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Innovation benefits from nuclear phase-out: can they compensate the costs?

Authors: Massimo Tavoni; Massimo Tavoni; Samuel Carrara; Enrica De Cian; Enrica De Cian;

Innovation benefits from nuclear phase-out: can they compensate the costs?

Abstract

This paper investigates whether an inefficient allocation of abatement, due to constraints on the use of currently available low carbon mitigation options, can promote innovation in new technologies and eventually generate welfare gains. We focus on the case of nuclear power phase out, when accounting for endogenous technical change in energy efficiency and in low carbon technologies. The analysis uses the Integrated Assessment Model WITCH, which features multiple externalities due to both climate and innovation market failures. Our results show that phasing out nuclear power stimulates additional R&D investments and deployment of infant technologies with large learning potential. The innovation benefits which this would generate and that would not otherwise be captured due to intertemporal and international externalities almost completely offset the economic costs of phasing out nuclear power. The technological change benefit depends on the stringency of the climate policy and is distributed unevenly across countries.

Keywords

Q40, Global and Planetary Change; Atmospheric Science, Förderung regenerativer Energien, Technischer Fortschritt, Technological change, Climate policy, Nuclear phase-out, O33, Technological change, Forschung, ddc:330, Q55, Regenerative Energie, Nuclear phase-out, Climate policy, Kernenergiepolitik, H40, jel: jel:H40, jel: jel:Q40, jel: jel:Q55, jel: jel:O33

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    Average
    influence
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
8
Average
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
bronze