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Under pressure: Dynamic pass-through of oil prices to the RUB/USD exchange rate

Authors: Svetlana Fedoseeva;
Abstract
Abstract This paper investigates the relationship between the RUB/USD exchange rate and oil prices. I apply a combination of time-varying cointegration techniques to the data of 1999–2017 to show how this relation evolved dynamically. When the Ruble was not decoupled from oil prices by the efforts of the Central Bank, the pass-through continuously grew over time, both in the long and the short run, substantially increasing during the oil price collapse of 2014. The results further indicate that the Ruble might still be overvalued, implying possible further depreciations, should oil prices remain low.
Related Organizations
- Justus Liebig University Giessen Germany
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).20 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%

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citations
Citations provided by BIP!
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
popularity
Popularity provided by BIP!
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
20
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%