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China's Greenhouse Gas emissions’ dynamic effects in the process of its urbanization: A perspective from shocks decomposition under long-term constraints

AbstractThis paper is about to quantify the effect of China's urbanization on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by separating the part driven by the economic growth from the whole effect. In order to be accurate to estimate unknown parameters, this paper follows the method of Blanchard & Quah (1989), in which identifying conditions are set by assuming some shocks have no long-term effect on corresponding explained variables. We conclude that 1) Urbanization shock has an inverted hump-shaped effect on GHG emissions, in other words, nowadays the process of China's urbanization has been accompanied with saving energy and reducing emissions; 2) The growth rate of GHG emissions, owning to the GDP shock, can be raised by almost 1.53% annually and the urbanization level approximately contributes to 18% of the change of CO2 emissions based on empirical results; 3) China's emission reductions, in the short run, are actualy in expense of decreasing economic growth and delaying the p rocess of its urbanization.
- Zhejiang Gongshang University China (People's Republic of)
- Hangzhou Dianzi University China (People's Republic of)
- Zhejiang Gongshang University China (People's Republic of)
- Hangzhou Dianzi University China (People's Republic of)
greenhouse gas emissions, shocks decomposion, China's urbanization, Energy(all), Structural VAR
greenhouse gas emissions, shocks decomposion, China's urbanization, Energy(all), Structural VAR
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).30 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
