Global warming, associated with the burning of fossil fuels, is changing the world's climate, and with this, it is altering the water cycle. Future climate projections suggest hydrological extremes (floods and droughts) will become more frequent and severe - further heightening the already substantial impacts they cause to lives and livelihoods, as well as infrastructure and economies. To adapt to future changes in water availability, we need projections of future flood and drought occurrence. Numerical simulation models are used to provide such scenarios, but they are very complex and highly uncertain. To better understand and constrain these model-based projections, we need to quantify emerging trends in the water cycle. This requires long records of past hydrological observations. River flows (the volume of water flowing in rivers) are especially useful because river flows integrate climate processes over the large areas covered by drainage basins. River flows are also, in practice, one way in which climate change will most impact society and the environment: through devastating floods at one end of the spectrum to droughts at the other, causing water shortages for public supply, industry, irrigation and wildlife. Across the world, there have been many studies of long-term trends in river flow. Despite this past research, however, our confidence in observed trends remains very low - even in the major state-of-the-art IPCC reports, which have typically been cautious in their reporting of floods and droughts. The key reason is that most rivers are heavily modified by human disturbances (e.g. dams, large removals of water for irrigation, domestic or industrial consumption). These disturbances can obscure the 'signal' of climate change - that is, trends in many rivers may bear no relation to global warming and may in fact be opposing the climate trend, due to human modifications such as dam construction. To detect climate-driven trends we need to analyse river basins that are relatively undisturbed by such human impacts. Recognizing this, some countries have declared 'Reference Hydrometric Networks' (RHNs) of locations where river flows are measured, and where human impacts are absent or minimal. However, to date there have been no efforts to integrate these globally. This is a problem for global assessments like the IPCC, as countries use different methods to assess trends, which limits comparison. Members of our consortium have previously pioneered a first trans-Atlantic study in this field. With the ROBIN initiative, we are now advancing a truly worldwide effort to bring together a global RHN. As well as the network of river basins, ROBIN is the network of researchers and institutions sharing expertise. The network includes leading experts from Brazil, Chile, Malawi, South Africa, India, Thailand, New Zealand and Australia, augmenting our existing network across Europe and North America. Crucially, these new countries span a broad range of different climates and the partners also bring specific expertise (for example, unique knowledge of global datasets that can support ROBIN, or specialist analysis of 'ephemeral' rivers that often run dry). ROBIN will engage other countries to expand over the lifetime of the project and set out a pathway to a sustainable legacy for the network going into the future. In this regard, crucially, ROBIN is supported by international organisations (UNESCO, WMO and the IPCC) who will ensure sustainability following the two-year project. ROBIN will also deliver the first truly global scale analysis of trends in river flows using undisturbed catchments. This will be a novel, high impact analysis in its own right, but will also showcase the potential of the network. Taken together, these activities will help realise the vision of ROBIN that future IPCC assessments will make more confident appraisals of climate change impacts on the water cycle, including floods and droughts.

