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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: orcid Amy O’Donnell;
    Amy O’Donnell
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Amy O’Donnell in OpenAIRE
    orcid Lucy Platt;
    Lucy Platt
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Lucy Platt in OpenAIRE
    Charlotte Ashton; orcid Eileen Kaner;
    Eileen Kaner
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Eileen Kaner in OpenAIRE
    +3 Authors

    BackgroundWhile the efficacy and effectiveness of brief interventions for alcohol (ABI) have been demonstrated in primary care, there is weaker evidence in other settings and reviews do not consider differences in content. We conducted a systematic review to measure the effect of ABIs on alcohol consumption and how it differs by the setting, practitioner group and content of intervention.MethodsWe searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO; CINAHL, Social Science Citation Index, Cochrane Library and Global Health up to January 2015 for randomised controlled trials that measured effectiveness of ABIs on alcohol consumption. We grouped outcomes into measures of quantity and frequency indices. We used multilevel meta-analysis to estimate pooled effect sizes and tested for the effect of moderators through a multiparameter Wald test. Stratified analysis of a subset of quantity and frequency outcomes was conducted as a sensitivity check.Results52 trials were included contributing data on 29 891 individuals. ABIs reduced the quantity of alcohol consumed by 0.15 SDs. While neither the setting nor content appeared to significantly moderate intervention effectiveness, the provider did in some analyses. Interventions delivered by nurses had the most effect in reducing quantity (d=−0.23, 95% CI (−0.33 to −0.13)) but not frequency of alcohol consumption. All content groups had statistically significant mean effects, brief advice was the most effective in reducing quantity consumed (d=−0.20, 95% CI (−0.30 to −0.09)). Effects were maintained in the stratified sensitivity analysis at the first and last assessment time.ConclusionsABIs play a small but significant role in reducing alcohol consumption. Findings show the positive role of nurses in delivering interventions. The lack of evidence on the impact of content of intervention reinforces advice that services should select the ABI tool that best suits their needs.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ COREarrow_drop_down
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    BMJ Open
    Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
    Data sources: Crossref
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    BMJ Open
    Article
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    BMJ Open
    Article . 2017
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ COREarrow_drop_down
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      BMJ Open
      Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
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      BMJ Open
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      BMJ Open
      Article . 2017
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: orcid Michael T. White;
    Michael T. White
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Michael T. White in OpenAIRE
    Emmanuel Obuobie; Mike Y. Osei-Atweneboana; Joseph Intsiful; +10 Authors

    Development times of eggs, larvae and pupae of vectors of onchocerciasis ( Simulium spp.) and of Onchocerca volvulus larvae within the adult females of the vectors decrease with increasing temperature. At and above 25°C, the parasite could reach its infective stage in less than 7 days when vectors could transmit after only two gonotrophic cycles. After incorporating exponential functions for vector development into a novel blackfly population model, it was predicted that fly numbers in Liberia and Ghana would peak at air temperatures of 29°C and 34°C, about 3°C and 7°C above current monthly averages, respectively; parous rates of forest flies (Liberia) would peak at 29°C and of savannah flies (Ghana) at 30°C. Small temperature increases (less than 2°C) might lead to changes in geographical distributions of different vector taxa. When the new model was linked to an existing framework for the population dynamics of onchocerciasis in humans and vectors, transmission rates and worm loads were projected to increase with temperature to at least 33°C. By contrast, analyses of field data on forest flies in Liberia and savannah flies in Ghana, in relation to regional climate change predictions, suggested, on the basis of simple regressions, that 13–41% decreases in fly numbers would be expected between the present and before 2040. Further research is needed to reconcile these conflicting conclusions.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ COREarrow_drop_down
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    CORE
    Article . 2015
    License: CC BY
    Data sources: CORE
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
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    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences
    Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
    License: Royal Society Data Sharing and Accessibility
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    https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/nd...
    Other literature type . 2015
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    https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/fd...
    Other literature type . 2015
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      image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ COREarrow_drop_down
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      CORE
      Article . 2015
      License: CC BY
      Data sources: CORE
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      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
      Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences
      Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
      License: Royal Society Data Sharing and Accessibility
      Data sources: Crossref
      https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/nd...
      Other literature type . 2015
      Data sources: Datacite
      https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/fd...
      Other literature type . 2015
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  • image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/
    Authors: orcid Medine I. Gulcebi;
    Medine I. Gulcebi
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Medine I. Gulcebi in OpenAIRE
    orcid Emanuele Bartolini;
    Emanuele Bartolini
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Emanuele Bartolini in OpenAIRE
    Omay Lee; orcid Christos Panagiotis Lisgaras;
    Christos Panagiotis Lisgaras
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Christos Panagiotis Lisgaras in OpenAIRE
    +45 Authors

