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Energy
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Article . 2020
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Integrated Deterministic and Probabilistic Safety Analysis of Integrated Energy Systems with bi-directional conversion

Authors: Lixun Chi; Li Zhang; Enrico Zio; Enrico Zio; Hua Bai; Hua Bai; Jing Zhou; +4 Authors

Integrated Deterministic and Probabilistic Safety Analysis of Integrated Energy Systems with bi-directional conversion

Abstract

The rapid development of the technology of energy conversion is changing the global energy landscape. In this study, a reliability analysis framework for Integrated Energy Systems (IESs) is developed, based on the concept of Integrated Deterministic and Probabilistic Safety Analysis (IDPSA). A bi-directional energy conversion system model is developed to simulate the deterministic evolution of the IES. Then, the dynamic event tree (DET) analysis technique is used to describe the stochastic evolution of IES, based on the physics of IES. Given the scenarios from the DET, the probabilistic safety margin method is used to evaluate the reliability of IES. The contract pressures at delivery points are adopted as critical safety parameters for the evaluation of the safety margins. To reduce the computational burden, Order Statistics, combining the Bracketing and Coverage approaches, are used to obtain the percentiles of the probabilistic distribution of the safety parameters. An application of the developed framework is performed on an IES. The results indicate that the framework can evaluate the reliability of IES from the perspectives of dynamic failure probability and operation performance. Furthermore, the impact of P2G (power to gas) on the energy supply and operation security of the IES is analysed in detai

Country
Italy
Keywords

Dynamic event tree, [SPI] Engineering Sciences [physics], Safety margin, Integrated energy systems, Reliability

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
12
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%