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Emission tax vs. permit trading under bounded rationality and dynamic markets

Emission tax vs. permit trading under bounded rationality and dynamic markets
A price on emissions can be achieved through an emission tax or permit trading. The advan- tages and drawbacks of either instrument are debated. We present an agent-based model to compare their performance under bounded rationality and dynamic markets. It describes firms that face uncertainty about future demand and prices; use heuristic rules to decide production levels, trading prices, and technology adoption; and are heterogeneous in terms of production factors, abatement costs, and trading behavior. Using multiple evaluation criteria and a wide range of parameter values, we find that the main difference between the two policies lies in the fact that permit prices fall after successful abatement. This can lead to higher production levels under permit trading, but can also drive emission-efficient firms out of the market. Scarcity rents under permit trading can further create higher profit rates for firms, the extent of which is shown to depend on the mechanisms for market-clearing and initial allocation.
- Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Netherlands
- Free University of Amsterdam Pure VU Amsterdam Netherlands
- Ural Federal University Russian Federation
- Autonomous University of Barcelona Spain
- Ural Federal University Russian Federation
AGENT-BASED MODELING, AUTONOMOUS AGENTS, INITIAL ALLOCATIONS, ENERGY POLICY, ABATEMENT COST, COMMERCE, Agent-based Modeling, TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION, EMISSIONS TRADING, PRODUCTION FACTORS, ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY, Abatement, Emission Trading, Agent-Based Modeling, Carbon Tax, BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH, EVALUATION CRITERIA, SDG 13 - Climate Action, CARBON TAX, TRACHINOTUS FALCATUS, POLLUTION TAX, ENERGY MARKET, DEMAND ANALYSIS, EMISSION TRADING, COMPUTATIONAL METHODS, PRODUCTION LEVEL, Emission trading, ABATEMENT, AGENT-BASED MODEL, CLIMATE POLICY, COSTS, Climate Policy, BOUNDED RATIONALITY, MARKET CLEARING
AGENT-BASED MODELING, AUTONOMOUS AGENTS, INITIAL ALLOCATIONS, ENERGY POLICY, ABATEMENT COST, COMMERCE, Agent-based Modeling, TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION, EMISSIONS TRADING, PRODUCTION FACTORS, ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY, Abatement, Emission Trading, Agent-Based Modeling, Carbon Tax, BEHAVIORAL RESEARCH, EVALUATION CRITERIA, SDG 13 - Climate Action, CARBON TAX, TRACHINOTUS FALCATUS, POLLUTION TAX, ENERGY MARKET, DEMAND ANALYSIS, EMISSION TRADING, COMPUTATIONAL METHODS, PRODUCTION LEVEL, Emission trading, ABATEMENT, AGENT-BASED MODEL, CLIMATE POLICY, COSTS, Climate Policy, BOUNDED RATIONALITY, MARKET CLEARING
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