As we increase the air tightness of our buildings in line with more stringent building regulations it is vital to specify adequate fresh air ingress to all occupied spaces to ensure the health and well-being of occupants. In order to optimise buildings for energy and health it is important that we have a comprehensive understanding of the dynamics of indoor air flow, which is complicated by the impact of human behaviour. Current knowledge of how humans interact with their environment and implications for the airflow within buildings is virtually non-existent. This proposal aims to develop facilities for investigating the detailed fluctuations of air movement due to occupants opening and moving through doorways. This will have a significant impact on the understanding of contaminant transport and fresh air ingress into buildings; it will also have implications for ventilation specification and simulation as well as building energy prediction.

In the planning process for high rise buildings, it is common practice to carry out physical or numerical simulations of the wind flow around such buildings, in order to establish the acceptability or otherwise of these wind conditions for a range of pedestrian activities such as sitting, slow walking, rapid walking etc. It is less common to assess the wind conditions in terms of pedestrian safety in high winds, and the safety of cyclists and light high sided vehicles is never usually considered. The need for such considerations has become tragically obvious in a recent incident in Leeds, where a pedestrian was killed after a lorry blew over due to winds around a new high rise structure. When pedestrian safety is considered, this is usually in terms of a simple wind speed criterion that does not take into account human behaviour and does not allow for a proper risk analysis. This project will consider these issues with a view to establishing a robust methodology for calculating the risk of a pedestrian, cyclist or high sided vehicle accident in high wind conditions around high rise building. Full scale measurements will be carried out around a high rise building on the University of Birmingham campus to measure the turbulent nature of the flow around such buildings, since it is these highly turbulent flows that are of relevance to the issue of safety rather than the mean wind flows. Wind tunnel tests and CFD calculations will be carried out of the same building to assess the adequacy of these techniques for predicting the highly turbulent flows of relevance to the problem under discussion. Trials will then be carried out using instrumented volunteers of a range of age and size, who will walk or cycle around the structure during windy periods, and their behaviour will be assessed both quantitatively and qualitatively, in order to develop probability distributions of the wind speed at which incipient instability of pedestrians occurs. In addition measurements will be made of the cross wind forces on scale models of typical high rise vehicles using the University of Birmingham moving model TRAIN rig, with highly turbulent cross wind conditions, again to develop probability distributions of wind speeds for incipient instability. The probability distributions thus obtained will then be used, with wind speed probability distributions, to develop a calculation methodology to determine the variation of accident risk around high rise structures.

Urban populations are particularly vulnerable to extreme weather events related to climate change, especially heat waves and floods. This vulnerability is caused by a combination of factors including existing inequalities, high population, and high exposure to certain types of environmental hazards. As cities emerge from smaller settlements and nearby adjacent cities, little design goes into ensuring that they are established in appropriate locations, that new infrastructure is adequately resilient to current and future extreme weather events, and that governance systems and growth take into account the specific needs of marginalised groups. Instead, urban development often appears chaotic and unplanned, locking citizens, particularly those who are most marginalised, into high states of vulnerability. If we could influence how burgeoning settlements turn into cities and megacities at the start of their growth trajectory, even marginally, the positive repercussions for resilience and wellbeing would be colossal. But just how and where do new cities emerge, and what are the opportunities for influencing their design while they expand to be resilient to extreme weather in a changing climate? African urbanization, in particular, is exploding. Decisions on how development will take place have time-limited intervention points. There are as yet no pre-determined pathways for development in Africa, providing a unique opportunity for influence. There is also a growing imperative and desire from African initiatives to develop sustainably, to support the implementation of the UN Paris Agreement and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG), particularly Goal 11 on Sustainable cities and communities. Here we will focus on setting the foundations for increasing climate resilience and sustainable urbanisation in African. U-RES brings together a rich team of academic and non-academic experts, to explore multiple aspects of the very early stages of urbanisation: Through the lenses of the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), U-RES will examine the current state of urbanisation and how this aligns, or not, with the projected increasing risks from climate change. This will be done through remote sensing and GIS analysis techniques to assess changes in land-cover. In addition, model simulations used by the IPCC to project climate change will be analysed for two risk-related climatic indices, one around heat waves and one around heavy rainfall (a driver of flood risk). This workstream will provide an overview of the patterns of urbanisation in Africa, and an initial picture of the alignment of current urbanisation with risks of extreme climatic events. Through the lenses of the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC), U-RES will conduct case studies of urban governance, two around Durban South Africa, and two in Isolo Kenya. These case studies will provide on-the-ground understanding into how information is gathered and used by decision makers, and provide insights into how this can be modified to better take into account the needs of marginalised groups. Through the lenses of the Arts and Humanities Research Council (AHRC), U-RES will examine archaeological evidence of changing positions of human settlements over time, and how the changes related to environmental factors. This will be done by focusing on Egypt and Mesopotamia, which are a good analogues for environmental changes occurring in Africa. Analogues from the past will be used here to examine how decision-making process is influenced by complex interrelationships of opportunities and constraints afforded by a range of drivers, set against long-term societal traditions, ideologies and religion. The interview material from the governance case studies will be further used to develop narratives of good governance and to raise awareness of the importance of evidence to guide decision-making on urbanization.

