2 et diminueront dans le scénario B2. The present study focus on a statistical approach for improving climate prediction for the region of the Bouregreg basin in the northwest of Morocco.The aim was to examine the past drought conditions and to find their trend under climate change conditions.Past and future drought conditions were assessed using Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) by considering the emission scenarios A2 and B2 for three periods 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099.A statistical downscaling method was applied to the HadCM3 outputs for the station of Rabat to simulate the projected changes in precipitation and temperature.Results shows that annual precipitations under A2 scenario increased by 4.72 %, 4.75% and 4.50 % for the periods 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 respectively, for the B2 scenario increased by 4.19%, 5.0% and 4.58% for the 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively.The annual mean maximum temperature under A2 scenario increased by 2.24%, 7.43% and 16.31% for 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively, and for the B2 scenario increased by 3.07%, 6.97% and 10.0% for 2014-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2099 periods respectively.The results showed also an overall decrease of annual and seasonal drought severity over the years.The annual and seasonal drought severity and duration for the periods 2025-2045 and 2055-2070 will increase under A2 and decrease under B2 scenario. تركز هذه الدراسة على نهج إحصائي لتحسين التنبؤ بالمناخ لمنطقة حوض أبو رقراق في شمال غرب المغرب. كان الهدف هو دراسة ظروف الجفاف السابقة ومعرفة اتجاهها في ظل ظروف تغير المناخ. تم تقييم ظروف الجفاف السابقة والمستقبلية باستخدام مؤشر هطول الأمطار القياسي (SPI) من خلال النظر في سيناريوهات الانبعاثات A2 و B2 لثلاث فترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099. تم تطبيق طريقة تصغير النطاق الإحصائي على مخرجات HadCM3 لمحطة الرباط لمحاكاة التغيرات المتوقعة في هطول الأمطار ودرجة الحرارة. تظهر النتائج أن هطول الأمطار السنوي في إطار سيناريو A2 زاد بنسبة 4.72 ٪ و 4.75 ٪ و 4.50 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي، بالنسبة لسيناريو B2 زاد بنسبة 4.19 ٪ و 5.0 ٪ و 4.58 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي. ارتفع متوسط درجة الحرارة القصوى السنوية في إطار سيناريو A2 بنسبة 2.24 ٪ و 7.43 ٪ و 16.31 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي، وبالنسبة لسيناريو B2 زاد بنسبة 3.07 ٪ و 6.97 ٪ و 10.0 ٪ للفترات 2014-2040 و 2041-2070 و 2071-2099 على التوالي. أظهرت النتائج أيضًا الانخفاض العام في شدة الجفاف السنوية والموسمية على مر السنين. ستزداد شدة الجفاف السنوية والموسمية ومدتها للفترات 2025-2045 و 2055-2070 في إطار A2 وستنخفض في إطار سيناريو B2.
