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Generalized global solar radiation forecasting model via cyber-secure deep federated learning

pmid: 37837598
pmc: PMC10923743
AbstractRecently, the increasing prevalence of solar energy in power and energy systems around the world has dramatically increased the importance of accurately predicting solar irradiance. However, the lack of access to data in many regions and the privacy concerns that can arise when collecting and transmitting data from distributed points to a central server pose challenges to current predictive techniques. This study proposes a global solar radiation forecasting approach based on federated learning (FL) and convolutional neural network (CNN). In addition to maintaining input data privacy, the proposed procedure can also be used as a global supermodel. In this paper, data related to eight regions of Iran with different climatic features are considered as CNN input for network training in each client. To test the effectiveness of the global supermodel, data related to three new regions of Iran named Abadeh, Jarqavieh, and Arak are used. It can be seen that the global forecasting supermodel was able to forecast solar radiation for Abadeh, Jarqavieh, and Arak regions with 95%, 92%, and 90% accuracy coefficients, respectively. Finally, in a comparative scenario, various conventional machine learning and deep learning models are employed to forecast solar radiation in each of the study regions. The results of the above approaches are compared and evaluated with the results of the proposed FL-based method. The results show that, since no training data were available from regions of Abadeh, Jarqavieh, and Arak, the conventional methods were not able to forecast solar radiation in these regions. This evaluation confirms the high ability of the presented FL approach to make acceptable predictions while preserving privacy and eliminating model reliance on training data.
- LUT University Finland
- Universiti Teknologi MARA Malaysia
- Aalborg University Denmark
- Aalborg University Library (AUB) Aalborg Universitet Research Portal Denmark
- "UNIVERSIDADE DO PORTO Portugal
Artificial neural network, Artificial intelligence, Environmental Engineering, Electricity Price and Load Forecasting Methods, Federated learning, Convolutional neural network, Cyber-security, Iran, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/industry_innovation_and_infrastructure; name=SDG 9 - Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure, Machine Learning, Low-Cost Air Quality Monitoring Systems, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/affordable_and_clean_energy; name=SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, Engineering, Solar energy, Artificial Intelligence, Machine learning, Solar Energy, FOS: Electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, Humans, Machine Learning Methods for Solar Radiation Forecasting, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/partnerships; name=SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Data mining, FOS: Environmental engineering, Load Forecasting, Deep learning, Applied Solar Energy, Renewable energy resources, Computer science, Electrical engineering, Computer Science, Physical Sciences, Environmental Science, Solar Radiation, Neural Networks, Computer, Short-Term Forecasting, Solar radiation forecasting, Probabilistic Forecasting, Forecasting
Artificial neural network, Artificial intelligence, Environmental Engineering, Electricity Price and Load Forecasting Methods, Federated learning, Convolutional neural network, Cyber-security, Iran, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/industry_innovation_and_infrastructure; name=SDG 9 - Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure, Machine Learning, Low-Cost Air Quality Monitoring Systems, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/affordable_and_clean_energy; name=SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, Engineering, Solar energy, Artificial Intelligence, Machine learning, Solar Energy, FOS: Electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, Humans, Machine Learning Methods for Solar Radiation Forecasting, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/partnerships; name=SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Data mining, FOS: Environmental engineering, Load Forecasting, Deep learning, Applied Solar Energy, Renewable energy resources, Computer science, Electrical engineering, Computer Science, Physical Sciences, Environmental Science, Solar Radiation, Neural Networks, Computer, Short-Term Forecasting, Solar radiation forecasting, Probabilistic Forecasting, Forecasting
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).4 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