    Climate change is with us. As professionals who place value on evidence-based practice, climate change is something we cannot ignore. The current pandemic of the novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, has demonstrated how global crises can arise suddenly and have a significant impact on public health. Global warming, a chronic process punctuated by acute episodes of extreme weather events, is an insidious global health crisis needing at least as much attention. Many neurological diseases are complex chronic conditions influenced at many levels by changes in the environment. This review aimed to collate and evaluate reports from clinical and basic science about the relationship between climate change and epilepsy. The keywords climate change, seasonal variation, temperature, humidity, thermoregulation, biorhythm, gene, circadian rhythm, heat, and weather were used to search the published evidence. A number of climatic variables are associated with increased seizure frequency in people with epilepsy. Climate change-induced increase in seizure precipitants such as fevers, stress, and sleep deprivation (e.g. as a result of more frequent extreme weather events) or vector-borne infections may trigger or exacerbate seizures, lead to deterioration of seizure control, and affect neurological, cerebrovascular, or cardiovascular comorbidities and risk of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy. Risks are likely to be modified by many factors, ranging from individual genetic variation and temperature-dependent channel function, to housing quality and global supply chains. According to the results of the limited number of experimental studies with animal models of seizures or epilepsy, different seizure types appear to have distinct susceptibility to seasonal influences. Increased body temperature, whether in the context of fever or not, has a critical role in seizure threshold and seizure-related brain damage. Links between climate change and epilepsy are likely to be multifactorial, complex, and often indirect, which makes predictions difficult. We need more data on possible climate-driven altered risks for seizures, epilepsy, and epileptogenesis, to identify underlying mechanisms at systems, cellular, and molecular levels for better understanding of the impact of climate change on epilepsy. Further focussed data would help us to develop evidence for mitigation methods to do more to protect people with epilepsy from the effects of climate change.

    image/svg+xml art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos Open Access logo, converted into svg, designed by PLoS. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Open_Access_logo_PLoS_white.svg art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina, Beao, JakobVoss, and AnonMoos http://www.plos.org/ COREarrow_drop_down
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    CORE
    Article . 2021
    License: CC BY NC ND
    Data sources: CORE
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    image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
    Epilepsy & Behavior
    Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
    License: Elsevier TDM
    Data sources: Crossref
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      CORE
      Article . 2021
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      image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
      Epilepsy & Behavior
      Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
      License: Elsevier TDM
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    Authors: orcid Kristi Prifti;
    Kristi Prifti
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Kristi Prifti in OpenAIRE
    Michelle L. Bell; orcid Ala Overcenco;
    Ala Overcenco
    ORCID
    Harvested from ORCID Public Data File

    Ala Overcenco in OpenAIRE
    Shilu Tong; +41 Authors

    BACKGROUND Various retrospective studies have reported on the increase of mortality risk due to higher diurnal temperature range (DTR). This study projects the effect of DTR on future mortality across 445 communities in 20 countries and regions. METHODS DTR-related mortality risk was estimated on the basis of the historical daily time-series of mortality and weather factors from Jan 1, 1985, to Dec 31, 2015, with data for 445 communities across 20 countries and regions, from the Multi-Country Multi-City Collaborative Research Network. We obtained daily projected temperature series associated with four climate change scenarios, using the four representative concentration pathways (RCPs) described by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, from the lowest to the highest emission scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5). Excess deaths attributable to the DTR during the current (1985-2015) and future (2020-99) periods were projected using daily DTR series under the four scenarios. Future excess deaths were calculated on the basis of assumptions that warmer long-term average temperatures affect or do not affect the DTR-related mortality risk. FINDINGS The time-series analyses results showed that DTR was associated with excess mortality. Under the unmitigated climate change scenario (RCP 8.5), the future average DTR is projected to increase in most countries and regions (by -0·4 to 1·6°C), particularly in the USA, south-central Europe, Mexico, and South Africa. The excess deaths currently attributable to DTR were estimated to be 0·2-7·4%. Furthermore, the DTR-related mortality risk increased as the long-term average temperature increased; in the linear mixed model with the assumption of an interactive effect with long-term average temperature, we estimated 0·05% additional DTR mortality risk per 1°C increase in average temperature. Based on the interaction with long-term average temperature, the DTR-related excess deaths are projected to increase in all countries or regions by 1·4-10·3% in 2090-99. INTERPRETATION This study suggests that globally, DTR-related excess mortality might increase under climate change, and this increasing pattern is likely to vary between countries and regions. Considering climatic changes, our findings could contribute to public health interventions aimed at reducing the impact of DTR on human health. FUNDING Korea Ministry of Environment.