add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5539/mas.v9n2p1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess Routesgold 6 citations 6 popularity Average influence Average impulse Average Powered by BIP!more_vert add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.5539/mas.v9n2p1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Part of book or chapter of book , Journal , Other literature type , Report 2017 France, Saudi Arabia, Italy, United Kingdom, United Kingdom, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, United Kingdom, ItalyPublisher:American Meteorological Society Funded by:EC | WAPITI, EC | EUSTACEEC| WAPITI ,EC| EUSTACELinda M. Keller; Martin Stengel; Sergio R. Signorini; Gabriel J. Wolken; Stephen C. Maberly; Don P. Chambers; Lincoln M. Alves; Claudia Schmid; D. van As; Andrew G. Fountain; Michael Riffler; Markus G. Donat; A. Rost Parsons; Michael P. Meredith; E. Hyung Park; Eric J. Alfaro; Jeannette Noetzli; Luis Alfonso López Álvarez; Martin Sharp; Curtis L. DeGasperi; Dmitry A. Streletskiy; Sean Quegan; Hannah K. Huelsing; Skie Tobin; Jan L. Lieser; Paul W. Stackhouse; Jeanette D. Wild; Craig S. Long; David Burgess; Vitali Fioletov; Jaqueline M. Spence; C. Jiménez; Robert A. Weller; L. Randriamarolaza; Andrea M. Ramos; Robert S. Fausto; Irina Petropavlovskikh; Martin Schmid; Sunny Sun-Mack; Mark Weber; Adrian R. Trotman; Viva Banzon; Michelle L. Santee; Jacqueline A. Richter-Menge; Juan José Nieto; David I. Berry; Kyle Hilburn; Cesar Azorin-Molina; Angela Benedetti; Christopher L. Sabine; Mesut Demircan; Kristin Gilbert; José Luis Stella; Shih-Yu Wang; Uma S. Bhatt; Vernie Marcellin; David A. Siegel; Sharon Stammerjohn; M. Crotwell; Susan E. Strahan; F. Di Giuseppe; Diego G. Miralles; Eric F. Wood; Dale F. Hurst; Viju O. John; Hugh W. Ducklow; Stephen A. Montzka; Robert F. Adler; Kit M. Kovacs; Eric S. Blake; Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick; Mark A. Lander; Hanne H. Christiansen; W. Paul Menzel; Kenneth Kerr; Michael J. Foster; Alexander Gruber; I-I Lin; Robert Whitewood; Kaisa Lakkala; Yan Xue; Adrian Simmons; Molly O. Baringer; Michael C. Pitts; M. U. Bardin; Masayoshi Ishii; Sergei Marchenko; Xiangze Jin; Thomas Mistelbauer; John A. Knaff; Martin T. Dokulil; Muyin Wang; Rick Lumpkin; Fatou Sima; Lucien Froidevaux; Alexander Kholodov; Zhe Feng; Doug Degenstein; Shinya Kobayashi; Mark Parrington; George J. Huffman; R. Sorbonne Gomez; Wayne R. Meier; Bryan J. Johnson; David Phillips; Elvira de Eyto; Abdolhassan Kazemi; M. Fossheim; Shohei Watanabe; Fatemeh Rahimzadeh; Jeremy T. Mathis; Richard A. Feely; Gustavo Goni; Christopher S. Meinen; Mark McCarthy; Jake Crouch; Matthew F. McCabe; Amal Sayouri; Larry Di Girolamo; Juan Quintana; K. Hansen; Patrick Minnis; Ricardo A. Locarnini; Shad O'Neel; Chunzai Wang; Natalya Kramarova; Nikolai I. Shiklomanov; Christopher W. Landsea; Guillaume Jumaux; Andrew Lorrey; Christian Lydersen; J. A. Ijampy; J. V. Revadekar; Deborah J. Misch; Sara W. Veasey; Piet Verburg; Derek S. Arndt; Reynaldo Pascual-Ramírez; José A. Marengo; Eric Leuliette; J. G. Cogley; Annie C. Joseph; G. V. Malkova; Sebastiaan Swart; Philip Jones; Andries Kruger; Petra R. Pearce; Nicolaus G. Adams; Kate M. Willett; James S. Famiglietti; Shenfu Dong; Lawrence Mudryk; Antje Inness; Colin Morice; Linda May; Andreas Becker; Jessica Blunden; R. Steven Nerem; Dmitry Drozdov; Junhong Wang; Sebastian Gerland; Seong-Joong Kim; R. S. W. van de Wal; Peiqun Zhang; Boyin Huang; Lucie A. Vincent; James A. Rusak; Raul Primicerio; M. Elkharrim; S. E. Tank; Paul A. Newman; C. J. P. P. Smeets; Christopher J. Merchant; G. Zhao; Benjamin D. Hamlington; Didier Monselesan; Owen R. Cooper; Catherine Ganter; Olivier Boucher; Caio A. S. Coelho; Michael G. Bosilovich; Pedro M. S. Monteiro; Sunke Schmidtko; Katja Trachte; Brian D. Bill; Andrew M. Paterson; Melisa Menendez; Anne C. Wilber; José L. Rodríguez Solís; Nicolas Metzl; Janne Hakkarainen; Mark Tschudi; Juan Arévalo; Isabella Velicogna; John Wahr; John J. Marra; Robert Dunn; Philip R. Thompson; Xavier Fettweis; Diego Loyola;Abstract Editor’s note: For easy download the posted pdf of the State of the Climate for 2017 is a low-resolution file. A high-resolution copy of the report is available by clicking here. Please be patient as it may take a few minutes for the high-resolution file to download.
