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A Good Opening: The Key to Make the Most of Unilateral Climate Action

In this paper we argue that when a subgroup of countries cooperate on emission reduction, the optimal response of non-signatory countries reflects the interaction between three potentially opposing factors, the incentive to free-ride on the benefits of cooperation, the incentive to expand the demand of fossil fuels, and the incentive to adopt cleaner technologies introduced by the coalition. Using an Integrated Assessment Model with a game theoretic structure we find that cost-benefit considerations would lead OECD countries to undertake a moderate, but increasing abatement effort (in line with the pledges subscribed in Copenhagen). Even if emission reductions are moderate, OECD countries find it optimal to allocate part of their resources to energy R&D and investments in cleaner technologies. International spillovers of knowledge and technology diffusion then lead to the deployment of these technologies in non-signatory countries as well, reducing their emissions. When the OECD group follows more ambitious targets, such as 2050 emissions that are 50% below 2005 levels, the benefits of technology externalities do not compensate the incentives deriving from the lower fossil fuels prices. This suggests that, when choosing their unilateral climate objective, cooperating countries should take into account the possibility to induce a virtuous behaviour in non-signatory countries. By looking at a two-phase negotiation set-up, we find that free-riding incentives spurred by more ambitious targets can be mitigated by means of credible commitments for developing countries in the second phase, as they would reduce lock-in in carbon intensive technologies.
- Central Maine Community College United States
- Eni (Italy) Italy
- Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei Italy
- Università Luigi Bocconi Italy
- Ca Foscari University of Venice Italy
Partial Cooperation, Q54, Climate Change, Technology spillovers; Climate change, Q55, Technology Spillovers, C72, Technology spillovers; Climate change; Partial cooperation, Environmental Economics and Policy, Technology spillovers, Climate change, Partial cooperation, Q54, Q55, C72,, Technology Spillovers, Climate Change, Partial Cooperation, jel: jel:C72, jel: jel:Q55, jel: jel:Q54, ddc: ddc:330
Partial Cooperation, Q54, Climate Change, Technology spillovers; Climate change, Q55, Technology Spillovers, C72, Technology spillovers; Climate change; Partial cooperation, Environmental Economics and Policy, Technology spillovers, Climate change, Partial cooperation, Q54, Q55, C72,, Technology Spillovers, Climate Change, Partial Cooperation, jel: jel:C72, jel: jel:Q55, jel: jel:Q54, ddc: ddc:330
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).17 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