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    The Lancet Planetary Health
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    Authors: orcid bw Yao Wu;
    Yao Wu
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    Yao Wu in OpenAIRE
    orcid Shanshan Li;
    Shanshan Li
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    orcid bw Qi Zhao;
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    orcid bw Bo Wen;
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    Bo Wen in OpenAIRE
    +63 Authors

    L'augmentation du risque de mortalité est associée à une variabilité de la température à court terme. Cependant, à notre connaissance, il n'y a pas eu d'évaluation complète de la charge de mortalité liée à la variabilité de la température dans le monde. Dans cette étude, en utilisant les données du MCC Collaborative Research Network, nous avons d'abord exploré l'association entre la variabilité de la température et la mortalité dans 43 pays ou régions. Ensuite, pour fournir une image plus complète de la charge mondiale de mortalité associée à la variabilité de la température, des données de température maillées mondiales avec une résolution de 0,5° ×0,5° ont été utilisées pour évaluer la charge de mortalité liée à la variabilité de la température aux niveaux mondial, régional et national. En outre, les tendances temporelles de la charge de mortalité liée à la variabilité de la température ont également été explorées à partir de 2000-19. Dans cette étude de modélisation, nous avons appliqué une approche méta-analytique en trois étapes pour évaluer la charge de mortalité liée à la variabilité de la température mondiale à une résolution spatiale de 0,5° ×0,5° à partir de 2000-19. La variabilité de la température a été calculée comme l'écart-type de la moyenne des températures minimales et maximales des mêmes jours et des jours précédents. Nous avons d'abord obtenu des associations de mortalité liées à la variabilité de la température spécifiques à l'emplacement sur la base d'une série temporelle quotidienne de 750 emplacements du Multi-country Multi-city Collaborative Research Network. Nous avons ensuite construit un modèle de méta-régression multivariable avec cinq prédicteurs pour estimer les associations de mortalité liées à la variabilité de la température spécifique à la grille à travers le monde. Enfin, le pourcentage d'excès de mortalité et le taux de surmortalité ont été calculés pour quantifier la charge de mortalité liée à la variabilité de la température et pour explorer davantage sa tendance temporelle sur deux décennies. Une tendance croissante de la variabilité de la température a été identifiée au niveau mondial de 2000 à 2019. À l'échelle mondiale, 1 753 392 décès (IC à 95 % 1 159 901-2 357 718) ont été associés à la variabilité de la température par an, représentant 3·4 % (2·2-4·6) de tous les décès. La plupart de l'Asie, de l'Australie et de la Nouvelle-Zélande présentaient un pourcentage de surmortalité plus élevé que la moyenne mondiale. À l'échelle mondiale, le pourcentage d'excès de mortalité a augmenté d'environ 4·6 % (3·7-5·3) par décennie. La plus forte augmentation s'est produite en Australie et en Nouvelle-Zélande (7,3 %, ICà 95 % 4,3-10,4), suivie de l'Europe (4,4 %, 2,2-5,6) et de l'Afrique (3,3,1,9-4,6). Globalement, une charge de mortalité substantielle a été associée à la variabilité de la température, montrant une hétérogénéité géographique et une tendance temporelle légèrement croissante. Nos résultats pourraient aider à sensibiliser le public et à améliorer la compréhension des impacts sur la santé de la variabilité de la température.Australian Research Council, Australian National Health & Medical Research Council. El aumento del riesgo de mortalidad se asocia con la variabilidad de la temperatura a corto plazo. Sin embargo, hasta donde sabemos, no ha habido una evaluación exhaustiva de la carga de mortalidad relacionada con la variabilidad de la