Since antiquity the construction industry has been using lime based binders to manufacture mortars, plasters and renders...Despite this history there is still a lack of fundamental understanding of the hardening processes and how these influence time dependent mechanical properties. In addition dolomitic limes, containing magnesium, exhibit enhanced properties when compared to their pure lime counterparts, however there is limited knowledge of the underlying reasons. Lime based mortars are ideal candidates to replace cement mortars in many applications where lower strength is an advantage such as new build housing, forms of construction utilising organic fillers such as lime-hemp, and conservation and restoration applications. Indeed lime mortars offer many advantages over cement in terms of moisture permittivity, ability to accommodate movement, self-healing properties and ability to sequester carbon dioxide. Cementious binders are produced at much higher temperatures compared to lime and have large carbon dioxide emissions associated with their manufacture. Atomistic modelling provides a unique opportunity to probe these mechanisms at a fundamental level thereby elucidating the processes responsible for developing the properties of industrial importance. Many existing and past studies of building lime binders have focused on bulk properties for instance through large scale bulk property testing, whilst not taking into account atom level processes. In recent years the cement industry has employed atomistic modelling of hydrated silicates as a means of understanding material behaviour. Recent studies have demonstrated that the morphology and composition of a lime crystal can influence the carbonation process, and by association mechanical behaviour. In addition magnesium containing dolomitic limes show improved performance in many respects including strength development. Rate of carbonation is an extremely important issue as this can dictate the speed at which a building can be erected and therefore the associated costs. The ability to improve the carbonation rate and therefore hardening rate through control of composition and morphology will lead to enhanced products with better environmental credentials. In the first instance this proposal seeks to develop atomistic models to describe the important aspects of lime binder behaviour and validate these against laboratory samples. Atomistic models will generate Raman spectra and X-ray diffraction patterns for direct comparison with experimental measurements. These initial models will then be developed further to investigate firstly carbonation and then time dependent and plastic mechanical properties. Additionally the research will investigate the underlying reasons for the improved performance observed in magnesium containing dolomitic limes. The project is expected to bring long term benefits to the construction industry over the coming decades. In the shorter term industry will benefit through planned workshops and site visits which will showcase the application of atomistic modelling to lime manufacturers. The project will support the development of enhanced projects through the new knowledge gained.

Energy Management of existing non-domestic buildings is wrought with many challenges, a number of which arguably exist due to the diversity found amongst individual buildings and amongst the humans who occupy them. Buildings are inherently unique systems making it difficult to generalize technology solutions for any individual property. Instead, to make robust investment decisions for the energy-efficient upkeep of a particular building requires some degree of tailored engineering and economic analysis. To understand why this is the case, one need only to consider the chain of questions one would likely need to address for decision-making in an arbitrary building. For instance, we might ask: what is the age of the building and the equipment currently installed in it? Does the heating system need to be replaced? If yes, is the current system a boiler, and if so, how efficiently does it perform? Would the building benefit from a new boiler or an electric heat pump? Would it benefit from replacing the heating distribution pipes? Do the cost / benefits of any of these technologies depend on government tariffs and subsidies? What is the risk faced if any available subsidies are cut in the future? How robust is either technology to the future price of natural gas and electricity? Would that risk be worth taking? Is it too expensive to even start thinking about the options and associated risks? How would a facility manager visualise the options available and possible spreads of benefits and risks for all these aspects? This project aims to respond to these challenges. Indeed, in order to make sound decisions on future building operation and technology investment, evidence shows that one needs adequate information on a number of engineering, economics, and social science matters pertaining to each individual project. To obtain this information has so-far been viewed as a costly exercise, and has contributed to the general perception that undertaking deep cuts to building energy consumption (achieving more than 15% in energy savings per investment) is an economically risky affair. This proposal is the first to develop and recommend an altogether new approach to performing building audits, energy simulation, uncertainty analysis, data visualization, and finally investment decision-making. It will lead to a marked reduction in the cost of acquiring information for robust retrofit and facility management decisions. The direct outputs of this project will be a series of software tools for three distinct but related purposes: (i) collecting building data on relevant uncertainty parameters (i.e., "what do we know now?"); (ii) propagating and quantifying uncertainty using building simulation models, measurements obtained from key monitored building sites, and cutting-edge statistical approaches (i.e., Bayesian analysis); and (iii) the display and interpretation of uncertainty. During the course of the project, workshops will be organised to lay out the current (uncertain) knowledge that has been, until now, largely undocumented in the buildings sector and inaccessible to the energy research community. This includes gaining understanding on the most common faults observed in managing conventional energy systems, and how spatial layouts in building evolve. The graphical presentation of risk information and understanding users' perception of uncertainty and risk will be key elements of these workshops and the research programme. Our software tools, user guidance, and numerical runs of test cases will be made available, as the web-based B-bem portal, via the University of Cambridge web site.