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Applied Energy
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Applied Energy
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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Imbalance and drivers of carbon emissions embodied in trade along the Belt and Road Initiative

Authors: Kai Fang; Yanmei Li; Qi Wen; Jiashuo Li; Qinli Lu; Reinout Heijungs; Reinout Heijungs; +2 Authors

Imbalance and drivers of carbon emissions embodied in trade along the Belt and Road Initiative

Abstract

A continuous growth of international trade, especially between developing countries, has greatly increased carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions associated with energy consumption over the past two decades. Given the more intensified intraregional cooperation and trade within the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), this study aims to trace the imbalance of CO2 embodied in trade between nations in BRI and the rest of the world, providing new insights into the drivers of emissions growth by contrasting consumption, production and technological differences-based perspectives. Results indicate that the BRI contributed to over 50% of global carbon footprint and 92% of its increase in 1995–2015. The BRI was a net exporter of trade-embodied emissions, whose technological-adjusted carbon footprint remained remarkably large due to comparatively high carbon intensity. Geographically, carbon leakage has gradually moved from China and India to other BRI countries, especially to Southeast Asia, West Asia and Africa. Technological change was the key driver of emissions reduction, followed by the change in industrial structure. The growth in final demand per capita was the most important driver for the growth of CO2 emissions in BRI. Improving carbon efficiency remains a critical step for BRI nations to slow down not only emissions growth but also carbon leakage. The paper managed to provide novel insights into the carbon leakage in BRI by contrasting the consumption, production and technological differences-based perspectives, thus being able to better inform policymakers on region-specific low-carbon transition and global climate governance.

Countries
Netherlands, Switzerland
Keywords

carbon footprint, Technological difference, Monitoring, country, Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), belt and road initiative (bri), energy use, co2 emissions, china belt, SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals, Energy(all), SDG 13 - Climate Action, consumption, structural decomposition, carbon leakage, multi-regional input-output (mrio) analysis, consistency, Policy and Law, Mechanical Engineering, Carbon leakage, footprint, Building and Construction, structural decomposition analysis (sda), greenhouse-gas emissions, Multi-regional input–output (MRIO) analysis, Carbon footprint, Management, Structural decomposition analysis (SDA), technological difference, intensity

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    108
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
108
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
hybrid