CORE arrow_drop_down Utrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2017Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2016Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2013Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2017Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology: KAUST RepositoryReport . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Lincoln: Lincoln RepositoryArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/2017bamsstateoftheclimate.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 162 citations 162 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 0.1% Powered by BIP!more_vert CORE arrow_drop_down Utrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2017Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2016Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2013Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2017Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology: KAUST RepositoryReport . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Lincoln: Lincoln RepositoryArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/2017bamsstateoftheclimate.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eudescription Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Part of book or chapter of book , Journal , Other literature type , Report 2017 France, Saudi Arabia, Italy, United Kingdom, United Kingdom, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, United Kingdom, ItalyPublisher:American Meteorological Society Funded by:EC | WAPITI, EC | EUSTACEEC| WAPITI ,EC| EUSTACELinda M. Keller; Martin Stengel; Sergio R. Signorini; Gabriel J. Wolken; Stephen C. Maberly; Don P. Chambers; Lincoln M. Alves; Claudia Schmid; D. van As; Andrew G. Fountain; Michael Riffler; Markus G. Donat; A. Rost Parsons; Michael P. Meredith; E. Hyung Park; Eric J. Alfaro; Jeannette Noetzli; Luis Alfonso López Álvarez; Martin Sharp; Curtis L. DeGasperi; Dmitry A. Streletskiy; Sean Quegan; Hannah K. Huelsing; Skie Tobin; Jan L. Lieser; Paul W. Stackhouse; Jeanette D. Wild; Craig S. Long; David Burgess; Vitali Fioletov; Jaqueline M. Spence; C. Jiménez; Robert A. Weller; L. Randriamarolaza; Andrea M. Ramos; Robert S. Fausto; Irina Petropavlovskikh; Martin Schmid; Sunny Sun-Mack; Mark Weber; Adrian R. Trotman; Viva Banzon; Michelle L. Santee; Jacqueline A. Richter-Menge; Juan José Nieto; David I. Berry; Kyle Hilburn; Cesar Azorin-Molina; Angela Benedetti; Christopher L. Sabine; Mesut Demircan; Kristin Gilbert; José Luis Stella; Shih-Yu Wang; Uma S. Bhatt; Vernie Marcellin; David A. Siegel; Sharon Stammerjohn; M. Crotwell; Susan E. Strahan; F. Di Giuseppe; Diego G. Miralles; Eric F. Wood; Dale F. Hurst; Viju O. John; Hugh W. Ducklow; Stephen A. Montzka; Robert F. Adler; Kit M. Kovacs; Eric S. Blake; Sarah E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick; Mark A. Lander; Hanne H. Christiansen; W. Paul Menzel; Kenneth Kerr; Michael J. Foster; Alexander Gruber; I-I Lin; Robert Whitewood; Kaisa Lakkala; Yan Xue; Adrian Simmons; Molly O. Baringer; Michael C. Pitts; M. U. Bardin; Masayoshi Ishii; Sergei Marchenko; Xiangze Jin; Thomas Mistelbauer; John A. Knaff; Martin T. Dokulil; Muyin Wang; Rick Lumpkin; Fatou Sima; Lucien Froidevaux; Alexander Kholodov; Zhe Feng; Doug Degenstein; Shinya Kobayashi; Mark Parrington; George J. Huffman; R. Sorbonne Gomez; Wayne R. Meier; Bryan J. Johnson; David Phillips; Elvira de Eyto; Abdolhassan Kazemi; M. Fossheim; Shohei Watanabe; Fatemeh Rahimzadeh; Jeremy T. Mathis; Richard A. Feely; Gustavo Goni; Christopher S. Meinen; Mark McCarthy; Jake Crouch; Matthew F. McCabe; Amal