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Economic Impacts of Future Changes in the Energy System—Global Perspectives
In a climate constrained future, hybrid energy-economy model coupling gives additional insight into interregional competition, trade, industrial delocalisation and overall macroeconomic consequences of decarbonising the energy system. Decarbonising the energy system is critical in mitigating climate change. This chapter summarises modelling methodologies developed in the ETSAP community to assess economic impacts of decarbonising energy systems at a global level. The next chapter of this book focuses on a national perspective. The range of economic impacts is regionally dependent upon the stage of economic development, the level of industrialisation, energy intensity of exports, and competition effects due to rates of relative decarbonisation. Developed nation's decarbonisation targets are estimated to result in a manageable GDP loss in the region of 2 % by 2050. Energy intensive export driven developing countries such as China and India, and fossil fuel exporting nations can expect significantly higher GDP loss of up to 5 % GDP per year by mid-century.
- Luleå University of Technology Sweden
- University of Cape Town South Africa
- Universidade Nova de Lisboa Portugal
- MINES ParisTech - École nationale supérieure des mines de Paris France
- Paul Scherrer Institute Switzerland
330, [SDE.PLT]Environmental Sciences/domain_sde.plt, 381, [ SDE.PLAN ] Environmental Sciences/domain_sde.plan, SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth, climate policy, [SDE.PLAN]Environmental Sciences/domain_sde.plan, Energy System, [ SDE.PLT ] Environmental Sciences/domain_sde.plt, [SDE.PLAN]Environmental Sciences/Energy planning, energy system, computable general equilibrium, SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, [SDE.PLT]Environmental Sciences/Long-term future, Economic Impact, SDG 13 - Climate Action, computable general equilibrium model, international energy agency
330, [SDE.PLT]Environmental Sciences/domain_sde.plt, 381, [ SDE.PLAN ] Environmental Sciences/domain_sde.plan, SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth, climate policy, [SDE.PLAN]Environmental Sciences/domain_sde.plan, Energy System, [ SDE.PLT ] Environmental Sciences/domain_sde.plt, [SDE.PLAN]Environmental Sciences/Energy planning, energy system, computable general equilibrium, SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, [SDE.PLT]Environmental Sciences/Long-term future, Economic Impact, SDG 13 - Climate Action, computable general equilibrium model, international energy agency
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).7 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