temperatura en todo el mundo. En este estudio, utilizando datos de la Red de Investigación Colaborativa de MCC, primero exploramos la asociación entre la variabilidad de la temperatura y la mortalidad en 43 países o regiones. Luego, para proporcionar una imagen más completa de la carga global de mortalidad asociada con la variabilidad de la temperatura, se utilizaron datos de temperatura cuadriculados globales con una resolución de 0·5° × 0·5° para evaluar la carga de mortalidad relacionada con la variabilidad de la temperatura a nivel mundial, regional y nacional. Además, también se exploraron las tendencias temporales en la carga de mortalidad relacionada con la variabilidad de la temperatura desde 2000-19. En este estudio de modelado, aplicamos un enfoque metaanalítico de tres etapas para evaluar la carga de mortalidad relacionada con la variabilidad de la temperatura global a una resolución espacial de 0·5° × 0·5° desde 2000-19. La variabilidad de temperatura se calculó como la DE de la media de las temperaturas mínimas y máximas del mismo día y de los días anteriores. Primero obtuvimos asociaciones de mortalidad relacionadas con la variabilidad de temperatura específicas de la ubicación basadas en una serie temporal diaria de 750 ubicaciones de la Red de Investigación Colaborativa Multinacional y Multinacional. Posteriormente, construimos un modelo de metarregresión multivariable con cinco predictores para estimar las asociaciones de mortalidad relacionadas con la variabilidad de temperatura específicas de la cuadrícula en todo el mundo. Finalmente, se calculó el exceso porcentual de mortalidad y la tasa de mortalidad excesiva para cuantificar la carga de mortalidad relacionada con la variabilidad de la temperatura y para explorar más a fondo su tendencia temporal durante dos décadas. Se identificó una tendencia creciente en la variabilidad de la temperatura a nivel mundial de 2000 a 2019. A nivel mundial, 1 753 392 muertes (IC 95% 1 159 901-2 357 718) se asociaron con la variabilidad de la temperatura por año, lo que representa el 3·4% (2·2-4·6) de todas las muertes. Se observó que la mayor parte de Asia, Australia y Nueva Zelanda tenían un exceso porcentual de mortalidad mayor que la media mundial. A nivel mundial, el porcentaje de exceso de mortalidad aumentó en aproximadamente un 4,6% (3,7-5,3) por década. El mayor aumento se produjo en Australia y Nueva Zelanda (7·3%, IC 95% 4·3-10·4), seguido de Europa (4·4%, 2 · 2-5·6) y África (3·3, 1 · 9-4·6). A nivel mundial, una carga de mortalidad sustancial se asoció con la variabilidad de la temperatura, mostrando heterogeneidad geográfica y una tendencia temporal ligeramente creciente. Nuestros hallazgos podrían ayudar a aumentar la conciencia pública y mejorar la comprensión de los impactos en la salud de la variabilidad de la temperatura. Consejo Australiano de Investigación, Consejo Nacional Australiano de Investigación Médica y de Salud. Increased mortality risk is associated with short-term temperature variability. However, to our knowledge, there has been no comprehensive assessment of the temperature variability-related mortality burden worldwide. In this study, using data from the MCC Collaborative Research Network, we first explored the association between temperature variability and mortality across 43 countries or regions. Then, to provide a more comprehensive picture of the global burden of mortality associated with temperature variability, global gridded temperature data with a resolution of 0·5° × 0·5° were used to assess the temperature variability-related mortality burden at the global, regional, and national levels. Furthermore, temporal trends in temperature variability-related mortality burden were also explored from 2000-19.In this modelling study, we applied a three-stage meta-analytical approach to assess the global temperature variability-related mortality burden at a spatial resolution of 0·5° × 0·5° from 2000-19. Temperature variability