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International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC ND
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Short-term uncertainty in the dispatch of energy resources for VPP: A novel rolling horizon model based on stochastic programming

Authors: Gulotta F.; Crespo del Granado P.; Pisciella P.; Siface D.; Falabretti D.;

Short-term uncertainty in the dispatch of energy resources for VPP: A novel rolling horizon model based on stochastic programming

Abstract

The intermittent nature of distributed energy resources introduces new degrees of uncertainty in the operation of energy systems; hence, short-term decisions can no longer be considered fully deterministic. In this article, an energy management system (EMS) was proposed to optimize the market participation and the real-time operation of a virtual power plant (VPP) composed of photovoltaic generators, non-flexible loads, and storage systems (e-vehicle, stationary battery, and thermal storage). The market bidding process was optimized through a two-stage stochastic formulation, which considered the day-ahead forecast uncertainty to minimize the energy cost and make available reserve margins in the ancillary service market. The real-time management of regulating resources was obtained through an innovative rolling horizon stochastic programming model, taking into account the effects of short-term uncertainties. Numerical simulations were carried out to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed EMS. The architecture proved to be effective in managing several distributed resources, enabling the provision of ancillary services to the power system. In particular, the model developed allowed an increase in the VPP's profits of up to 11% and a reduction in the energy imbalance of 25.1% compared to a deterministic optimization.

Country
Italy
Keywords

Virtual power plant, Uncertainty, Rolling horizon, Stochastic programming, Energy management system

  • BIP!
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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    11
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
11
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
gold