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High‐resolution CMIP6 analysis highlights emerging climate challenges in alpine and Tibetan Tundra zones

doi: 10.1002/met.70001
AbstractWe employ a high‐resolution Köppen climate classification dataset to examine shifts in Tundra zones within the Alps and Asia. Our analysis shows substantial reductions in Tundra areas by the mid‐21st century under different Shared. Socioeconomic pathways (SSP1‐2.6, SSP3‐7.0, SSP5‐8.5). Tundra zones in the Alps and the Tibetan Plateau are crucial for their unique climates and role as water reservoirs. Characterized by short, mild summers and long, severe winters, these zones are vital for the glaciers and perennial snow. The projected climate instability may significantly reduce alpine snow cover by mid‐century with irreversible consequences. A 2°C temperature increase from the 1981–2010 baseline could eliminate the Tundra climate in the Alps and reduce it by over 70% in Asia. This is particularly concerning given that rivers from the Tibetan Plateau sustain nearly 40% of the global population.
- Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Germany
- Sorbonne Paris Cité France
- Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Germany
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Germany
- École des Ponts ParisTech France
Asia, 550, [SDU.OCEAN] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, Alps, Köppen classification, Europe, Tibetan plateau, Central Asia, [SDU.STU.CL] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology, climate change, Meteorology. Climatology, Climate change, QC851-999, Tundra
Asia, 550, [SDU.OCEAN] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere, Alps, Köppen classification, Europe, Tibetan plateau, Central Asia, [SDU.STU.CL] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology, climate change, Meteorology. Climatology, Climate change, QC851-999, Tundra
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