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image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Electric Power Syste...arrow_drop_down
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
Electric Power Systems Research
Article . 2017 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Risk asymmetries in hydrothermal power generation markets

Authors: Jorge M. Uribe; Stephanía Mosquera-López; Diego Fernando Manotas-Duque;

Risk asymmetries in hydrothermal power generation markets

Abstract

Abstract Accurate decisions regarding exposure to and hedging against market risk, both of which are crucial for electricity producers and consumers, depend on a correct assessment of electricity price dynamics. This paper proposes a comprehensive empirical methodology to model price variations in electricity markets based on hydrothermal power generation. This proposal combines advances in time-series econometrics related to regime modeling, conditional heteroskedasticity, and extreme events. The study considers stylized facts of the series describing electricity prices, which are especially relevant for accurate risk pricing. More importantly, the proposed methodology enables the description and characterization of asymmetries at almost every level: intraday patterns, seasonal components, spikes, volatility regimes and extreme values; and the estimation of the effects of such asymmetries on traditional risk measures, such as VaR and CVaR. Different tail behaviors of positive and negative electricity returns are documented, which are relevant for assessing the risks of selling and buying strategies. In addition, asymmetries in risk that are conditional on the time at which the transaction occurs are found.

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
7
Top 10%
Average
Average