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An empirical classification-based framework for the safety criticality assessment of energy production systems, in presence of inconsistent data

Authors: Tai Ran Wang; Nicola Pedroni; Enrico Zio; Enrico Zio; Vincent Mousseau;

An empirical classification-based framework for the safety criticality assessment of energy production systems, in presence of inconsistent data

Abstract

The technical problem addressed in the present paper is the assessment of the safety criticality of energy production systems. An empirical classification model is developed, based on the Majority Rule Sorting method, to evaluate the class of criticality of the plant/system of interest, with respect to safety. The model is built on the basis of a (limited-size) set of data representing the characteristics of a number of plants and their corresponding criticality classes, as assigned by experts.The construction of the classification model may raise two issues. First, the classification examples provided by the experts may contain contradictions: a validation of the consistency of the considered dataset is, thus, required. Second, uncertainty affects the process: a quantitative assessment of the performance of the classification model is, thus, in order, in terms of accuracy and confidence in the class assignments. In this paper, two approaches are proposed to tackle the first issue: the inconsistencies in the data examples are “resolved” by deleting or relaxing, respectively, some constraints in the model construction process. Three methods are proposed to address the second issue: (i) a model retrieval-based approach, (ii) the Bootstrap method and (iii) the cross-validation technique. Numerical analyses are presented with reference to an artificial case study regarding the classification of Nuclear Power Plants.

Countries
Italy, France
Keywords

[SPI] Engineering Sciences [physics], Classification model; Confidence estimation; Data consistency validation; MR-Sort; Nuclear power plants; Safety-criticality; Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality; Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering; Applied Mathematics, [SPI.GCIV.GCN] Engineering Sciences [physics]/Civil Engineering/Génie civil nucléaire, [INFO.INFO-RO] Computer Science [cs]/Operations Research [math.OC], [SPI]Engineering Sciences [physics], [STAT.AP] Statistics [stat]/Applications [stat.AP], [SPI.GCIV.RISQ]Engineering Sciences [physics]/Civil Engineering/Risques, [ SPI ] Engineering Sciences [physics], nuclear power plants, MR-Sort, [SPI.GCIV.RISQ] Engineering Sciences [physics]/Civil Engineering/Risques, confidence estimation, [ INFO.INFO-RO ] Computer Science [cs]/Operations Research [cs.RO], [STAT.AP]Statistics [stat]/Applications [stat.AP], classification model, [ STAT.AP ] Statistics [stat]/Applications [stat.AP], data consistency validation, [INFO.INFO-RO]Computer Science [cs]/Operations Research [cs.RO], [ SPI.GCIV.RISQ ] Engineering Sciences [physics]/Civil Engineering/Risques, [ SPI.GCIV.GCN ] Engineering Sciences [physics]/Civil Engineering/Génie civil nucléaire, [SPI.GCIV.GCN]Engineering Sciences [physics]/Civil Engineering/Génie civil nucléaire, Safety-criticality

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    6
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
6
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
bronze