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  • Authors: Reinsch, S.; Koller, E.; Sowerby, A.; De Dato, G.; +17 Authors

    The data consists of annual measurements of standing aboveground plant biomass, annual aboveground net primary productivity and annual soil respiration between 1998 and 2012. Data were collected from seven European shrublands that were subject to the climate manipulations drought and warming. Sites were located in the United Kingdom (UK), the Netherlands (NL), Denmark ( two sites, DK-B and DK-M), Hungary (HU), Spain (SP) and Italy (IT). All field sites consisted of untreated control plots, plots where the plant canopy air is artificially warmed during night time hours, and plots where rainfall is excluded from the plots at least during the plants growing season. Standing aboveground plant biomass (grams biomass per square metre) was measured in two undisturbed areas within the plots using the pin-point method (UK, DK-M, DK-B), or along a transect (IT, SP, HU, NL). Aboveground net primary productivity was calculated from measurements of standing aboveground plant biomass estimates and litterfall measurements. Soil respiration was measured in pre-installed opaque soil collars bi-weekly, monthly, or in measurement campaigns (SP only). The datasets provided are the basis for the data analysis presented in Reinsch et al. (2017) Shrubland primary production and soil respiration diverge along European climate gradient. Scientific Reports 7:43952 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep43952 Standing biomass was measured using the non-destructive pin-point method to assess aboveground biomass. Measurements were conducted at the state of peak biomass specific for each site. Litterfall was measured annually using litterfall traps. Litter collected in the traps was dried and the weight was measured. Aboveground biomass productivity was estimated as the difference between the measured standing biomass in year x minus the standing biomass measured the previous year. Soil respiration was measured bi-weekly or monthly, or in campaigns (Spain only). It was measured on permanently installed soil collars in treatment plots. The Gaussen Index of Aridity (an index that combines information on rainfall and temperature) was calculated using mean annual precipitation, mean annual temperature. The reduction in precipitation and increase in temperature for each site was used to calculate the Gaussen Index for the climate treatments for each site. Data of standing biomass and soil respiration was provided by the site responsible. Data from all sites were collated into one data file for data analysis. A summary data set was combined with information on the Gaussen Index of Aridity Data were then exported from these Excel spreadsheet to .csv files for ingestion into the EIDC.

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    Authors: Hussain, Mir Zaman; Robertson, G.Philip; Basso, Bruno; Hamilton, Stephen K.;

    Leaching dataset of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and nitrogen (DON), nitrate (NO3+) and ammonium (NH4+) were collected from 6 cropping treatments (corn, switchgrass, miscanthus, native grass mix, restored prairie and poplar) established in the Bioenergy Cropping System Experiment (BCSE) which is a part of Great Lakes Bioenergy Research Center (www.glbrc.org) and Long Termn Ecological Research (LTER) program (www.lter.kbs.msu.edu). The site is located at the W.K. Kellogg Biological Station (42.3956° N, 85.3749° W and 288 m above sea level), 25 km from Kalamazoo in southwestern Michigan, USA. Prenart soil water samplers made of Teflon and silica (http://www.prenart.dk/soil-water-samplers/) were installed in blocks 1 and 2 of the BCSE (Fig. S1), and Eijkelkamp soil water samplers made of ceramic (http://www.eijkelkamp.com) were installed in blocks 3 and 4 (there were no soil water samplers in block 5). All samplers were installed at 1.2 m depth at a 45° angle from the soil surface, approximately 20 cm into the unconsolidated sand of the 2Bt2 and 2E/Bt horizons. Beginning in 2009, soil water was sampled at weekly to biweekly intervals during non-frozen periods (April to November) by applying 50 kPa of vacuum for 24 hours, during which water was collected in glass bottles. During the 2009 and 2010 sampling periods we obtained fewer soil water samples from blocks 1 and 2 where Prenart lysimeters were installed. We observed no consistent differences between the two sampler types in concentrations of the analytes reported here. Depending on the volume of leachate collected, water samples were filtered using either 0.45 µm pore size, 33-mm-dia. cellulose acetate membrane filters when volumes were <50 ml, or 0.45 µm, 47-mm-dia. Supor 450 membrane filters for larger volumes. Samples were analyzed for NO3-, NH4+, total dissolved nitrogen (TDN), and DOC. The NO3- concentration was determined using a Dionex ICS1000 ion chromatograph system with membrane suppression and conductivity detection; the detection limit of the system was 0.006 mg NO3--N L-1. The NH4+ concentration in the samples was determined using a Thermo Scientific (formerly Dionex) ICS1100 ion chromatograph system with membrane suppression and conductivity detection; the detection limit of the system was similar. The DOC and TDN concentrations were determined using a Shimadzu TOC-Vcph carbon analyzer with a total nitrogen module (TNM-1); the detection limit of the system was ~0.08 mg C L-1 and ~0.04 mg N L-1. DON concentrations were estimated as the difference between TDN and dissolved inorganic N (NO3- + NH4+) concentrations. The NH4+ concentrations were only measured in the 2013-2015 crop-years, but they were always small relative to NO3- and thus their inclusion or lack of it was inconsequential to the DON estimation. Leaching rates were estimated on a crop-year basis, defined as the period from planting or emergence of the crop in the year indicated through the ensuing year until the next year’s planting or emergence. For each sampling point, the concentration was linearly interpolated between sampling dates during non-freezing periods (April through November). The concentrations in the unsampled winter period (December through March) were also linearly interpolated based on the preceding November and subsequent April samples. Solute leaching (kg ha-1) was calculated by multiplying the daily solute concentration in pore-water (mg L -1) by the modeled daily drainage rates (m3 ha-1) from the overlying soil. The drainage rates were obtained using the SALUS (Systems Approach for Land Use Sustainability) model (Basso and Ritchie, 2015). SALUS simulates yield and environmental outcomes in response to weather, soil, management (planting dates, plant population, irrigation, nitrogen fertilizer application, tillage), and crop genetics. The SALUS water balance sub-model simulates surface run-off, saturated and unsaturated water flow, drainage, root water uptake, and evapotranspiration during growing and non-growing seasons (Basso and Ritchie, 2015). Drainage amounts and rates simulated by SALUS have been validated with measurements using large monolith lysimeters at a nearby site at KBS (Basso and Ritchie, 2005). On days when SALUS predicted no drainage, the leaching was assumed to be zero. The volume-weighted mean concentration for an entire crop-year was calculated as the sum of daily leaching (kg ha-1) divided by the sum of daily drainage rates (m3 ha-1). Weather data for the model were collected at the nearby KBS LTER meteorological station (lter.kbs.msu.edu). Leaching losses of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and nitrogen (DON) from agricultural systems are important to water quality and carbon and nutrient balances but are rarely reported; the few available studies suggest linkages to litter production (DOC) and nitrogen fertilization (DON). In this study we examine the leaching of DOC, DON, NO3-, and NH4+ from no-till corn (maize) and perennial bioenergy crops (switchgrass, miscanthus, native grasses, restored prairie, and poplar) grown between 2009 and 2016 in a replicated field experiment in the upper Midwest U.S. Leaching was estimated from concentrations in soil water and modeled drainage (percolation) rates. DOC leaching rates (kg ha-1 yr-1) and volume-weighted mean concentrations (mg L-1) among cropping systems averaged 15.4 and 4.6, respectively; N fertilization had no effect and poplar lost the most DOC (21.8 and 6.9, respectively). DON leaching rates (kg ha-1 yr-1) and volume-weighted mean concentrations (mg L-1) under corn (the most heavily N-fertilized crop) averaged 4.5 and 1.0, respectively, which was higher than perennial grasses (mean: 1.5 and 0.5, respectively) and poplar (1.6 and 0.5, respectively). NO3- comprised the majority of total N leaching in all systems (59-92%). Average NO3- leaching (kg N ha-1 yr-1) under corn (35.3) was higher than perennial grasses (5.9) and poplar (7.2). NH4+ concentrations in soil water from all cropping systems were relatively low (<0.07 mg N L-1). Perennial crops leached more NO3- in the first few years after planting, and markedly less after. Among the fertilized crops, the leached N represented 14-38% of the added N over the study period; poplar lost the greatest proportion (38%) and corn was intermediate (23%). Requiring only one third or less of the N fertilization compared to corn, perennial bioenergy crops can substantially reduce N leaching and consequent movement into aquifers and surface waters. readme files are given that describe the data table

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    ZENODO
    Dataset . 2020
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: ZENODO
    DRYAD
    Dataset . 2020
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: Datacite
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      ZENODO
      Dataset . 2020
      License: CC 0
      Data sources: ZENODO
      DRYAD
      Dataset . 2020
      License: CC 0
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    Authors: Petersen, John E.; Frantz, Cynthia M.; Shammin, M. Rumi; Yanisch, Tess M.; +2 Authors

    DataForAssessingSeasonalEffectsOnElectricityAndWaterForRepositoryThis Excel file contains data used to conduct a seasonal analysis to assess whether seasonal patterns exist in electricity use in dorms and whether these patterns differ by latitude. The first worksheet contains metadata.Fall 2010 Campus Conservation Nationals surveyThis online survey was administered to students attending colleges who participated in the Fall 2010 Campus Conservation Nationals competition. Not all schools who participated in the competition administered the survey.CCN_F10_survey.pdfSpring 2012 Campus Conservation Nationals surveyThis online survey was administered to students attending colleges who participated in the Spring 2012 Campus Conservation Nationals competition. Not all schools who participated in the competition administered the survey.CCN_Spring12_survey.pdfFall 10 Campus Conservation Nationals electricity, water, webhit, and commitment dataThis data file contains data at the dorm level collected by Lucid before, during, and after the Fall 2010 CCN competition. The first sheet contains metadata defining all variable names.Fall10_CCN_elec_water_webhits_commitments.xlsxSpring 2012 Campus Conservation Nationals electricity, water, and commitment dataThis data file contains data at the dorm level collected by Lucid before, during, and after the Spring 2012 CCN competition. The first sheet contains metadata defining all variable names.Spring12_CCN_elec_water_commitments_no.xlsxFall 10 CCN data aggregated at dorm level with psychological variablesThis data file contains data at the dorm level collected from our online survey and merged with the resource use data. The first sheet contains metadata defining all variable names.Fall10_CCN_dormagg_with_psych_variables.xlsxSpring 2012 CCN data with psychological variablesThis data file contains data at the dorm level collected from our online survey and merged with the resource use data. The first sheet contains metadata defining all variable names.Spring12__CCN_dormagg_with_psych_variables.xlsx “Campus Conservation Nationals” (CCN) is a recurring, nation-wide electricity and water-use reduction competition among dormitories on college campuses. We conducted a two year empirical study of the competition’s effects on resource consumption and the relationship between conservation, use of web technology and various psychological measures. Significant reductions in electricity and water use occurred during the two CCN competitions examined (n = 105,000 and 197,000 participating dorm residents respectively). In 2010, overall reductions during the competition were 4% for electricity and 6% for water. The top 10% of dorms achieved 28% and 36% reductions in electricity and water respectively. Participation was larger in 2012 and reductions were slightly smaller (i.e. 3% electricity). The fact that no seasonal pattern in electricity use was evident during non-competition periods suggests that results are attributable to the competition. Post competition resource use data collected in 2012 indicates that conservation behavior was sustained beyond the competition. Surveys were used to assess psychological and behavioral responses (n = 2,900 and 2,600 in 2010 and 2012 respectively). Electricity reductions were significantly correlated with: web visitation, specific conservation behaviors, awareness of the competition, motivation and sense of empowerment. However, participants were significantly more motivated than empowered. Perceived benefits of conservation were skewed towards global and future concerns while perceived barriers tended to be local. Results also suggest that competitions may be useful for “preaching beyond the choir” – engaging those who might lack prior intrinsic or political motivation. Although college life is distinct, certain conclusions related to competitions, self-efficacy, and motivation and social norms likely extend to other residential settings.