was calculated as the SD of the average of the same and previous days' minimum and maximum temperatures. We first obtained location-specific temperature variability related-mortality associations based on a daily time series of 750 locations from the Multi-country Multi-city Collaborative Research Network. We subsequently constructed a multivariable meta-regression model with five predictors to estimate grid-specific temperature variability related-mortality associations across the globe. Finally, percentage excess in mortality and excess mortality rate were calculated to quantify the temperature variability-related mortality burden and to further explore its temporal trend over two decades.An increasing trend in temperature variability was identified at the global level from 2000 to 2019. Globally, 1 753 392 deaths (95% CI 1 159 901-2 357 718) were associated with temperature variability per year, accounting for 3·4% (2·2-4·6) of all deaths. Most of Asia, Australia, and New Zealand were observed to have a higher percentage excess in mortality than the global mean. Globally, the percentage excess in mortality increased by about 4·6% (3·7-5·3) per decade. The largest increase occurred in Australia and New Zealand (7·3%, 95% CI 4·3-10·4), followed by Europe (4·4%, 2·2-5·6) and Africa (3·3, 1·9-4·6).Globally, a substantial mortality burden was associated with temperature variability, showing geographical heterogeneity and a slightly increasing temporal trend. Our findings could assist in raising public awareness and improving the understanding of the health impacts of temperature variability.Australian Research Council, Australian National Health & Medical Research Council. ترتبط زيادة خطر الوفاة بتقلب درجة الحرارة على المدى القصير. ومع ذلك، على حد علمنا، لم يكن هناك تقييم شامل لعبء الوفيات المرتبطة بتقلب درجة الحرارة في جميع أنحاء العالم. في هذه الدراسة، باستخدام بيانات من شبكة البحوث التعاونية لمؤسسة تحدي الألفية، استكشفنا أولاً العلاقة بين تقلب درجة الحرارة والوفيات عبر 43 دولة أو منطقة. بعد ذلك، لتوفير صورة أكثر شمولاً للعبء العالمي للوفيات المرتبطة بتقلب درجة الحرارة، تم استخدام بيانات درجة الحرارة العالمية الشبكية بدقة 0·5° × 0·5° لتقييم عبء الوفيات المرتبط بتقلب درجة الحرارة على المستويات العالمية والإقليمية والوطنية. علاوة على ذلك، تم أيضًا استكشاف الاتجاهات الزمنية في عبء الوفيات المرتبط بتقلب درجة الحرارة من 2000-19. في دراسة النمذجة هذه، طبقنا نهجًا تحليليًا تلويًا من ثلاث مراحل لتقييم عبء الوفيات المرتبط بتقلب درجة الحرارة العالمية بدقة مكانية قدرها 0·5° × 0·5° من 2000-19. تم حساب تقلب درجة الحرارة على أنه SD لمتوسط نفس درجات الحرارة الدنيا والقصوى للأيام السابقة. حصلنا أولاً على ارتباطات الوفيات المرتبطة بتقلبات درجات الحرارة الخاصة بالموقع بناءً على سلسلة زمنية يومية تضم 750 موقعًا من شبكة الأبحاث التعاونية متعددة المدن. قمنا بعد ذلك ببناء نموذج ميتا انحدار متعدد المتغيرات مع خمسة تنبؤات لتقدير التقلبات في درجات الحرارة الخاصة بالشبكة والارتباطات المرتبطة بالوفيات في جميع أنحاء العالم. أخيرًا، تم حساب النسبة المئوية للزيادة في معدل الوفيات ومعدل الوفيات الزائد لتحديد عبء الوفيات المرتبط بتقلب درجة الحرارة ولمواصلة استكشاف اتجاهه الزمني على مدى عقدين من الزمن. تم تحديد اتجاه متزايد في تقلب درجة الحرارة على المستوى العالمي من عام 2000 إلى عام 2019. على الصعيد العالمي، ارتبطت 1،753،392 حالة وفاة (95 ٪ CI 1،159،901-2،357،718) بتقلب درجة الحرارة سنويًا، وهو ما يمثل 3·4 ٪ (2·2-4·6) من جميع الوفيات. ولوحظ أن معظم آسيا وأستراليا ونيوزيلندا لديها نسبة مئوية أعلى من الزيادة في الوفيات من المتوسط العالمي. على الصعيد العالمي، زادت النسبة المئوية للزيادة في الوفيات بنحو 4.6٪(3.7-5.3) لكل عقد. حدثت أكبر زيادة في أستراليا ونيوزيلندا (7·3 ٪، 95 ٪ CI 4·3-10·4)، تليها أوروبا (4· 4 ٪، 2·2-5·6) وأفريقيا (3·3، 1 · 9-4·6). على الصعيد العالمي، ارتبط عبء الوفيات الكبير بتقلب درجة الحرارة، مما يدل على عدم التجانس الجغرافي والاتجاه الزمني المتزايد قليلاً. يمكن أن تساعد النتائج التي توصلنا إليها في زيادة الوعي العام وتحسين فهم الآثار الصحية لتقلب درجة الحرارة. مجلس البحوث الأسترالي، المجلس الوطني الأسترالي للبحوث الصحية والطبية.

