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Incorporating high-resolution demand and techno-economic optimization to evaluate micro-grids into the Open Source Spatial Electrification Tool (OnSSET)


Mark Howells

Francesco Lombardi

Andreas Sahlberg

Mark Howells

Francesco Lombardi

Andreas Sahlberg

Nicolò Stevanato

Sylvain Quoilin
handle: 11311/1136736 , 10044/1/86932
Incorporating high-resolution demand and techno-economic optimization to evaluate micro-grids into the Open Source Spatial Electrification Tool (OnSSET)
Abstract For decades, electrification planning in the developing world has often focused on extending the national grid to increase electricity access. This article draws attention to the potential complementary role of decentralized alternatives – primarily micro-grids – to address universal electricity access targets. To this aim, we propose a methodology consisting of three steps to estimate the LCOE and to size micro-grids for large-scale geo-spatial electrification modelling. In the first step, stochastic load demand profiles are generated for a wide range of settlement archetypes using the open-source RAMP model. In the second step, stochastic optimization is carried by the open-source MicroGridsPy model for combinations of settlement size, load demand profiles and other important techno-economic parameters influencing the LCOE. In the third step, surrogate models are generated to automatically evaluate the LCOE using a multivariate regression of micro-grid optimization results as a function of influencing parameters defining each scenario instance. Our developments coupled to the OnSSET electrification tool reveal an important increase in the cost-competitiveness of micro-grids compared to previous analyses.
- KU Leuven Belgium
- Imperial College London United Kingdom
- Royal Institute of Technology Sweden
- Universidad Mayor Chile
- Loughborough University United Kingdom
Technology, Science & Technology, Energy, 330, Energy & Fuels, GIS, 09 Engineering, REANALYSIS, SYSTEMS, 16 Studies in Human Society, MAP, Science & Technology - Other Topics, LOAD PROFILES, Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
Technology, Science & Technology, Energy, 330, Energy & Fuels, GIS, 09 Engineering, REANALYSIS, SYSTEMS, 16 Studies in Human Society, MAP, Science & Technology - Other Topics, LOAD PROFILES, Green & Sustainable Science & Technology
33 references, page 1 of 4
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citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).21 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