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    ZENODO
    Dataset . 2016
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: ZENODO
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    B2FIND
    Dataset . 2016
    Data sources: B2FIND
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    EASY
    Dataset . 2016
    Data sources: EASY
    DRYAD
    Dataset . 2016
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: Datacite
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      ZENODO
      Dataset . 2016
      License: CC 0
      Data sources: ZENODO
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      B2FIND
      Dataset . 2016
      Data sources: B2FIND
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      EASY
      Dataset . 2016
      Data sources: EASY
      DRYAD
      Dataset . 2016
      License: CC 0
      Data sources: Datacite
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    Authors: Teo, Hoong Chen; Raghavan, Srivatsan; He, Xiaogang; Zeng, Zhenzhong; +9 Authors

    Large-scale reforestation can potentially bring both benefits and risks to the water cycle, which needs to be better quantified under future climates to inform reforestation decisions. We identified 477 water-insecure basins worldwide accounting for 44.6% (380.2 Mha) of the global reforestation potential. As many of these basins are in the Asia-Pacific, we used regional coupled land-climate modelling for the period 2041–2070 to reveal that reforestation increases evapotranspiration and precipitation for most water-insecure regions over the Asia-Pacific. This resulted in a statistically significant increase in water yield (p < 0.05) for the Loess Plateau-North China Plain, Yangtze Plain, Southeast China and Irrawaddy regions. Precipitation feedback was influenced by the degree of initial moisture limitation affecting soil moisture response and thus evapotranspiration, as well as precipitation advection from other reforested regions and moisture transport away from the local region. Reforestation also reduces the probability of extremely dry months in most of the water-insecure regions. However, some regions experience non-significant declines in net water yield due to heightened evapotranspiration outstripping increases in precipitation, or declines in soil moisture and advected precipitation. This dataset contains raw data outputs for Teo et al. (2022), Global Change Biology. Please see the published paper for further details on methods. For enquiries, please contact the corresponding authors: hcteo [at] u.nus.edu or lianpinkoh [at] nus.edu.sg.  Shapefiles can be opened with any GIS program such as ArcMap or QGIS. CSV files can be opened with any spreadsheet program such as Microsoft Excel or OpenOffice.

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    ZENODO
    Dataset . 2022
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: ZENODO
    DRYAD
    Dataset . 2022
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      ZENODO
      Dataset . 2022
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      Data sources: ZENODO
      DRYAD
      Dataset . 2022
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    Authors: Gallagher, Brian; Geargeoura, Sarah; Fraser, Dylan;

    Salmonids are of immense socio-economic importance in much of the world but are threatened by climate change. This has generated a substantial literature documenting effects of climate variation on salmonid productivity in freshwater ecosystems, but there has been no global quantitative synthesis across studies. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to gain quantitative insight into key factors shaping the effects of climate on salmonid productivity, ultimately collecting 1,321 correlations from 156 studies, representing 23 species across 24 countries. Fisher’s Z was used as the standardized effect size, and a series of weighted mixed-effects models were compared to identify covariates that best explained variation in effects. Patterns in climate effects were complex, and were driven by spatial (latitude, elevation), temporal (time-period, age-class), and biological (range, habitat type, anadromy) variation within and among study populations. These trends were often consistent with predictions based on salmonid thermal tolerances. Namely, warming and decreased precipitation tended to reduce productivity when high temperatures challenged upper thermal limits, while opposite patterns were common when cold temperatures limited productivity. Overall, variable climate impacts on salmonids suggest that future declines in some locations may be counterbalanced by gains in others. In particular, we suggest that future warming should (1) increase salmonid productivity at high latitudes and elevations (especially >60° and >1,500m), (2) reduce productivity in populations experiencing hotter and dryer growing season conditions, (3) favor non-native over native salmonids, and (4) impact lentic populations less negatively than lotic ones. These patterns should help conservation and management organizations identify populations most vulnerable to climate change, which can then be prioritized for protective measures. Our framework enables broad inferences about future productivity that can inform decision-making under climate change for salmonids and other taxa, but more widespread, standardized, and hypothesis-driven research is needed to expand current knowledge. See README document and R code. See README document.

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    ZENODO
    Dataset . 2022
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: ZENODO
    DRYAD
    Dataset . 2022
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: Datacite
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      ZENODO
      Dataset . 2022
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      Data sources: ZENODO
      DRYAD
      Dataset . 2022
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      Data sources: Datacite
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  • Authors: Craig Kennedy; John Glenn; Natalie La Balme; Pierangelo Isernia; +2 Authors

    The aim of this study was to identify the attitudes of the public in the United States and in 12 European countries towards foreign policy issues and transatlantic issues. The survey concentrated on issues such as: United States and European Union (EU) leadership and relations, favorability towards certain countries, institutions and people, security, cooperation and the perception of threat including issues of concern with Afghanistan, Iran, and Russia, energy dependence, economic downturn, and global warming, Turkey and Turkish accession to the EU, promotion of democracy in other countries, and the importance of economic versus military power. Several questions asked of respondents pertained to voting and politics including whether they discussed political matters with friends and whether they attempted to persuade others close to them to share their views on politics which they held strong opinions about, vote intention, their assessment of the current United States President and upcoming presidential election, political party attachment, and left-right political self-placement. Demographic and other background information includes age, gender, race, ethnicity, religious affiliation and participation, age when stopped full-time education and stage at which full-time education completed, occupation, number of people aged 18 years and older living in the household, type of locality, region of residence, prior travel to the United States or Europe, and language of interview. computer-assisted personal interview (CAPI); computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI); paper and pencil interview (PAPI)The original data collection was carried out by TNS, Fait et Opinion -- Brussels on request of the German Marshall Fund of the United States.The codebook and setup files for this collection contain characters with diacritical marks used in many European languages.A split ballot was used for one or more questions in this survey. The variable SPLIT defines the separate groups.For data collection, the computer-assisted face-to-face interview was used in Poland, the paper and pencil interview was used in Bulgaria, Romania, Slovakia and Turkey, and the computer-assisted telephone interview was used in all other countries.Additional information on the Transatlantic Trends Survey is provided on the Transatlantic Trends Web site. (1) Multistage random sampling was implemented in the countries using face-to-face interviewing. Sampling points were selected according to region, and then random routes were conducted within these sampling points. Four callbacks were used for each address. The birthday rule was used to randomly select respondents within a household. (2) Random Digit Dialing was implemented in the countries using telephone interviewing. Eight callbacks were used for each telephone number. The birthday rule was used to randomly select respondents within a household. The adult population aged 18 years and over in 13 countries: Bulgaria, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Spain, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Smallest Geographic Unit: country Response Rates: The total response rate for all countries surveyed is 23 percent. Please refer to the "Technical Note" in the ICPSR codebook for additional information about response rate. Please refer to the "Technical Note" in the ICPSR codebook for further information about weighting. Datasets: DS1: Transatlantic Trends Survey, 2008

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    Authors: Nelson, Daniel; Busch, Michelle; Kopp, Darin; Allen, Daniel;

    1. While climate change is altering ecosystems on a global scale, not all ecosystems are responding in the same way. The resilience of ecological communities may depend on whether food webs are producer- or detritus-based (i.e. “green” or “brown” food webs, respectively), or both (i.e. “multi-channel” food web). 2. Food web theory suggests that the presence of multiple energy pathways can enhance community stability and resilience and may modulate the responses of ecological communities to disturbances such as climate change. Despite important advances in food web theory, few studies have empirically investigated the resilience of ecological communities to climate change stressors in ecosystems with different primary energy channels. 3. We conducted a factorial experiment using outdoor stream mesocosms to investigate the independent and interactive effects of warming and drought on invertebrate communities in food webs with different energy channel configurations. Warming had little effect on invertebrates, but stream drying negatively impacted total invertebrate abundance, biomass, richness, and diversity. 4. Although resistance to drying did not differ among energy channel treatments, recovery and overall resilience were higher in green mesocosms than in mixed and brown mesocosms. Resilience to drying also varied widely among taxa, with larger predatory taxa exhibiting lower resilience. 5. Our results suggest that the effects of drought on stream communities may vary regionally and depend on whether food webs are fueled by autochthonous or allochthonous basal resources. Communities inhabiting streams with large amounts of organic matter and more complex substrates that provide refugia may be more resilient to the loss of surface water than communities inhabiting streams with simpler, more homogeneous substrates.

