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Atmospheric Environment
Article . 2014 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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A regression approach for estimation of anthropogenic heat flux based on a bottom-up air pollutant emission database

Authors: Sang-Hyun Lee; Stuart A. McKeen; David J. Sailor;

A regression approach for estimation of anthropogenic heat flux based on a bottom-up air pollutant emission database

Abstract

Abstract A statistical regression method is presented for estimating hourly anthropogenic heat flux (AHF) using an anthropogenic pollutant emission inventory for use in mesoscale meteorological and air-quality modeling. Based on bottom-up AHF estimated from detailed energy consumption data and anthropogenic pollutant emissions of carbon monoxide (CO) and nitrogen oxides (NO x ) in the US National Emission Inventory year 2005 (NEI-2005), a robust regression relation between the AHF and the pollutant emissions is obtained for Houston. This relation is a combination of two power functions ( Y = aX b ) relating CO and NO x emissions to AHF, giving a determinant coefficient ( R 2 ) of 0.72. The AHF for Houston derived from the regression relation has high temporal ( R = 0.91) and spatial ( R = 0.83) correlations with the bottom-up AHF. Hourly AHF for the whole US in summer is estimated by applying the regression relation to the NEI-2005 summer pollutant emissions with a high spatial resolution of 4-km. The summer daily mean AHF range 10–40 W m −2 on a 4 × 4 km 2 grid scale with maximum heat fluxes of 50–140 W m −2 for major US cities. The AHFs derived from the regression relations between the bottom-up AHF and either CO or NO x emissions show a small difference of less than 5% (4.7 W m −2 ) in city-scale daily mean AHF, and similar R 2 statistics, compared to results from their combination. Thus, emissions of either species can be used to estimate AHF in the US cities. An hourly AHF inventory at 4 × 4 km 2 resolution over the entire US based on the combined regression is derived and made publicly available for use in mesoscale numerical modeling.

Country
United States
Keywords

Mechanical Engineering, Emissions -- Anthropogenic, Energy consumption, Materials Science and Engineering, Heat flux, Regression analysis, Environmental Monitoring

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    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
31
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze