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The impact of population on CO2 emissions: evidence from European countries

Authors: Aurelia Bengochea Morancho; Rafael Morales-Lage; Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso; Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso;

The impact of population on CO2 emissions: evidence from European countries

Abstract

This paper analyses the impact of population growth on CO2 emissions in European Union countries. Traditionally, researchers have assumed a unitary elasticity of emissions with respect to population growth. In this study population is treated as a predictor in the model, instead of being included as part of the dependent variable (per capita emissions), thus relaxing the above-mentioned assumption of unitary elasticity. We also contribute to the existing literature by taking into account the presence of heterogeneity in the sample and considering a dynamic specification. The sample covers the period 1975-1999 for the current European Union members. Our results show that the impact of population growth on emissions is more than proportional for recent accession countries whereas for old EU members, the elasticity is lower than unity and non significant when the properties of the time series and the dynamics are correctly specified. The different impact of population change on CO2 emissions for the current EU members should therefore be taken into account in future discussions of climate change policies within the EU.

Keywords

Luftverunreinigung, Q4, Q25, CO2 Emissions, European Union, Panel Data, Population Growth, European Union, Population Growth, CO2 Emissions, Bevölkerungswachstum, Q54, Kohlendioxid, CO 2 emissions, European Union, Panel data, Population growth, Q25, Q4, Q54,, Panel Data, Panel, EU-Staaten, ddc: ddc:330, jel: jel:Q25, jel: jel:Q4, jel: jel:Q54

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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
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    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
232
Top 1%
Top 1%
Top 10%