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    Authors: Parks, Sean; Holsinger, Lisa; Abatzoglou, John; Littlefield, Caitlin; +1 Authors

    Identifying climate analogs We followed the methods of Abatzoglou et al. (2020) and Parks et al. (2022) to characterize climate and identify backward and forward climate analogs. The specific climate variables we used were average minimum temperature of the coldest month (Tmin), average maximum temperature of the warmest month (Tmax), annual actual evapotranspiration (AET), and annual climate water deficit (CWD). AET and CWD concurrently account for evaporative demand and availability of water (N. L. Stephenson, 1990). These four variables provide complementary information pertinent to ecological systems and collectively capture the major climatic constraints on species distributions and ecological processes across a range of taxa (Dobrowski et al., 2021; Lutz et al., 2010; Parker & Abatzoglou, 2016; N. Stephenson, 1998; C. M. Williams et al., 2015). Monthly data acquired from TerraClimate (Abatzoglou et al., 2018) were used to produce these annual summaries from 1961-1990 (resolution = ~4km), which were then averaged over the same time period to represent reference period climate normals. The reference time period (1961–1990) is meant to represent climate conditions and climate niches prior to the bulk of recent warming. Future climate conditions were also computed from TerraClimate (available from www.climatologylab.org/terraclimate.html) and correspond to a 2°C increase above pre-industrial levels that are likely to manifest by mid-21st century without immediate and massive changes in global climate policies (Friedlingstein et al., 2014). As with the reference period climate, we summarized the four +2°C climate metrics annually and over a 30-year time period to represent future climate normals. All analyses in this study were conducted in the R statistical platform (R Core Team, 2020). We identified backwards and forwards analogs by estimating the climatic dissimilarity between each protected focal pixel (resolution = ~4km to match gridded climate data) and all protected pixels within a 500-km radius using a standardized Mahalanobis distance (Mahony et al., 2017). We chose the 500-km search radius as it encompasses an upper range of dispersal for some terrestrial animals and plants (Chen et al., 2011) when assuming 2°C warming by the mid-21st century; this search radius has also been used in previous studies (Bellard et al., 2014; Parks et al., 2022; J. W. Williams et al., 2007). The Mahalanobis distance metric synthesized the four climate variables (i.e. Tmin, Tmax, AET, and CWD; fig. 2a) by measuring distance in multivariate space away from a centroid using principal components analysis of standardized anomalies. Mahalanobis distance scales multivariate mean climate conditions between a pixel and those within the search radius by the focal pixel’s covariance and magnitude of interannual climate variability (ICV) across the four metrics. For backwards analogs, we characterized +2°C ICV and reference period climate normals to calculate climatic dissimilarity; for forward analogs, we used reference period ICV and +2°C climatic normals to calculate climatic dissimilarity. We standardized Mahalanobis distance to account for data dimensionality by calculating a multivariate z-score (σd) based on a Chi distribution (Mahony et al., 2017). σd represents the climate similarity between each focal pixel and its candidate backward and forward analogs (i.e. all other protected terrestrial pixels within 500 km), and we considered any protected pixels with σd ≤ 0.5 as climate analogs (fig. 2b) (following Parks et al., 2022). We were unable to calculate Mahalanobis distance when there was no ICV for any one of the four variables, and as a consequence, these areas are omitted from all analyses; this affects, for example, a relatively small tropical area in South America (CWD=0 each year) and areas perennially covered by snow (CWD=0 each year; e.g. most of Greenland). We focused our analyses on protected areas as defined by the World Database on Protected Areas (WDPA) (IUCN & UNEP-WCMC, 2019) and included protected areas classified as IUCN (International Union of Conservation for Nature) Management Categories I-VI, except those identified as ‘proposed’, ‘marine’, or otherwise aquatic (e.g. wetland, riverine, endorheic). A large number of protected areas, however, were not assigned an IUCN category in the WDPA (identified as ‘Not Reported’, ‘Not Assigned’, or ‘Not Applicable’) but are likely to have reasonably high levels of protection (e.g. Kruger National Park in South Africa). We included these additional protected areas if the level of human modification was similar or less than that observed within IUCN category I-VI protected areas. To do so, we measured mean land-use intensity within each IUCN category I-VI protected area using the Human Modification Gradient (HMG) raster dataset (Kennedy et al., 2019) and calculated the 80th percentile of the resulting distribution. Any unassigned protected areas with a mean HMG less than or equal to this identified threshold were included in our study (following Dobrowski et al., 2021). We then converted this vector-based polygon dataset to raster format (resolution = ~4km to match gridded climate data; n=1,063,748 pixels). It is well-recognized that the WDPA contains a large number of duplicate and overlapping polygons (Palfrey et al., 2022; Vimal et al., 2021). Although this does not affect summaries across the globe or for individual countries (described below), it provides a challenge when trying to summarize by individual protected areas (due to double-counting). Consequently, we ‘cleaned’ the WDPA prior to summarizing the climate connectivity metrics for individual protected areas by removing polygons that exhibited ≥ 90% overlap with another; this resulted in 29,752 individual protected areas (available in the Electronic Supplemental Material). Least-cost path modelling Following Dobrowski and Parks (2016) and Carroll et al. (2018), we used least-cost path modelling (Adriaensen et al. 2003) to build potential climate-induced movement routes between each protected focal pixel and its backward and forward analogs. The least-cost models were parameterized with resistance surfaces based on climate dissimilarity and the human modification gradient (HMG) (Kennedy et al., 2019). For backward analog modelling, we characterized climatic dissimilarity (i.e. climatic resistance) using two intermediate surfaces, the first being the Mahalanobis distance between each focal pixel (using +2°C ICV) and all other pixels using reference period climate normals (fig. 2c) and the second being the Mahalanobis distance (using +2°C ICV) and all other pixels using +2°C climate normals (fig. 2d). These two surfaces provide a proxy for climate similarity designed to capture transient changes between the reference period and +2°C climate; these were then averaged to characterize the overall climatic resistance across time and space (fig. 2d). For forward analog modelling, the process is similar except we used reference period ICV when characterizing climatic resistance (fig. 2a-2d). We then multiplied the climatic resistance (fig. 2d) by HMG (fig. 2e) to create the final resistance surface for least-cost path modeling (cf. Parks et al., 2020). Prior to this step, we rescaled HMG from its native range (0–1) to 1–25 to correspond with the range of Mahalanobis distance values and thereby grant comparable weights to climatic resistance and HMG resistance (~95% of all Mahalanobis distance values are below 25 within a 500km radius). Open water was given a resistance=25 so that paths would avoid water when possible. Least-cost path modelling was achieved using the gdistance package (van Etten, 2017); paths represent the least accumulated cost across the final resistance surface (fig. 2f) between each focal pixel and analog (fig. 2g). Because paths were rarely straight lines, some were longer than the 500km that we established as a search radius. We removed these longer paths to abide by the biologically informed upper dispersal constraint. Calculating climate connectivity metrics and climate connectivity failure We calculated the length (i.e. dispersal exposure), land-use modification (i.e. human exposure), and climatic resistance (i.e. climate exposure) for each path, remembering that each focal pixel may have many analogs and resultant paths. Human exposure represents cumulative HMG (fig. 2e) across all pixels in a path and climate exposure represents cumulative climate resistance (fig. 2d) along a path. Human exposure and climate exposure were calculated by multiplying the mean HMG (unscaled; fig. 2f) and mean climate resistance (fig. 2d) along each path by the length of each path, respectively. Each path’s climate connectivity metric (dispersal, human, and climate exposure) was converted to a percentile (range = 0–100) to facilitate easier interpretation and comparison among metrics; relative to other protected pixels, small percentiles represent low exposure and large percentiles represent elevated exposure. We summarized (i.e. averaged the percentiles) dispersal exposure, human exposure, and climate exposure across each protected focal pixel (again, remembering that each pixel may have multiple analogs and resultant paths). Our fourth climate connectivity metric, analog exposure, can’t be summarized on a per-path basis, because by definition, there is no least-cost path when there are no protected climate analogs. Instead, protected pixels either do or do not have protected climate analogs. Focal pixels were identified as exhibiting climate connectivity failure when they exceeded the 75th percentile for dispersal or climate exposure, exceeded the 90th percentile for human exposure, or had no protected climate analog. We assumed that focal pixels exceeding these percentiles are located in landscapes that hinder successful range shifts among protected areas (i.e. climate connectivity failure) for a non-negligible proportion of extant species, considering that the biodiversity at a given site comprises mammals, birds, insects, mollusks, amphibians, reptiles, fish, crustaceans, annelids, vascular plants (e.g. trees grasses, shrubs), and non-vascular plants (e.g. fungi, mosses, lichens). The numerous and diverse species at a given site have a wide range of dispersal abilities, sensitivities to human land uses, and climatic tolerances. We used a higher threshold (90th percentile) for describing climate connectivity failure due to human exposure because large, remote protected areas in the network skew human exposure towards lower values from a global perspective. These percentile thresholds are likely conservative when considering the large number and diversity of species at a given site. In terms of dispersal, for example, many species have maximum dispersal capabilities on the range of 1 km/year or less (Jenkins et al., 2007; McLachlan et al., 2005; Schwartz et al., 2001). This represents dispersal of 75 km under 2°C warming in the 75 years covering the midpoint of the reference period (1975) to mid-21st century. In our study, the 75th percentile path length, corresponding to dispersal exposure, is ~385 km, well above such dispersal limits, supporting our assertion that the 75th percentile is conservative for estimating climate connectivity failure. Furthermore, the mean HMG value for a 100km path at the 90th percentile threshold is 0.22, which is well above the 0.1 threshold that Brennen et al. (2022) used to identify areas moderately to highly impacted by human land-uses. Lastly, the mean climatic distance for a 100km path at the 75th percentile is well over two standard deviations different, on average, from the focal pixel and analog. We report the percent of protected pixels across the globe and within each country that exhibits climate connectivity failure. We also assessed the potential for each of the 29,752 individual protected areas (e.g. Yellowstone National Park, Serengeti National Park) to undergo climate connectivity failure using a slightly different method. To do so, we calculated the mean percentile among pixels within each protected area for each of dispersal exposure, human exposure, and climate exposure (each metric was averaged across a protected area; the metrics themselves were not averaged with each other). We then calculated the percent of each protected area that did not have a protected climate analog (analog exposure). Although a binary approach (has or does not have an analog) is appropriate when evaluating individual focal pixels, a percent-based valuation is most appropriate and informative when evaluating individual protected areas with up to thousands of pixels. Individual protected areas exhibited climate connectivity failure if the mean dispersal exposure or climate exposure exceeded the 75th percentile, mean human exposure exceeded the 90th percentile, or the analog exposure exceeded 75%. References Abatzoglou, J. T., Dobrowski, S. Z., & Parks, S. A. (2020). Multivariate climate departures have outpaced univariate changes across global lands. Scientific Reports, 10(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-60270-5 Abatzoglou, J. T., Dobrowski, S. Z., Parks, S. A., & Hegewisch, K. C. (2018). TerraClimate, a high-resolution global dataset of monthly climate and climatic water balance from 1958–2015. Scientific Data, 5(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2017.191 Bellard, C., Leclerc, C., Leroy, B., Bakkenes, M., Veloz, S., Thuiller, W., & Courchamp, F. (2014). Vulnerability of biodiversity hotspots to global change. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23(12), 1376–1386. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12228 Brennan, A., Naidoo, R., Greenstreet, L., Mehrabi, Z., Ramankutty, N., & Kremen, C. (2022). Functional connectivity of the world’s protected areas. Science, 376(6597), 1101–1104. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abl8974 Carroll, C., Parks, S. A., Dobrowski, S. Z., & Roberts, D. R. (2018). Climatic, topographic, and anthropogenic factors determine connectivity between current and future climate analogs in North America. Global Change Biology, 24(11), 5318–5331. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14373 Chen, I.-C., Hill, J. K., Ohlemüller, R., Roy, D. B., & Thomas, C. D. (2011). Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming. Science, 333(6045), 1024–1026. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1206432 Dobrowski, S. Z., Littlefield, C. E., Lyons, D. S., Hollenberg, C., Carroll, C., Parks, S. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Hegewisch, K., & Gage, J. (2021). Protected-area targets could be undermined by climate change-driven shifts in ecoregions and biomes. Communications Earth & Environment, 2(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00270-z Dobrowski, S. Z., & Parks, S. A. (2016). Climate change velocity underestimates climate change exposure in mountainous regions. Nature Communications, 7(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12349 Friedlingstein, P., Andrew, R. M., Rogelj, J., Peters, G. P., Canadell, J. G., Knutti, R., Luderer, G., Raupach, M. R., Schaeffer, M., van Vuuren, D. P., & Le Quéré, C. (2014). Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets. Nature Geoscience, 7(10), Article 10. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2248 IUCN & UNEP-WCMC. (2019). Protected Planet: World Database on Protected Areas (WDPA). Accessed September 2019. Available at www.protectedplanet.net. (Accessed September 2019) [Map]. www.protected.planet.net Jenkins, D. G., Brescacin, C. R., Duxbury, C. V., Elliott, J. A., Evans, J. A., Grablow, K. R., Hillegass, M., Lyon, B. N., Metzger, G. A., Olandese, M. L., Pepe, D., Silvers, G. A., Suresch, H. N., Thompson, T. N., Trexler, C. M., Williams, G. E., Williams, N. C., & Williams, S. E. (2007). Does size matter for dispersal distance? Global Ecology and Biogeography, 16(4), 415–425. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2007.00312.x Kennedy, C. M., Oakleaf, J. R., Theobald, D. M., Baruch-Mordo, S., & Kiesecker, J. (2019). Managing the middle: A shift in conservation priorities based on the global human modification gradient. Global Change Biology, 25(3), 811–826. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14549 Lutz, J. A., van Wagtendonk, J. W., & Franklin, J. F. (2010). Climatic water deficit, tree species ranges, and climate change in Yosemite National Park. Journal of Biogeography, 37(5), 936–950. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02268.x Mahony, C. R., Cannon, A. J., Wang, T., & Aitken, S. N. (2017). A closer look at novel climates: New methods and insights at continental to landscape scales. Global Change Biology, 23(9), 3934–3955. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13645 McLachlan, J. S., Clark, J. S., & Manos, P. S. (2005). Molecular indicators of tree migration capacity under rapid climate change. Ecology, 86(8), 2088–2098. https://doi.org/10.1890/04-1036 Palfrey, R., Oldekop, J. A., & Holmes, G. (2022). Privately protected areas increase global protected area coverage and connectivity. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 6(6), Article 6. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-022-01715-0 Parker, L. E., & Abatzoglou, J. T. (2016). Projected changes in cold hardiness zones and suitable overwinter ranges of perennial crops over the United States. Environmental Research Letters, 11(3), 034001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034001 Parks, S. A., Carroll, C., Dobrowski, S. Z., & Allred, B. W. (2020). Human land uses reduce climate connectivity across North America. Global Change Biology, 26(5), 2944–2955. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15009 Parks, S. A., Holsinger, L. M., Littlefield, C. E., Dobrowski, S. Z., Zeller, K. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Besancon, C., Nordgren, B. L., & Lawler, J. J. (2022). Efficacy of the global protected area network is threatened by disappearing climates and potential transboundary range shifts. Environmental Research Letters, 17(5), 054016. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6436 R Core Team. (2020). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. Schwartz, M. W., Iverson, L. R., & Prasad, A. M. (2001). Predicting the potential future distribution of four tree species in Ohio using current habitat availability and climatic forcing. Ecosystems, 4(6), 568–581. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-001-0030-3 Stephenson, N. (1998). Actual evapotranspiration and deficit: Biologically meaningful correlates of vegetation distribution across spatial scales. Journal of Biogeography, 25(5), 855–870. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2699.1998.00233.x Stephenson, N. L. (1990). Climatic Control of Vegetation Distribution: The Role of the Water Balance. The American Naturalist, 135(5), 649–670. https://doi.org/10.1086/285067 van Etten, J. (2017). R Package gdistance: Distances and Routes on Geographical Grids. Journal of Statistical Software, 76, 1–21. https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v076.i13 Vimal, R., Navarro, L. M., Jones, Y., Wolf, F., Le Moguédec, G., & Réjou-Méchain, M. (2021). The global distribution of protected areas management strategies and their complementarity for biodiversity conservation. Biological Conservation, 256, 109014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109014 Williams, C. M., Henry, H. A. L., & Sinclair, B. J. (2015). Cold truths: How winter drives responses of terrestrial organisms to climate change. Biological Reviews, 90(1), 214–235. https://doi.org/10.1111/brv.12105 Williams, J. W., Jackson, S. T., & Kutzbach, J. E. (2007). Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 104(14), 5738–5742. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0606292104 Species across the planet are shifting their ranges to track suitable climate conditions in response to climate change. Given that protected areas have higher quality habitat and often harbor higher levels of biodiversity compared to unprotected lands, it is often assumed that protected areas can serve as steppingstones for species undergoing climate-induced range shifts. However, there are several factors that may impede successful range shifts among protected areas, including the distance that must be travelled, unfavorable human land uses and climate conditions along potential movement routes, and lack of analogous climates. Through a species-agnostic lens, we evaluate these factors across the global terrestrial protected area network as measures of climate connectivity, which is defined as the ability of a landscape to facilitate or impede climate-induced movement. We found that over half of protected land areas and two-thirds of the number of protected units across the globe are at risk of climate connectivity failure, casting doubt on whether many species can successfully undergo climate-induced range shifts among protected areas. Consequently, protected areas are unlikely to serve as steppingstones for a large number of species under a warming climate. As species disappear from protected areas without commensurate immigration of species suited to the emerging climate (due to climate connectivity failure), many protected areas may be left with a depauperate suite of species under climate change. Our findings are highly relevant given recent pledges to conserve 30% of the planet by 2030 (30x30), underscore the need for innovative land management strategies that allow for species range shifts, and suggest that assisted colonization may be necessary to promote species that are adapted to the emerging climate. There are three files in this repository: 1) backward.analogs - master.table.xlsx – results for backward analogs: · Each climate connectivity metric (dispersal exposure, human exposure, climate exposure, and analog exposure) is summarized by country; percent protected lands in each country that exhibit climate connectivity failure is also indicated. · Each climate connectivity metric (dispersal exposure, human exposure, climate exposure, and analog exposure) is summarized by protected area. Values represent the mean pixel-based percentile. Also included is a binary (0, 1) indicator of whether the protected area exhibits climate connectivity failure. 2) forward.analogs - master.table.xlsx – results for forward analogs: · Each climate connectivity metric (dispersal exposure, human exposure, climate exposure, and analog exposure) is summarized by country; percent protected lands in each country that exhibit climate connectivity failure is also indicated. · Each climate connectivity metric (dispersal exposure, human exposure, climate exposure, and analog exposure) is summarized by protected area. Values represent the mean pixel-based percentile. Also included is a binary (0, 1) indicator of whether the protected area exhibits climate connectivity failure. 3) PA_shapefile - cleaned.zip: This is the ‘cleaned’ (see Methods) protected area shapefile we used as a way to summarize dispersal exposure, human exposure, climate exposure, and analog exposure for each protected area. Note that two of these files are Microsoft Excel; they should be accessible via LibreOffice and R and potentially other open-source alternatives.