Sayouri; Larry Di Girolamo; Juan Quintana; K. Hansen; Patrick Minnis; Ricardo A. Locarnini; Shad O'Neel; Chunzai Wang; Natalya Kramarova; Nikolai I. Shiklomanov; Christopher W. Landsea; Guillaume Jumaux; Andrew Lorrey; Christian Lydersen; J. A. Ijampy; J. V. Revadekar; Deborah J. Misch; Sara W. Veasey; Piet Verburg; Derek S. Arndt; Reynaldo Pascual-Ramírez; José A. Marengo; Eric Leuliette; J. G. Cogley; Annie C. Joseph; G. V. Malkova; Sebastiaan Swart; Philip Jones; Andries Kruger; Petra R. Pearce; Nicolaus G. Adams; Kate M. Willett; James S. Famiglietti; Shenfu Dong; Lawrence Mudryk; Antje Inness; Colin Morice; Linda May; Andreas Becker; Jessica Blunden; R. Steven Nerem; Dmitry Drozdov; Junhong Wang; Sebastian Gerland; Seong-Joong Kim; R. S. W. van de Wal; Peiqun Zhang; Boyin Huang; Lucie A. Vincent; James A. Rusak; Raul Primicerio; M. Elkharrim; S. E. Tank; Paul A. Newman; C. J. P. P. Smeets; Christopher J. Merchant; G. Zhao; Benjamin D. Hamlington; Didier Monselesan; Owen R. Cooper; Catherine Ganter; Olivier Boucher; Caio A. S. Coelho; Michael G. Bosilovich; Pedro M. S. Monteiro; Sunke Schmidtko; Katja Trachte; Brian D. Bill; Andrew M. Paterson; Melisa Menendez; Anne C. Wilber; José L. Rodríguez Solís; Nicolas Metzl; Janne Hakkarainen; Mark Tschudi; Juan Arévalo; Isabella Velicogna; John Wahr; John J. Marra; Robert Dunn; Philip R. Thompson; Xavier Fettweis; Diego Loyola;Abstract Editor’s note: For easy download the posted pdf of the State of the Climate for 2017 is a low-resolution file. A high-resolution copy of the report is available by clicking here. Please be patient as it may take a few minutes for the high-resolution file to download.
CORE arrow_drop_down Utrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2017Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2016Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2013Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2017Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology: KAUST RepositoryReport . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Lincoln: Lincoln RepositoryArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/2017bamsstateoftheclimate.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.euAccess RoutesGreen bronze 162 citations 162 popularity Top 1% influence Top 10% impulse Top 0.1% Powered by BIP!more_vert CORE arrow_drop_down Utrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2017Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2016Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryUtrecht University RepositoryPart of book or chapter of book . 2013Data sources: Utrecht University RepositoryArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerOther literature type . 2017Data sources: ArchiMer - Institutional Archive of IfremerBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Data sources: DANS (Data Archiving and Networked Services)Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: CrossrefBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017Bulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalBulletin of the American Meteorological SocietyArticle . 2017 . Peer-reviewedData sources: European Union Open Data PortalKing Abdullah University of Science and Technology: KAUST RepositoryReport . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)University of Lincoln: Lincoln RepositoryArticle . 2017Data sources: Bielefeld Academic Search Engine (BASE)add ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://beta.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1175/2017bamsstateoftheclimate.1&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu