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Uncertainty quantification of PM2.5 concentrations using a hybrid model based on characteristic decomposition and fuzzy granulation

pmid: 36191506
The prediction of air pollution plays an important role in reducing the emission of air pollutants and guiding people to carry out early warning and control, so it attracts many scholars to conduct modeling and research on it. However, most of the current researches fail to quantify the uncertainty in prediction and only use traditional fuzzy information granulation to process data, resulting in the loss of much detail information. Therefore, this paper proposes a hybrid model based on decomposition and granular fuzzy information to solve these problems. The trend item and the Granulation fluctuation item are respectively predicted and the results are combined to obtain the change trend and fluctuation range of the sequence. This paper selects PM2.5 concentrations of 3 cities. The experimental results show that the evaluation index of the prediction model is significantly lower than other benchmark models, and a variety of statistical methods are used to further verify the effectiveness of the prediction model.
- Chongqing Technology and Business University China (People's Republic of)
- Dongbei University of Finance and Economics China (People's Republic of)
- Lanzhou University China (People's Republic of)
- Chongqing Technology and Business University China (People's Republic of)
- Dongbei University of Finance and Economics China (People's Republic of)
Air Pollutants, Uncertainty, Air Pollution, Humans, Particulate Matter, Environmental Monitoring
Air Pollutants, Uncertainty, Air Pollution, Humans, Particulate Matter, Environmental Monitoring
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).13 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