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      ZENODO
      Dataset . 2023
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      DRYAD
      Dataset . 2023
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  • Authors: Xuan, Wang; Lin, Ma;

    Positive forced aeration is widely used in industrial composting plants to supply sufficient oxygen, accelerating compost maturity. However, this technology results in significant gaseous emission, especially NH3 and GHGs emissions. To reduce gaseous emissions and investigate aeration efficiency, negative pressure aeration was used during cattle manure þ corn stalk composting in 50 L-scale reactors. Composting with negative pressure aeration at three different flow rates (0.25, 0.50 and 0.75 L/min/kg dry weight, named Negative-L, Negative-M and Negative-H treatments) were conducted. Treatment with positive pressure aeration was set as a control (Positive-M, with flow rate at 0.50 L/min/kg dry weight). The results showed that negative pressure aeration changed the temporal distribution of oxygen and temperature. With the same flow rate, the Negative-M treatment maintained a longer thermophilic period, accelerating organic matter degradation (47.6% in treatment Negative-M and 41.4% in Positive-M) and the maturity of feedstock (germination index was 105.9% in Negative-M and 58.5% in Positive-M). Ammonia emissions were significantly reduced by composting with negative pressure aeration. During composting, 36.7%, 15.8%, 16.8% and 16.0% of the initial total nitrogen was lost via NH3 volatilizations in the Positive-M, Negative-L, Negative-M and Negative-H treatments, respectively, indicating NH3 emissions were reduced by ~55% compared to the positive pressure aeration treatment. Even though both CH4 and N2O emission were greater from the negative pressure aeration treatments, the global warming potential was significantly reduced in treatments with negative pressure aeration because of the lower NH3 emission (an indirect N2O source). This indicates the benefit of NH3 emission mitigation was larger than the increase in CH4 and N2O emissions. Positive forced aeration is widely used in industrial composting plants to supply sufficient oxygen, accelerating compost maturity. However, this technology results in significant gaseous emission, especially NH3 and GHGs emissions. To reduce gaseous emissions and investigate aeration efficiency, negative pressure aeration was used during cattle manure þ corn stalk composting in 50 L-scale reactors. Composting with negative pressure aeration at three different flow rates (0.25, 0.50 and 0.75 L/min/kg dry weight, named Negative-L, Negative-M and Negative-H treatments) were conducted. Treatment with positive pressure aeration was set as a control (Positive-M, with flow rate at 0.50 L/min/kg dry weight). The results showed that negative pressure aeration changed the temporal distribution of oxygen and temperature. With the same flow rate, the Negative-M treatment maintained a longer thermophilic period, accelerating organic matter degradation (47.6% in treatment Negative-M and 41.4% in Positive-M) and the maturity of feedstock (germination index was 105.9% in Negative-M and 58.5% in Positive-M). Ammonia emissions were significantly reduced by composting with negative pressure aeration. During composting, 36.7%, 15.8%, 16.8% and 16.0% of the initial total nitrogen was lost via NH3 volatilizations in the Positive-M, Negative-L, Negative-M and Negative-H treatments, respectively, indicating NH3 emissions were reduced by ~55% compared to the positive pressure aeration treatment. Even though both CH4 and N2O emission were greater from the negative pressure aeration treatments, the global warming potential was significantly reduced in treatments with negative pressure aeration because of the lower NH3 emission (an indirect N2O source). This indicates the benefit of NH3 emission mitigation was larger than the increase in CH4 and N2O emissions.

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    Authors: World Bank Group;

    The country’s unique philosophy is expressed by Bhutan’s Gross National Happiness (GNH) as the guiding principle of development. Bhutan is at a crossroads: It can maintain the current pattern of development—with rising inequality—or develop a vibrant private sector to generate jobs and diversify the economy, building resilience to future external shocks. The overarching priority of this Country Partnership Framework (CPF) is job creation. This CPF presents an integrated framework of WBG support to help Bhutan achieve inclusive and sustainable development through private sector–led job creation.

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    Open Knowledge Repository
    Other ORP type . 2021
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  • Authors: Reinsch, S.; Koller, E.; Sowerby, A.; De Dato, G.; +17 Authors

    The data consists of annual measurements of standing aboveground plant biomass, annual aboveground net primary productivity and annual soil respiration between 1998 and 2012. Data were collected from seven European shrublands that were subject to the climate manipulations drought and warming. Sites were located in the United Kingdom (UK), the Netherlands (NL), Denmark ( two sites, DK-B and DK-M), Hungary (HU), Spain (SP) and Italy (IT). All field sites consisted of untreated control plots, plots where the plant canopy air is artificially warmed during night time hours, and plots where rainfall is excluded from the plots at least during the plants growing season. Standing aboveground plant biomass (grams biomass per square metre) was measured in two undisturbed areas within the plots using the pin-point method (UK, DK-M, DK-B), or along a transect (IT, SP, HU, NL). Aboveground net primary productivity was calculated from measurements of standing aboveground plant biomass estimates and litterfall measurements. Soil respiration was measured in pre-installed opaque soil collars bi-weekly, monthly, or in measurement campaigns (SP only). The datasets provided are the basis for the data analysis presented in Reinsch et al. (2017) Shrubland primary production and soil respiration diverge along European climate gradient. Scientific Reports 7:43952 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep43952 Standing biomass was measured using the non-destructive pin-point method to assess aboveground biomass. Measurements were conducted at the state of peak biomass specific for each site. Litterfall was measured annually using litterfall traps. Litter collected in the traps was dried and the weight was measured. Aboveground biomass productivity was estimated as the difference between the measured standing biomass in year x minus the standing biomass measured the previous year. Soil respiration was measured bi-weekly or monthly, or in campaigns (Spain only). It was measured on permanently installed soil collars in treatment plots. The Gaussen Index of Aridity (an index that combines information on rainfall and temperature) was calculated using mean annual precipitation, mean annual temperature. The reduction in precipitation and increase in temperature for each site was used to calculate the Gaussen Index for the climate treatments for each site. Data of standing biomass and soil respiration was provided by the site responsible. Data from all sites were collated into one data file for data analysis. A summary data set was combined with information on the Gaussen Index of Aridity Data were then exported from these Excel spreadsheet to .csv files for ingestion into the EIDC.

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    Authors: Hussain, Mir Zaman; Robertson, G.Philip; Basso, Bruno; Hamilton, Stephen K.;

    Leaching dataset of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and nitrogen (DON), nitrate (NO3+) and ammonium (NH4+) were collected from 6 cropping treatments (corn, switchgrass, miscanthus, native grass mix, restored prairie and poplar) established in the Bioenergy Cropping System Experiment (BCSE) which is a part of Great Lakes Bioenergy Research Center (www.glbrc.org) and Long Termn Ecological Research (LTER) program (www.lter.kbs.msu.edu). The site is located at the W.K. Kellogg Biological Station (42.3956° N, 85.3749° W and 288 m above sea level), 25 km from Kalamazoo in southwestern Michigan, USA. Prenart soil water samplers made of Teflon and silica (http://www.prenart.dk/soil-water-samplers/) were installed in blocks 1 and 2 of the BCSE (Fig. S1), and Eijkelkamp soil water samplers made of ceramic (http://www.eijkelkamp.com) were installed in blocks 3 and 4 (there were no soil water samplers in block 5). All samplers were installed at 1.2 m depth at a 45° angle from the soil surface, approximately 20 cm into the unconsolidated sand of the 2Bt2 and 2E/Bt horizons. Beginning in 2009, soil water was sampled at weekly to biweekly intervals during non-frozen periods (April to November) by applying 50 kPa of vacuum for 24 hours, during which water was collected in glass bottles. During the 2009 and 2010 sampling periods we obtained fewer soil water samples from blocks 1 and 2 where Prenart lysimeters were installed. We observed no consistent differences between the two sampler types in concentrations of the analytes reported here. Depending on the volume of leachate collected, water samples were filtered using either 0.45 µm pore size, 33-mm-dia. cellulose acetate membrane filters when volumes were <50 ml, or 0.45 µm, 47-mm-dia. Supor 450 membrane filters for larger volumes. Samples were analyzed for NO3-, NH4+, total dissolved nitrogen (TDN), and DOC. The NO3- concentration was determined using a Dionex ICS1000 ion chromatograph system with membrane suppression and conductivity detection; the detection limit of the system was 0.006 mg NO3--N L-1. The NH4+ concentration in the samples was determined using a Thermo Scientific (formerly Dionex) ICS1100 ion chromatograph system with membrane suppression and conductivity detection; the detection limit of the system was similar. The DOC and TDN concentrations were determined using a Shimadzu TOC-Vcph carbon analyzer with a total nitrogen module (TNM-1); the detection limit of the system was ~0.08 mg C L-1 and ~0.04 mg N L-1. DON concentrations were estimated as the difference between TDN and dissolved inorganic N (NO3- + NH4+) concentrations. The NH4+ concentrations were only measured in the 2013-2015 crop-years, but they were always small relative to NO3- and thus their inclusion or lack of it was inconsequential to the DON estimation. Leaching rates were estimated on a crop-year basis, defined as the period from planting or emergence of the crop in the year indicated through the ensuing year until the next year’s planting or emergence. For each sampling point, the concentration was linearly interpolated between sampling dates during non-freezing periods (April through November). The concentrations in the unsampled winter period (December through March) were also linearly interpolated based on the preceding November and subsequent April samples. Solute leaching (kg ha-1) was calculated by multiplying the daily solute concentration in pore-water (mg L -1) by the modeled daily drainage rates (m3 ha-1) from the overlying soil. The drainage rates were obtained using the SALUS (Systems Approach for Land Use Sustainability) model (Basso and Ritchie, 2015). SALUS simulates yield and environmental outcomes in response to weather, soil, management (planting dates, plant population, irrigation, nitrogen fertilizer application, tillage), and crop genetics. The SALUS water balance sub-model simulates surface run-off, saturated and unsaturated water flow, drainage, root water uptake, and evapotranspiration during growing and non-growing seasons (Basso and Ritchie, 2015). Drainage amounts and rates simulated by SALUS have been validated with measurements using large monolith lysimeters at a nearby site at KBS (Basso and Ritchie, 2005). On days when SALUS predicted no drainage, the leaching was assumed to be zero. The volume-weighted mean concentration for an entire crop-year was calculated as the sum of daily leaching (kg ha-1) divided by the sum of daily drainage rates (m3 ha-1). Weather data for the model were collected at the nearby KBS LTER meteorological station (lter.kbs.msu.edu). Leaching losses of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and nitrogen (DON) from agricultural systems are important to water quality and carbon and nutrient balances but are rarely reported; the few available studies suggest linkages to litter production (DOC) and nitrogen fertilization (DON). In this study we examine the leaching of DOC, DON, NO3-, and NH4+ from no-till corn (maize) and perennial bioenergy crops (switchgrass, miscanthus, native grasses, restored prairie, and poplar) grown between 2009 and 2016 in a replicated field experiment in the upper Midwest U.S. Leaching was estimated from concentrations in soil water and modeled drainage (percolation) rates. DOC leaching rates (kg ha-1 yr-1) and volume-weighted mean concentrations (mg L-1) among cropping systems averaged 15.4 and 4.6, respectively; N fertilization had no effect and poplar lost the most DOC (21.8 and 6.9, respectively). DON leaching rates (kg ha-1 yr-1) and volume-weighted mean concentrations (mg L-1) under corn (the most heavily N-fertilized crop) averaged 4.5 and 1.0, respectively, which was higher than perennial grasses (mean: 1.5 and 0.5, respectively) and poplar (1.6 and 0.5, respectively). NO3- comprised the majority of total N leaching in all systems (59-92%). Average NO3- leaching (kg N ha-1 yr-1) under corn (35.3) was higher than perennial grasses (5.9) and poplar (7.2). NH4+ concentrations in soil water from all cropping systems were relatively low (<0.07 mg N L-1). Perennial crops leached more NO3- in the first few years after planting, and markedly less after. Among the fertilized crops, the leached N represented 14-38% of the added N over the study period; poplar lost the greatest proportion (38%) and corn was intermediate (23%). Requiring only one third or less of the N fertilization compared to corn, perennial bioenergy crops can substantially reduce N leaching and consequent movement into aquifers and surface waters. readme files are given that describe the data table

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    ZENODO
    Dataset . 2020
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: ZENODO
    DRYAD
    Dataset . 2020
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: Datacite
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      ZENODO
      Dataset . 2020
      License: CC 0
      Data sources: ZENODO
      DRYAD
      Dataset . 2020
      License: CC 0
      Data sources: Datacite
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    Authors: Petersen, John E.; Frantz, Cynthia M.; Shammin, M. Rumi; Yanisch, Tess M.; +2 Authors

    DataForAssessingSeasonalEffectsOnElectricityAndWaterForRepositoryThis Excel file contains data used to conduct a seasonal analysis to assess whether seasonal patterns exist in electricity use in dorms and whether these patterns differ by latitude. The first worksheet contains metadata.Fall 2010 Campus Conservation Nationals surveyThis online survey was administered to students attending colleges who participated in the Fall 2010 Campus Conservation Nationals competition. Not all schools who participated in the competition administered the survey.CCN_F10_survey.pdfSpring 2012 Campus Conservation Nationals surveyThis online survey was administered to students attending colleges who participated in the Spring 2012 Campus Conservation Nationals competition. Not all schools who participated in the competition administered the survey.CCN_Spring12_survey.pdfFall 10 Campus Conservation Nationals electricity, water, webhit, and commitment dataThis data file contains data at the dorm level collected by Lucid before, during, and after the Fall 2010 CCN competition. The first sheet contains metadata defining all variable names.Fall10_CCN_elec_water_webhits_commitments.xlsxSpring 2012 Campus Conservation Nationals electricity, water, and commitment dataThis data file contains data at the dorm level collected by Lucid before, during, and after the Spring 2012 CCN competition. The first sheet contains metadata defining all variable names.Spring12_CCN_elec_water_commitments_no.xlsxFall 10 CCN data aggregated at dorm level with psychological variablesThis data file contains data at the dorm level collected from our online survey and merged with the resource use data. The first sheet contains metadata defining all variable names.Fall10_CCN_dormagg_with_psych_variables.xlsxSpring 2012 CCN data with psychological variablesThis data file contains data at the dorm level collected from our online survey and merged with the resource use data. The first sheet contains metadata defining all variable names.Spring12__CCN_dormagg_with_psych_variables.xlsx “Campus Conservation Nationals” (CCN) is a recurring, nation-wide electricity and water-use reduction competition among dormitories on college campuses. We conducted a two year empirical study of the competition’s effects on resource consumption and the relationship between conservation, use of web technology and various psychological measures. Significant reductions in electricity and water use occurred during the two CCN competitions examined (n = 105,000 and 197,000 participating dorm residents respectively). In 2010, overall reductions during the competition were 4% for electricity and 6% for water. The top 10% of dorms achieved 28% and 36% reductions in electricity and water respectively. Participation was larger in 2012 and reductions were slightly smaller (i.e. 3% electricity). The fact that no seasonal pattern in electricity use was evident during non-competition periods suggests that results are attributable to the competition. Post competition resource use data collected in 2012 indicates that conservation behavior was sustained beyond the competition. Surveys were used to assess psychological and behavioral responses (n = 2,900 and 2,600 in 2010 and 2012 respectively). Electricity reductions were significantly correlated with: web visitation, specific conservation behaviors, awareness of the competition, motivation and sense of empowerment. However, participants were significantly more motivated than empowered. Perceived benefits of conservation were skewed towards global and future concerns while perceived barriers tended to be local. Results also suggest that competitions may be useful for “preaching beyond the choir” – engaging those who might lack prior intrinsic or political motivation. Although college life is distinct, certain conclusions related to competitions, self-efficacy, and motivation and social norms likely extend to other residential settings.