The Palestinian liberation struggle has long been a standard-bearer for anti-colonial movements around the world. Rarely, however, have scholars investigated the historical process by which Palestinians embedded their cause within other struggles in the global south. The Palestinian Americas is the first project to document in detail how Palestinians forged such ties in a specific geographical context: that of Latin America in the 1950s, 60s and 70s. Rather than assume Third World solidarities to have been produced across discrete national or regional blocs operating under Cold War logics, the project focuses on the revolutionary activism of diasporic Palestinians, emphasising forms of south-south migration and connectivity that bypassed European and North American channels. Since the early 20th century, Latin America has been home to the largest number of Palestinians in the world outside the Middle East (around 1 million), with particularly high concentrations in Central America and Chile. While these communities have long been known for their success as business entrepreneurs, significant numbers joined Latin American revolutionary movements from the 1950s onwards. Against a backdrop of rising Third World solidarity, this new generation of activists came into increasing contact with the nascent Palestinian liberation struggle as they sought to link their local activism to a global picture of anti-imperial resistance. Yet they also had to contend with hostility among fellow Palestinians in Latin America who often viewed involvement in left-wing activism as a threat to their economic interests. The project explores the complexity and specificity of these diasporic spaces, providing new insight on the struggles involved in forming south-south solidarities in the mid-20th century. From indigenous demands for land reform in El Salvador, to student movements in Chile, to the Sandinista uprising in Nicaragua, Palestinian revolutionaries in Latin America were embedded within distinctly local socio-political contexts. At the same time, their activism frequently forced them into clandestine lifestyles as they escaped persecution and sought to build new ties of solidarity. Using carefully chosen case studies, the research probes this interplay between movement, localised space and revolutionary activism through a combination of ethnographic and documentary sources, reconstructing the networks of kin and ideology that sustained diasporic Palestinians in their precarious journeys across disparate locations. The research is geared towards 3 main outputs. Firstly, an article in a leading journal of global history will look at Santiago de Chile as a hub for Palestinian revolutionary activists from across Latin America and the Middle East in order to make a broader intervention in how global historians can explore south-south solidarities in the era of Third World revolution. Secondly, an international conference and resulting special issue will establish a new, collective research agenda looking at the Arab diaspora's historic engagement with the Palestinian struggle. Thirdly, the project will digitise materials held in Chile, El Salvador and France to produce 3 new collections and 2 digital stories in the Planet Bethlehem Archive, an online resource that documents the diasporic heritage of Bethlehem - the town that produced the majority of Palestinian migration to the Americas. The project will make these outputs useful to key stakeholders beyond the academic sector through a consultative engagement programme that sees the PI partnering with archives and cultural organisations in Latin America, as well as a group of diasporic Palestinian writers and artists, to shape collectively a series of public events, educational materials and media publications. The PI will also draft a book aimed at a general readership which tells the story of Latin America's entanglement with the Palestinian struggle in the 20th century.

Understanding when, where, and how windblown dust is emitted from deserts is important because dust can be detrimental to human health, can pollute downwind environmental systems, and, when airborne, can influence climate. Desert dust can also be rich in iron and other nutrients so when it falls into oceans downwind of its desert source, it can stimulate the productivity of marine biota in the surface waters. The impact of this is especially important in certain sensitive coastal areas where the mixing of cold water occurs close to the shore, such as at the Atacama and Namib Desert coastlines. These coastal waters can be particularly receptive to the nutrients that deposited dust might be providing. The UK Team have undertaken research on windblown dust in southern African deserts for many years. Our approach has been to use satellite observations to identify the sources of dust in different areas of the desert landscape, and then install state-of-the-art monitoring and survey equipment in these 'hot-spots' of dust emission to measure the wind and surface characteristics that control how and when dust is eroded by the wind. Our data have allowed improvements to be made in models of windblown dust emission into the atmosphere, and have also shown the significance of deposited dust in the fertilisation of the South Atlantic Ocean. The Atacama Desert is similar in many interesting respects to the Namib Desert in southern Africa. Both deserts are located on continental west coasts, fringed by cold ocean currents to the west and steep topography to the east. They have similar types of landscapes with a mix of dry river valleys, stony plains, and salty dry lakes. In the Namib, such surfaces have been shown to be prone to wind erosion and the generation of dust storms. However, whilst we know that winds generate dust in the Atacama Desert, we know very little about when and where such storms occur, or whether the dust contains iron which might affect the nutrient levels in the adjacent ocean waters. Our aim is to start a new collaboration of scientists from Chile, the UK, and Namibia to begin to answer these questions and determine the impacts of and controls on windblown dust in the Atacama Desert. We wish to achieve an understanding of the relevant processes in the Atacama which is as good as that which we have gained in the Namib. This research will bring together researchers from the UK and Namibia who have expertise in identifying sites of dust erosion (termed emission 'hot-spots') in Namibia, and a Chilean researcher who has expertise on the Atacama wind erosion system. Together this new team will establish, for the first time and at high resolution, where dust in the region comes from (using satellite images to identify 'hot-spots'), and how frequently dust storms occur. The team will then undertake fieldwork to explore the surface ground conditions at these 'hot-spots' and, at specific sites, install instruments to directly measure the amount of dust that is being eroded. Based on the outputs from this project, the team will develop a long-term collaborative relationship that will explore the effects of dust in the Atacama region in more detail through additional grant proposals. This will include investigating the influence of climate cycles on the efficiency of wind erosion, how important dust in this region is for ocean productivity, and the significance of human impact, such as mining, on generating windblown dust.

