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e-Prime: Advances in Electrical Engineering, Electronics and Energy
Article . 2024 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY NC
Data sources: Crossref
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Hybrid emerging model predictive data-driven forecasting of three-phase electrical signals of photovoltaic systems using GBR-LSTM

Authors: Ashkan Safari;

Hybrid emerging model predictive data-driven forecasting of three-phase electrical signals of photovoltaic systems using GBR-LSTM

Abstract

In numerous industrial contexts, precise analysis and forecasting of electrical signals within three-phase systems are indispensable. As a result, this work presents DeepPhase, a hybrid framework that combines Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks with gradient-boosted regression (GBR) to predict the current, voltage, and power of electrical signals. The performance of the model is evaluated in comparison to benchmark models, namely Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and LSTM, which utilize essential Key Performance Indicators (KPIs). As demonstrated by its highest Coefficient of Determination (R2) of 0.999, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 6.94 × 10−5, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.07 %, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.000156, DeepPhase consistently exhibits predictive precision. For Three-Phase Current, MAE is 2.13 × 10−3, MAPE is 0.01 %, RMSE is 0.062432, and R2 is 0.960596; and for Three-Phase Voltage, MAE is 9.52E-03, MAPE is 0.03 %, RMSE is 0.014, and R2 is 0.999. The results of this study highlight the effectiveness of DeepPhase in analyzing the dynamics of complex Three-Phase electrical signals. This has significant implications for improving decision-making and control strategies in complex electrical systems.

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Keywords

Artificial intelligence, Gradient boosting regressor, 3 phase analysis, TK1-9971, Power forecasting, Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering, Renewable production, Simulation

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Average
Average
Average
gold