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    ZENODO
    Dataset . 2016
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: ZENODO
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    B2FIND
    Dataset . 2016
    Data sources: B2FIND
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    EASY
    Dataset . 2016
    Data sources: EASY
    DRYAD
    Dataset . 2016
    License: CC 0
    Data sources: Datacite
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      ZENODO
      Dataset . 2016
      License: CC 0
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      B2FIND
      Dataset . 2016
      Data sources: B2FIND
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      EASY
      Dataset . 2016
      Data sources: EASY
      DRYAD
      Dataset . 2016
      License: CC 0
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    Authors: Teo, Hoong Chen; Raghavan, Srivatsan; He, Xiaogang; Zeng, Zhenzhong; +9 Authors

    Large-scale reforestation can potentially bring both benefits and risks to the water cycle, which needs to be better quantified under future climates to inform reforestation decisions. We identified 477 water-insecure basins worldwide accounting for 44.6% (380.2 Mha) of the global reforestation potential. As many of these basins are in the Asia-Pacific, we used regional coupled land-climate modelling for the period 2041–2070 to reveal that reforestation increases evapotranspiration and precipitation for most water-insecure regions over the Asia-Pacific. This resulted in a statistically significant increase in water yield (p < 0.05) for the Loess Plateau-North China Plain, Yangtze Plain, Southeast China and Irrawaddy regions. Precipitation feedback was influenced by the degree of initial moisture limitation affecting soil moisture response and thus evapotranspiration, as well as precipitation advection from other reforested regions and moisture transport away from the local region. Reforestation also reduces the probability of extremely dry months in most of the water-insecure regions. However, some regions experience non-significant declines in net water yield due to heightened evapotranspiration outstripping increases in precipitation, or declines in soil moisture and advected precipitation. This dataset contains raw data outputs for Teo et al. (2022), Global Change Biology. Please see the published paper for further details on methods. For enquiries, please contact the corresponding authors: hcteo [at] u.nus.edu or lianpinkoh [at] nus.edu.sg.  Shapefiles can be opened with any GIS program such as ArcMap or QGIS. CSV files can be opened with any spreadsheet program such as Microsoft Excel or OpenOffice.

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    ZENODO
    Dataset . 2022
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    Authors: Gallagher, Brian; Geargeoura, Sarah; Fraser, Dylan;

    Salmonids are of immense socio-economic importance in much of the world but are threatened by climate change. This has generated a substantial literature documenting effects of climate variation on salmonid productivity in freshwater ecosystems, but there has been no global quantitative synthesis across studies. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to gain quantitative insight into key factors shaping the effects of climate on salmonid productivity, ultimately collecting 1,321 correlations from 156 studies, representing 23 species across 24 countries. Fisher’s Z was used as the standardized effect size, and a series of weighted mixed-effects models were compared to identify covariates that best explained variation in effects. Patterns in climate effects were complex, and were driven by spatial (latitude, elevation), temporal (time-period, age-class), and biological (range, habitat type, anadromy) variation within and among study populations. These trends were often consistent with predictions based on salmonid thermal tolerances. Namely, warming and decreased precipitation tended to reduce productivity when high temperatures challenged upper thermal limits, while opposite patterns were common when cold temperatures limited productivity. Overall, variable climate impacts on salmonids suggest that future declines in some locations may be counterbalanced by gains in others. In particular, we suggest that future warming should (1) increase salmonid productivity at high latitudes and elevations (especially >60° and >1,500m), (2) reduce productivity in populations experiencing hotter and dryer growing season conditions, (3) favor non-native over native salmonids, and (4) impact lentic populations less negatively than lotic ones. These patterns should help conservation and management organizations identify populations most vulnerable to climate change, which can then be prioritized for protective measures. Our framework enables broad inferences about future productivity that can inform decision-making under climate change for salmonids and other taxa, but more widespread, standardized, and hypothesis-driven research is needed to expand current knowledge. See README document and R code. See README document.

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  • Authors: Craig Kennedy; John Glenn; Natalie La Balme; Pierangelo Isernia; +2 Authors

    The aim of this study was to identify the attitudes of the public in the United States and in 12 European countries towards foreign policy issues and transatlantic issues. The survey concentrated on issues such as: United States and European Union (EU) leadership and relations, favorability towards certain countries, institutions and people, security, cooperation and the perception of threat including issues of concern with Afghanistan, Iran, and Russia, energy dependence, economic downturn, and global warming, Turkey and Turkish accession to the EU, promotion of democracy in other countries, and the importance of economic versus military power. Several questions asked of respondents pertained to voting and politics including whether they discussed political matters with friends and whether they attempted to persuade others close to them to share their views on politics which they held strong opinions about, vote intention, their assessment of the current United States President and upcoming presidential election, political party attachment, and left-right political self-placement. Demographic and other background information includes age, gender, race, ethnicity, religious affiliation and participation, age when stopped full-time education and stage at which full-time education completed, occupation, number of people aged 18 years and older living in the household, type of locality, region of residence, prior travel to the United States or Europe, and language of interview. computer-assisted personal interview (CAPI); computer-assisted telephone interview (CATI); paper and pencil interview (PAPI)The original data collection was carried out by TNS, Fait et Opinion -- Brussels on request of the German Marshall Fund of the United States.The codebook and setup files for this collection contain characters with diacritical marks used in many European languages.A split ballot was used for one or more questions in this survey. The variable SPLIT defines the separate groups.For data collection, the computer-assisted face-to-face interview was used in Poland, the paper and pencil interview was used in Bulgaria, Romania, Slovakia and Turkey, and the computer-assisted telephone interview was used in all other countries.Additional information on the Transatlantic Trends Survey is provided on the Transatlantic Trends Web site. (1) Multistage random sampling was implemented in the countries using face-to-face interviewing. Sampling points were selected according to region, and then random routes were conducted within these sampling points. Four callbacks were used for each address. The birthday rule was used to randomly select respondents within a household. (2) Random Digit Dialing was implemented in the countries using telephone interviewing. Eight callbacks were used for each telephone number. The birthday rule was used to randomly select respondents within a household. The adult population aged 18 years and over in 13 countries: Bulgaria, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Spain, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Smallest Geographic Unit: country Response Rates: The total response rate for all countries surveyed is 23 percent. Please refer to the "Technical Note" in the ICPSR codebook for additional information about response rate. Please refer to the "Technical Note" in the ICPSR codebook for further information about weighting. Datasets: DS1: Transatlantic Trends Survey, 2008

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    Authors: Nelson, Daniel; Busch, Michelle; Kopp, Darin; Allen, Daniel;

    1. While climate change is altering ecosystems on a global scale, not all ecosystems are responding in the same way. The resilience of ecological communities may depend on whether food webs are producer- or detritus-based (i.e. “green” or “brown” food webs, respectively), or both (i.e. “multi-channel” food web). 2. Food web theory suggests that the presence of multiple energy pathways can enhance community stability and resilience and may modulate the responses of ecological communities to disturbances such as climate change. Despite important advances in food web theory, few studies have empirically investigated the resilience of ecological communities to climate change stressors in ecosystems with different primary energy channels. 3. We conducted a factorial experiment using outdoor stream mesocosms to investigate the independent and interactive effects of warming and drought on invertebrate communities in food webs with different energy channel configurations. Warming had little effect on invertebrates, but stream drying negatively impacted total invertebrate abundance, biomass, richness, and diversity. 4. Although resistance to drying did not differ among energy channel treatments, recovery and overall resilience were higher in green mesocosms than in mixed and brown mesocosms. Resilience to drying also varied widely among taxa, with larger predatory taxa exhibiting lower resilience. 5. Our results suggest that the effects of drought on stream communities may vary regionally and depend on whether food webs are fueled by autochthonous or allochthonous basal resources. Communities inhabiting streams with large amounts of organic matter and more complex substrates that provide refugia may be more resilient to the loss of surface water than communities inhabiting streams with simpler, more homogeneous substrates.

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    Authors: Parks, Sean; Holsinger, Lisa; Abatzoglou, John; Littlefield, Caitlin; +1 Authors

