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Testing the relationships between energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and economic growth in 24 African countries: a panel ARDL approach

This study complements existing literature by examining the nexus between energy consumption (EC), CO2 emissions (CE), and economic growth (GDP; gross domestic product) in 24 African countries using a panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach. The following findings are established. First, there is a long-run relationship between EC, CE, and GDP. Second, a long-term effect from CE to GDP and EC is apparent, with reciprocal paths. Third, the error correction mechanisms are consistently stable. However, in cases of disequilibrium, only EC can be significantly adjusted to its long-run relationship. Fourth, there is a long-run causality running from GDP and CE to EC. Fifth, we find causality running from either CE or both CE and EC to GDP, and inverse causal paths are observable. Causality from EC to GDP is not strong, which supports the conservative hypothesis. Sixth, the causal direction from EC to GDP remains unobservable in the short term. By contrast, the opposite path is observable. There are also no short-run causalities from GDP, or EC, or EC, and GDP to EC. Policy implications are discussed.
- Manouba University Tunisia
- Vrije Universiteit Brussel Belgium
- Tunis El Manar University Tunisia
- Manouba University Tunisia
- Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München Germany
Q43, Gross Domestic Product, O40, Conservation of Energy Resources, C52 - Model Evaluation, CO2 emissions, C52, O43 - Institutions and Growth, O50 - General, Validation, Humans, and Selection, Developing Countries, O55 - Africa, Economic growth, Air Pollutants, O55, O40 - General, Q50, Carbon Dioxide, Energy consumption, Energy consumption; CO2 emissions; Economic growth; Africa, Africa, Economic Development, jel: jel:O40, jel: jel:Q43, jel: jel:C52, jel: jel:Q50, jel: jel:O55, ddc: ddc:330
Q43, Gross Domestic Product, O40, Conservation of Energy Resources, C52 - Model Evaluation, CO2 emissions, C52, O43 - Institutions and Growth, O50 - General, Validation, Humans, and Selection, Developing Countries, O55 - Africa, Economic growth, Air Pollutants, O55, O40 - General, Q50, Carbon Dioxide, Energy consumption, Energy consumption; CO2 emissions; Economic growth; Africa, Africa, Economic Development, jel: jel:O40, jel: jel:Q43, jel: jel:C52, jel: jel:Q50, jel: jel:O55, ddc: ddc:330
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).136 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
