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ISA Transactions
Article . 2022 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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Novel double-layer bidirectional LSTM network with improved attention mechanism for predicting energy consumption

Authors: Yan-Lin He; Lei Chen; Yanlu Gao; Jia-Hui Ma; Yuan Xu; Qun-Xiong Zhu;

Novel double-layer bidirectional LSTM network with improved attention mechanism for predicting energy consumption

Abstract

For power generation management and power system dispatching, it is of big significance to predict the consumption of electric energy accurately. For the sake of improving the prediction accuracy of power consumption, taking the complex features of time series data into consideration, a novel neural network sandwich structure with an improved attention mechanism is inserted into the double-layer bidirectional long short-term memory network shortened as A-DBLSTM is put forward in this article. In A-DBLSTM, compared with traditional attention mechanism, the presented attention mechanism focuses on different features in each time unit and the A-DBLLSTM network extracts time information in sequence. The parameter optimization of A-DBLSTM is based on the method of particle swarm optimization (PSO). For confirming the effectiveness and feasibility of A-DBLSTM, case studies using two datasets of the hourly temperature values and power loads between 2012 and 2014 and the electric energy consumption are carried out. The experimental results indicate that the presented A-DBLSTM with the novel sandwich network structure achieves superior performance in the aspects of the mean square error, root mean square, the average absolute error and the mean absolute percentage error to other advanced methods. What is more, the factors that have the greatest impact on the prediction performance can be found through analyzing the heatmap of the attention layer.

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
55
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%