    Identifying climate analogs We followed the methods of Abatzoglou et al. (2020) and Parks et al. (2022) to characterize climate and identify backward and forward climate analogs. The specific climate variables we used were average minimum temperature of the coldest month (Tmin), average maximum temperature of the warmest month (Tmax), annual actual evapotranspiration (AET), and annual climate water deficit (CWD). AET and CWD concurrently account for evaporative demand and availability of water (N. L. Stephenson, 1990). These four variables provide complementary information pertinent to ecological systems and collectively capture the major climatic constraints on species distributions and ecological processes across a range of taxa (Dobrowski et al., 2021; Lutz et al., 2010; Parker & Abatzoglou, 2016; N. Stephenson, 1998; C. M. Williams et al., 2015). Monthly data acquired from TerraClimate (Abatzoglou et al., 2018) were used to produce these annual summaries from 1961-1990 (resolution = ~4km), which were then averaged over the same time period to represent reference period climate normals. The reference time period (1961–1990) is meant to represent climate conditions and climate niches prior to the bulk of recent warming. Future climate conditions were also computed from TerraClimate (available from www.climatologylab.org/terraclimate.html) and correspond to a 2°C increase above pre-industrial levels that are likely to manifest by mid-21st century without immediate and massive changes in global climate policies (Friedlingstein et al., 2014). As with the reference period climate, we summarized the four +2°C climate metrics annually and over a 30-year time period to represent future climate normals. All analyses in this study were conducted in the R statistical platform (R Core Team, 2020). We identified backwards and forwards analogs by estimating the climatic dissimilarity between each protected focal pixel (resolution = ~4km to match gridded climate data) and all protected pixels within a 500-km radius using a standardized Mahalanobis distance (Mahony et al., 2017). We chose the 500-km search radius as it encompasses an upper range of dispersal for some terrestrial animals and plants (Chen et al., 2011) when assuming 2°C warming by the mid-21st century; this search radius has also been used in previous studies (Bellard et al., 2014; Parks et al., 2022; J. W. Williams et al., 2007). The Mahalanobis distance metric synthesized the four climate variables (i.e. Tmin, Tmax, AET, and CWD; fig. 2a) by measuring distance in multivariate space away from a centroid using principal components analysis of standardized anomalies. Mahalanobis distance scales multivariate mean climate conditions between a pixel and those within the search radius by the focal pixel’s covariance and magnitude of interannual climate variability (ICV) across the four metrics. For backwards analogs, we characterized +2°C ICV and reference period climate normals to calculate climatic dissimilarity; for forward analogs, we used reference period ICV and +2°C climatic normals to calculate climatic dissimilarity. We standardized Mahalanobis distance to account for data dimensionality by calculating a multivariate z-score (σd) based on a Chi distribution (Mahony et al., 2017). σd represents the climate similarity between each focal pixel and its candidate backward and forward analogs (i.e. all other protected terrestrial pixels within 500 km), and we considered any protected pixels with σd ≤ 0.5 as climate analogs (fig. 2b) (following Parks et al., 2022). We were unable to calculate Mahalanobis distance when there was no ICV for any one of the four variables, and as a consequence, these areas are omitted from all analyses; this affects, for example, a relatively small tropical area in South America (CWD=0 each year) and areas perennially covered by snow (CWD=0 each year; e.g. most of Greenland). We focused our analyses on protected areas as defined by the World Database on Protected Areas (WDPA) (IUCN & UNEP-WCMC, 2019) and included protected areas classified as IUCN (International Union of Conservation for Nature) Management Categories I-VI, except those identified as ‘proposed’, ‘marine’, or otherwise aquatic (e.g. wetland, riverine, endorheic). A large number of protected areas, however, were not assigned an IUCN category in the WDPA (identified as ‘Not Reported’, ‘Not Assigned’, or ‘Not Applicable’) but are likely to have reasonably high levels of protection (e.g. Kruger National Park in South Africa). We included these additional protected areas if the level of human modification was similar or less than that observed within IUCN category I-VI protected areas. To do so, we measured mean land-use intensity within each IUCN category I-VI protected area using the Human Modification Gradient (HMG) raster dataset (Kennedy et al., 2019) and calculated the 80th percentile of the resulting distribution. Any unassigned protected areas with a mean HMG less than or equal to this identified threshold were included in our study (following Dobrowski et al., 2021). We then converted this vector-based polygon dataset to raster format (resolution = ~4km to match gridded climate data; n=1,063,748 pixels). It is well-recognized that the WDPA contains a large number of duplicate and overlapping polygons (Palfrey et al., 2022; Vimal et al., 2021). Although this does not affect summaries across the globe or for individual countries (described below), it provides a challenge when trying to summarize by individual protected areas (due to double-counting). Consequently, we ‘cleaned’ the WDPA prior to summarizing the climate connectivity metrics for individual protected areas by removing polygons that exhibited ≥ 90% overlap with another; this resulted in 29,752 individual protected areas (available in the Electronic Supplemental Material). Least-cost path modelling Following Dobrowski and Parks (2016) and Carroll et al. (2018), we used least-cost path modelling (Adriaensen et al. 2003) to build potential climate-induced movement routes between each protected focal pixel and its backward and forward analogs. The least-cost models were parameterized with resistance surfaces based on climate dissimilarity and the human modification gradient (HMG) (Kennedy et al., 2019). For backward analog modelling, we characterized climatic dissimilarity (i.e. climatic resistance) using two intermediate surfaces, the first being the Mahalanobis distance between each focal pixel (using +2°C ICV) and all other pixels using reference period climate normals (fig. 2c) and the second being the Mahalanobis distance (using +2°C ICV) and all other pixels using +2°C climate normals (fig. 2d). These two surfaces provide a proxy for climate similarity designed to capture transient changes between the reference period and +2°C climate; these were then averaged to characterize the overall climatic resistance across time and space (fig. 2d). For forward analog modelling, the process is similar except we used reference period ICV when characterizing climatic resistance (fig. 2a-2d). We then multiplied the climatic resistance (fig. 2d) by HMG (fig. 2e) to create the final resistance surface for least-cost path modeling (cf. Parks et al., 2020). Prior to this step, we rescaled HMG from its native range (0–1) to 1–25 to correspond with the range of Mahalanobis distance values and thereby grant comparable weights to climatic resistance and HMG resistance (~95% of all Mahalanobis distance values are below 25 within a 500km radius). Open water was given a resistance=25 so that paths would avoid water when possible. Least-cost path modelling was achieved using the gdistance package (van Etten, 2017); paths represent the least accumulated cost across the final resistance surface (fig. 2f) between each focal pixel and analog (fig. 2g). Because paths were rarely straight lines, some were longer than the 500km that we established as a search radius. We removed these longer paths to abide by the biologically informed upper dispersal constraint. Calculating climate connectivity metrics and climate connectivity failure We calculated the length (i.e. dispersal exposure), land-use modification (i.e. human exposure), and climatic resistance (i.e. climate exposure) for each path, remembering that each focal pixel may have many analogs and resultant paths. Human exposure represents cumulative HMG (fig. 2e) across all pixels in a path and climate exposure represents cumulative climate resistance (fig. 2d) along a path. Human exposure and climate exposure were calculated by multiplying the mean HMG (unscaled; fig. 2f) and mean climate resistance (fig. 2d) along each path by the length of each path, respectively. Each path’s climate connectivity metric (dispersal, human, and climate exposure) was converted to a percentile (range = 0–100) to facilitate easier interpretation and comparison among metrics; relative to other protected pixels, small percentiles represent low exposure and large percentiles represent elevated exposure. We summarized (i.e. averaged the percentiles) dispersal exposure, human exposure, and climate exposure across each protected focal pixel (again, remembering that each pixel may have multiple analogs and resultant paths). Our fourth climate connectivity metric, analog exposure, can’t be summarized on a per-path basis, because by definition, there is no least-cost path when there are no protected climate analogs. Instead, protected pixels either do or do not have protected climate analogs. Focal pixels were identified as exhibiting climate connectivity failure when they exceeded the 75th percentile for dispersal or climate exposure, exceeded the 90th percentile for human exposure, or had no protected climate analog. We assumed that focal pixels exceeding these percentiles are located in landscapes that hinder successful range shifts among protected areas (i.e. climate connectivity failure) for a non-negligible proportion of extant species, considering that the biodiversity at a given site comprises mammals, birds, insects, mollusks, amphibians, reptiles, fish, crustaceans, annelids, vascular plants (e.g. trees grasses, shrubs), and non-vascular plants (e.g. fungi, mosses, lichens). The numerous and diverse species at a given site have a wide range of dispersal abilities, sensitivities to human land uses, and climatic tolerances. We used a higher threshold (90th percentile) for describing climate connectivity failure due to human exposure because large, remote protected areas in the network skew human exposure towards lower values from a global perspective. These percentile thresholds are likely conservative when considering the large number and diversity of species at a given site. In terms of dispersal, for example, many species have maximum dispersal capabilities on the range of 1 km/year or less (Jenkins et al., 2007; McLachlan et al., 2005; Schwartz et al., 2001). This represents dispersal of 75 km under 2°C warming in the 75 years covering the midpoint of the reference period (1975) to mid-21st century. In our study, the 75th percentile path length, corresponding to dispersal exposure, is ~385 km, well above such dispersal limits, supporting our assertion that the 75th percentile is conservative for estimating climate connectivity failure. Furthermore, the mean HMG value for a 100km path at the 90th percentile threshold is 0.22, which is well above the 0.1 threshold that Brennen et al. (2022) used to identify areas moderately to highly impacted by human land-uses. Lastly, the mean climatic distance for a 100km path at the 75th percentile is well over two standard deviations different, on average, from the focal pixel and analog. We report the percent of protected pixels across the globe and within each country that exhibits climate connectivity failure. We also assessed the potential for each of the 29,752 individual protected areas (e.g. Yellowstone National Park, Serengeti National Park) to undergo climate connectivity failure using a slightly different method. To do so, we calculated the mean percentile among pixels within each protected area for each of dispersal exposure, human exposure, and climate exposure (each metric was averaged across a protected area; the metrics themselves were not averaged with each other). We then calculated the percent of each protected area that did not have a protected climate analog (analog exposure). Although a binary approach (has or does not have an analog) is appropriate when evaluating individual focal pixels, a percent-based valuation is most appropriate and informative when evaluating individual protected areas with up to thousands of pixels. Individual protected areas exhibited climate connectivity failure if the mean dispersal exposure or climate exposure exceeded the 75th percentile, mean human exposure exceeded the 90th percentile, or the analog exposure exceeded 75%. References Abatzoglou, J. T., Dobrowski, S. Z., & Parks, S. A. (2020). Multivariate climate departures have outpaced univariate changes across global lands. Scientific Reports, 10(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-60270-5 Abatzoglou, J. T., Dobrowski, S. Z., Parks, S. A., & Hegewisch, K. C. (2018). TerraClimate, a high-resolution global dataset of monthly climate and climatic water balance from 1958–2015. Scientific Data, 5(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2017.191 Bellard, C., Leclerc, C., Leroy, B., Bakkenes, M., Veloz, S., Thuiller, W., & Courchamp, F. (2014). Vulnerability of biodiversity hotspots to global change. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 23(12), 1376–1386. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12228 Brennan, A., Naidoo, R., Greenstreet, L., Mehrabi, Z., Ramankutty, N., & Kremen, C. (2022). Functional connectivity of the world’s protected areas. Science, 376(6597), 1101–1104. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abl8974 Carroll, C., Parks, S. A., Dobrowski, S. Z., & Roberts, D. R. (2018). Climatic, topographic, and anthropogenic factors determine connectivity between current and future climate analogs in North America. Global Change Biology, 24(11), 5318–5331. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14373 Chen, I.-C., Hill, J. K., Ohlemüller, R., Roy, D. B., & Thomas, C. D. (2011). Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming. Science, 333(6045), 1024–1026. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1206432 Dobrowski, S. Z., Littlefield, C. E., Lyons, D. S., Hollenberg, C., Carroll, C., Parks, S. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Hegewisch, K., & Gage, J. (2021). Protected-area targets could be undermined by climate change-driven shifts in ecoregions and biomes. Communications Earth & Environment, 2(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00270-z Dobrowski, S. Z., & Parks, S. A. (2016). Climate change velocity underestimates climate change exposure in mountainous regions. Nature Communications, 7(1), Article 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12349 Friedlingstein, P., Andrew, R. M., Rogelj, J., Peters, G. P., Canadell, J. G., Knutti, R., Luderer, G., Raupach, M. R., Schaeffer, M., van Vuuren, D. P., & Le Quéré, C. (2014). Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets. Nature Geoscience, 7(10), Article 10. https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2248 IUCN & UNEP-WCMC. (2019). Protected Planet: World Database on Protected Areas (WDPA). Accessed September 2019. Available at www.protectedplanet.net. (Accessed September 2019) [Map]. www.protected.planet.net Jenkins, D. G., Brescacin, C. R., Duxbury, C. V., Elliott, J. A., Evans, J. A., Grablow, K. R., Hillegass, M., Lyon, B. N., Metzger, G. A., Olandese, M. L., Pepe, D., Silvers, G. A., Suresch, H. N., Thompson, T. N., Trexler, C. M., Williams, G. E., Williams, N. C., & Williams, S. E. (2007). Does size matter for dispersal distance? Global Ecology and Biogeography, 16(4), 415–425. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2007.00312.x Kennedy, C. M., Oakleaf, J. R., Theobald, D. M., Baruch-Mordo, S., & Kiesecker, J. (2019). Managing the middle: A shift in conservation priorities based on the global human modification gradient. Global Change Biology, 25(3), 811–826. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14549 Lutz, J. A., van Wagtendonk, J. W., & Franklin, J. F. (2010). Climatic water deficit, tree species ranges, and climate change in Yosemite National Park. Journal of Biogeography, 37(5), 936–950. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02268.x Mahony, C. R., Cannon, A. J., Wang, T., & Aitken, S. N. (2017). A closer look at novel climates: New methods and insights at continental to landscape scales. Global Change Biology, 23(9), 3934–3955. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13645 McLachlan, J. S., Clark, J. S., & Manos, P. S. (2005). Molecular indicators of tree migration capacity under rapid climate change. Ecology, 86(8), 2088–2098. https://doi.org/10.1890/04-1036 Palfrey, R., Oldekop, J. A., & Holmes, G. (2022). Privately protected areas increase global protected area coverage and connectivity. Nature Ecology & Evolution, 6(6), Article 6. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-022-01715-0 Parker, L. E., & Abatzoglou, J. T. (2016). Projected changes in cold hardiness zones and suitable overwinter ranges of perennial crops over the United States. Environmental Research Letters, 11(3), 034001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034001 Parks, S. A., Carroll, C., Dobrowski, S. Z., & Allred, B. W. (2020). Human land uses reduce climate connectivity across North America. Global Change Biology, 26(5), 2944–2955. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15009 Parks, S. A., Holsinger, L. M., Littlefield, C. E., Dobrowski, S. Z., Zeller, K. A., Abatzoglou, J. T., Besancon, C., Nordgren, B. L., & Lawler, J. J. (2022). Efficacy of the global protected area network is threatened by disappearing climates and potential transboundary range shifts. Environmental Research Letters, 17(5), 054016. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6436 R Core Team. (2020). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. Schwartz, M. W., Iverson, L. R., & Prasad, A. M. (2001). Predicting the potential future distribution of four tree species in Ohio using current habitat availability and climatic forcing. Ecosystems, 4(6), 568–581. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-001-0030-3 Stephenson, N. (1998). Actual evapotranspiration and deficit: Biologically meaningful correlates of vegetation distribution across spatial scales. Journal of Biogeography, 25(5), 855–870. https://doi.org/10.1046/j.1365-2699.1998.00233.x Stephenson, N. L. (1990). Climatic Control of Vegetation Distribution: The Role of the Water Balance. The American Naturalist, 135(5), 649–670. https://doi.org/10.1086/285067 van Etten, J. (2017). R Package gdistance: Distances and Routes on Geographical Grids. Journal of Statistical Software, 76, 1–21. https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v076.i13 Vimal, R., Navarro, L. M., Jones, Y., Wolf, F., Le Moguédec, G., & Réjou-Méchain, M. (2021). The global distribution of protected areas management strategies and their complementarity for biodiversity conservation. Biological Conservation, 256, 109014. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109014 Williams, C. M., Henry, H. A. L., & Sinclair, B. J. (2015). Cold truths: How winter drives responses of terrestrial organisms to climate change. Biological Reviews, 90(1), 214–235. https://doi.org/10.1111/brv.12105 Williams, J. W., Jackson, S. T., & Kutzbach, J. E. (2007). Projected distributions of novel and disappearing climates by 2100 AD. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 104(14), 5738–5742. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0606292104 Species across the planet are shifting their ranges to track suitable climate conditions in response to climate change. Given that protected areas have higher quality habitat and often harbor higher levels of biodiversity compared to unprotected lands, it is often assumed that protected areas can serve as steppingstones for species undergoing climate-induced range shifts. However, there are several factors that may impede successful range shifts among protected areas, including the distance that must be travelled, unfavorable human land uses and climate conditions along potential movement routes, and lack of analogous climates. Through a species-agnostic lens, we evaluate these factors across the global terrestrial protected area network as measures of climate connectivity, which is defined as the ability of a landscape to facilitate or impede climate-induced movement. We found that over half of protected land areas and two-thirds of the number of protected units across the globe are at risk of climate connectivity failure, casting doubt on whether many species can successfully undergo climate-induced range shifts among protected areas. Consequently, protected areas are unlikely to serve as steppingstones for a large number of species under a warming climate. As species disappear from protected areas without commensurate immigration of species suited to the emerging climate (due to climate connectivity failure), many protected areas may be left with a depauperate suite of species under climate change. Our findings are highly relevant given recent pledges to conserve 30% of the planet by 2030 (30x30), underscore the need for innovative land management strategies that allow for species range shifts, and suggest that assisted colonization may be necessary to promote species that are adapted to the emerging climate. There are three files in this repository: 1) backward.analogs - master.table.xlsx – results for backward analogs: · Each climate connectivity metric (dispersal exposure, human exposure, climate exposure, and analog exposure) is summarized by country; percent protected lands in each country that exhibit climate connectivity failure is also indicated. · Each climate connectivity metric (dispersal exposure, human exposure, climate exposure, and analog exposure) is summarized by protected area. Values represent the mean pixel-based percentile. Also included is a binary (0, 1) indicator of whether the protected area exhibits climate connectivity failure. 2) forward.analogs - master.table.xlsx – results for forward analogs: · Each climate connectivity metric (dispersal exposure, human exposure, climate exposure, and analog exposure) is summarized by country; percent protected lands in each country that exhibit climate connectivity failure is also indicated. · Each climate connectivity metric (dispersal exposure, human exposure, climate exposure, and analog exposure) is summarized by protected area. Values represent the mean pixel-based percentile. Also included is a binary (0, 1) indicator of whether the protected area exhibits climate connectivity failure. 3) PA_shapefile - cleaned.zip: This is the ‘cleaned’ (see Methods) protected area shapefile we used as a way to summarize dispersal exposure, human exposure, climate exposure, and analog exposure for each protected area. Note that two of these files are Microsoft Excel; they should be accessible via LibreOffice and R and potentially other open-source alternatives.

