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International Journal of Coal Science & Technology
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Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Other literature type , Journal 09 Aug 2021 Australia Publisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLCJournal:International Journal of Coal Science & Technology, volume 8, pages 1,208-1,226 (issn: 2095-8293, eissn: 2198-7823, Copyright policy )
Authors: Steve Mohr; Jianliang Wang; James Ward; Damien Giurco;

doi: 10.1007/s40789-021-00449-x

pmid: 34395031

pmc: PMC8351787

handle: 11541.2/25393 , 1959.13/1451845

Projecting the global impact of fossil fuel production from the Former Soviet Union

Abstract

AbstractDetailed projections of the Former Soviet Union (FSU) fossil fuel production has been created. Russian production has been modelled at the region (oblast) level where possible. The projections were made using the Geologic Resource Supply-Demand Model (GeRS-DeMo). Low, Best Guess and High scenarios were created. FSU fossil fuels are projected to peak between 2027 and 2087 with the range due to spread of Ultimately Recoverable Resources (URR) values used. The Best Guess (BG) scenario anticipates FSU will peak in 2087 with production over 170 EJ per year. The FSU projections were combined with rest of the world projections (Mohr et al. 2015b), the emissions from the High scenario for the world are similar to the IPCC A1 AIM scenario.

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Australia
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Keywords

Sustainable Development Goals, SDG 13, fossil fuel projection, fossil fuel production, Former Soviet Union, Geologic Resource Supply-Demand Model (GeRS-DeMo), Research Article

  • BIP!
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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    		 7
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    		 Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    		 Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    		 Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold
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