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    The Lancet Planetary Health
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    The Lancet Planetary Health
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      The Lancet Planetary Health
      Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
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      The Lancet Planetary Health
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      Digital.CSIC
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    Authors: orcid Semple, Sean;
    Semple, Sean
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    Semple, Sean in OpenAIRE
    Devakumar, Delan; Fullerton, Duncan G; orcid Thorne, Peter S;
    Thorne, Peter S
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    Thorne, Peter S in OpenAIRE
    +5 Authors

    About half of the world's population is exposed to smoke from burning biomass fuels at home. The high airborne particulate levels in these homes and the health burden of exposure to this smoke are well described. Burning unprocessed biological material such as wood and dried animal dung may also produce high indoor endotoxin concentrations.In this study we measured airborne endotoxin levels in homes burning different biomass fuels.Air sampling was carried out in homes burning wood or dried animal dung in Nepal (n = 31) and wood, charcoal, or crop residues in Malawi (n = 38). Filters were analyzed for endotoxin content expressed as airborne endotoxin concentration and endotoxin per mass of airborne particulate.Airborne endotoxin concentrations were high. Averaged over 24 hr in Malawian homes, median concentrations of total inhalable endotoxin were 24 endotoxin units (EU)/m(3) in charcoal-burning homes and 40 EU/m(3) in wood-burning homes. Short cooking-time samples collected in Nepal produced median values of 43 EU/m(3) in wood-burning homes and 365 EU/m(3) in dung-burning homes, suggesting increasing endotoxin levels with decreasing energy levels in unprocessed solid fuels.Airborne endotoxin concentrations in homes burning biomass fuels are orders of magnitude higher than those found in homes in developed countries where endotoxin exposure has been linked to respiratory illness in children. There is a need for work to identify the determinants of these high concentrations, interventions to reduce exposure, and health studies to examine the effects of these sustained, near-occupational levels of exposure experienced from early life.

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    Environmental Health Perspectives
    Article . 2010 . Peer-reviewed
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    Environmental Health Perspectives
    Article
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    UCL Discovery
    Article . 2010
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      Environmental Health Perspectives
      Article . 2010 . Peer-reviewed
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      Environmental Health Perspectives
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      UCL Discovery
      Article . 2010
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    Authors: orcid Allan H. Young;
    Allan H. Young
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    Memduha Aydin; Enrica Mosca; orcid Maja Pantovic-Stefanovic;
    Maja Pantovic-Stefanovic
    ORCID
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    Maja Pantovic-Stefanovic in OpenAIRE
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    Abstract Background Bipolar disorder is associated with circadian disruption and a high risk of suicidal behavior. In a previous exploratory study of patients with bipolar I disorder, we found that a history of suicide attempts was associated with differences between winter and summer levels of solar insolation. The purpose of this study was to confirm this finding using international data from 42% more collection sites and 25% more countries. Methods Data analyzed were from 71 prior and new collection sites in 40 countries at a wide range of latitudes. The analysis included 4876 patients with bipolar I disorder, 45% more data than previously analyzed. Of the patients, 1496 (30.7%) had a history of suicide attempt. Solar insolation data, the amount of the sun’s electromagnetic energy striking the surface of the earth, was obtained for each onset location (479 locations in 64 countries). Results This analysis confirmed the results of the exploratory study with the same best model and slightly better statistical significance. There was a significant inverse association between a history of suicide attempts and the ratio of mean winter insolation to mean summer insolation (mean winter insolation/mean summer insolation). This ratio is largest near the equator which has little change in solar insolation over the year, and smallest near the poles where the winter insolation is very small compared to the summer insolation. Other variables in the model associated with an increased risk of suicide attempts were a history of alcohol or substance abuse, female gender, and younger birth cohort. The winter/summer insolation ratio was also replaced with the ratio of minimum mean monthly insolation to the maximum mean monthly insolation to accommodate insolation patterns in the tropics, and nearly identical results were found. All estimated coefficients were significant at p < 0.01. Conclusion A large change in solar insolation, both between winter and summer and between the minimum and maximum monthly values, may increase the risk of suicide attempts in bipolar I disorder. With frequent circadian rhythm dysfunction and suicidal behavior in bipolar disorder, greater understanding of the optimal roles of daylight and electric lighting in circadian entrainment is needed.