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  • Authors: Xuan, Wang; Lin, Ma;

    Positive forced aeration is widely used in industrial composting plants to supply sufficient oxygen, accelerating compost maturity. However, this technology results in significant gaseous emission, especially NH3 and GHGs emissions. To reduce gaseous emissions and investigate aeration efficiency, negative pressure aeration was used during cattle manure þ corn stalk composting in 50 L-scale reactors. Composting with negative pressure aeration at three different flow rates (0.25, 0.50 and 0.75 L/min/kg dry weight, named Negative-L, Negative-M and Negative-H treatments) were conducted. Treatment with positive pressure aeration was set as a control (Positive-M, with flow rate at 0.50 L/min/kg dry weight). The results showed that negative pressure aeration changed the temporal distribution of oxygen and temperature. With the same flow rate, the Negative-M treatment maintained a longer thermophilic period, accelerating organic matter degradation (47.6% in treatment Negative-M and 41.4% in Positive-M) and the maturity of feedstock (germination index was 105.9% in Negative-M and 58.5% in Positive-M). Ammonia emissions were significantly reduced by composting with negative pressure aeration. During composting, 36.7%, 15.8%, 16.8% and 16.0% of the initial total nitrogen was lost via NH3 volatilizations in the Positive-M, Negative-L, Negative-M and Negative-H treatments, respectively, indicating NH3 emissions were reduced by ~55% compared to the positive pressure aeration treatment. Even though both CH4 and N2O emission were greater from the negative pressure aeration treatments, the global warming potential was significantly reduced in treatments with negative pressure aeration because of the lower NH3 emission (an indirect N2O source). This indicates the benefit of NH3 emission mitigation was larger than the increase in CH4 and N2O emissions. Positive forced aeration is widely used in industrial composting plants to supply sufficient oxygen, accelerating compost maturity. However, this technology results in significant gaseous emission, especially NH3 and GHGs emissions. To reduce gaseous emissions and investigate aeration efficiency, negative pressure aeration was used during cattle manure þ corn stalk composting in 50 L-scale reactors. Composting with negative pressure aeration at three different flow rates (0.25, 0.50 and 0.75 L/min/kg dry weight, named Negative-L, Negative-M and Negative-H treatments) were conducted. Treatment with positive pressure aeration was set as a control (Positive-M, with flow rate at 0.50 L/min/kg dry weight). The results showed that negative pressure aeration changed the temporal distribution of oxygen and temperature. With the same flow rate, the Negative-M treatment maintained a longer thermophilic period, accelerating organic matter degradation (47.6% in treatment Negative-M and 41.4% in Positive-M) and the maturity of feedstock (germination index was 105.9% in Negative-M and 58.5% in Positive-M). Ammonia emissions were significantly reduced by composting with negative pressure aeration. During composting, 36.7%, 15.8%, 16.8% and 16.0% of the initial total nitrogen was lost via NH3 volatilizations in the Positive-M, Negative-L, Negative-M and Negative-H treatments, respectively, indicating NH3 emissions were reduced by ~55% compared to the positive pressure aeration treatment. Even though both CH4 and N2O emission were greater from the negative pressure aeration treatments, the global warming potential was significantly reduced in treatments with negative pressure aeration because of the lower NH3 emission (an indirect N2O source). This indicates the benefit of NH3 emission mitigation was larger than the increase in CH4 and N2O emissions.

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    Authors: World Bank Group;

    The country’s unique philosophy is expressed by Bhutan’s Gross National Happiness (GNH) as the guiding principle of development. Bhutan is at a crossroads: It can maintain the current pattern of development—with rising inequality—or develop a vibrant private sector to generate jobs and diversify the economy, building resilience to future external shocks. The overarching priority of this Country Partnership Framework (CPF) is job creation. This CPF presents an integrated framework of WBG support to help Bhutan achieve inclusive and sustainable development through private sector–led job creation.

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