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The world's biggest gamble

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 01 Oct 2016Embargo end date: 17 Aug 2017 United Kingdom, Germany, Austria, United States, United States, Switzerland, United States, United States Publisher:American Geophysical Union (AGU)Journal:Earth's Future, volume 4, pages 465-470 (issn: 2328-4277, eissn: 2328-4277,

Authors: Hans Joachim Schellnhuber; Owen Gaffney; Owen Gaffney; Brian J. Hoskins; Joeri Rogelj; Joeri Rogelj; Veerabhadran Ramanathan; +7 Authors

doi: 10.1002/2016ef000392 , 10.7916/d8-d9br-3t40 , 10.18452/18170 , 10.3929/ethz-b-000123602

handle: 10044/1/52900

The world's biggest gamble

- Summary
- Subjects
- Metrics

Abstract

AbstractThe scale of the decarbonisation challenge to meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the public arena. It will require precipitous emissions reductions within 40 years and a new carbon sink on the scale of the ocean sink. Even then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot. A catastrophic failure of policy, for example, waiting another decade for transformative policy and full commitments to fossil‐free economies, will have irreversible and deleterious repercussions for humanity's remaining time on Earth. Only a global zero carbon roadmap will put the world on a course to phase‐out greenhouse gas emissions and create the essential carbon sinks for Earth‐system stability, without which, world prosperity is not possible.

Countries

United Kingdom, Germany, Austria, United States, United States, Switzerland, United States, United States

Related Organizations

National Institute for Space Research
Brazil
Columbia University
United States
University of California System
United States
Swedish Academy
Sweden
University of California, San Diego
United States

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Keywords

551 Geologie, Hydrologie, Meteorologie, 550, 330, Environmental Science and Management, Climatic changes--International cooperation, decarbonisation, Environmental Sciences & Ecology, Paris Agreement, Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience, Atmospheric Sciences, carbon budget, DEGREES-C, carbon roadmap, Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (Organization), Geosciences, Multidisciplinary, Earth system, Multidisciplinary, Science & Technology, Climatic changes--Government policy, Geology, climate change; decarbonisation; Paris Agreement; carbon roadmap; carbon budget; Earth system, Climate Action, climate change, Greenhouse gases, Carbon dioxide, AGREEMENT, Physical Sciences, PARIS, CO2, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Geosciences, Environmental Sciences, SYSTEM, ddc: ddc:551

Impact byBIP!

	citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).	67
	popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.	Top 10%
	influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).	Top 10%
	impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.	Top 1%