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Road Transport, Economic Growth and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the BRIICS: Conditions For a Low Carbon Economic Development

Authors: Atte-Oudeyi, Barakatou; Kestemont, Bruno; De Meulemeester, Jean Luc;

Road Transport, Economic Growth and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the BRIICS: Conditions For a Low Carbon Economic Development

Abstract

In this article, we investigate the relationship between economic growth and CO2 emissions per capita due to road transport in order to test the validity of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. We test an EKC model on a sample of six emerging countries (Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China and South Africa so-called BRIICS) using yearly data from 2000 to 2010. Empirical results reveal an inverted U-shaped EKC curve relating CO2 emissions per capita due to road transport to the level of economic development (level of GDP percapita). In all models tested, the turning point exceeds the current GDP per capita of the richest country of the group, which means that it would happen virtually in a far future or after a strong growth episode. Results show that the turning point of this EKC for road transport depends on population density and the integration of government effectiveness into the BRIICS’s economic development policy. However, when Russia is omitted from the group, the EKC hypothesis does not hold anymore and CO2 emissions per capita are uniformly increasing with per capita GDP. The main policy implication from our results is that policy makers should not base their policy on the EKC hypothesis: increasing the per capita GDP level alone cannot reduce CO2 emissions per capita from road transport and without a significant change in policy, economic growth will exacerbate CO2 emissions.

info:eu-repo/semantics/published

Country
Belgium
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Keywords

Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth, Hazardous Waste, R42, Environmental Accounting, Road Transport, Solid Waste, Air Pollution, Environment and Development, Economic Growth, Transportation Systems: Government and Private Investment Analysis, Environmental Kuznets Curve, Recycling, Environmental Economics: Government Policy, Government and Private Investment Analysis [Transportation Systems], Population Growth, CO2 Emissions, Fixed- Effects and Random-Effects Regression Models, Environment and Trade, Q53, Water Pollution, Q56, Panel Data, Q58, Pooled OLS Regression Model, Sustainability, Government Policy [Environmental Economics], BRIICS, Economie, Air Pollution; Water Pollution; Noise; Hazardous Waste; Solid Waste; Recycling, Noise, Environmental Equity

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
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Energy Research