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Energy Economics
Article
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Energy Economics
Article . 2016 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
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The informational content of inventory announcements: Intraday evidence from crude oil futures market

Authors: Ye, Shiyu; Karali, Berna;

The informational content of inventory announcements: Intraday evidence from crude oil futures market

Abstract

Abstract This paper examines the behavior of intraday crude oil futures return and volatility and how they respond to weekly inventory announcements by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and Energy Information Administration (EIA). The informational content of API reports is measured relative to market analysts' expectations collected by Reuters, whereas that of EIA reports is measured relative to API reports. Results suggest that unexpected inventory changes in both API and EIA reports exert an immediate inverse impact on returns and a positive impact on volatility; but the duration and magnitude of EIA inventory shocks are longer and larger, with the largest impact observed when Reuters and API both err on the same side. While there are no instant asymmetric return responses to positive and negative API shocks, the return and volatility responses to cross-commodity inventory shocks in EIA reports exhibit asymmetry.

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Demand and Price Analysis,

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
37
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
bronze