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Evaluating regulatory strategies for mitigating hydrological risk in Brazil through diversification of its electricity mix

handle: 2066/202977 , 11385/214881 , 10871/37808
Hydroelectricity provides approximately 65% of Brazil’s power generating capacity, making the country vulnerable to droughts, which are becoming increasingly frequent. Current energy law and policy responses to the problem rely on a sectorial approach and prioritise energy security and market regulation. Brazil has opted to increase energy security levels during periods of hydrological variability with national grid interconnection and thermal plants backup. Additionally, Brazil has created the Energy Reallocation Mechanism (MRE) to manage the generators’ financial impacts in times of insufficient water. This policy, however, was unable to avoid the high financial exposure of generators in the spot market during the severe droughts experienced in the period 2013-2017. To explore how a more diversified electricity matrix can contribute to reducing hydrological risk, this article uses Integrated Assessment Modelling (IAM) techniques to analyse future macroeconomic and energy scenarios for Brazil in a global context, aligned with the Brazilian Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) under the 2015 Paris Agreement on Climate Change. We show that the addition of non-hydro renewables is an advantage from the integrated Water-Energy-Food nexus perspective because it reduces trade-offs amongst the water and energy sectors. Our conclusions suggest that a nexus perspective can provide useful insights on how to design energy laws and policies.
- University of Oxford United Kingdom
- University of Oxford United Kingdom
- Radboud University Nijmegen Netherlands
- University of Dundee United Kingdom
- Universidade do Estado de Santa Catarina Brazil
Brazilian law and regulation, 330, Integrated Assessment Modelling (IAM), Integrated Assessment Modelling (lAM), Water-Energy-Food Nexus, 333, Hydrological risk, Hydropower, Hydrological risk, Electricity mix, Water-Energy-Food Nexus, Brazilian law and regulation, Integrated Assessment Modelling (IAM), Electricity mix, Environmental Sciences, Hydropower
Brazilian law and regulation, 330, Integrated Assessment Modelling (IAM), Integrated Assessment Modelling (lAM), Water-Energy-Food Nexus, 333, Hydrological risk, Hydropower, Hydrological risk, Electricity mix, Water-Energy-Food Nexus, Brazilian law and regulation, Integrated Assessment Modelling (IAM), Electricity mix, Environmental Sciences, Hydropower
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).33 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