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    International Journal of Bipolar Disorders
    Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
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      International Journal of Bipolar Disorders
      Article . 2021 . Peer-reviewed
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    Authors: orcid Gough, Hannah;
    Gough, Hannah
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    Faulknall-Mills, Samuel; orcid King, Marco-Felipe;
    King, Marco-Felipe
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    King, Marco-Felipe in OpenAIRE
    orcid Luo, Zhiwen;
    Luo, Zhiwen
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    Luo, Zhiwen in OpenAIRE
    +1 Authors

    Hospital buildings in the UK are at particular risk to rising summer temperatures associated with climate change. Balancing the thermal needs of patients, staff, and visitors is a challenging, complex endeavour. A case study of the ultrasound area of the Royal Berkshire Hospital’s Maternity and Gynaecology building is presented, where temperatures were measured for 35 days in waiting areas, staff offices, and ultrasound scanning rooms, aiming to assess the overheating risk posed to occupants. Local external temperature measurements were used for comparison whereby determining the indoor-outdoor environmental connection. Results show that most rooms had already breached standard overheating thresholds within the study period. Anthropogenic and waste heat from equipment has a noticeable effect on indoor temperatures. Local air-conditioning helped reduce the peaks in temperature seen between 14:00 and 17:00 for similar scanning rooms but is in contradiction to the National Health Service’s sustainability plans. Several low-level solutions such as improved signage, access to water, and the allocation of vulnerable patients to morning clinics are suggested. Barriers to solutions are also discussed and the requirement of sufficient maintenance plans for cooling equipment is empathised. These solutions are likely to be applicable to other hospital buildings experiencing similar conditions.

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    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
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      International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
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    Authors: orcid Tod, Angela Mary;
    Tod, Angela Mary
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    Tod, Angela Mary in OpenAIRE
    orcid bw Nelson, Peter;
    Nelson, Peter
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    orcid bw Cronin de Chavez, Anna;
    Cronin de Chavez, Anna
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    orcid Homer, Catherine;
    Homer, Catherine
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    Homer, Catherine in OpenAIRE
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    ObjectivesThis study aimed to understand the influences and decisions of households with children with asthma regarding keeping warm and well at home in winter.SettingCommunity settings in Rotherham and Doncaster, South Yorkshire, UK.ParticipantsIndividuals from 35 families and 25 health, education and social care staff underwent interview. 5 group interviews were held, 1 with parents (n=20) and 4 with staff (n=25).Outcome measuresThis qualitative study incorporated in-depth, semistructured individual and group interviews, framework analysis and social marketing segmentation techniques.ResultsThe research identifies a range of psychological and contextual influences on parents that may inadvertently place a child with asthma at risk of cold, damp and worsening health in a home. Parents have to balance a range of factors to manage fluctuating temperatures, damp conditions and mould. Participants were constantly assessing their family's needs against the resources available to them. Influences, barriers and needs interacted in ways that meant they made ‘trade-offs’ that drove their behaviour regarding the temperature and humidity of the home, including partial self-disconnection from their energy supply. Evidence was also seen of parents lacking knowledge and understanding while working their way through conflicting and confusing information or advice from a range of professionals including health, social care and housing. Pressure on parents was increased when they had to provide help and support for extended family and friends.ConclusionsThe findings illustrate how and why a child with asthma may be at risk of a cold home. A ‘trade-off model’ has been developed as an output of the research to explain the competing demands on families. Messages emerge about the importance of tailored advice and information to families vulnerable to cold-related harm.

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    Authors: Marina Romanello; orcid Ilan Kelman;
    Ilan Kelman
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    Ilan Kelman in OpenAIRE
    David Pencheon; Maria Nilsson; +84 Authors

    For the Chinese, French, German, and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

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