Landslides are a major source of fatalities and damage related with strong earthquakes, particularly in mountain areas. Forecasting the distribution and impact of landslides induced by earthquakes is one of the greatest challenges in the earth sciences. The behavior of slopes during seismic excitation is exceptionally complex, being dependent upon geological, geomorphological, geotechnical and seismological factors. This project aims to identify the main characteristics of landslide occurrence during strong earthquakes in Chile, improving the understanding of their mechanics, spatial distribution and controlling factors, obtaining quantifiable inputs for the development of a methodology for earthquake-induced landslide hazard assessment. This will be achieved through compiling and analyzing inventories for two Chilean earthquakes (Aysén 2007 and Maule 2010) to be compared with foreign landslide inventories; running a laboratory testing scheme in UK for better understanding of the mechanical causes of seismic slope failure; and applying those results on the development of a method for assessing the seismic stability of slopes in Chile. The new methodology will be verified in the Santiago region, which presents the highest population of the country and where an active fault has been recently discovered (San Ramón Fault). The outputs will include scientific publications, advanced human resource training as well as a new technique of hazard assessment applicable to urban/territorial planning and natural disaster prevention strategies in the country.

This research aims to rethink urban crisis by expanding conceptual and empirical understanding of how crises are governed across the interrelated spheres of health, social, and economic policy. As traditional forms of state service provision are disrupted through state-led restructuring under crisis, the pressure for innovative urban solutions and competition for resources increases. Using Athens, Manchester, and Santiago as case studies, this research will identify the economic, political and social stresses involved in providing spaces of care to the urban poor, who are disproportionately affected by crises, and the policies and politics involved in attempting to manage intersecting urban crises. Urban service innovation has been a key area of development for government, industry, and academia. For example, the UN Sustainable Development Goals 3 and 11, on health and urbanization respectively, have highlighted the importance of a wholistic understanding of the relationship between health, well-being, and sustainable urban environments. Urban health is one of eight key challenges set out by the European Commission's platform on the Future of Cities. Urban Health in Latin America and the Caribbean is a research priority for the International Science Council, and global consultancies such as ARUP have focused on health and care proximities as key in urban development and design. The findings of the research program will help solidify and expand the evidence base on the links between urban crises, governance, experimentation, and the politics and practices of health and social care. I will make two key contributions. First, the project will make a novel contribution to understanding the spread and effects of state-led restructuring of spaces of health and social care in cities during and after urban crisis, advancing an empirical and conceptual agenda that centres health in understanding the urban politics of crisis. Second it will identify how cities negotiate the difficult task of managing conflicting international, national and local agendas focusing on the tensions between financial stability on the one hand and social sustainability and public health interventions on the other. This research will compare how national and local governments address crisis in three interrelated spheres: health, social care, and the economy. It will examine the implications for urban politics, governance, and urban experimentation surrounding the policies and the siting of as well as access to public health facilities and spaces of care for low-income communities across the three cities. I will do so by investigating the relationship between urban politics, and the need for increasing local provision of public health services and social care in Athens, Manchester, and Santiago through a relational comparative approach. The research questions that will guide this work are: 1. What forms of urban crisis are manifest in each city? What are the processes of addressing these crises from a national and municipal perspective? 2. How have the practices, politics, and policies surrounding urban crisis and their on-going effects shaped spaces of urban public health and care in each city? 3. What forms of experimentation have emerged in the immediate wake of urban crisis and what are the ongoing effects of this experimentation on spaces of health and social care? 4. How has state provision of urban public health and care changed over time in each city? What have been the main political debates in the cities affected? 5. What, if any, alternative forms of service provision have emerged to manage the effects of crisis and crisis policies on urban health services?